arXiv subjects

Jakob Stegmann

Publications and source records attributed to Jakob Stegmann.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Distinct spin properties and astrophysical origin of low mass binary black holes in gravitational wave data

We analyze the effective-spin distribution of binary black hole mergers in GWTC-5.0 as a function of primary black hole mass using hierarchical Bayesian inference. We model the population as a mixture of two spin components separated by a transition mass scale inferred directly from the data. We find strong evidence for a transition at $\tilde{m} = 15.2^{+4.3}_{-3.6}\, M_\odot$. Mock-catalog analyses show that such a transition is unlikely to arise from finite-sample fluctuations of a mass-independent $\chi_{\rm eff}$ population and the posterior predictive distributions of $\chi_{\rm eff}$ inferred below and above the transition are clearly distinct. Below the transition mass, the effective-spin distribution is narrow, peaks at a small positive value $\chi_{\rm eff}>0$, but also shows significant support for negative $\chi_{\rm eff}$. Above the transition, the distribution is broader and its peak shifts to values consistent with $\chi_{\rm eff}\simeq0$, making its support at both positive and negative $\chi_{\rm eff}$ roughly similar. These findings suggest that the dominant merger population concentrated around $10\,M_{\odot}$ is statistically distinct from the rest and that it arises from a different formation channel. We show that this low-mass population is broadly consistent with formation from massive stellar multiples in the field: it may either arise from isolated binary star evolution but only if black hole natal kicks below $\tilde{m}$ are generally very large ($\gtrsim100\,\rm km/s$) or be caused by the dynamical evolution of hierarchical triples. In contrast, isolated binary evolution with standard fallback kick models cannot reproduce the support for negative $\chi_{\rm eff}$.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Transitions in the Mass-ratio and Spin Properties of Binary Black Holes in GWTC-5

We analyze the mass-ratio and effective-spin ($\chi_{\rm eff}$) distributions of binary black hole mergers in the latest gravitational-wave catalog, GWTC-5, as a function of primary mass. Using hierarchical Bayesian inference with flexible Gaussian-process population models, we identify four distinct mass regions separated by sharp transitions in both mass-ratio and spin properties. Below $\sim15~M_{\odot}$, the population strongly favors equal-mass binaries and exhibits a narrow $\chi_{\rm eff}$ distribution peaked at positive values. In the range $18$-$30\,M_{\odot}$, the mass-ratio distribution becomes substantially flatter, while the $\chi_{\rm eff}$ distribution broadens, shifts to a peak consistent with zero, and shows tentative--but not statistically required--evidence for positive skewness. The region associated with the feature near $\simeq35~M_{\odot}$ returns to a narrow $\chi_{\rm eff}$ distribution consistent with symmetry at zero and strongly favors equal-mass binaries. Above $\simeq 45~M_{\odot}$, both the mass-ratio and $\chi_{\rm eff}$ distributions broaden significantly. The inferred support of the spin distribution converges toward the range expected for binaries containing remnants of previous black hole mergers, making the highest-mass region fully consistent with a star cluster population of hierarchical mergers. The close correspondence between transitions in mass ratio and effective spin suggests that different primary-mass ranges trace distinct formation channels, with isolated binary or triple evolution likely dominating the lower-mass population and dynamical assembly becoming increasingly important at higher masses.

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arXiv2026

A universal framework to identify eccentric binary mergers: GW200105 case study

Orbital eccentricity in gravitational-wave signals from merging compact object binaries is a powerful indicator of their formation channel. Several binary black hole mergers and a neutron star--black hole merger have been reported to exhibit signs of eccentricity, but which events are identified and the significance of the eccentricity differs between studies. Measurements of eccentricity can change depending on the choice of prior. The choice of prior is subtle: eccentricity is commonly measured at an arbitrary reference frequency, which varies from study to study. We use the candidate eccentric neutron star--black hole merger GW200105_162426 as a case study, employing a range of priors and reference frequencies, and find the results to be strongly prior-driven. We show that the varied results reported across different studies can be partially reconciled by accounting for the evolution of eccentricity with reference frequency. In order to make conclusive statements about eccentricity, we propose a detection statistic that does not depend on reference frequency, and which marginalises over astrophysically-motivated distributions in eccentricity. Using this detection statistic, we find reduced support for the eccentric hypothesis for GW200105_162426: we obtain a natural log Bayes factor ln B $\leq$ 0.9 comparing the eccentric, aligned-spin hypothesis to the quasi-circular, precessing hypothesis. Our results cast doubt on the eccentric interpretation of GW200105_162426 and underscore the importance of modelling the astrophysical distributions of eccentricity in nature.

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arXiv2026

Binary Evolution Can Mimic the Pair-Instability Mass Gap in Black Hole Mergers

The recent O4 catalogs from the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration, which significantly increased the number of gravitational-wave (GW) detections, reveal features with potentially important astrophysical implications. One notable example is a hint of the so-called pair-instability mass gap. In particular, the observed decline in the number of black holes (BHs) with mass above 45Msun, together with indications of possibly higher spins for BHs above this threshold, has been interpreted by Antonini et al. and Tong et al. as evidence for pair-instability supernovae.In this work, we investigate whether mass transfer in binary systems can produce features in the BH component-mass distributions that mimic the inferred pair-instability limit. We use both the population synthesis code StarTrack and a simple semi-analytical framework to highlight the impact of mass transfer efficiency on the BH masses. We find that mass-ratio reversal during the first Roche-lobe overflow, followed by a highly non-conservative second mass-transfer phase, naturally limits the mass of the first-born BH and produces an apparent cutoff that mimics the lower edge of a mass gap. While the upper mass limit for the more massive BH is increased through accretion during the first mass-transfer phase and is ultimately set by the pair-instability limit, the less massive BH is limited to the stripped primary mass. As a result, the fraction of systems in which the less massive BH exceeds 45Msun is negligible, below 0.0001 in our default models. While pair instability remains a possible interpretation of current GW data, similar features can naturally arise from binary evolution without invoking a low pair-instability cutoff. The emerging evidence for predominantly positive effective spins extending into the putative upper mass gap may further support a contribution from isolated binary evolution to the high-mass tail.

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arXiv2025

Astrophysical Implications of Eccentricity in Gravitational Waves from Neutron Star-Black Hole Binaries

The gravitational-wave signal from the neutron star-black hole (NSBH) merger GW200105 is consistent with this binary having significant orbital eccentricity close to merger. This raises the question of how eccentric NSBHs form. Compact binaries that evolve in isolation radiate away any orbital eccentricity long before their gravitational-wave signal enters the sensitive frequency range of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA detector network. Meanwhile, dynamical environments -- which can be conducive to mergers on eccentric orbits -- produce very few NSBHs. Here, we focus on a formation channel that efficiently produces NSBHs with both misaligned spins and significant eccentricity close to merger: isolated field triples. We estimate the minimum measurable eccentricity of NSBHs at 10 Hz orbit-averaged gravitational-wave frequency, e_min,10, finding that for GW200105, GW200115, and GW230529-like systems, e_min,10 is O(0.01). For a GW190814-like unequal-mass binary with significant higher-order mode content, e_min,10 = 0.003; this is an order of magnitude lower than when higher modes are not present. For dominant-mode signals from binaries with $m_2=1.5$~M$_\odot$ and total masses from $3\,{\rm M_\odot} \leq M \leq50\,\rm M_\odot$, we find $0.008 \leq$ e_min,10 $\leq 0.022$. The relationship between $M$ and e_min,10 is linear when the binaries are non-spinning. When the binaries are maximally spin-precessing, e_min,10 decreases as mass ratio becomes more unequal. We estimate the sensitivity of a quasi-circular aligned-spin templated search to NSBH mergers from field triples, finding that we recover only 46% of systems that would have been detected with a search containing the full physics of the injected population. Finally, we show that if $\sim\nicefrac{1}{3}$ of present NSBH detections are measurably eccentric, then $\geq40\%$ are consistent with an isolated field triple origin.

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arXiv2025

Gravitational-wave Observations Suggest Most Black Hole Mergers Form in Triples

The spin-orbit tilt angles $\theta_{1(2)}$ of merging stellar-mass black holes provide key insights into their astrophysical origin. Non-parametric population modelling of The LIGO, Virgo, and KAGRA Collaborations (2025a, arXiv:2508.18083) shows that the spin-orbit tilt distribution of mergers in the latest Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog 4.0 exhibits a global peak at near-perpendicular directions $\cos\theta_{1(2)}\approx0$. Here, we recover this feature using hierarchical Bayesian inference with parametric models that are tailored to enhance the diagnostic power about astrophysical formation channels. We find that the spin distribution of the low-mass bulk of the binary black hole merger population ($m_1\lesssim 44.3^{+8.7}_{-4.6}\,\rm M_\odot$) can be well-modelled by a dominant Gaussian component that peaks at $\cos\theta_{1(2)}\approx0$, possibly mixed with a subdominant isotropic component. Models that include a component with spins preferentially aligned with the orbit are disfavoured by current data (with Bayes factors $|\Delta\ln\mathcal{B}|\approx1$ to $3$) and constrain its contribution to be likely small ($\xi\sim\mathcal{O}(1)\,\%$), although large contributions cannot yet ruled out with certainty. If these findings are reinforced by more detections, they would challenge any major contribution from the traditional isolated-binary formation scenario yielding closely aligned spins. Instead, the dominant component with near-perpendicular spins matches expectations from the evolution of isolated massive stellar triples in the galactic field, where the Lidov-Kozai effect naturally produces a unique overabundance of mergers with $\cos\theta_{1(2)}\approx0$.

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arXiv2025

Non-conservative Mass Transfer as a Formation Channel for Gaia Black Hole System

The detected Gaia systems hosting compact objects challenge standard models of binary star evolution. In particular, if the observed black hole (BH) systems evolved in isolation, they are expected to have undergone a mass transfer phase. Given their highly unequal masses, such mass transfer is dynamically unstable within standard models, leading to a stellar merger or a short-period binary. In contrast, the observed systems have much wider orbits than predicted, making their formation within conventional evolutionary frameworks difficult to reconcile. Using detailed binary evolution calculations, we test whether non-conservative mass transfer, in which most of the mass is lost from the system carrying the specific angular momentum of the donor's center of mass, can explain the properties of two Gaia BH systems. This mass-loss geometry differs from standard isotropic re-emission from the accretor's vicinity. We find that our mass-loss geometry model reproduces the orbital periods of the two Gaia BH systems remarkably well over a wide range of initial conditions, offering a plausible formation pathway. We speculate this may point to enhanced eruptive mass loss, potentially driven by high-opacity subsurface layers in the donor prior to Roche-lobe overflow, consistent with preferentially bipolar outflows observed in luminous blue variables. Alternatively, it may indicate the need for more sophisticated mass-transfer prescriptions that account for highly unequal Roche-lobe sizes, sub-synchronous rotation, and possible self-accretion. Similar mechanisms may operate in other post-mass-transfer systems facing analogous evolutionary challenges, including Gaia neutron-star and white-dwarf binaries, stripped-envelope Wolf-Rayet stars, and low-mass X-ray binaries.

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arXiv2025

Environmental effects in stellar mass gravitational wave sources II: Enhanced detectability of phase shifts in eccentric sub-populations

We demonstrate that the properties of eccentric gravitational wave (GW) signals enhance the detectability of GW phase shifts caused by environmental effects (EEs): The signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of EEs can be boosted by up to $\ell_{\rm max}^{1 - n}$ with respect to corresponding circular signals, where $\ell_{\rm max}$ is the highest modeled eccentric GW harmonic and $n$ is the frequency scaling of the GW dephasing prescription associated to the EE. We investigate the impact on a population level, adopting plausible eccentricity distributions for binary sources observed by LIGO/Virgo/Kagra (A+ and A\# sensitivities), as well as Cosmic Explorer (CE) and the Einstein Telescope (ET). For sources in the high eccentricity tail of a distribution ($e \gtrsim 0.2$ at 10 Hz), phase shifts can systematically be up to $\ell_{\rm max}^{1 - n}$ times smaller than in a corresponding circular signal and still be detectable. For typical EEs, such as Roemer delays and gas drag, this effect amounts to SNR enhancements that range from $10^2$ up to $10^5$. For CE and ET, our analysis shows that EEs will be an ubiquitous feature in the eccentric tail of merging binaries, regardless of the specific details of the formation channel. Additionally, we find that the joint analysis of eccentricity and phase shift is already plausible in current catalogs if a fraction of binaries merge in AGN migration traps.

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arXiv2025

Sub-Snowline Formation of Gas-Giant Planets in Binary Systems

Gas-giant planets are thought to require conditions beyond the water snow line to build solid cores efficiently. In close binary star systems, the companion's gravity additionally limits the region of stable orbits, potentially excluding the zone where giants should form.} We aim to identify binary systems in which gas giants exist despite the snow line lying in the dynamically unstable zone, and to develop a physically motivated formation channel that explains and predicts their observed locations. We analyse a catalogue of 811 circumstellar binary systems from \citet{Thebault2025}, identifying those hosting gas giants. ($M_p \geq 0.15\,M_\mathrm{Jup}$) with snow lines larger than $0.8\,a_c$ as defined by \citet{Quarles_2020}. We compare their metallicity and eccentricity distributions with the background population, model snow-line evolution with MESA, and fit a linear relation between observed planet semi-major axes and the tidal truncation radius from \citet{Pichardo2005}.} Among 393 gas-giant hosts, we identify 17 systems whose snow line lies in the dynamically unstable zone. Their metallicity and eccentricity distributions are consistent with the background population. We propose that a dust trap formed near the tidal truncation radius of the protoplanetary disc can explain sub-snowline giant formation. The observed planet positions follow $a_\mathrm{planet} = (0.569 \pm 0.05)\,r_t$ ($R^2 = 0.94$), enabling system-by-system predictive power. Evolved systems deviate from this relation, independently supporting a second-generation planet origin for those cases. The tidal truncation of a protoplanetary disc by the stellar companion provides a natural mechanism for sub-snowline gas-giant formation in binaries. The resulting empirical relation yields testable predictions for binary eccentricities in systems lacking direct orbital measurements.

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arXiv2025

Dynamical Evolution of Quasi-Hierarchical Triples

We study the gravitational dynamics of quasi-hierarchical triple systems, where the outer orbital period is significantly longer than the inner one, but the outer orbit is extremely eccentric, rendering the time at pericentre comparable to the inner period. Such systems are not amenable to the standard techniques of perturbation theory and orbit-averaging. Modelling the evolution of these triples as a sequence of impulses at the outer pericentre, we show, by comparing with direct three-body integrations, that such triples lend themselves to a description as an analytical map between subsequent outer pericentre passages. This map exhibits secular oscillations, going beyond the von Zeipel-Lidov-Kozai mechanism. We show that the time to coalescence due to gravitational waves in such systems is modified. We then study the long-term evolution under this map, which lead to a random-walk-like behaviour of the inner eccentricity. While this behaviour is probably absent from isolated triples, it could exist in triples where the outer orbit is weakly coupled to a system with which it can exchange angular momentum, and we describe some properties of this random walk.

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arXiv2025

Dissecting environmental effects with eccentric gravitational wave sources

We model the effect of resonances between time-varying perturbative forces and the epi-cyclical motion of eccentric binaries in the gravitational wave (GW) driven regime. These induce secular drifts in the orbital elements which are reflected in a dephasing of the binary's GW signal, derived here systematically. The resulting dephasing prescriptions showcase a much richer phenomenology with respect to typically adopted power-laws, and are better able to model realistic environmental effects (EE). The most important consequences are for gas embedded binaries, which we analyse in detail with a series of analytical calculations, numerical experiments and a curated set of hydrodynamical simulations for equal masses. Even in these simplified tests, we find the surprising result that dephasing caused by epi-cyclical resonances dominate over expectations based on smoothed or orbit averaged gas drag models in GW signals that retain mild eccentricity in the detector band ($e> 0.05$). We discuss how dissecting GW dephasing in its component Fourier modes can be used to probe the coupling of binaries with their surrounding environment in unprecedented detail.

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arXiv2025

Resolving Black Hole Family Issues Among the Massive Ancestors of Very High-Spin Gravitational-Wave Events Like GW231123

The latest detection of GW231123, a binary black hole (BH) merger with exceptionally large masses and high spins for the incoming components, has been suggested as a smoking gun for hierarchical formation. In this scenario, a first generation of BHs resulting from collapsing stars form in a dense environment. Here they can assemble dynamically and undergo subsequent mergers. We discuss three challenges for the formation of a GW231123-like event inside a star cluster: 1) The high masses of the incoming BHs appear to be in the predicted pair-instability mass gap and thus suggest that second-generation or higher-order generation BHs are involved. 2) Very high spins ($\chi_f \gtrsim 0.8$) are very unlikely for dynamically assembled BHs because of the isotropic distribution of spin vectors. 3) Hierarchically formed BHs are susceptible to receive large recoils, which could kick them out of their cluster. We simulate this scenario and show that only a few percent of mergers recover remnants within GW231123's primary spin estimate $\chi_1=0.9^{+0.10}_{-0.19}$ and are retained inside typical star clusters. A large fraction of very rapidly spinning second-generation BHs (including $\chi_f>0.9$) can only form if the first-generation BHs merges with aligned spins. This is a natural outcome of massive binary star evolution scenarios, such as a chemically homogeneous evolution. This scenario also predicts equal masses for the components, implying that the resulting BHs tend to receive very low recoil kicks and would therefore likely be retained inside a cluster. We conclude that GW231123-like events, if formed in a star cluster, could require first-generation BHs with large aligned spins that evolved through stellar binary interaction, followed by the dynamical assembly for a subsequent merger. We discuss the implications for the uncertain lower edge of the putative mass gap 60-130 $\rm M_\odot$.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

Prompt stellar and binary black hole mergers in tight triples: Insights from chemically homogeneous evolution

Short-period massive binary stars are predicted to undergo chemically homogeneous evolution (CHE), making them prime candidates for producing binary black holes (BBHs) that may merge within the age of the Universe. Most of these binaries have a tertiary companion, and here we explore how a nearby third body possibly influences this evolutionary channel. Our analysis combines analytic treatments of triple dynamics with insights from detailed stellar evolution models, focusing on the role of the von Zeipel-Lidov-Kozai mechanism while also accounting for tidal and general relativistic apsidal precession. We examine the dynamics of triples at three critical evolutionary stages: the zero-age main sequence, shortly after the main sequence, and at the time of BBH formation. We find that, for triples having outer orbital periods less than 70 d(120 d), the inner binary can merge during(or after) the main-sequence stage, leading to a hydrogen-rich(helium-rich) stellar merger. If a stellar merger is avoided, the inner binary may eventually form a BBH. In mildly hierarchical triples, with outer periods of around 100 d, the tertiary component can trigger a rapid merger of the BBH on timescales comparable to the outer orbital period. Stellar tides play a crucial role in determining the fate of the inner binary in such tight triple systems, as they can suppress the perturbative effects of the third star. When tidal forces damp the oscillations induced by the tertiary, the BBH merger may occur soon after stellar collapse. Notably, these outcomes are not restricted to CHE binaries but can also apply to any BBH formed from stars in tight orbits. Mergers in these systems are characterized by the proximity of a tertiary companion and the presence of recently ejected gas, making them promising candidates for electromagnetic counterparts and gravitational-wave signals influenced by nearby tertiary objects.

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arXiv2025

GW200208_222617 as an eccentric black-hole binary merger: properties and astrophysical implications

Detecting orbital eccentricity in a stellar-mass black-hole merger would point to a non-isolated formation channel. Eccentric binaries can form in dense stellar environments such as globular clusters or active galactic nuclei, or from triple stellar systems in the Galactic field. However, confidently measuring eccentricity is challenging -- short signals from high-mass eccentric mergers can mimic spin-induced precession, making the two effects hard to disentangle. This degeneracy weakens considerably for longer-duration signals. Here, GW200208_222617 provides a rare opportunity. Originating from a relatively low-mass binary with source-frame chirp mass $\sim20$ M$_\odot$, its gravitational-wave signal spanned $\sim14$ orbital cycles in band, with no indication of data quality issues. Previous analyses for quasi-circular binaries found no evidence for spin precession, and multiple subsequent studies found the data to favour an eccentric merger despite notable technical differences. All in all, we believe GW200208_222617 is the black-hole merger event from GWTC-3 with the least ambiguous detection of eccentricity. We present a critical discussion of properties and astrophysical interpretation of GW200208_222617 as an eccentric black-hole merger using models of field triples, globular clusters, and active galactic nuclei. We find that if GW200208_222617 was indeed eccentric, its origin is consistent with a field triple or globular cluster. Formation in the inner regions of an active galactic nucleus is disfavoured. The outer regions of such a disk remain a viable origin for GW200208_222617; we demonstrate how future detections of eccentric mergers formed in such environments could be powerful tools for constraining the disk geometry.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

Orbital Eccentricity and Spin-Orbit Misalignment Are Evidence that Neutron Star-Black Hole Mergers Form through Triple Star Evolution

There is growing evidence that a substantial fraction of the neutron star-black holes (NSBHs) detected through gravitational waves merge with non-zero eccentricity or large BH spin-orbit misalignment. This is in tension with the leading formation scenarios to date. Residual eccentricity rules out formation through isolated binary star evolution, while NS natal kicks and the unequal masses of NSBHs inhibit efficient pairing in dense stellar environments. Here, we report that all observed properties-NSBH merger rate, eccentricity, and spin-orbit misalignment-are explained by the high prevalence of massive stellar triples in the field. Modelling their evolution from the ZAMS, we investigate NSBH mergers caused by gravitational perturbations from a tertiary companion. We show that the formation of the NS decisively impacts the triple stability, preferentially leaving behind surviving NSBHs in compact triple architectures. The rich three-body dynamics of compact, unequal-mass triples enables mergers across a wide range of orbital parameters without requiring fine-tuned highly inclined tertiary orbits and provides a natural explanation for an abundance of residual eccentricity and spin-orbit misalignment. We infer a total NSBH merger rate of $R\sim1-23\,\rm Gpc^{-3}\,yr^{-1}$, with more than a few 10% exhibiting eccentricity $e_{20}>0.1$ or large spin-orbit misalignment $\cos\theta_{\rm BH}<0$, consistent with current observations. Tertiary-driven NSBH mergers closely track the cosmic star formation rate due to their short delay times, include a substantial fraction of burst-like highly eccentric systems ($e_{20} > 0.9$), and almost universally retain eccentricities $e_{20}>10^{-3}$, potentially detectable by next-generation detectors. If evidence for eccentric and misaligned events solidifies, our results suggest that triple dynamics is the dominant formation channel of NSBH mergers.

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arXiv2025

Distinguishing the Origin of Eccentric Black Hole Mergers with Gravitational-wave Spin Measurements

It remains an open question whether the binary black hole mergers observed with gravitational-wave detectors originate from the evolution of isolated massive binary stars or were dynamically driven by perturbations from the environment. Recent evidence for non-zero orbital eccentricity in a handful of events is seen as support for a non-negligible fraction of the population experiencing external driving of the merger. However, it is unclear from which formation channel eccentric binary black-hole mergers would originate: dense star clusters, hierarchical field triples, active galactic nuclei, or wide binaries in the Galaxy could all be culprits. Here, we investigate whether the spin properties of eccentric mergers could be used to break this degeneracy. Using the fact that different formation channels are predicted to either produce eccentric mergers with mutually aligned or randomly oriented black-hole spins, we investigate how many confident detections would be needed in order for the two models to be statistically distinguishable. If a few percent of binary black hole mergers retain measurable eccentricity in the bandwidth of ground-based detectors, we report a $\sim9\,\%$ chance that we could confidently distinguish both models (Bayes factor $\ln\mathcal{B}>3$) after the fifth observing run of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA detector network, $\sim63\,\%$ for LIGO A#, and $\sim98\,\%$ for the Einstein Telescope and Cosmic Explorer.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

Supermassive black holes stripping a subgiant star down to its helium core: a new type of multi-messenger source for LISA

Some stars orbiting supermassive black holes (SMBH) are expected to undergo a gravitational-wave (GW)-driven inspiral and initiate mass transfer on nearly circular orbits. However, the stability and duration of such phases remain unexplored. In this work, we focus on the evolution of a low-mass, radiative-envelope subgiant star being stripped by an SMBH. We find that such systems can undergo a long-lasting, stable mass-transfer phase, even if none of the angular momentum of the transferred material returns to the orbit to counterbalance the GW-driven decay. We show an example where a 2 Msun subgiant is stripped before entering the LISA band and loses almost its entire hydrogen envelope. The remaining helium core undergoes a prolonged GW-driven inspiral, becoming a loud LISA source. If formed in our galaxy, the system would be detectable for several hundred thousand years, ultimately reaching extreme signal-to-noise ratios of a million. Hydrogen shell flashes in the residual envelope cause temporary radial expansions of the stripped star. As a result, a few additional phases of rapid mass transfer occur at orbital periods of 20 - 30 hours. Eventually, the core possibly undergoes circular partial tidal disruption at an orbital period of ~10 minutes, corresponding to a GW emission frequency of a few mHz. We estimate a chance of about 1% that such a detectable LISA source exists in our own galactic center. The loud final GW transient may lead to a few detections reaching as far as ~1 Gpc, including, e.g., the Abell clusters.

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arXiv2025

The role of triple evolution in the formation of LISA double white dwarfs

Galactic double white dwarfs will be prominent gravitational-wave sources for the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). While previous studies have primarily focused on formation scenarios in which binaries form and evolve in isolation, we present the first detailed study of the role of triple stellar evolution in forming the population of LISA double white dwarfs. In this work, we present the first detailed study of the role of triple stellar evolution in forming the population of LISA double white dwarfs. We use the multiple stellar evolution code (MSE) to model the stellar evolution, binary interactions, and the dynamics of triple star systems then use a Milky Way-like galaxy from the TNG50 simulations to construct a representative sample of LISA double white dwarfs. In our simulations about $7\times10^6$ Galactic double white dwarfs in the LISA frequency bandwidth originate from triple systems, whereas $\sim4\times10^6$ form from isolated binary stars. The properties of double white dwarfs formed in triples closely resemble those formed from isolated binaries, but we also find a small number of systems $\sim\mathcal{O}(10)$ that reach extreme eccentricities $(>0.9)$, a feature unique to the dynamical formation channels. Our population produces $\approx 10^{4} $ individually resolved double white dwarfs (from triple and binary channels) and an unresolved stochastic foreground below the level of the LISA instrumental noise. About $57\,\%$ of double white dwarfs from triple systems retain a bound third star when entering the LISA frequency bandwidth. However, we expect the tertiary stars to be too distant to have a detectable imprint in the gravitational-wave signal of the inner binary.

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