arXiv subjects

Jakub Nowosad

Publications and source records attributed to Jakub Nowosad.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

STeMP: Spatio-Temporal Modelling Protocol

Spatio-temporal machine-learning modelling is an important tool in environmental research. However, machine-learning models are highly sensitive to both the characteristics of the training data, such as its distribution, and methodological choices, including the cross-validation strategy. Each decision has impact and implications on the model itself as well as the estimation of the model quality and applicability for certain purposes. Taking into account the large role of machine-learning based maps of the environment in science and their transfer into practice, transparent reporting of spatio-temporal models, ideally using standardized model protocols, is essential to enable trust, transparency and comparability. However, such protocols are currently lacking for spatio-temporal modelling. We propose STeMP (Spatio-Temporal Modelling Protocol) to fill this gap by serving two purposes: standardized reporting to understand the model functioning as well as providing guidance during the modelling process by pointing at critical decisions and parameters. The protocol is structured in three sections: Overview, Model and Prediction. The Overview section contains metadata, while the Model and Prediction sections go into detail, describing predictors, evaluation and software, and further relevant elements of the modelling workflow. The protocol definition is hosted on GitHub and accompanied by an R-package (https://github.com/LOEK-RS/STeMP). The R-package contains a web application that can be used to fill the protocol either manually or in a semi-automated way from provided modelling objects. Warnings are returned from the protocol when common pitfalls are encountered, which may help authors as a guide through the modelling process but also support reviewers in the assessment of modelling studies. Via GitHub, incorporation of contributions and feedback from the community is encouraged.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Moving beyond spatial and random cross-validation in environmental modelling: a call for prediction-domain adaptive evaluation

With the growing application of spatial predictive modeling in ecology, the question of how to appropriately evaluate the resulting maps has gained increasing attention. While there is consensus that map accuracy is ideally estimated using an independent probability sample of the prediction area, there is still no agreement on the most appropriate way to conduct an evaluation for the common case when such a sample is not available. Cross-validation, which involves multiple train-test splits, is commonly applied not only to estimate final model accuracy but also to guide model tuning and selection. Many different spatial and non-spatial approaches to cross-validation have been proposed, and approaches in both groups have faced substantial criticism. It has been shown that random cross-validation methods are suitable when the training points are randomly distributed in the prediction area, while spatial cross-validation is better suited towards extrapolation situations. In practice, however, there is a continuum and most cases are between those two extremes. To address this gap, we advocate for a new category of cross-validation methods to account for this: prediction-domain adaptive evaluation. Methods in this category flexibly adapt to the prediction situation, yielding most reliable estimates of map accuracy across different scenarios. To ground this perspective empirically, we reproduce a simulation study that was used in earlier research and systematically compare different evaluation methods and discuss their purpose.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

Spatial Data Science Languages: commonalities and needs

Recent workshops brought together several developers, educators and users of software packages extending popular languages for spatial data handling, with a primary focus on R, Python and Julia. Common challenges discussed included handling of spatial or spatio-temporal support, geodetic coordinates, in-memory vector data formats, data cubes, inter-package dependencies, packaging upstream libraries, differences in habits or conventions between the GIS and physical modelling communities, and statistical models. The following set of insights have been formulated: (i) considering software problems across data science language silos helps to understand and standardise analysis approaches, also outside the domain of formal standardisation bodies; (ii) whether attribute variables have block or point support, and whether they are spatially intensive or extensive has consequences for permitted operations, and hence for software implementing those; (iii) handling geometries on the sphere rather than on the flat plane requires modifications to the logic of {\em simple features}, (iv) managing communities and fostering diversity is a necessary, on-going effort, and (v) tools for cross-language development need more attention and support.

stat.CO↗

arXiv2024

The landscapemetrics and motif packages for measuring landscape patterns and processes

This book chapter emphasizes the significance of categorical raster data in ecological studies, specifically land use or land cover (LULC) data, and highlights the pivotal role of landscape metrics and pattern-based spatial analysis in comprehending environmental patterns and their dynamics. It explores the usage of R packages, particularly landscapemetrics and motif, for quantifying and analyzing landscape patterns using LULC data from three distinct European regions. It showcases the computation, visualization, and comparison of landscape metrics, while also addressing additional features such as patch value extraction, sub-region sampling, and moving window computation. Furthermore, the chapter delves into the intricacies of pattern-based spatial analysis, explaining how spatial signatures are computed and how the motif package facilitates comparisons and clustering of landscape patterns. The chapter concludes by discussing the potential of customization and expansion of the presented tools.

stat.ME↗