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Jam Sadiq

Publications and source records attributed to Jam Sadiq.

8 recordsLinked to original sources

Seeking Spinning Subpopulations of Black Hole Binaries via Iterative Density Estimation

Attempts to understand the formation of binary black hole (BBH) systems detected via gravitational wave (GW) emission are affected by many unknowns and uncertainties, from both the observational and theoretical (astrophysical modelling) sides. Binary component spins have been proposed as a means to investigate formation channels, however obtaining clear inferences is challenging, given the apparently low magnitude of almost all merging BH spins and their high measurement uncertainties. Even for the effective aligned spin $\chi_{\mathrm{eff}}$ which is more precisely measured than component spins, specific model assumptions have been required to identify any clear trends. Here, we reconstruct the joint component mass and $\chi_{\mathrm{eff}}$ distribution of BBH mergers with minimal assumptions using the GWTC-3 catalog, using an iterative kernel density estimation (KDE)-based method. We reproduce some features seen in previous analyses, for instance a small but preferentially positive $\chi_{\mathrm{eff}}$ for low-mass mergers; we also identify a possible subpopulation of higher-spin BBH with $|\chi_{\mathrm{eff}}|$ up to $\sim\! 0.75$ for primary masses $m_1 \gtrsim 40\,M_\odot$, in addition to the bulk of the distribution with $|\chi_{\mathrm{eff}}| \lesssim 0.2$. This finding is consistent with previous studies indicating a broader spin distribution at high mass, suggesting a distinct origin for the high-spin systems. We also identify a new potential trend of low-mass BBHs: the \emph{derivative} of $\chi_{\mathrm{eff}}$ with respect to $m_1$ ($m_2$) is positive (negative) over the $10$--$15\,M_\odot$ range. This apparent structure may be related to} a previously reported anticorrelation between mass ratio and $\chi_{\mathrm{eff}}$.

astro-ph.HE

Looking To The Horizon: Probing Evolution in the Black Hole Spectrum With Gravitational Wave Catalogs

The population of black holes observed via gravitational waves currently covers the local universe up to a redshift $z\lesssim 1$, for the most massive merging binaries, or $z\lesssim 0.25$ for low-mass BH binaries (BBH). Evolution of the BBH mass spectrum over cosmic time will be a significant probe of formation channels and environments. We demonstrate a reconstruction of the BBH merger rate, allowing for general dependence on binary masses and luminosity distance or redshift and accounting for selection effects, via iterative kernel density estimation (KDE) with optimized multidimensional bandwidths. Performing such reconstructions under a range of detailed assumptions, we see no significant evidence for the evolution of BBH masses with redshift, over the range where detected events are available. At most, possible trends towards increasing merger rate with redshift for primary masses $m_1\gtrsim 50\,M_\odot$, or towards decreasing merger rate with redshift for primary masses $m_1 \lesssim 40 M\odot$ may be supported. We compare these findings with previous investigations and caution against over-interpreting the current, sparse, data. Significantly upgraded detectors and/or facilities, and longer observing times, are required to harness any correlations of the BBH mass distribution with redshift.

gr-qc

Reconstructing the LISA massive black hole binary population via iterative kernel density estimation

Reconstructing the properties of the astrophysical population of binary compact objects in the universe is a key science goal of gravitational wave detectors. This goal is hindered by the finite strain, frequency sensitivity and observing time of current and future detectors. This implies that we can in general observe only a selected subset of the underlying population, with limited event statistics, and also nontrivial observational uncertainties in the parameters of each event. In this work, we will focus on observations of massive black hole binaries with the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). If these black holes grow from population III star remnants (``light seeds''), a significant fraction of the binary population at low masses and high redshift will be beyond LISA's observational reach; thus, selection effects have to be accounted for when reconstructing the underlying population. Here we propose an iterative, kernel density estimation (KDE)-based non-parametric method, in order to tackle these statistical challenges in reconstructing the astrophysical population distribution from a finite number of observed signals over total mass and redshift. We test the method against a set of simulated LISA observations in a light seed formation scenario. We find that our approach is successful at reconstructing the underlying astrophysical distribution in mass and redshift, except in parameter regions where zero or order(1) signals are observed.

gr-qc

Binary vision: The merging black hole binary mass distribution via iterative density estimation

Binary black hole (BBH) systems detected via gravitational-wave (GW) emission are a recently opened astrophysical frontier with many unknowns and uncertainties. Accurate reconstruction of the binary distribution with as few assumptions as possible is desirable for inference on formation channels and environments. Most population analyses have, though, assumed a power law in binary mass ratio $q$, and/or assumed a universal $q$ distribution regardless of primary mass. Kernel density estimation (KDE)-based methods allow us to dispense with such assumptions and directly estimate the joint binary mass distribution. We deploy a self-consistent iterative method to estimate this full BBH mass distribution, finding local maxima in primary mass consistent with previous investigations and a secondary mass distribution with a partly independent structure, inconsistent with both power laws and with a constant function of $q$. We find a weaker preference for near-equal mass binaries than in most previous investigations; instead, the secondary mass has its own "spectral lines" at slightly lower values than the primary, and we observe an anti-correlation between primary and secondary masses around the ~$10M_\odot$ peak.

astro-ph.HE

Flexible and Fast Estimation of Binary Merger Population Distributions with Adaptive KDE

The LIGO Scientific, Virgo and KAGRA Collaborations recently released the third gravitational wave transient catalog or GWTC-3, significantly expanding the number of gravitational wave (GW) signals. To address the -- still uncertain -- formation channels of the source compact binaries, their population properties must be characterized. The computational cost of the Bayesian hierarchical methods employed thus far scales with the size of the event catalogs, and such methods have until recently assumed fixed functional forms for the source distribution. Here we propose a fast and flexible method to reconstruct the population of LIGO--Virgo merging black hole (BH) binaries without such assumptions. For sufficiently high event statistics and sufficiently low individual event measurement error (relative to the scale of population features) a kernel density estimator (KDE) reconstruction of the event distribution will be accurate. We improve the accuracy and flexibility of KDE for finite event statistics using an adaptive bandwidth KDE (awKDE). We apply awKDE to publicly released parameter estimates for 44 significant (69) BH binary mergers in GWTC-2 (GWTC-3), in combination with a fast polynomial fit of search sensitivity, to obtain a non-parametric estimate of the mass distribution, and compare to Bayesian hierarchical methods. We also demonstrate a robust peak detection algorithm based on awKDE and use it to calculate the significance of the apparent peak in the BH mass distribution around $35\, M_\odot$. We find such a peak is very unlikely to have occurred if the true distribution is a featureless power-law (significance of $3.6\sigma$ for confident GWTC-2 BBH events, $3.0\sigma$ for confident GWTC-3 BBH events).

gr-qc

General-relativistic precession in a black-hole binary

The general-relativistic phenomenon of spin-induced orbital precession has not yet been observed in strong-field gravity. Gravitational-wave observations of binary black holes (BBHs) are prime candidates, since we expect the astrophysical binary population to contain precessing binaries. Imprints of precession have been investigated in several signals, but no definitive identification of orbital precession has been reported in any one of the 84 BBH observations to date by the Advanced LIGO and Virgo detectors. Here we report the measurement of strong-field precession in the LIGO-Virgo-Kagra (LVK) gravitational-wave signal GW200129. The binary's orbit precesses at a rate ten orders of magnitude faster than previous weak-field measurements from binary pulsars. We also find that the primary black hole is likely highly spinning. According to current binary population estimates a GW200129-like signal is extremely unlikely, and therefore presents a direct challenge to many current binary formation models.

gr-qc

Hybrid waveforms for generic precessing binaries for gravitational-wave data analysis

We construct hybrid binary black holes merger waveforms using analytical model waveforms for the early inspiral phase and numerical relativity waveforms for late inspiral to merger and post merger phases. To hybridize analytical and numerical waveforms, we first perform a 3-dimensional rotation to align the instantaneous orbital planes associated with the two waveforms at some fiducial frequency, we then find appropriate phase and time translations that maximize the overlap of the two waveforms in a hybridization interval. We discuss the accuracy and limitations for hybrids constructed by this procedure in the context of LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA observations. Our goal is to hybridize waveforms for more generic precessing binaries and construct longer waveforms that are sufficiently accurate for the parameter estimation techniques for upcoming LIGO observations.

gr-qc

Comparing an analytical spacetime metric for a merging binary to a fully nonlinear numerical evolution using curvature scalars

We introduce a new geometrically invariant prescription for comparing two different spacetimes based on geodesic deviation. We use this method to compare a family of recently introduced analytical spacetime representing inspiraling black-hole binaries to fully nonlinear numerical solutions to the Einstein equations. Our method can be used to improve analytical spacetime models by providing a local measure of the effects that violations of the Einstein equations will have on timelike geodesics, and indirectly, gas dynamics. We also discuss the advantages and limitations of this method.

gr-qc