arXiv subjects

James D. Wells

Publications and source records attributed to James D. Wells.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Reheating Bounds from Thermal GUT Monopole Production

Magnetic monopoles are a generic prediction of Grand Unified Theories (GUTs) that are in tension with modern cosmological and observational bounds. In this paper, we calculate the present-day abundance of GUT monopoles produced thermally in the early Universe. We improve on previous calculations by accounting for full relativistic corrections to the thermal abundance and enhanced monopole annihilation due to the emission of radiation and scattering off massive gauge bosons, the Standard Model fermions and their superpartners. To obtain a present-day energy density less than that of dark matter, we show that the reheating temperature of the Universe, $T_{\rm RH}$, must be less than $0.55$ times the GUT symmetry breaking scale $T_{\rm GUT}$ for the canonical 't Hooft-Polyakov monopole mass. Accounting for Parker bounds on the present-day magnetic monopole abundance, the bound is tightened to $T_{\text{RH}}/T_{\text{GUT}} \lesssim 0.45$. Furthermore, experimental bounds from Super-Kamiokande require $T_{\text{RH}}/T_{\text{GUT}} \lesssim 0.35$ in our scenario.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2026

Dark Monopoles, Bounds on Hidden Sectors, and Cosmological Implications

Hidden sectors are a generic prediction of string theory compactifications and result in a promising landscape for dark matter model building. We consider the case of hidden sector magnetic monopoles produced via a thermal phase transition in the early Universe and subsequently diluted by pair annihilation. We show that for symmetry-breaking scales $\gtrsim 100\, \text{PeV}$, the monopole abundance is unacceptably high, overclosing the Universe. Our bounds are robust against variations in the initial fraction of energy density deposited in the hidden sector, exhibiting only a weak power-law dependence on this quantity. The bound is substantially tightened in the case of multiple hidden sectors. The standard cosmology may only be recovered if one of the following is true: the hidden sector(s) are non-existent, the hidden sectors have no monopoles with symmetry-breaking scale above 100 PeV, the maximum temperature of each monopole-producing hidden sector after reheating is below its symmetry-breaking scale, or the monopole abundance is diluted during a period of early matter domination.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2026

Polydoxon Transformations and Scientific Reward in Physics

We develop a descriptive account of scientific reward in physics based on the concept of the time-dependent Polydoxon, defined as the structured set of empirically viable theories at a given time. We argue that highly rewarded contributions, such as those recognized by major prizes and professional honors, can be systematically understood as those that transform this space. These transformations take the form of expansion (adding viable theories), contraction (eliminating viable theories), reconfiguration (illuminating deeper structures and relations within and between theories), and enabling moves (methodological or technological advances that enable future transformations). The analysis is further refined by emphasizing that reward correlates with the transformation's magnitude, assessed along dimensions of scope, centrality, depth, and future leverage. This framework reframes the analysis of rewarded achievement away from isolated theoretical successes and toward the dynamics of a landscape of viable theories, providing a more unified descriptive interpretation of rewarded scientific activity in physics across its diverse set of theoretical and experimental discoveries.

physics.hist-ph↗

arXiv2026

The Intrinsic and Extrinsic Hierarchy Problems

The Hierarchy Problem of elementary particle physics can be divided into two separate problems: the Intrinsic and Extrinsic Hierarchy Problems. The Intrinsic Hierarchy Problem (IHP) arises when the Wilsonian renormalization group induces a large $Λ_{\rm UV}^2$ cutoff dependence on a much lighter scalar mass, creating a large finetuning. The Extrinsic Hierarchy Problem (EHP) arises when the IR theory is augmented with generically assumed extra states and interactions in the UV, making the resulting IR effective theory appear highly finetuned. The IHP is straightforward to analyze within a theory, but has suspicious regulator dependence, which has been suggested by some to be indication of a faux problem. The EHP is less straightforward to analyze, but has strength of physical intuition. We analyze EHP as a formal paradox, spelling out its premises and reasoning. From this we classify solutions to the EHP in terms of premise violations, and we articulate why some purported solutions to the Hierarchy Problem only partially solve the IHP and leave the EHP unaddressed.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2025

Chasing higgsino dark matter at colliders in the neutrino fog era

Higgsinos can be the lightest supersymmetric particles, allowing for either a full or partial dark matter interpretation, with the correct thermal freeze-out abundance obtained for masses near 1.1 TeV. Dark matter direct detection experimental results, now rapidly approaching the neutrino fog, imposes increasingly stringent requirements on higgsino purity. We begin by summarizing the purity constraints implied by the current strong limits from the LUX-ZEPLIN experiment in 2024, presenting them as lower bounds on gaugino masses in scenarios with decoupled sfermions and heavy Higgs bosons. We further quantify how these constraints will evolve as direct detection approaches various neutrino fog discovery and exclusion definitions and future exclusion projections. Finally, given that nearly pure higgsinos remain notoriously challenging to probe directly at colliders, we explore complementary signatures in which higgsinos are produced from the decays of heavier superpartners, where additional leptons and jets can be used for triggering. In particular, we advocate for searches of stop and wino pairs decaying directly to higgsinos as a promising means to probe higgsino dark matter well into the neutrino fog era.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2025

A sensitivity target for an impactful Higgs boson self coupling measurement

We argue that a measurement of the Higgs boson self-coupling becomes particularly meaningful in a large and important class of theories when its sensitivity is within 40\% of its Standard Model value. This constitutes a target for a future impactful experimental achievement. It is derived from recently obtained results of how extreme the differences can be between effective field theory operator coefficients when their origins are from reasonable custodial-violating theories beyond the Standard Model.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2024

Nuclear Reactor Safeguarding with Neutrino Detection for MOX Loading Verification

The resurgence of interest in nuclear power around the world highlights the importance of effective methods to safeguard against nuclear proliferation. Many powerful safeguarding techniques have been developed and are currently employed, but new approaches are needed to address proliferation challenges from emerging advanced reactor designs and fuel cycles. Building on prior work that demonstrated monitoring of nuclear reactor operation using neutrino detectors, we develop and present a simple quantitative statistical test suitable for analysis of measured reactor neutrino data and demonstrate its efficacy in a semi-cooperative reactor monitoring scenario. In this approach, a moderate-sized neutrino detector is placed near the reactor site to help monitor possible MOX fuel diversion independent of inspection-based monitoring. We take advantage of differing time-dependent neutrino count rates during the operating cycle of a reactor core to monitor any deviations of measurements from expectations given a declared fuel composition. For a five-ton idealized detector placed 25m away from a hypothetical 3565 MWth reactor, the statistical test is capable of detecting the diversion of ~80kg plutonium at the 95% confidence level 90% of the time over a 540-day observation period.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2024

A Bayesian Model of Credence in Low Energy Supersymmetry

We carry out a quantitative Bayesian analysis of the evolution of credences in low energy supersymmetry (SUSY) in light of the most relevant empirical data. The analysis is based on the assumption that observers apply principles of optimism or pessimism about theory building in a coherent way. On this basis, we provide a rough assessment of the current range of plausible credences in low energy SUSY and determine in which way LHC data changes those credences. For observers who had been optimistic about low energy SUSY before the LHC, the method reports that LHC data does lead to decreased credences in accordance with intuition. The decrease is moderate, however, and keeps posteriors at very substantial levels. The analysis further establishes that a very high but not yet indefensible degree of pessimism regarding the success chances of theory building still results in quite significant credences in GUT and low energy SUSY for the time right before the start of the LHC. The pessimist's credence in low energy SUSY remains nearly unchanged once LHC data is taken into account.

physics.hist-ph↗

arXiv2023

Science et politique aux Etats-Unis

Invited presentation on issues at the intersection of science and politics in the United States, delivered at the 150 year anniversary of the French Physical Society on the 6th of July 2023 in Paris.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2023

Precision unification and the scale of supersymmetry

In this letter, we study the implications of precise gauge coupling unification on supersymmetric particle masses. We argue that precise unification favors the superpartner masses that are in the range of several TeV and well beyond. We demonstrate this in the minimal supersymmetric theory with a common sparticle mass threshold, and two simple high-scale scenarios: minimal supergravity and minimal anomaly-mediated supersymmetry. We also identify candidate models with a Higgsino or a wino dark matter candidate. Finally, the analysis shows unambiguously that unless one takes foggy naturalness notions too seriously, the lack of direct superpartner discoveries at the LHC has not diminished the viability of supersymmetric unified theories in general nor even precision unification in particular.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2023

Statistical significances and projections for proton decay experiments

We study the statistical significances for exclusion and discovery of proton decay at current and future neutrino detectors. Various counterintuitive flaws associated with frequentist and modified frequentist statistical measures of significance for multi-channel counting experiments are discussed in a general context and illustrated with examples. We argue in favor of conservative Bayesian-motivated statistical measures, and as an application we employ these measures to obtain the current lower limits on proton partial lifetime at various confidence levels, based on Super-Kamiokande's data, generalizing the 90\% CL published limits. Finally, we present projections for exclusion and discovery reaches for proton partial lifetimes in $p \rightarrow \overline νK^+$ and $p \rightarrow e^+ π^0$ decay channels at Hyper-Kamiokande, DUNE, JUNO, and THEIA.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2023

The depleted Higgs boson: searches for universal coupling suppression, invisible decays, and mixed-in scalars

Two simple ways by which the standard signals of the Standard Model Higgs boson can be depleted are: its couplings to fermions and gauge bosons can be suppressed by a universal factor, and part of its branching fraction can be drained into invisible final states. A large class of theories can impose one or both of these depletion factors, even if mild, by way of additional scalar bosons that are singlets under the Standard Model but mix with the Higgs boson. We perform a comprehensive survey of the present status of the depleted Higgs boson, and discuss future prospects for detecting the presence of either depletion factor. We also survey the constraints status and future detection prospects for the generic case of extra mixed-in scalars which generically lead to these depletion factors for the Higgs boson. We find, for example, that precision study of the Higgs boson in many cases is more powerful than searches for the extra scalar states, given the slate of next-generation experiments that are on the horizon.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2022

Discovery potential for split supersymmetry with thermal dark matter

Supersymmetric extensions of the Standard Model with scalar superpartners above 10 TeV are well motivated since the Higgs boson mass can be explained by quantum corrections while maintaining gauge coupling unification. If supersymmetry breaking is transmitted to gauginos via anomaly mediation, the gaugino masses are loop suppressed compared to scalar masses, and the lightest supersymmetric particle is the Higgsino or wino, which can be the dark matter. In this setup, we identify the regions of parameter space that reproduce the observed Higgs boson mass and the thermal abundance of dark matter. We analyze the effects of complex phases in the gaugino mass parameters on the electron electric dipole moment (EDM) and the dark matter scattering cross section. We find that, for scalar masses up to 10 PeV and any size of the complex phases, the model with Higgsino dark matter is within reach of planned experiments -- Advanced ACME via electron EDM and LUX-ZEPLIN via dark matter direct detection -- with complementary discovery potentials, and the model with wino dark matter is within reach of future electron EDM experiments.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2022

Comparing Machine Learning and Interpolation Methods for Loop-Level Calculations

The need to approximate functions is ubiquitous in science, either due to empirical constraints or high computational cost of accessing the function. In high-energy physics, the precise computation of the scattering cross-section of a process requires the evaluation of computationally intensive integrals. A wide variety of methods in machine learning have been used to tackle this problem, but often the motivation of using one method over another is lacking. Comparing these methods is typically highly dependent on the problem at hand, so we specify to the case where we can evaluate the function a large number of times, after which quick and accurate evaluation can take place. We consider four interpolation and three machine learning techniques and compare their performance on three toy functions, the four-point scalar Passarino-Veltman $D_0$ function, and the two-loop self-energy master integral $M$. We find that in low dimensions ($d = 3$), traditional interpolation techniques like the Radial Basis Function perform very well, but in higher dimensions ($d=5, 6, 9$) we find that multi-layer perceptrons (a.k.a neural networks) do not suffer as much from the curse of dimensionality and provide the fastest and most accurate predictions.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2021

Evaluation and Utility of Wilsonian Naturalness

We demonstrate that many Naturalness tests of particle theories discussed in the literature can be reformulated as straightforward algorithmic finetuning assessments in the matching of Wilsonian effective theories above and below particle mass thresholds. Implications of this EFT formulation of Wilsonian Naturalness are discussed for several theories, including the Standard Model, heavy singlet scalar theory, supersymmetry, Grand Unified Theories, twin Higgs theories, and theories of extra dimensions. We argue that the Wilsonian Naturalness algorithm presented here constitutes an unambiguous, a priori, and meaningful test that the Standard Model passes and which "the next good theory" of particle physics is very likely to pass.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2021

The Race to Find Split Higgsino Dark Matter

Split higgsinos are a compelling class of models to explain dark matter and may be on the verge of detection by multiple current experimental avenues. The idea is based on a large split in scales between the electroweak scale and decoupled scalars, with relatively light higgsinos between the two. Such models enjoy the merit of depending on very few parameters while still explaining gauge coupling unification, dark matter, and most of the hierarchy between the Planck and electroweak scales, and they remain undetected by past experiments. We analyze split higgsinos in view of current and next generation experiments. We discuss the direct and indirect detection prospects and further demonstrate promising discovery potentials in the upcoming electron electric dipole moment experiments. The parameter space of this model is analyzed in terms of experiments expected to run in the coming years and where we should be looking for the next potential discoveries.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2021

Comments on Brane Recombination, Finite Flux Vacua, and the Swampland

The Swampland program relies heavily on the conjecture that there can only be a finite number of flux vacua (FFV conjecture). Stipulating this FFV conjecture and applying it to some older work in flux vacua construction we show that within a patch of the landscape the FFV conjecture makes predictions on the non-existence of otherwise viable non-perturbative objects arising from brane recombination. Future gains in direct non-perturbative analysis could therefore not only test this prediction but also test portions of the Swampland program itself. We also discuss implications of a weaker FFV conjecture on the counting of flux vacua which predicts positivity of the brane central charge if the EFT analysis is to be qualitatively trusted.

hep-th↗

arXiv2021

ILC Study Questions for Snowmass 2021

To aid contributions to the Snowmass 2021 US Community Study on physics at the International Linear Collider and other proposed $e^+e^-$ colliders, we present a list of study questions that could be the basis of useful Snowmass projects. We accompany this with links to references and resources on $e^+e^-$ physics, and a description of a new software framework that we are preparing for $e^+e^-$ studies at Snowmass.

hep-ph↗