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Jan Drgona

Publications and source records attributed to Jan Drgona.

34 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Extreme Risk Mitigation in Reinforcement Learning using Extreme Value Theory

Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RL) has garnered significant attention in recent years due to the growing interest in deploying RL agents in real-world scenarios. A critical aspect of risk awareness involves modeling highly rare risk events (rewards) that could potentially lead to catastrophic outcomes. These infrequent occurrences present a formidable challenge for data-driven methods aiming to capture such risky events accurately. While risk-aware RL techniques do exist, their level of risk aversion heavily relies on the precision of the state-action value function estimation when modeling these rare occurrences. Our work proposes to enhance the resilience of RL agents when faced with very rare and risky events by focusing on refining the predictions of the extreme values predicted by the state-action value function distribution. To achieve this, we formulate the extreme values of the state-action value function distribution as parameterized distributions, drawing inspiration from the principles of extreme value theory (EVT). This approach effectively addresses the issue of infrequent occurrence by leveraging EVT-based parameterization. Importantly, we theoretically demonstrate the advantages of employing these parameterized distributions in contrast to other risk-averse algorithms. Our evaluations show that the proposed method outperforms other risk averse RL algorithms on a diverse range of benchmark tasks, each encompassing distinct risk scenarios.

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Power Grid Behavioral Patterns and Risks of Generalization in Applied Machine Learning

Recent years have seen a rich literature of data-driven approaches designed for power grid applications. However, insufficient consideration of domain knowledge can impose a high risk to the practicality of the methods. Specifically, ignoring the grid-specific spatiotemporal patterns (in load, generation, and topology, etc.) can lead to outputting infeasible, unrealizable, or completely meaningless predictions on new inputs. To address this concern, this paper investigates real-world operational data to provide insights into power grid behavioral patterns, including the time-varying topology, load, and generation, as well as the spatial differences (in peak hours, diverse styles) between individual loads and generations. Then based on these observations, we evaluate the generalization risks in some existing ML works causedby ignoring these grid-specific patterns in model design and training.

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Machine Learning for Smart and Energy-Efficient Buildings

Energy consumption in buildings, both residential and commercial, accounts for approximately 40% of all energy usage in the U.S., and similar numbers are being reported from countries around the world. This significant amount of energy is used to maintain a comfortable, secure, and productive environment for the occupants. So, it is crucial that the energy consumption in buildings must be optimized, all the while maintaining satisfactory levels of occupant comfort, health, and safety. Recently, Machine Learning has been proven to be an invaluable tool in deriving important insights from data and optimizing various systems. In this work, we review the ways in which machine learning has been leveraged to make buildings smart and energy-efficient. For the convenience of readers, we provide a brief introduction of several machine learning paradigms and the components and functioning of each smart building system we cover. Finally, we discuss challenges faced while implementing machine learning algorithms in smart buildings and provide future avenues for research at the intersection of smart buildings and machine learning.

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Differentiable Predictive Control with Safety Guarantees: A Control Barrier Function Approach

We develop a novel form of differentiable predictive control (DPC) with safety and robustness guarantees based on control barrier functions. DPC is an unsupervised learning-based method for obtaining approximate solutions to explicit model predictive control (MPC) problems. In DPC, the predictive control policy parametrized by a neural network is optimized offline via direct policy gradients obtained by automatic differentiation of the MPC problem. The proposed approach exploits a new form of sampled-data barrier function to enforce offline and online safety requirements in DPC settings while only interrupting the neural network-based controller near the boundary of the safe set. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated in simulation.

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Structural Inference of Networked Dynamical Systems with Universal Differential Equations

Networked dynamical systems are common throughout science in engineering; e.g., biological networks, reaction networks, power systems, and the like. For many such systems, nonlinearity drives populations of identical (or near-identical) units to exhibit a wide range of nontrivial behaviors, such as the emergence of coherent structures (e.g., waves and patterns) or otherwise notable dynamics (e.g., synchrony and chaos). In this work, we seek to infer (i) the intrinsic physics of a base unit of a population, (ii) the underlying graphical structure shared between units, and (iii) the coupling physics of a given networked dynamical system given observations of nodal states. These tasks are formulated around the notion of the Universal Differential Equation, whereby unknown dynamical systems can be approximated with neural networks, mathematical terms known a priori (albeit with unknown parameterizations), or combinations of the two. We demonstrate the value of these inference tasks by investigating not only future state predictions but also the inference of system behavior on varied network topologies. The effectiveness and utility of these methods is shown with their application to canonical networked nonlinear coupled oscillators.

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Dissipative Deep Neural Dynamical Systems

In this paper, we provide sufficient conditions for dissipativity and local asymptotic stability of discrete-time dynamical systems parametrized by deep neural networks. We leverage the representation of neural networks as pointwise affine maps, thus exposing their local linear operators and making them accessible to classical system analytic and design methods. This allows us to "crack open the black box" of the neural dynamical system's behavior by evaluating their dissipativity, and estimating their stationary points and state-space partitioning. We relate the norms of these local linear operators to the energy stored in the dissipative system with supply rates represented by their aggregate bias terms. Empirically, we analyze the variance in dynamical behavior and eigenvalue spectra of these local linear operators with varying weight factorizations, activation functions, bias terms, and depths.

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Data-driven Stabilization of Discrete-time Control-affine Nonlinear Systems: A Koopman Operator Approach

In recent years data-driven analysis of dynamical systems has attracted a lot of attention and transfer operator techniques, namely, Perron-Frobenius and Koopman operators are being used almost ubiquitously. Since data is always obtained in discrete-time, in this paper, we propose a purely data-driven approach for the design of a stabilizing feedback control law for a general class of discrete-time control-affine non-linear systems. In particular, we use the Koopman operator to lift a control-affine system to a higher-dimensional space, where the control system's evolution is bilinear. We analyze the controllability of the lifted bilinear system and relate it to the controllability of the underlying non-linear system. We then leverage the concept of Control Lyapunov Function (CLF) to design a state feedback law that stabilizes the origin. Furthermore, we demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed method to stabilize the origin of the Van der Pol oscillator and the chaotic Henon map from the time-series data.

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Neuro-physical dynamic load modeling using differentiable parametric optimization

In this work, we investigate a data-driven approach for obtaining a reduced equivalent load model of distribution systems for electromechanical transient stability analysis. The proposed reduced equivalent is a neuro-physical model comprising of a traditional ZIP load model augmented with a neural network. This neuro-physical model is trained through differentiable programming. We discuss the formulation, modeling details, and training of the proposed model set up as a differential parametric program. The performance and accuracy of this neurophysical ZIP load model is presented on a medium-scale 350-bus transmission-distribution network.

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Koopman-based Differentiable Predictive Control for the Dynamics-Aware Economic Dispatch Problem

The dynamics-aware economic dispatch (DED) problem embeds low-level generator dynamics and operational constraints to enable near real-time scheduling of generation units in a power network. DED produces a more dynamic supervisory control policy than traditional economic dispatch (T-ED) that leads to reduced overall generation costs. However, the incorporation of differential equations that govern the system dynamics makes DED an optimization problem that is computationally prohibitive to solve. In this work, we present a new data-driven approach based on differentiable programming to efficiently obtain parametric solutions to the underlying DED problem. In particular, we employ the recently proposed differentiable predictive control (DPC) for offline learning of explicit neural control policies using an identified Koopman operator (KO) model of the power system dynamics. We demonstrate the high solution quality and five orders of magnitude computational-time savings of the DPC method over the original online optimization-based DED approach on a 9-bus test power grid network.

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Learning Constrained Adaptive Differentiable Predictive Control Policies With Guarantees

We present differentiable predictive control (DPC), a method for learning constrained neural control policies for linear systems with probabilistic performance guarantees. We employ automatic differentiation to obtain direct policy gradients by backpropagating the model predictive control (MPC) loss function and constraints penalties through a differentiable closed-loop system dynamics model. We demonstrate that the proposed method can learn parametric constrained control policies to stabilize systems with unstable dynamics, track time-varying references, and satisfy nonlinear state and input constraints. In contrast with imitation learning-based approaches, our method does not depend on a supervisory controller. Most importantly, we demonstrate that, without losing performance, our method is scalable and computationally more efficient than implicit, explicit, and approximate MPC. Under review at IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control.

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Deep Learning Alternative to Explicit Model Predictive Control for Unknown Nonlinear Systems

We present differentiable predictive control (DPC) as a deep learning-based alternative to the explicit model predictive control (MPC) for unknown nonlinear systems. In the DPC framework, a neural state-space model is learned from time-series measurements of the system dynamics. The neural control policy is then optimized via stochastic gradient descent approach by differentiating the MPC loss function through the closed-loop system dynamics model. The proposed DPC method learns model-based control policies with state and input constraints, while supporting time-varying references and constraints. In embedded implementation using a Raspberry-Pi platform, we experimentally demonstrate that it is possible to train constrained control policies purely based on the measurements of the unknown nonlinear system. We compare the control performance of the DPC method against explicit MPC and report efficiency gains in online computational demands, memory requirements, policy complexity, and construction time. In particular, we show that our method scales linearly compared to exponential scalability of the explicit MPC solved via multiparametric programming.

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Deep Learning Explicit Differentiable Predictive Control Laws for Buildings

We present a differentiable predictive control (DPC) methodology for learning constrained control laws for unknown nonlinear systems. DPC poses an approximate solution to multiparametric programming problems emerging from explicit nonlinear model predictive control (MPC). Contrary to approximate MPC, DPC does not require supervision by an expert controller. Instead, a system dynamics model is learned from the observed system's dynamics, and the neural control law is optimized offline by leveraging the differentiable closed-loop system model. The combination of a differentiable closed-loop system and penalty methods for constraint handling of system outputs and inputs allows us to optimize the control law's parameters directly by backpropagating economic MPC loss through the learned system model. The control performance of the proposed DPC method is demonstrated in simulation using learned model of multi-zone building thermal dynamics.

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Constrained Block Nonlinear Neural Dynamical Models

Neural network modules conditioned by known priors can be effectively trained and combined to represent systems with nonlinear dynamics. This work explores a novel formulation for data-efficient learning of deep control-oriented nonlinear dynamical models by embedding local model structure and constraints. The proposed method consists of neural network blocks that represent input, state, and output dynamics with constraints placed on the network weights and system variables. For handling partially observable dynamical systems, we utilize a state observer neural network to estimate the states of the system's latent dynamics. We evaluate the performance of the proposed architecture and training methods on system identification tasks for three nonlinear systems: a continuous stirred tank reactor, a two tank interacting system, and an aerodynamics body. Models optimized with a few thousand system state observations accurately represent system dynamics in open loop simulation over thousands of time steps from a single set of initial conditions. Experimental results demonstrate an order of magnitude reduction in open-loop simulation mean squared error for our constrained, block-structured neural models when compared to traditional unstructured and unconstrained neural network models.

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Physics-Informed Neural State Space Models via Learning and Evolution

Recent works exploring deep learning application to dynamical systems modeling have demonstrated that embedding physical priors into neural networks can yield more effective, physically-realistic, and data-efficient models. However, in the absence of complete prior knowledge of a dynamical system's physical characteristics, determining the optimal structure and optimization strategy for these models can be difficult. In this work, we explore methods for discovering neural state space dynamics models for system identification. Starting with a design space of block-oriented state space models and structured linear maps with strong physical priors, we encode these components into a model genome alongside network structure, penalty constraints, and optimization hyperparameters. Demonstrating the overall utility of the design space, we employ an asynchronous genetic search algorithm that alternates between model selection and optimization and obtains accurate physically consistent models of three physical systems: an aerodynamics body, a continuous stirred tank reactor, and a two tank interacting system.

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Physics-constrained Deep Learning of Multi-zone Building Thermal Dynamics

We present a physics-constrained control-oriented deep learning method for modeling building thermal dynamics. The proposed method is based on the systematic encoding of physics-based prior knowledge into a structured recurrent neural architecture. Specifically, our method incorporates structural priors from traditional physics-based building modeling into the neural network thermal dynamics model structure. Further, we leverage penalty methods to provide inequality constraints, thereby bounding predictions within physically realistic and safe operating ranges. Observing that stable eigenvalues accurately characterize the dissipativeness of the system, we additionally use a constrained matrix parameterization based on the Perron-Frobenius theorem to bound the dominant eigenvalues of the building thermal model parameter matrices. We demonstrate the proposed data-driven modeling approach's effectiveness and physical interpretability on a dataset obtained from a real-world office building with 20 thermal zones. Using only 10 days' measurements for training, we demonstrate generalization over 20 consecutive days, significantly improving the accuracy compared to prior state-of-the-art results reported in the literature.

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Constrained Neural Ordinary Differential Equations with Stability Guarantees

Differential equations are frequently used in engineering domains, such as modeling and control of industrial systems, where safety and performance guarantees are of paramount importance. Traditional physics-based modeling approaches require domain expertise and are often difficult to tune or adapt to new systems. In this paper, we show how to model discrete ordinary differential equations (ODE) with algebraic nonlinearities as deep neural networks with varying degrees of prior knowledge. We derive the stability guarantees of the network layers based on the implicit constraints imposed on the weight's eigenvalues. Moreover, we show how to use barrier methods to generically handle additional inequality constraints. We demonstrate the prediction accuracy of learned neural ODEs evaluated on open-loop simulations compared to ground truth dynamics with bi-linear terms.

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