arXiv subjects

Jan Rombouts

Publications and source records attributed to Jan Rombouts.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

A stable hothouse triggered by a tipping mechanism

The climate system's nonlinear dynamics is influenced by various external forcings and internal feedbacks that can give rise to regional and even global tipping points that may lead to significant and potentially irreversible changes. Paleoclimatic records reveal that Earth's climate has shifted between distinct equlibria, including a "hothouse Earth" state with temperatures about 10 K higher than present. However, a specific mechanism for a sudden tipping to an alternate stable state, several degrees warmer than the present climate, has yet to be presented. We introduce a temperature-carbon-vegetation (TCV) model comprising an energy balance model of global temperature, coupled with global terrestrial and ocean CO2 dynamics, and with vegetation ecosystem change. Our model exhibits a new tipping mechanism that leads to a hothouse Earth under a high-emissions scenario. Its simulations align with both observations and IPCC-class global climate models prior to tipping. The two processes that produce global tipping are: (i) temperature-albedo feedback due to darkening of the terrestrial cryosphere by glacial microalgae; and (ii) limits to vegetation adaptation that lead to reduced carbon absorption.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2025

System size and boundaries determine the patterning dynamics of attracting active particles

Pattern formation often occurs in confined systems, yet how boundaries shape patterning dynamics is unclear. We develop techniques to analyze confinement effects in nonlocal advection-diffusion equations, which generically capture the collective dynamics of active self-attracting particles. We identify a sequence of size-controlled transitions that generate characteristic slow modes, leading to exponential increase of patterning timescales. Experimental measurements of multicellular dynamics confirm our predictions.

nlin.PS↗

arXiv2021

Modelling railway delay propagation as diffusion-like spreading

Railway systems form an important means of transport across the world. However, congestions or disruptions may significantly decrease these systems' efficiencies, making predicting and understanding the resulting train delays a priority for railway organisations. Delays are studied in a wide variety of models, which usually simulate trains as discrete agents carrying delays. In contrast, in this paper, we define a novel model for studying delays, where they spread across the railway network via a diffusion-like process. This type of modelling has various advantages such as quick computation and ease of applying various statistical tools like spectral methods, but it also comes with limitations related to the directional and discrete nature of delays and the trains carrying them. We apply the model to the Belgian railways and study its performance in simulating the delay propagation in severely disrupted railway situations. In particular, we discuss the role of spatial aggregation by proposing to cluster the Belgian railway system into sets of stations and adapt the model accordingly. We find that such aggregation significantly increases the model's performance. For some particular situations, a non-trivial optimal level of spatial resolution is found on which the model performs best. Our results show the potential of this type of delay modelling to understand large-scale properties of railway systems.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2021

Analytical approximations for the speed of pacemaker-generated waves

In an oscillatory medium, a region which oscillates faster than its surroundings can act as a source of outgoing waves. Such pacemaker-generated waves can synchronize the whole medium and are present in many chemical and biological systems, where they are a means of transmitting information at a fixed speed over large distances. In this paper, we apply analytical tools to investigate the factors that determine the speed of these waves. More precisely, we apply singular perturbation and phase reduction methods to two types of negative-feedback oscillators, one built on underlying bistability and one including a time delay in the negative feedback. In both systems, we investigate the influence of timescale separation on the resulting wave speed, as well as the effect of size and frequency of the pacemaker region. We compare our analytical estimates to numerical simulations which we described previously [1].

nlin.PS↗