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Jann M. Weinand

Publications and source records attributed to Jann M. Weinand.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

Probabilistic Identification of Technology Tipping Points in Deeply Decarbonised Energy Systems

Energy policy is often guided by a small set of least-cost pathways to net-zero emissions, despite wide uncertainty in technology performance, fuel prices, demand and weather. To avoid overstating confidence in any single pathway, we quantify the likelihood of alternative technology pathways and identify the assumptions driving divergence, including the conditions under which technologies reach critical tipping points in competitiveness. We couple a sector-linked national optimisation model with Monte Carlo sampling (10,000 runs) across two European power systems (Germany and Great Britain) to generate probability distributions of capacity expansion and robust cost thresholds for key technologies. Results reveal substantial ambiguity in the future roles of wind versus solar, gas with carbon capture, and negative-emissions options. Tipping points vary widely with system conditions, while cross-country differences highlight the role of institutional constraints and resource endowments. Britain exhibits an either-or decision around nuclear power, investing if costs in 2035 fall below EUR 4700/kW, otherwise favouring offshore wind. Germany's uncertainty centres on dispatchable low-carbon options: gas with carbon capture (below EUR 2100/kW), biomass with carbon capture (below EUR 4200/kW), or hydrogen if electrolysis is below EUR 560/kW. We reframe scenario analysis as risk management by linking uncertainty to cost targets and minimum deployment requirements for robust net-zero strategies.

econ.GN↗

Large-Scale Linear Energy System Optimization: A Systematic Review on Parallelization Strategies via Decomposition

As renewable energy integration, sector coupling, and spatiotemporal detail increase, energy system optimization models grow in size and complexity, often pushing solvers to their performance limits. This systematic review explores parallelization strategies that can address these challenges. We first propose a classification scheme for linear energy system optimization models, covering their analytical focus, mathematical structure, and scope. We then review parallel decomposition methods, finding that while many offer performance benefits, no single approach is universally superior. The lack of standardized benchmark suites further complicates comparison. To address this, we recommend essential criteria for future benchmarks and minimum reporting standards. We also survey available software tools for parallel decomposition, including modular frameworks and algorithmic abstractions. Though centered on energy system models, our insights extend to the broader operations research field.

math.OC↗

Risks of AI-driven product development and strategies for their mitigation

Humanity is progressing towards automated product development, a trend that promises faster creation of better products and thus the acceleration of technological progress. However, increasing reliance on non-human agents for this process introduces many risks. This perspective aims to initiate a discussion on these risks and appropriate mitigation strategies. To this end, we outline a set of principles for safer AI-driven product development which emphasize human oversight, accountability, and explainable design, among others. The risk assessment covers both technical risks which affect product quality and safety, and sociotechnical risks which affect society. While AI-driven product development is still in its early stages, this discussion will help balance its opportunities and risks without delaying essential progress in understanding, norm-setting, and regulation.

cs.CY↗

Spatially Disaggregated Energy Consumption and Emissions in End-use Sectors for Germany and Spain

High-resolution energy consumption and emissions datasets are essential for localized policy-making, resource optimization, and climate action planning. They enable municipalities to monitor mitigation strategies and foster engagement among governments, businesses, and communities. However, smaller municipalities often face data limitations that hinder tailored climate strategies. This study generates detailed final energy consumption and emissions data at the local administrative level for Germany and Spain. Using national datasets, we apply spatial disaggregation techniques with open data sources. A key innovation is the application of XGBoost for imputing missing data, combined with a stepwise spatial disaggregation process incorporating district- and province-level statistics. Prioritizing reproducibility, our open-data approach provides a scalable framework for municipalities to develop actionable climate plans. To ensure transparency, we assess the reliability of imputed values and assign confidence ratings to the disaggregated data.

cs.DB↗

Wiki-Quantities and Wiki-Measurements: Datasets of Quantities and their Measurement Context from Wikipedia

To cope with the large number of publications, more and more researchers are automatically extracting data of interest using natural language processing methods based on supervised learning. Much data, especially in the natural and engineering sciences, is quantitative, but there is a lack of datasets for identifying quantities and their context in text. To address this issue, we present two large datasets based on Wikipedia and Wikidata: Wiki-Quantities is a dataset consisting of over 1.2 million annotated quantities in the English-language Wikipedia. Wiki-Measurements is a dataset of 38,738 annotated quantities in the English-language Wikipedia along with their respective measured entity, property, and optional qualifiers. Manual validation of 100 samples each of Wiki-Quantities and Wiki-Measurements found 100% and 84-94% correct, respectively. The datasets can be used in pipeline approaches to measurement extraction, where quantities are first identified and then their measurement context. To allow reproduction of this work using newer or different versions of Wikipedia and Wikidata, we publish the code used to create the datasets along with the data.

cs.CL↗

A Metadata-Based Ecosystem to Improve the FAIRness of Research Software

The reuse of research software is central to research efficiency and academic exchange. The application of software enables researchers with varied backgrounds to reproduce, validate, and expand upon study findings. Furthermore, the analysis of open source code aids in the comprehension, comparison, and integration of approaches. Often, however, no further use occurs because relevant software cannot be found or is incompatible with existing research processes. This results in repetitive software development, which impedes the advancement of individual researchers and entire research communities. In this article, the DataDesc ecosystem is presented, an approach to describing data models of software interfaces with detailed and machine-actionable metadata. In addition to a specialized metadata schema, an exchange format and support tools for easy collection and the automated publishing of software documentation are introduced. This approach practically increases the FAIRness, i.e., findability, accessibility, interoperability, and so the reusability of research software, as well as effectively promotes its impact on research.

cs.SE↗

Opportunities for Large Language Models and Discourse in Engineering Design

In recent years, large language models have achieved breakthroughs on a wide range of benchmarks in natural language processing and continue to increase in performance. Recently, the advances of large language models have raised interest outside the natural language processing community and could have a large impact on daily life. In this paper, we pose the question: How will large language models and other foundation models shape the future product development process? We provide the reader with an overview of the subject by summarizing both recent advances in natural language processing and the use of information technology in the engineering design process. We argue that discourse should be regarded as the core of engineering design processes, and therefore should be represented in a digital artifact. On this basis, we describe how foundation models such as large language models could contribute to the design discourse by automating parts thereof that involve creativity and reasoning, and were previously reserved for humans. We describe how simulations, experiments, topology optimizations, and other process steps can be integrated into a machine-actionable, discourse-centric design process. Finally, we outline the future research that will be necessary for the implementation of the conceptualized framework.

cs.CL↗