arXiv subjects

Jaron Lee

Publications and source records attributed to Jaron Lee.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Macaron-V1: Towards Open Continual Learning with Self-Improvement and Mixture-of-LoRA

Macaron-V1 is an open agent-model family for experiential intelligence: learning from experience in real environments and continuing to learn after deployment. It is organized around two system goals. Adaptation is pursued through recursive improvement of versioned model-harness pairs, where experience from one configuration is evaluated under an external contract and used to construct its successor. Collaboration is pursued via the Mixture-of-LoRA (MoL) architecture that freezes a base model, composes specialist LoRA adapters, and selects one LoRA per user turn. The flagship Macaron-V1-Venti (748B) combines a 744B GLM-5.2 base with four LoRAs for chat, agent, coding, and GenUI; the Qwen3.6-35B-based Macaron-V1-Tall (50B) uses the same design for local deployment. This report presents Macaron-V1 as a co-designed system spanning architecture, algorithms, and infrastructure. The MoL architecture supports continual learning through extensible LoRA specialists. The algorithm combines Model-Harness Co-design and recursive self-improvement loop, including the UI4A component-native GenUI harness, a stateful action substrate, versioned Harness Context Protocol contract, and the agentic RL framework MindForge. The supporting infrastructure includes the post-training platform MinT, the long-context RL method LongStraw, and stability techniques for sparse MoE and DSA base models. We evaluate Macaron-V1 on Personal Intelligence, GenUI, and general capability benchmarks against frontier baselines. Our results validate the current system, while compounding gains from continual learning and collective intelligence remain open questions.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Path Dependent Structural Equation Models

Causal analyses of longitudinal data generally assume that the qualitative causal structure relating variables remains invariant over time. In structured systems that transition between qualitatively different states in discrete time steps, such an approach is deficient on two fronts. First, time-varying variables may have state-specific causal relationships that need to be captured. Second, an intervention can result in state transitions downstream of the intervention different from those actually observed in the data. In other words, interventions may counterfactually alter the subsequent temporal evolution of the system. We introduce a generalization of causal graphical models, Path Dependent Structural Equation Models (PDSEMs), that can describe such systems. We show how causal inference may be performed in such models and illustrate its use in simulations and data obtained from a septoplasty surgical procedure.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2020

A Semiparametric Approach to Interpretable Machine Learning

Black box models in machine learning have demonstrated excellent predictive performance in complex problems and high-dimensional settings. However, their lack of transparency and interpretability restrict the applicability of such models in critical decision-making processes. In order to combat this shortcoming, we propose a novel approach to trading off interpretability and performance in prediction models using ideas from semiparametric statistics, allowing us to combine the interpretability of parametric regression models with performance of nonparametric methods. We achieve this by utilizing a two-piece model: the first piece is interpretable and parametric, to which a second, uninterpretable residual piece is added. The performance of the overall model is optimized using methods from the sufficient dimension reduction literature. Influence function based estimators are derived and shown to be doubly robust. This allows for use of approaches such as double Machine Learning in estimating our model parameters. We illustrate the utility of our approach via simulation studies and a data application based on predicting the length of stay in the intensive care unit among surgery patients.

cs.LG↗