SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Jasmina Magdalenic

Publications and source records attributed to Jasmina Magdalenic.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Solar Radio Bursts in the metric to kilometric range

Solar radio bursts (SRBs) are intense emissions observed in radio wavelengths most frequently during solar transients, such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and flares. SRBs are direct signatures of accelerated electrons in the solar atmosphere. These solar transients have a direct impact on the near-Earth atmosphere. SRBs serve as key diagnostic tools for plasma processes, particle accelerations, magnetic field dynamics in the solar corona and the heliosphere, which are the root cause of these solar transients. There are several key science question which solar radio observations can answer, such as: When $\&$ where is the bulk of the energy released in flares?, what are the physical properties of the energy release site?, what are the properties of heated plasma $\&$ accelerated particles?, how does the transport of heated plasma $\&$ accelerated particles?, what bearing do flares have on the question of coronal heating? The Square Kilometre Array (SKA), with its unprecedented sensitivity, temporal, spectral, and spatial resolution, as well as dynamic range, is expected to provide an enhanced understanding of the physics behind solar transients with unprecedented detail.

astro-ph.SR

Coronal electron density: Insights from radio and in situ observations, and EUHFORIA modeling

The distribution of the coronal electron density at different distances from the Sun strongly influences the physical processes in the solar corona and is therefore a very important topic in solar physics. Most methods, including radio observations, used for estimating coronal electron density were not fully validated due to the absence of in situ observations closer to the Sun. Consequently, space weather forecasting models that simulate coronal density lacked proper validation. Newly available PSP in situ observations at distances close to the Sun provide an opportunity to study plasma properties near the Sun and to compare observational and modeling results. This work studies type III bursts, estimates their propagation path, and validates coronal electron density obtained from radio, in situ observations, and modeling with EUHFORIA. Type III bursts observed during the second PSP perihelion are analyzed using radio triangulation and modeling. We determine 3D positions of radio sources and use EUHFORIA to estimate electron densities at various locations. The electron densities derived from radio observations and EUHFORIA modeling are inter-validated with in situ PSP measurements. We studied 11 type III bursts during the second PSP perihelion, with radio triangulation showing propagation paths southward from the solar ecliptic plane. Radio source sizes ranged from 0.5 to 40 deg (0.5 to 25 Rs) with no clear frequency dependence, indicating that scattering of radio waves was not very significant. Comparison of electron densities from radio triangulation, PSP data, and EUHFORIA modeling showed a large range of values, influenced by different propagation paths and model limitations. Despite these variations, EUHFORIA identified high-density regions along type III burst paths.

astro-ph.SR

Clustering Wind data at 1 AU to contextualize magnetic reconnection in the solar wind

Context. Magnetic reconnection events are frequently observed in the solar wind. Understanding the patterns and structures within the solar wind is crucial to put observed magnetic reconnection events into context, since their occurrence rate and properties are likely influenced by solar wind conditions. Aims. We employed unsupervised learning techniques such as self-organizing maps (SOM) and K-Means to cluster and interpret solar wind data at 1 AU for an improved understanding of the conditions that lead to magnetic reconnection in the solar wind. Methods. We collected magnetic field data and proton density, proton temperature, and solar wind speed measurements taken by the Wind spacecraft. After preprocessing the data, we trained a SOM to visualize the high-dimensional data in a lower-dimensional space and applied K-Means clustering to identify distinct clusters within the solar wind data. Results. Our analysis revealed that the reconnection events are distributed across five different clusters: a) slow solar wind, b) compressed slow wind, c) highly Alfvénic wind, d) compressed fast wind, and e) ejecta. Compressed slow and fast wind and ejecta are clusters associated with solar wind transients such as stream interaction regions and interplanetary coronal mass ejections. The majority of the reconnection events are associated with the slow solar wind, followed by the highly Alfvénic wind, compressed slow wind, and compressed fast wind, and a small fraction of the reconnection events are associated with ejecta. Conclusions. Unsupervised learning approaches with SOM and K-Means lead to physically interpretable solar wind clusters based on their transients and allow for the contextualization of magnetic reconnection exhausts' occurrence in the solar wind.

astro-ph.SR

Toroidal modified Miller-Turner CME model in EUHFORIA: II. Validation and comparison with flux rope and spheromak

Rising concerns about the impact of space weather-related disruptions demand modelling and reliable forecasting of coronal mass ejection (CME) impacts. In this study, we demonstrate the application of the modified Miller-Turner (mMT) model implemented in EUropean Heliospheric FORecasting Information Asset (EUHFORIA), to forecast the geo-effectiveness of observed coronal mass ejection (CME) events in the heliosphere. The goal is to develop a model that not only has a global geometry to improve overall forecasting but is also fast enough for operational space weather forecasting. We test the original full torus implementation and introduce a new three-fourth Torus version called the Horseshoe CME model. This new model has a more realistic CME geometry, and it overcomes the inaccuracies of the full torus geometry. We constrain the torus geometrical and magnetic field parameters using observed signatures of the CMEs before, during, and after the eruption. The assessment of the model's capability to predict the most important Bz component is performed using the advanced Dynamic Time Warping technique. The Horseshoe model prediction of CME arrival time and geo-effectiveness for both validation events compare well to the observations and are weighed with the results obtained with the spheromak and FRi3D models that were already available in EUHFORIA. The runtime of the Horseshoe model simulations is close to that of the spheromak model, which is suitable for operational space weather forecasting. Yet, the capability of the magnetic field prediction at 1~AU of the Horseshoe model is close to that of the FRi3D model. In addition, we demonstrate that the Horseshoe CME model can be used for simulating successive CMEs in EUHFORIA, overcoming a limitation of the FRi3D model.

physics.space-ph

Modelling non-radially propagating coronal mass ejections and forecasting the time of their arrival at Earth

We present the study of two solar eruptive events observed on December 7 2020 and October 28 2021.Both events were associated with full halo CMEs and flares.These events were chosen because they show a strong non-radial direction of propagation in the low corona and their main propagation direction is not fully aligned with the Sun-Earth line.This characteristic makes them suitable for our study, which aims to inspect how the non-radial direction of propagation in the low corona affects the time of CMEs' arrival at Earth.We reconstructed the CMEs using coronagraph observations and modelled them with EUHFORIA and the cone model for CMEs.To compare the accuracy of forecasting the CME arrival time at Earth obtained from different methods, we also used so-called typeII bursts, radio signatures of associated shocks, to find the velocities of the CME-driven shocks and forecast the time of their arrival at Earth.We also estimated the CME arrival time using the 2D CME velocity.Our results show that the lowest accuracy of estimated CME Earth arrival times is found when the 2D CME velocity is used.The velocity of the typeII radio bursts provides better, but still not very accurate, results.Employing, as an input to EUHFORIA, the CME parameters obtained from the GCS fittings at consequently increasing heights, results in a strongly improved accuracy of the modelled CME and shock arrival time Delta t changes from 14h to 10min for the first event, and from 12h to 30min for the second one.This improvement shows that when we increased the heights of the GCS reconstruction we accounted for the change in the propagation direction of the studied CMEs, which allowed us to accurately model the CME flank encounter at Earth. Our results show the great importance of the change in the direction of propagation of the CME in the low corona when modelling CMEs and estimating the time of their arrival at Earth.

astro-ph.SR

Cannibals in PARADISE: The effect of merging interplanetary shocks on solar energetic particle events

Gradual solar energetic particle (SEP) events are associated with shocks driven by coronal mass ejections (CMEs). The merging of two CMEs (so-called Cannibalistic CMEs) and the interaction of their associated shocks, has been linked to some of the most powerful solar storms ever recorded. Multiple studies have focused on the observational aspects of these SEP events, yet only a handful have focused on modeling similar CME-CME interactions in the heliosphere using advanced magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) models. This work presents, to our knowledge, the first modeling results of a fully time-dependent 3D simulation that captures both the interaction of two CMEs and its effect on the acceleration and transport of SEPs. This is achieved by using an MHD model for the solar wind and CME propagation together with an integrated SEP model. We perform different simulations and compare the behavior of the energetic protons in three different solar wind environments, where a combination of two SEP-accelerating CMEs are modeled. We find that particle acceleration is significantly affected by the presence of both CMEs in the simulation. Initially, less efficient acceleration results in lower energy particles. However, as the CMEs converge and their shocks eventually merge, particle acceleration is significantly enhanced through multiple acceleration processes between CME-driven shocks, resulting in higher particle intensities and energy levels.

astro-ph.SR

Calibrating the WSA model in EUHFORIA based on PSP observations

We employ Parker Solar Probe (PSP) observations during the latest solar minimum period (years 2018 -2021) to calibrate the version of the Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) coronal model used in the European space weather forecasting tool EUHFORIA. WSA provides a set of boundary conditions at 0.1 au necessary to initiate the heliospheric part of EUHFORIA, namely, the domain extending beyond the solar Alfvenic point. To calibrate WSA, we observationally constrain four constants in the WSA semi-empirical formula based on PSP observations. We show how the updated (after the calibration) WSA boundary conditions at 0.1 au are compared to PSP observations at similar distances, and we further propagate these conditions in the heliosphere according to EUHFORIAs magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) approach. We assess the predictions at Earth based on the Dynamic Time Warping technique. Our findings suggest that, for the period of interest, the WSA configurations which resembled optimally the PSP observations close to the Sun, were different than the ones needed to provide better predictions at Earth. One reason for this discrepancy can be attributed to the scarcity of fast solar wind velocities recorded by PSP. The calibration of the model was performed based on unexpectedly slow velocities that did not allow us to achieve generally and globally improved solar wind predictions, compared to older studies. Other reasons can be attributed to missing physical processes from the heliospheric part of EUHFORIA but also the fact that the currently employed WSA relationship, as coupled to the heliospheric MHD domain, may need a global reformulation beyond that of just updating the four constant factors that were taken into account in this study.

astro-ph.SR

Electron Cyclotron Maser Emission and the Brightest Solar Radio Bursts

This paper investigates the incidence of coherent emission in solar radio bursts, using a revised catalog of 3800 solar radio bursts observed by the Nobeyama Radio Polarimeters from 1988 to 2023. We focus on the 1.0 and 2.0 GHz data, where radio fluxes of order 10 billion Jansky have been observed. Previous work has suggested that these bursts are due to electron cyclotron maser (ECM) emission. In at least one well studied case, the bright emission at 1 GHz consists of narrowband spikes of millisecond duration. Coherent emission at 1 GHz can be distinguished from traditional incoherent gyrosynchrotron flare emission based on the radio spectrum: gyrosynchrotron emission at 1 GHz usually has a spectrum rising with frequency, so bursts in which 1 GHz is stronger than higher frequency measurements are unlikely to be incoherent gyrosynchrotron. Based on this criterion it is found that, for bursts exceeding 100 sfu, three-quarters of all bursts at 1 GHz and half of all 2 GHz bursts have a dominant coherent emission component, assumed to be ECM. The majority of the very bright bursts at 1 GHz are highly circularly polarized, consistent with a coherent emission mechanism, but not always 100% polarized. The frequency range from 1 to 2 GHz is heavily utilized for terrestrial applications, and these results are relevant for understanding the extreme flux levels that may impact such applications. Further, they provide a reference for comparison with the study of ECM emission from other stars and potentially exoplanets.

astro-ph.SR

Fundamental-harmonic pairs of interplanetary type III radio bursts

Type III radio bursts are not only the most intense but also the most frequently observed solar radio bursts. However, a number of their defining features remain poorly understood. Observational limitations, such as a lack of sufficient spectral and temporal resolution, have hindered a full comprehension of the emission process, especially in the hecto-kilometric wavelengths. Of particular difficulty is the ability to detect the harmonics of type III radio bursts. Hereafter we report for the first detailed observations of type III fundamental-harmonic pairs in the hecto-kilometric wavelengths, observed by the Parker Solar Probe. We present the statistical analysis of spectral characteristics and the polarization measurements of the fundamental-harmonic pairs. Additionally, we quantify various characteristic of the fundamental-harmonic pairs, such as the time-delay and time-profile asymmetry. Our report and preliminary analysis conclude that fundamental-harmonic pairs constitute a majority of all type III radio bursts observed during close encounters 6 -- 10 when the probe is in close proximity to the source region and propagation effects are less pronounced.

astro-ph.SR

Multiple injections of energetic electrons associated with the flare/CME event on 9 October 2021

We study the solar energetic particle (SEP) event observed on 9 October 2021, by multiple spacecraft including Solar Orbiter (SolO). The event was associated with an M1.6 flare, a coronal mass ejection (CME) and a shock wave. During the event, high-energy protons and electrons were recorded by multiple instruments located within a narrow longitudinal cone. An interesting aspect of the event was the multi-stage particle energization during the flare impulsive phase and also what appears to be a separate phase of electron acceleration detected at SolO after the flare maximum. We aim to investigate and identify the multiple sources of energetic electron acceleration. We utilize SEP electron observations from the Energetic Particle Detector (EPD) and hard X-ray (HXR) observations from the Spectrometer/Telescope for Imaging X-rays (STIX) on-board SolO, in combination with radio observations at a broad frequency range. We focus on establishing an association between the energetic electrons and the different HXR and radio emissions associated with the multiple acceleration episodes. We have found that the flare was able to accelerate electrons for at least 20 minutes during the nonthermal phase observed in the form of five discrete HXR pulses. We also show evidence that the shock wave has contributed to the electron acceleration during and after the impulsive flare phase. The detailed analysis of EPD electron data shows that there was a time difference in the release of low- and high-energy electrons, with the high-energy release delayed. Also, the observed electron anisotropy characteristics suggest different connectivity during the two phases of acceleration.

astro-ph.SR

Interferometric imaging, and beam-formed study of a moving Type IV Radio burst with LOFAR

Type IV radio burst has been studied for over 50 years. However, the specifics of the radio emission mechanisms is still an open question. In order to provide more information about the emission mechanisms, we studied a moving type IV radio burst with fine structures (spike group) by using the high resolution capability of Low-Frequency Array (LOFAR) on Aug 25, 2014\textbf{ (SOLA-D-21-00188)}. We present a comparison of Nançay RadioHeliograph (NRH) and the first LOFAR imaging data of type IV radio burst. The degree of circular polarization (DCP) is calculated at frequencies in the range 20$\sim$180 MHz using LOFAR data, and it was found that the value of DCP gradually increased during the event, with values of 10\%$\sim$20\%. LOFAR interferometric data were combined with white light observations in order to track the propagation of this type IV. The kinematics shows a westward motion of the radio sources, slower than the CME leading edge. The dynamic spectrum of LOFAR shows a large number of fine structures with duration of less than 1s and high brightness temperature ($T_\mathrm{B}$), i.e. $10^{12}$$\sim$$10^{13}$ K. The gradual increase of DCP supports gyrosynchrotron emission as the most plausible mechanism for the type IV. However, coherent emissions such as Electron Cyclotron Maser (ECM) instability can be responsible for small scale fine structures. Countless fine structures altogether were responsible for such high $T_\mathrm{B}$.

astro-ph.SR

Implementation and validation of the FRi3D flux rope model in EUHFORIA

The Flux Rope in 3D (FRi3D, Isavnin, 2016), a coronal mass ejection (CME) model with global three-dimensional (3D) geometry, has been implemented in the space weather forecasting tool EUHFORIA (Pomoell and Poedts, 2018). By incorporating this advanced flux rope model in EUHFORIA, we aim to improve the modelling of CME flank encounters and, most importantly, the magnetic field predictions at Earth. After using synthetic events to showcase FRi3D's capabilities of modelling CME flanks, we optimize the model to run robust simulations of real events and test its predictive capabilities. We perform observation-based modelling of the halo CME event that erupted on 12 July 2012. The geometrical input parameters are constrained using the forward modelling tool included in FRi3D with additional flux rope geometry flexibilities as compared to the pre-existing models. The magnetic field input parameters are derived using the differential evolution algorithm to fit FRi3D parameters to the in situ data at 1 AU. An observation-based approach to constrain the density of CMEs is adopted, in order to achieve a better estimation of mass corresponding to the FRi3D geometry. The CME is evolved in EUHFORIA's heliospheric domain and a comparison of FRi3D's predictive performance with the previously implemented spheromak CME in EUHFORIA is presented. For this event, FRi3D improves the modelling of the total magnetic field magnitude and Bz at Earth by ~30% and ~70%, respectively. Moreover, we compute the expected geoeffectiveness of the storm at Earth using an empirical Dst model and find that the FRi3D model improves the predictions of minimum Dst by ~20% as compared to the spheromak CME model. Finally, we discuss the limitations of the current implementation of FRi3D in EUHFORIA and propose possible improvements.

astro-ph.SR

Imaging of the Quiet Sun in the Frequency Range of 20-80 MHz

Radio emission of the quiet Sun is considered to be due to thermal bremsstrahlung emission of the hot solar atmosphere. The properties of the quiet Sun in the microwave band have been well studied, and they can be well described by the spectrum of bremsstrahlung emission. In the meter-wave and decameter-wave bands, properties of the quiet Sun have rarely been studied due to the instrumental limitations. In this work, we use the LOw Frequency ARray (LOFAR) telescope to perform high quality interferometric imaging spectroscopy observations of quiet Sun coronal emission at frequencies below 90~MHz. We present the brightness temperature spectrum, and size of the Sun in the frequency range of 20-80~MHz. We report on dark coronal regions with low brightness temperature that persist with frequency. The brightness temperature spectrum of the quiet Sun is discussed and compared with the bremsstrahlung emission of a coronal model and previous quiet Sun observations.

astro-ph.SR

Influence of coronal hole morphology on the solar wind speed at Earth

It has long been known that the high-speed stream (HSS) peak velocity at Earth directly depends on the area of the coronal hole (CH) on the Sun. Different degrees of association between the two parameters have been shown by many authors. In this study, we revisit this association in greater detail for a sample of 45 nonpolar CHs during the minimum phase of solar cycle 24. The aim is to understand how CHs of different properties influence the HSS peak speeds observed at Earth and draw from this to improve solar wind modeling. The characteristics of the CHs of our sample were extracted based on the Collection of Analysis Tools for Coronal Holes (CATCH) which employs an intensity threshold technique applied to extreme-ultraviolet (EUV) filtergrams. We first examined all the correlations between the geometric characteristics of the CHs and the HSS peak speed and duration at Earth, for the entire sample. The CHs were then categorized in different groups based on morphological criteria, such as the aspect ratio, the orientation angle and the geometric complexity, a parameter which is often neglected when the formation of the fast solar wind at Earth is studied. Our results, confirmed also by the bootstrapping technique, show that all three aforementioned morphological criteria play a major role in determining the HSS peak speed at 1 AU. Therefore, they need to be taken into consideration for empirical models that aim to forecast the fast solar wind at Earth based on the observed CH solar sources.

astro-ph.SR

How the area of solar coronal holes affects the properties of high-speed solar wind streams near Earth -- An analytical model

We derive a simple analytical model for the propagation of HSSs from the Sun to Earth and thereby show how the area of coronal holes and the size of their boundary regions affect the HSS velocity, temperature, and density near Earth. We presume that velocity, temperature, and density profiles form across the HSS cross section close to the Sun and that these spatial profiles translate into corresponding temporal profiles in a given radial direction due to the solar rotation. These temporal distributions drive the stream interface to the preceding slow solar wind plasma and disperse with distance from the Sun. The HSS properties at 1 AU are then given by all HSS plasma parcels launched from the Sun that did not run into the stream interface at Earth distance. We show that the velocity plateau region of HSSs as seen at 1 AU, if apparent, originates from the center region of the HSS close to the Sun, whereas the velocity tail at 1 AU originates from the trailing boundary region. The peak velocity of HSSs at Earth further depends on the longitudinal width of the HSS close to the Sun. The temperature and density of HSS plasma parcels at Earth depend on their radial expansion from the Sun to Earth. The radial expansion is determined by the velocity gradient across the HSS boundary region close to the Sun and gives the velocity-temperature and density-temperature relationships at Earth their specific shape. When considering a large number of HSSs, the presumed correlation between the HSS velocities and temperatures close to the Sun degrades only slightly up to 1 AU, but the correlation between the velocities and densities is strongly disrupted up to 1 AU due to the radial expansion. Finally, we show how the number of particles of the piled-up slow solar wind in the stream interaction region depends on the velocities and densities of the HSS and preceding slow solar wind plasma.

astro-ph.SR

The Dynamic Time Warping as a Means to Assess Solar Wind Time Series

During the last decades, international attempts have been made to develop realistic space weather prediction tools aiming to forecast the conditions on the Sun and in the interplanetary environment. These efforts have led to the development of appropriate metrics in order to assess the performance of those tools. Metrics are necessary to validate models, compare different models and monitor improvements of a certain model over time. In this work, we introduce the Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) as an alternative way to evaluate the performance of models and, in particular, to quantify differences between observed and modeled solar wind time series. We present the advantages and drawbacks of this method as well as applications to WIND observations and EUHFORIA predictions at Earth. We show that DTW can warp sequences in time, aiming to align them with the minimum cost by using dynamic programming. It can be applied in two ways for the evaluation of modeled solar wind time series. The first, calculates the sequence similarity factor (SSF), a number that provides a quantification of how good the forecast is, compared to an ideal and a non-ideal prediction scenarios. The second way quantifies the time and amplitude differences between the points that are best matched between the two sequences. As a result, DTW can serve as a hybrid metric between continuous measurements (e.g., the correlation coefficient), and point-by-point comparisons. It is a promising technique for the assessment of solar wind profiles providing at once the most complete evaluation portrait of a model.

astro-ph.SR

Implementing the MULTI-VP coronal model in EUHFORIA: test case results and comparisons with the WSA coronal model

In this study, we focus on improving EUHFORIA (European Heliospheric Forecasting Information Asset), a recently developed 3D MHD space weather prediction tool. EUHFORIA consists of two parts, covering two spatial domains; the solar corona and the inner heliosphere. For the first part, the semi-empirical Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) model is used by default, which employs the Potential Field Source Surface (PFSS) and Schatten Current Sheet (SCS) models to provide the necessary solar wind plasma and magnetic conditions above the solar surface, at 0.1 AU, that serve as boundary conditions for the inner heliospheric part. Herein, we present the first results of the implementation of an alternative coronal model in EUHFORIA, the so-called MULTI-VP model. We compared the output of the default coronal model with the output from MULTI-VP at the inner boundary of the heliospheric domain of EUHFORIA in order to understand differences between the two models, before they propagate to Earth. We also compared the performance of WSA+EUHFORIA-heliosphere and MULTI-VP+EUHFORIA-heliosphere against in situ observations at Earth. In the frame of this study, we considered two different high-speed stream cases, one during a period of low solar activity and one during a period of high solar activity. We also employed two different magnetograms, i.e., GONG and WSO. Our results show that the choice of both the coronal model and the magnetogram play an important role on the accuracy of the solar wind prediction. However, it is not clear which component plays the most important role for the modeled results obtained at Earth. A statistical analysis with an appropriate number of simulations is needed to confirm our findings.

astro-ph.SR

On the Dependency between the Peak Velocity of High-speed Solar Wind Streams near Earth and the Area of Their Solar Source Coronal Holes

The relationship between the peak velocities of high-speed solar wind streams near Earth and the areas of their solar source regions, i.e., coronal holes, has been known since the 1970s, but it is still physically not well understood. We perform 3D magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations using the European Heliospheric Forecasting Information Asset (EUHFORIA) code to show that this empirical relationship forms during the propagation phase of high-speed streams from the Sun to Earth. For this purpose, we neglect the acceleration phase of high-speed streams, and project the areas of coronal holes to a sphere at 0.1 au. We then vary only the areas and latitudes of the coronal holes. The velocity, temperature, and density in the cross section of the corresponding highspeed streams at 0.1 au are set to constant, homogeneous values. Finally, we propagate the associated high-speed streams through the inner heliosphere using the EUHFORIA code. The simulated high-speed stream peak velocities at Earth reveal a linear dependence on the area of their source coronal holes. The slopes of the relationship decrease with increasing latitudes of the coronal holes, and the peak velocities saturate at a value of about 730 km/s, similar to the observations. These findings imply that the empirical relationship between the coronal hole areas and high-speed stream peak velocities does not describe the acceleration phase of high-speed streams, but is a result of the high-speed stream propagation from the Sun to Earth.

astro-ph.SR