arXiv subjects

Javier Del Ser

Publications and source records attributed to Javier Del Ser.

At least 91 records · Page 5Linked to original sources

arXiv2021

On the Post-hoc Explainability of Deep Echo State Networks for Time Series Forecasting, Image and Video Classification

Since their inception, learning techniques under the Reservoir Computing paradigm have shown a great modeling capability for recurrent systems without the computing overheads required for other approaches. Among them, different flavors of echo state networks have attracted many stares through time, mainly due to the simplicity and computational efficiency of their learning algorithm. However, these advantages do not compensate for the fact that echo state networks remain as black-box models whose decisions cannot be easily explained to the general audience. This work addresses this issue by conducting an explainability study of Echo State Networks when applied to learning tasks with time series, image and video data. Specifically, the study proposes three different techniques capable of eliciting understandable information about the knowledge grasped by these recurrent models, namely, potential memory, temporal patterns and pixel absence effect. Potential memory addresses questions related to the effect of the reservoir size in the capability of the model to store temporal information, whereas temporal patterns unveils the recurrent relationships captured by the model over time. Finally, pixel absence effect attempts at evaluating the effect of the absence of a given pixel when the echo state network model is used for image and video classification. We showcase the benefits of our proposed suite of techniques over three different domains of applicability: time series modeling, image and, for the first time in the related literature, video classification. Our results reveal that the proposed techniques not only allow for a informed understanding of the way these models work, but also serve as diagnostic tools capable of detecting issues inherited from data (e.g. presence of hidden bias).

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

From Data to Actions in Intelligent Transportation Systems: a Prescription of Functional Requirements for Model Actionability

Advances in Data Science permeate every field of Transportation Science and Engineering, resulting in developments in the transportation sector that {are} data-driven. Nowadays, Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) could be arguably approached as a ``story'' intensively producing and consuming large amounts of data. A~diversity of sensing devices densely spread over the infrastructure, vehicles or the travelers' personal devices act as sources of data flows that are eventually fed {into} software running on automatic devices, actuators or control systems producing, in~turn, complex information flows {among} users, traffic managers, data analysts, traffic modeling scientists, etc. These~information flows provide enormous opportunities to improve model development and decision-making. This work aims to describe how data, coming from diverse ITS sources, can be used to learn and adapt data-driven models for efficiently operating ITS assets, systems and processes; in~other words, for data-based models to fully become \emph{actionable}. Grounded in this described data modeling pipeline for ITS, we~define the characteristics, engineering requisites and challenges intrinsic to its three compounding stages, namely, data fusion, adaptive learning and model evaluation. We~deliberately generalize model learning to be adaptive, since, in~the core of our paper is the firm conviction that most learners will have to adapt to the ever-changing phenomenon scenario underlying the majority of ITS applications. Finally, we~provide a prospect of current research lines within Data Science that can bring notable advances to data-based ITS modeling, which will eventually bridge the gap towards the practicality and actionability of such models.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2020

Deep Learning for Road Traffic Forecasting: Does it Make a Difference?

Deep Learning methods have been proven to be flexible to model complex phenomena. This has also been the case of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), in which several areas such as vehicular perception and traffic analysis have widely embraced Deep Learning as a core modeling technology. Particularly in short-term traffic forecasting, the capability of Deep Learning to deliver good results has generated a prevalent inertia towards using Deep Learning models, without examining in depth their benefits and downsides. This paper focuses on critically analyzing the state of the art in what refers to the use of Deep Learning for this particular ITS research area. To this end, we elaborate on the findings distilled from a review of publications from recent years, based on two taxonomic criteria. A posterior critical analysis is held to formulate questions and trigger a necessary debate about the issues of Deep Learning for traffic forecasting. The study is completed with a benchmark of diverse short-term traffic forecasting methods over traffic datasets of different nature, aimed to cover a wide spectrum of possible scenarios. Our experimentation reveals that Deep Learning could not be the best modeling technique for every case, which unveils some caveats unconsidered to date that should be addressed by the community in prospective studies. These insights reveal new challenges and research opportunities in road traffic forecasting, which are enumerated and discussed thoroughly, with the intention of inspiring and guiding future research efforts in this field.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Rank aggregation for non-stationary data streams

We consider the problem of learning over non-stationary ranking streams. The rankings can be interpreted as the preferences of a population and the non-stationarity means that the distribution of preferences changes over time. Our goal is to learn, in an online manner, the current distribution of rankings. The bottleneck of this process is a rank aggregation problem. We propose a generalization of the Borda algorithm for non-stationary ranking streams. Moreover, we give bounds on the minimum number of samples required to output the ground truth with high probability. Besides, we show how the optimal parameters are set. Then, we generalize the whole family of weighted voting rules (the family to which Borda belongs) to situations in which some rankings are more \textit{reliable} than others and show that this generalization can solve the problem of rank aggregation over non-stationary data streams.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2020

A Coevolutionary Variable Neighborhood Search Algorithm for Discrete Multitasking (CoVNS): Application to Community Detection over Graphs

The main goal of the multitasking optimization paradigm is to solve multiple and concurrent optimization tasks in a simultaneous way through a single search process. For attaining promising results, potential complementarities and synergies between tasks are properly exploited, helping each other by virtue of the exchange of genetic material. This paper is focused on Evolutionary Multitasking, which is a perspective for dealing with multitasking optimization scenarios by embracing concepts from Evolutionary Computation. This work contributes to this field by presenting a new multitasking approach named as Coevolutionary Variable Neighborhood Search Algorithm, which finds its inspiration on both the Variable Neighborhood Search metaheuristic and coevolutionary strategies. The second contribution of this paper is the application field, which is the optimal partitioning of graph instances whose connections among nodes are directed and weighted. This paper pioneers on the simultaneous solving of this kind of tasks. Two different multitasking scenarios are considered, each comprising 11 graph instances. Results obtained by our method are compared to those issued by a parallel Variable Neighborhood Search and independent executions of the basic Variable Neighborhood Search. The discussion on such results support our hypothesis that the proposed method is a promising scheme for simultaneous solving community detection problems over graphs.

cs.NE↗

arXiv2020

CURIE: A Cellular Automaton for Concept Drift Detection

Data stream mining extracts information from large quantities of data flowing fast and continuously (data streams). They are usually affected by changes in the data distribution, giving rise to a phenomenon referred to as concept drift. Thus, learning models must detect and adapt to such changes, so as to exhibit a good predictive performance after a drift has occurred. In this regard, the development of effective drift detection algorithms becomes a key factor in data stream mining. In this work we propose CU RIE, a drift detector relying on cellular automata. Specifically, in CU RIE the distribution of the data stream is represented in the grid of a cellular automata, whose neighborhood rule can then be utilized to detect possible distribution changes over the stream. Computer simulations are presented and discussed to show that CU RIE, when hybridized with other base learners, renders a competitive behavior in terms of detection metrics and classification accuracy. CU RIE is compared with well-established drift detectors over synthetic datasets with varying drift characteristics.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Lights and Shadows in Evolutionary Deep Learning: Taxonomy, Critical Methodological Analysis, Cases of Study, Learned Lessons, Recommendations and Challenges

Much has been said about the fusion of bio-inspired optimization algorithms and Deep Learning models for several purposes: from the discovery of network topologies and hyper-parametric configurations with improved performance for a given task, to the optimization of the model's parameters as a replacement for gradient-based solvers. Indeed, the literature is rich in proposals showcasing the application of assorted nature-inspired approaches for these tasks. In this work we comprehensively review and critically examine contributions made so far based on three axes, each addressing a fundamental question in this research avenue: a) optimization and taxonomy (Why?), including a historical perspective, definitions of optimization problems in Deep Learning, and a taxonomy associated with an in-depth analysis of the literature, b) critical methodological analysis (How?), which together with two case studies, allows us to address learned lessons and recommendations for good practices following the analysis of the literature, and c) challenges and new directions of research (What can be done, and what for?). In summary, three axes - optimization and taxonomy, critical analysis, and challenges - which outline a complete vision of a merger of two technologies drawing up an exciting future for this area of fusion research.

cs.NE↗

arXiv2020

On the Transferability of Knowledge among Vehicle Routing Problems by using Cellular Evolutionary Multitasking

Multitasking optimization is a recently introduced paradigm, focused on the simultaneous solving of multiple optimization problem instances (tasks). The goal of multitasking environments is to dynamically exploit existing complementarities and synergies among tasks, helping each other through the transfer of genetic material. More concretely, Evolutionary Multitasking (EM) regards to the resolution of multitasking scenarios using concepts inherited from Evolutionary Computation. EM approaches such as the well-known Multifactorial Evolutionary Algorithm (MFEA) are lately gaining a notable research momentum when facing with multiple optimization problems. This work is focused on the application of the recently proposed Multifactorial Cellular Genetic Algorithm (MFCGA) to the well-known Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problem (CVRP). In overall, 11 different multitasking setups have been built using 12 datasets. The contribution of this research is twofold. On the one hand, it is the first application of the MFCGA to the Vehicle Routing Problem family of problems. On the other hand, equally interesting is the second contribution, which is focused on the quantitative analysis of the positive genetic transferability among the problem instances. To do that, we provide an empirical demonstration of the synergies arisen between the different optimization tasks.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2020

dMFEA-II: An Adaptive Multifactorial Evolutionary Algorithm for Permutation-based Discrete Optimization Problems

The emerging research paradigm coined as multitasking optimization aims to solve multiple optimization tasks concurrently by means of a single search process. For this purpose, the exploitation of complementarities among the tasks to be solved is crucial, which is often achieved via the transfer of genetic material, thereby forging the Transfer Optimization field. In this context, Evolutionary Multitasking addresses this paradigm by resorting to concepts from Evolutionary Computation. Within this specific branch, approaches such as the Multifactorial Evolutionary Algorithm (MFEA) has lately gained a notable momentum when tackling multiple optimization tasks. This work contributes to this trend by proposing the first adaptation of the recently introduced Multifactorial Evolutionary Algorithm II (MFEA-II) to permutation-based discrete optimization environments. For modeling this adaptation, some concepts cannot be directly applied to discrete search spaces, such as parent-centric interactions. In this paper we entirely reformulate such concepts, making them suited to deal with permutation-based search spaces without loosing the inherent benefits of MFEA-II. The performance of the proposed solver has been assessed over 5 different multitasking setups, composed by 8 datasets of the well-known Traveling Salesman (TSP) and Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problems (CVRP). The obtained results and their comparison to those by the discrete version of the MFEA confirm the good performance of the developed dMFEA-II, and concur with the insights drawn in previous studies for continuous optimization.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2020

Transfer Learning and Online Learning for Traffic Forecasting under Different Data Availability Conditions: Alternatives and Pitfalls

This work aims at unveiling the potential of Transfer Learning (TL) for developing a traffic flow forecasting model in scenarios of absent data. Knowledge transfer from high-quality predictive models becomes feasible under the TL paradigm, enabling the generation of new proper models with few data. In order to explore this capability, we identify three different levels of data absent scenarios, where TL techniques are applied among Deep Learning (DL) methods for traffic forecasting. Then, traditional batch learning is compared against TL based models using real traffic flow data, collected by deployed loops managed by the City Council of Madrid (Spain). In addition, we apply Online Learning (OL) techniques, where model receives an update after each prediction, in order to adapt to traffic flow trend changes and incrementally learn from new incoming traffic data. The obtained experimental results shed light on the advantages of transfer and online learning for traffic flow forecasting, and draw practical insights on their interplay with the amount of available training data at the location of interest.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Deep Echo State Networks for Short-Term Traffic Forecasting: Performance Comparison and Statistical Assessment

In short-term traffic forecasting, the goal is to accurately predict future values of a traffic parameter of interest occurring shortly after the prediction is queried. The activity reported in this long-standing research field has been lately dominated by different Deep Learning approaches, yielding overly complex forecasting models that in general achieve accuracy gains of questionable practical utility. In this work we elaborate on the performance of Deep Echo State Networks for this particular task. The efficient learning algorithm and simpler parametric configuration of these alternative modeling approaches make them emerge as a competitive traffic forecasting method for real ITS applications deployed in devices and systems with stringently limited computational resources. An extensive comparison benchmark is designed with real traffic data captured over the city of Madrid (Spain), amounting to more than 130 automatic Traffic Readers (ATRs) and several shallow learning, ensembles and Deep Learning models. Results from this comparison benchmark and the analysis of the statistical significance of the reported performance gaps are decisive: Deep Echo State Networks achieve more accurate traffic forecasts than the rest of considered modeling counterparts.

cs.NE↗

arXiv2020

New Perspectives on the Use of Online Learning for Congestion Level Prediction over Traffic Data

This work focuses on classification over time series data. When a time series is generated by non-stationary phenomena, the pattern relating the series with the class to be predicted may evolve over time (concept drift). Consequently, predictive models aimed to learn this pattern may become eventually obsolete, hence failing to sustain performance levels of practical use. To overcome this model degradation, online learning methods incrementally learn from new data samples arriving over time, and accommodate eventual changes along the data stream by implementing assorted concept drift strategies. In this manuscript we elaborate on the suitability of online learning methods to predict the road congestion level based on traffic speed time series data. We draw interesting insights on the performance degradation when the forecasting horizon is increased. As opposed to what is done in most literature, we provide evidence of the importance of assessing the distribution of classes over time before designing and tuning the learning model. This previous exercise may give a hint of the predictability of the different congestion levels under target. Experimental results are discussed over real traffic speed data captured by inductive loops deployed over Seattle (USA). Several online learning methods are analyzed, from traditional incremental learning algorithms to more elaborated deep learning models. As shown by the reported results, when increasing the prediction horizon, the performance of all models degrade severely due to the distribution of classes along time, which supports our claim about the importance of analyzing this distribution prior to the design of the model.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Plausible Counterfactuals: Auditing Deep Learning Classifiers with Realistic Adversarial Examples

The last decade has witnessed the proliferation of Deep Learning models in many applications, achieving unrivaled levels of predictive performance. Unfortunately, the black-box nature of Deep Learning models has posed unanswered questions about what they learn from data. Certain application scenarios have highlighted the importance of assessing the bounds under which Deep Learning models operate, a problem addressed by using assorted approaches aimed at audiences from different domains. However, as the focus of the application is placed more on non-expert users, it results mandatory to provide the means for him/her to trust the model, just like a human gets familiar with a system or process: by understanding the hypothetical circumstances under which it fails. This is indeed the angular stone for this research work: to undertake an adversarial analysis of a Deep Learning model. The proposed framework constructs counterfactual examples by ensuring their plausibility, e.g. there is a reasonable probability that a human could generate them without resorting to a computer program. Therefore, this work must be regarded as valuable auditing exercise of the usable bounds a certain model is constrained within, thereby allowing for a much greater understanding of the capabilities and pitfalls of a model used in a real application. To this end, a Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) and multi-objective heuristics are used to furnish a plausible attack to the audited model, efficiently trading between the confusion of this model, the intensity and plausibility of the generated counterfactual. Its utility is showcased within a human face classification task, unveiling the enormous potential of the proposed framework.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Multifactorial Cellular Genetic Algorithm (MFCGA): Algorithmic Design, Performance Comparison and Genetic Transferability Analysis

Multitasking optimization is an incipient research area which is lately gaining a notable research momentum. Unlike traditional optimization paradigm that focuses on solving a single task at a time, multitasking addresses how multiple optimization problems can be tackled simultaneously by performing a single search process. The main objective to achieve this goal efficiently is to exploit synergies between the problems (tasks) to be optimized, helping each other via knowledge transfer (thereby being referred to as Transfer Optimization). Furthermore, the equally recent concept of Evolutionary Multitasking (EM) refers to multitasking environments adopting concepts from Evolutionary Computation as their inspiration for the simultaneous solving of the problems under consideration. As such, EM approaches such as the Multifactorial Evolutionary Algorithm (MFEA) has shown a remarkable success when dealing with multiple discrete, continuous, single-, and/or multi-objective optimization problems. In this work we propose a novel algorithmic scheme for Multifactorial Optimization scenarios - the Multifactorial Cellular Genetic Algorithm (MFCGA) - that hinges on concepts from Cellular Automata to implement mechanisms for exchanging knowledge among problems. We conduct an extensive performance analysis of the proposed MFCGA and compare it to the canonical MFEA under the same algorithmic conditions and over 15 different multitasking setups (encompassing different reference instances of the discrete Traveling Salesman Problem). A further contribution of this analysis beyond performance benchmarking is a quantitative examination of the genetic transferability among the problem instances, eliciting an empirical demonstration of the synergies emerged between the different optimization tasks along the MFCGA search process.

cs.NE↗

arXiv2020

COEBA: A Coevolutionary Bat Algorithm for Discrete Evolutionary Multitasking

Multitasking optimization is an emerging research field which has attracted lot of attention in the scientific community. The main purpose of this paradigm is how to solve multiple optimization problems or tasks simultaneously by conducting a single search process. The main catalyst for reaching this objective is to exploit possible synergies and complementarities among the tasks to be optimized, helping each other by virtue of the transfer of knowledge among them (thereby being referred to as Transfer Optimization). In this context, Evolutionary Multitasking addresses Transfer Optimization problems by resorting to concepts from Evolutionary Computation for simultaneous solving the tasks at hand. This work contributes to this trend by proposing a novel algorithmic scheme for dealing with multitasking environments. The proposed approach, coined as Coevolutionary Bat Algorithm, finds its inspiration in concepts from both co-evolutionary strategies and the metaheuristic Bat Algorithm. We compare the performance of our proposed method with that of its Multifactorial Evolutionary Algorithm counterpart over 15 different multitasking setups, composed by eight reference instances of the discrete Traveling Salesman Problem. The experimentation and results stemming therefrom support the main hypothesis of this study: the proposed Coevolutionary Bat Algorithm is a promising meta-heuristic for solving Evolutionary Multitasking scenarios.

cs.NE↗

arXiv2020

Simultaneously Evolving Deep Reinforcement Learning Models using Multifactorial Optimization

In recent years, Multifactorial Optimization (MFO) has gained a notable momentum in the research community. MFO is known for its inherent capability to efficiently address multiple optimization tasks at the same time, while transferring information among such tasks to improve their convergence speed. On the other hand, the quantum leap made by Deep Q Learning (DQL) in the Machine Learning field has allowed facing Reinforcement Learning (RL) problems of unprecedented complexity. Unfortunately, complex DQL models usually find it difficult to converge to optimal policies due to the lack of exploration or sparse rewards. In order to overcome these drawbacks, pre-trained models are widely harnessed via Transfer Learning, extrapolating knowledge acquired in a source task to the target task. Besides, meta-heuristic optimization has been shown to reduce the lack of exploration of DQL models. This work proposes a MFO framework capable of simultaneously evolving several DQL models towards solving interrelated RL tasks. Specifically, our proposed framework blends together the benefits of meta-heuristic optimization, Transfer Learning and DQL to automate the process of knowledge transfer and policy learning of distributed RL agents. A thorough experimentation is presented and discussed so as to assess the performance of the framework, its comparison to the traditional methodology for Transfer Learning in terms of convergence, speed and policy quality , and the intertask relationships found and exploited over the search process.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

LUNAR: Cellular Automata for Drifting Data Streams

With the advent of huges volumes of data produced in the form of fast streams, real-time machine learning has become a challenge of relevance emerging in a plethora of real-world applications. Processing such fast streams often demands high memory and processing resources. In addition, they can be affected by non-stationary phenomena (concept drift), by which learning methods have to detect changes in the distribution of streaming data, and adapt to these evolving conditions. A lack of efficient and scalable solutions is particularly noted in real-time scenarios where computing resources are severely constrained, as it occurs in networks of small, numerous, interconnected processing units (such as the so-called Smart Dust, Utility Fog, or Swarm Robotics paradigms). In this work we propose LUNAR, a streamified version of cellular automata devised to successfully meet the aforementioned requirements. It is able to act as a real incremental learner while adapting to drifting conditions. Extensive simulations with synthetic and real data will provide evidence of its competitive behavior in terms of classification performance when compared to long-established and successful online learning methods.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Taming the latency in multi-user VR 360$^\circ$: A QoE-aware deep learning-aided multicast framework

Immersive virtual reality (VR) applications require ultra-high data rate and low-latency for smooth operation. Hence in this paper, aiming to improve VR experience in multi-user VR wireless video streaming, a deep-learning aided scheme for maximizing the quality of the delivered video chunks with low-latency is proposed. Therein the correlations in the predicted field of view (FoV) and locations of viewers watching 360$^\circ$ HD VR videos are capitalized on to realize a proactive FoV-centric millimeter wave (mmWave) physical-layer multicast transmission. The problem is cast as a frame quality maximization problem subject to tight latency constraints and network stability. The problem is then decoupled into an HD frame request admission and scheduling subproblems and a matching theory game is formulated to solve the scheduling subproblem by associating requests from clusters of users to mmWave small cell base stations (SBSs) for their unicast/multicast transmission. Furthermore, for realistic modeling and simulation purposes, a real VR head-tracking dataset and a deep recurrent neural network (DRNN) based on gated recurrent units (GRUs) are leveraged. Extensive simulation results show how the content-reuse for clusters of users with highly overlapping FoVs brought in by multicasting reduces the VR frame delay in 12\%. This reduction is further boosted by proactiveness that cuts by half the average delays of both reactive unicast and multicast baselines while preserving HD delivery rates above 98\%. Finally, enforcing tight latency bounds shortens the delay-tail as evinced by 13\% lower delays in the 99th percentile.

cs.IT↗