arXiv subjects

Jay Patrikar

Publications and source records attributed to Jay Patrikar.

23 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2022

Predicting Like A Pilot: Dataset and Method to Predict Socially-Aware Aircraft Trajectories in Non-Towered Terminal Airspace

Pilots operating aircraft in un-towered airspace rely on their situational awareness and prior knowledge to predict the future trajectories of other agents. These predictions are conditioned on the past trajectories of other agents, agent-agent social interactions and environmental context such as airport location and weather. This paper provides a dataset, $\textit{TrajAir}$, that captures this behaviour in a non-towered terminal airspace around a regional airport. We also present a baseline socially-aware trajectory prediction algorithm, $\textit{TrajAirNet}$, that uses the dataset to predict the trajectories of all agents. The dataset is collected for 111 days over 8 months and contains ADS-B transponder data along with the corresponding METAR weather data. The data is processed to be used as a benchmark with other publicly available social navigation datasets. To the best of authors' knowledge, this is the first 3D social aerial navigation dataset thus introducing social navigation for autonomous aviation. $\textit{TrajAirNet}$ combines state-of-the-art modules in social navigation to provide predictions in a static environment with a dynamic context. Both the $\textit{TrajAir}$ dataset and $\textit{TrajAirNet}$ prediction algorithm are open-source. The dataset, codebase, and video are available at https://theairlab.org/trajair/, https://github.com/castacks/trajairnet, and https://youtu.be/elAQXrxB2gw respectively.

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arXiv2021

Drone flight data reveal energy and greenhouse gas emissions savings for small package delivery

The adoption of Uncrewed Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) for last-mile deliveries will affect the energy productivity of package delivery and require new methods to understand the associated energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Here we combine empirical testing of 187 quadcopter flights with first principles analysis to develop a usable energy model for drone package delivery. We develop a machine-learning algorithm to assess energy use across three different flight regimes: takeoff, cruise, and landing. Our model shows that, in the US, a small electric quadcopter drone with a payload of 1 kg would consume approximately 0.05 MJ/km and result in 41 g of CO$_{2}$e per package. The energy per package delivered by drones (0.19 MJ/package) can be up to 96\% lower than conventional transportation modes. Our open model and generalizable coefficients can assist stakeholders in understanding and improving the energy use of drone package delivery.

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arXiv2021

Adaptive Safety Margin Estimation for Safe Real-Time Replanning under Time-Varying Disturbance

Safe navigation in real-time is challenging because engineers need to work with uncertain vehicle dynamics, variable external disturbances, and imperfect controllers. A common safety strategy is to inflate obstacles by hand-defined margins. However, arbitrary static margins often fail in more dynamic scenarios, and using worst-case assumptions is overly conservative for most settings where disturbances over time. In this work, we propose a middle ground: safety margins that adapt on-the-fly. In an offline phase, we use Monte Carlo simulations to pre-compute a library of safety margins for multiple levels of disturbance uncertainties. Then, at runtime, our system estimates the current disturbance level to query the associated safety margins that best trades off safety and performance. We validate our approach with extensive simulated and real-world flight tests. We show that our adaptive method significantly outperforms static margins, allowing the vehicle to operate up to 1.5 times faster than worst-case static margins while maintaining safety. Video: https://youtu.be/SHzKHSUjdUU

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arXiv2021

CVaR-based Flight Energy Risk Assessment for Multirotor UAVs using a Deep Energy Model

Energy management is a critical aspect of risk assessment for Uncrewed Aerial Vehicle (UAV) flights, as a depleted battery during a flight brings almost guaranteed vehicle damage and a high risk of human injuries or property damage. Predicting the amount of energy a flight will consume is challenging as routing, weather, obstacles, and other factors affect the overall consumption. We develop a deep energy model for a UAV that uses Temporal Convolutional Networks to capture the time varying features while incorporating static contextual information. Our energy model is trained on a real world dataset and does not require segregating flights into regimes. We illustrate an improvement in power predictions by $29\%$ on test flights when compared to a state-of-the-art analytical method. Using the energy model, we can predict the energy usage for a given trajectory and evaluate the risk of running out of battery during flight. We propose using Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) as a metric for quantifying this risk. We show that CVaR captures the risk associated with worst-case energy consumption on a nominal path by transforming the output distribution of Monte Carlo forward simulations into a risk space. Computing the CVaR on the risk-space distribution provides a metric that can evaluate the overall risk of a flight before take-off. Our energy model and risk evaluation method can improve flight safety and evaluate the coverage area from a proposed takeoff location. The video and codebase are available at https://youtu.be/PHXGigqilOA and https://git.io/cvar-risk .

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

In-flight positional and energy use data set of a DJI Matrice 100 quadcopter for small package delivery

We autonomously direct a small quadcopter package delivery Uncrewed Aerial Vehicle (UAV) or "drone" to take off, fly a specified route, and land for a total of 209 flights while varying a set of operational parameters. The vehicle was equipped with onboard sensors, including GPS, IMU, voltage and current sensors, and an ultrasonic anemometer, to collect high-resolution data on the inertial states, wind speed, and power consumption. Operational parameters, such as commanded ground speed, payload, and cruise altitude, are varied for each flight. This large data set has a total flight time of 10 hours and 45 minutes and was collected from April to October of 2019 covering a total distance of approximately 65 kilometers. The data collected were validated by comparing flights with similar operational parameters. We believe these data will be of great interest to the research and industrial communities, who can use the data to improve UAV designs, safety, and energy efficiency, as well as advance the physical understanding of in-flight operations for package delivery drones.

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