SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Jay Wang

Publications and source records attributed to Jay Wang.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Multimodal Injury Risk Prediction in Tennis

Machine learning has had a significant positive impact on the prediction of athlete performance and injury risk. Most works in this field rely on subjective observations and expert assessments, which restrict their effectiveness. In sports like soccer, basketball, and wrestling, some studies attempt to address this challenge by integrating data from alternative sources, such as readings from wearable devices, alongside traditional subjective observations and expert assessments to enhance accuracy. However, similar research in tennis remains largely unexplored. In this paper, we propose a multimodal Predictive Athlete Readiness framework for Tennis (PART) to assess both performance and injury risk in tennis players. By leveraging machine learning and deep learning techniques, PART processes multiple sources of data collected from nine collegiate tennis players, including physiological metrics, training and match data, sleep data from wearable devices, self-reported information via daily questionnaires, jump assessments, and motion analysis from match play videos. PART captures four characteristics of tennis players: overall wellness, injury risk, physical capability, and playing style. By integrating these four characteristics by supervised learning, it is capable of providing a holistic assessment of the tennis athlete's condition, along with advanced forecasts of specific body areas at risk such as the upper body (e.g., elbows) or lower body (e.g., knees). Our evaluation, conducted with data from nine collegiate tennis players, shows that PART achieves strong performance in predicting both overall wellness and injury risk. Additionally, our framework also shows promise for recreational tennis players, who often suffer from injuries due to incorrect playing techniques.

cs.LG

Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models for Short Term Electricity Price Forecasting in Australia's National Electricity Market

Short term electricity price forecast is essential in competitive power markets, yet electricity price series exhibit high volatility, irregularity, and non-stationarity. This phenomenon is pronounced in the South Australian region of the National Electricity Market, where high renewable penetration drives price volatility and frequent negative price intervals, while structural changes such as the transition to five-minute settlement further complicate forecast. To address these challenges, this study develops a unified benchmark framework. Under identical data preprocessing, feature engineering with lag features, rolling statistics, cyclic temporal encodings, and so on, and an 85% to 15% chronological train test split, six algorithms are systematically compared, including AWMLSTM, CatBoost, GBRT, LSTM, LightGBM, and SVR. The results show that for price prediction, tree-based models, especially GBRT with an R squared value of 0.88, generally outperform LSTM and SVR. However, all models achieve a mean absolute percentage error above 90%, and more than 65% of GBRT predictions have relative errors above 10%, which highlights the inherent difficulty of price forecast. For demand prediction, all models perform substantially better than in price prediction. AWMLSTM and GBRT achieve an R2 value of 0.96 with mean absolute percentage error below 32%, and GBRT has 74.37% of samples within 5% error, while LSTM and SVR perform less accurately in both tasks. Future improvements should focus on hybrid models such as tree plus transformers, data augmentation for extreme events, and error correction to better capture price spikes.

cs.LG