arXiv subjects

Jean-Marc Petit

Publications and source records attributed to Jean-Marc Petit.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

First multi-opposition recoveries of large-orbit LSST TNOs

We report 2026 CFHT second-opposition recovery observations of three large-orbit Trans-Neptunian Objects (TNOs) discovered by the Vera C. Rubin Telescope's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) during preliminary observations in 2025. Due to their potential scientific interest, we selected three TNOs whose nominal semimajor axis could be larger than 100~au according to their short-arc ($\leq0.2$-yr) LSST observations. These three targets (2025 LS2, 2025 ME278, 2025 MX348) had discovery opposition orbits of varying observation quality (in terms of the duration and distribution of observations). In two cases, the 2026 CFHT recoveries showed that the semimajor axis dropped by a factor of $\simeq$3-10, and that the object appears to be a (common) plutino in the 3:2 mean-motion resonance with Neptune. We discuss how and why the estimated orbital elements evolved, and re-caution the community to be skeptical of unusual TNO orbits until they have multi-opposition recoveries.

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arXiv2026

Col-OSSOS: Investigating the Origins of Different Surfaces in the Primordial Kuiper Belt

The Colours of the Outer Solar System Origins Survey (Col-OSSOS) measured the optical/NIR colours of a brightness-complete sample of Trans-Neptunian Objects (TNOs). Like previous surveys, this one found a bimodal colour distribution in TNOs, categorised as red and very red. Additionally, this survey proposed an alternative surface classification scheme: FaintIR and BrightIR. Cold classical TNOs mostly have very red or FaintIR surfaces, while dynamically excited TNOs show a mixture of surfaces. This likely indicates that formation locations and proximity to the Sun influenced surface characteristics and color changes. Our study combines the data from Col-OSSOS with two dynamical models describing the formation of the Kuiper belt during Neptune's migration. We investigate the proposed surface-colour changing line and explore the distribution of different surfaces within the primordial disk. By comparing radial colour transitions across various scenarios, we explore the origins of surface characteristics and their implications within the context of BrightIR and FaintIR classifications. Moreover, we extend our analysis to examine the distribution of these surface classes within the present-day Kuiper Belt, providing insights into the configuration of the early solar system's planetesimal disk prior to giant planet migration. We find that the most likely primordial disk compositions are inner neutral / outer red (with transition $30.0^{+1.1}_{-1.2}$ au), or inner BrightIR / outer FaintIR (with transition $31.5^{+1.1}_{-1.2}$ au).

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arXiv2025

RED2Hunt: an Actionable Framework for Cleaning Operational Databases with Surrogate Keys

Surrogate keys are now extensively utilized by database designers to implement keys in SQL tables. They are straightforward, easy to understand, and enable efficient access, despite lacking any real-world semantic meaning. In this context, complex redundancy issues might emerge and often go unnoticed as long as they do not affect the operational applications built on top of the databases. These issues become evident when organizations seek to leverage data science, posing significant challenges to the implementation of analytical projects. This paper, grounded in real-world applications, defines the concept of artificial unicity and proposes RED2Hunt (RElational Databases REDundancy Hunting), a human-in-the-loop framework for identifying hidden redundancy and, if problems occur, cleaning relational databases implemented with surrogate keys. We first define the central and intricate notion of artificial unicity and then the RED2Hunt framework to address it. We rely on simple abstractions easy to visualize based on the so-called redundancy profile associated to some relations and the notion of attribute stability. Quite interestingly, those profiles can be computed very efficiently in quasi-linear time. We have devised different metrics to guide the domain expert and an actionable framework to generate new redundancy-free databases. The proposed framework was implemented on top of PostgreSQL. From the publicly available IMDB database, we have generated synthetic databases, implementing different redundancy scenarios, on which we tested RED2Hunt to study its scalability. RED2Hunt has also been tested on operational databases implemented with surrogate keys. Lessons learned from these real-life applications are discussed.

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arXiv2025

Retrograde predominance of small saturnian moons reiterates a recent retrograde collisional disruption

We report the discovery and careful orbital determination of 64 new irregular moons of Saturn found in images taken using the Canada-France-Hawaii Telescope from 2019-2021, bringing the total number of saturnian irregulars to 122. By more than doubling the sample of saturnian irregular moon orbits, including pushing to smaller sizes, we can now see finer detail in their orbital distribution. We note the emergence of potential subgroups associated with each of Siarnaq and Kiviuq within the Inuit group. We find that in the inclination range 157-172 degrees the ratio of smaller moons (diameters less than 4 km) to larger moons (diameters greater than 4 km) is significantly larger than that of any other inclination range in the retrogrades. We denote this subset of the Norse group as the Mundilfari subgroup after its largest member. The incredibly steep slope of the Mundilfari subgroup's size distribution, with a differential power law index of q = 6, strengthens the hypothesis in Ashton et al. (2021) that this subgroup was created by a recent catastrophic collision, $<10^8$ yr ago.

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arXiv2025

An Extremely Deep Rubin Survey to Explore the Extended Kuiper Belt and Identify Objects Observable by New Horizons

A proposed Vera C. Rubin Observatory Deep Drilling micro-survey of the Kuiper Belt will investigate key properties of the distant solar system. Utilizing 30 hours of Rubin time across six 5-hour visits over one year starting in summer 2026, the survey aims to discover and determine orbits for up to 730 Kuiper Belt Objects (KBOs) to an $r$-magnitude of 27.5. These discoveries will enable precise characterization of the KBO size distribution, which is critical for understanding planetesimal formation. By aligning the survey field with NASA's {\it New Horizons} spacecraft trajectory, the micro-survey will facilitate discoveries for the mission operating in the Kuiper Belt. Modeling based on the Outer Solar System Origin Survey (OSSOS) predicts at least 12 distant KBOs observable with the {\it New Horizons} LOng Range Reconnaissance Imager (LORRI) and approximately three objects within 1~au of the spacecraft, allowing higher-resolution observations than Earth-based facilities. LORRI's high solar phase angle monitoring will reveal these objects' surface properties and shapes, potentially identifying contact binaries and orbit-class surface correlations. The survey could identify a KBO suitable for a future spacecraft flyby. The survey's size, depth, and cadence design will deliver transformative measurements of the Kuiper Belt's size distribution and rotational properties across distance, size, and orbital class. Additionally, the high stellar density in the survey field also offers synergies with transiting exoplanet studies.

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arXiv2024

The New Horizons Extended Mission Target: Arrokoth Search and Discovery

Following the Pluto fly-by of the New Horizons spacecraft, the mission provided a unique opportunity to explore the Kuiper Belt in-situ. The possibility existed to fly-by a Kuiper Belt object (KBO) as well as to observe additional objects at distances closer than are feasible from earth-orbit facilities. However, at the time of launch no KBOs were known about that were accessible by the spacecraft. In this paper we present the results of 10 years of observations and three uniquely dedicated efforts -- two ground-based using the Subaru Suprime Camera, the Magellan MegaCam and IMACS Cameras, and one with the Hubble Space Telescope -- to find such KBOs for study. In this paper we overview the search criteria and strategies employed in our work and detail the analysis efforts to locate and track faint objects in the galactic plane. We also present a summary of all of the KBOs that were discovered as part of our efforts and how spacecraft targetability was assessed, including a detailed description of our astrometric analysis which included development of an extensive secondary calibration network. Overall, these efforts resulted in the discovery of 89 KBOs including 11 which became objects for distant observation by New Horizons and (486958) Arrokoth which became the first post-Pluto fly-by destination.

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arXiv2023

The hot main Kuiper belt size distribution from OSSOS

Using the absolute detection calibration and abundant detections of the OSSOS (Outer Solar System Origin Survey) project, we provide population measurements for the main Kuiper Belt. For absolute magnitude $H_r<8.3$, there are 30,000 non-resonant main-belt objects, with twice as many hot-component objects than cold, and with total mass of 0.014 $M_\Earth$, only 1/7 of which is in the cold belt (assuming a cold-object albedo about half that of hot component objects). We show that transneptunian objects with $5.5 < H_r < 8.3$ (rough diameters 400--100~km) have indistinguishable absolute magnitude (size) distributions, regardless of being in the cold classical Kuiper belt (thought to be primordial) or the `hot' population (believed to be implanted after having been formed elsewhere). We discuss how this result was not apparent in previous examinations of the size distribution due to the complications of fitting assumed power-law functional forms to the detections at differing depths. This shared size distribution is surprising in light of the common paradigm that the hot population planetesimals formed in a higher density environment much closer to the Sun, in an environment that also (probably later) formed larger (dwarf planet and bigger) objects. If this paradigm is correct, % << BG added clause our result implies that planetesimal formation was relatively insensitive to the local disk conditions and that the subsequent planet-building process in the hot population did not modify the shape of the planetesimal size distribution in this 50--300~km range.

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arXiv2023

OSSOS. XXIX. The Population and Perihelion Distribution of the Detached Kuiper Belt

The detached transneptunian objects (TNOs) are those with semimajor axes beyond the 2:1 resonance with Neptune, which are neither resonant nor scattering. Using the detached sample from the OSSOS telescopic survey, we produce the first studies of their orbital distribution based on matching the orbits and numbers of the known TNOs after accounting for survey biases. We show that the detached TNO perihelion ($q$) distribution cannot be uniform, but is instead better matched by two uniform components with a break near $q\approx40$ au. We produce parametric two-component models that are not rejectable by the OSSOS data set, and estimate that there are $36,\!000^{+12,000}_{-9,000}$ detached TNOs with absolute magnitudes $H_r < 8.66$ ($D \gtrsim 100$ km) and semimajor axes $48 < a < 250$ au (95% confidence limits). Although we believe these heuristic two-parameter models yield a correct population estimate, we then use the same methods to show that the perihelion distribution of a detached disk created by a simulated rogue planet matches the $q$ distribution even better, suggesting that the temporary presence of other planets in the early Solar System is a promising model to create today's large semimajor axis TNO population. This numerical model results in a detached TNO population estimate of $48,\!000^{+15,000}_{-12,000}$. Because this illustrates how difficult-to-detect $q>50$ au objects are likely present, we conclude that there are $(5 \pm 2)\times10^4$ dynamically detached TNOs, which are thus roughly twice as numerous as the entire transneptunian hot main belt.

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arXiv2023

Functional Dependencies with Predicates: What Makes the $g_3$-error Easy to Compute?

The notion of functional dependencies (FDs) can be used by data scientists and domain experts to confront background knowledge against data. To overcome the classical, too restrictive, satisfaction of FDs, it is possible to replace equality with more meaningful binary predicates, and use a coverage measure such as the $g_3$-error to estimate the degree to which a FD matches the data. It is known that the $g_3$-error can be computed in polynomial time if equality is used, but unfortunately, the problem becomes NP-complete when relying on more general predicates instead. However, there has been no analysis of which class of predicates or which properties alter the complexity of the problem, especially when going from equality to more general predicates. In this work, we provide such an analysis. We focus on the properties of commonly used predicates such as equality, similarity relations, and partial orders. These properties are: reflexivity, transitivity, symmetry, and antisymmetry. We show that symmetry and transitivity together are sufficient to guarantee that the $g_3$-error can be computed in polynomial time. However, dropping either of them makes the problem NP-complete.

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arXiv2021

Col-OSSOS: Probing Ice Line/Color Transitions within the Kuiper Belt's Progenitor Populations

Dynamically excited objects within the Kuiper belt show a bimodal distribution in their surface colors, and these differing surface colors may be a tracer of where these objects formed. In this work we explore radial color distributions in the primordial planetesimal disk and implications for the positions of ice line/color transitions within the Kuiper belt's progenitor populations. We combine a full dynamical model of the Kuiper belt's evolution due to Neptune's migration with precise surface colors measured by the Colours of the Outer Solar System Origins Survey in order to examine the true color ratios within the Kuiper belt and the ice lines within the primordial disk. We investigate the position of a dominant, surface color changing ice-line, with two possible surface color layouts within the initial disk; (1) inner neutral surfaces and outer red, and (2) inner red surfaces and outer neutral. We performed simulations with a primordial disk that truncates at 30 au. By radially stepping the color transition out through 0.5 au intervals we show that both disk configurations are consistent with the observed color fraction. For an inner neutral, outer red primordial disk we find that the color transition can be at $28^{+2}_{-3}$ au at a 95% confidence level. For an inner red, outer neutral primordial disk the color transition can be at $27^{+3}_{-3}$ au at a 95% confidence level.

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arXiv2021

OSSOS. XXIII. 2013 VZ70 and the Temporary Coorbitals of the Giant Planet

We present the discovery of 2013 VZ70, the first known horseshoe coorbital companion of Saturn. Observed by the Outer Solar System Origins Survey (OSSOS) for 4.5 years, the orbit of 2013 VZ70 is determined to high precision, revealing that it currently is in `horseshoe' libration with the planet. This coorbital motion will last at least thousands of years but ends ~10 kyr from now; 2013 VZ70 is thus another example of the already-known `transient coorbital' populations of the giant planets, with this being the first known prograde example for Saturn (temporary retrograde coorbitals are known for Jupiter and Saturn). We present a theoretical steady state model of the scattering population of trans-Neptunian origin in the giant planet region (2--34 au), including the temporary coorbital populations of the four giant planets. We expose this model to observational biases using survey simulations in order to compare the model to the real detections made by a set of well-characterized outer Solar System surveys. While the observed number of coorbitals relative to the scattering population is higher than predicted, we show that the number of observed transient coorbitals of each giant planet relative to each other is consistent with a transneptunian source.

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arXiv2021

OSSOS finds an Exponential Cutoff in the Size Distribution of the Cold Classical Kuiper belt

The cold main classical Kuiper Belt consists of those non-resonant small solar system bodies with low orbital inclinations and orbital semi-major axes between 42.4 and 47.7 au. These objects likely formed \textit{in situ} and the population has experienced minimal collisional modification since formation. Using the Outer Solar System Origins Survey (OSSOS) ensemble sample and characterization, combined with constraints from deeper surveys and supported by evidence from the Minor Planet Center catalog and the Deep Ecliptic Survey, we determine the absolute magnitude $H_r$ distribution of the cold classical belt from $H_r\simeq5$ to 12 (roughly diameters of 400 km to 20 km). We conclude that the cold population's $H_r$ distribution exhibits an exponential cutoff at large sizes. Exponential cutoffs at large sizes are not a natural outcome of pair-wise particle accretion but exponentially tapered power-law size distributions are a feature of numerical simulations of planetesimal formation via a streaming instability. Our observation of an exponential cutoff agrees with previous observational inferences that no large objects ($D \gtrsim 400$ km) exist in the cold population. We note that the asymptotic slope of the $H_r$ distribution is consistent with $α\sim 0.4$ and this asymptotic slope is also found in streaming instability modelling of planetesimal formation and is thus not necessarily associated with achieving collisional equilibrium. Studies of the transneptunian region are providing the parameters that will enable future streaming-instability studies to determine the initial conditions of planetesimal formation in the $\approx$45 au region of the Sun's protoplanetary disk.

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arXiv2021

Collision Probabilities in the Edgeworth-Kuiper belt

Here, we present results on the intrinsic collision probabilities, $ P_I$, and range of collision speeds, $V_I$, as a function of the heliocentric distance, $r$, in the trans-Neptunian region. The collision speed is one of the parameters, that serves as a proxy to a collisional outcome e.g., complete disruption and scattering of fragments, or formation of crater, where both processes are directly related to the impact energy. We utilize an improved and de-biased model of the trans-Neptunian object (TNO) region from the "Outer Solar System Origins Survey" (OSSOS). It provides a well-defined orbital distribution model of TNOs, based on multiple opposition observations of more than 1000 bodies. In this work we compute collisional probabilities for the OSSOS models of the main classical, resonant, detached+outer and scattering TNO populations. The intrinsic collision probabilities and collision speeds are computed using the Öpik's approach, as revised and modified by Wetherill for non-circular and inclined orbits. The calculations are carried out for each of the dynamical TNO groups, allowing for inter-population collisions as well as collisions within each TNO population, resulting in 28 combinations in total. Our results indicate that collisions in the trans-Neptunian region are possible over a wide range in ($r, V_I$) phase space. Although collisions are calculated to happen within $r\sim 20 - 200$~AU and $V_I \sim 0.1$~km/s to as high as $V_I\sim9$~km/s, most of the collisions are likely to happen at low relative velocities $V_I<1$~km/s and are dominated by the main classical belt.

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arXiv2021

OSSOS: The Eccentricity and Inclination Distributions of the Stable Neptunian Trojans

The minor planets on orbits that are dynamically stable in Neptune's 1:1 resonance on Gyr timescales were likely emplaced by Neptune's outward migration. We explore the intrinsic libration amplitude, eccentricity, and inclination distribution of Neptune's stable Trojans, using the detections and survey efficiency of the Outer Solar System Origins Survey (OSSOS) and Pan-STARRS1. We find that the libration amplitude of the stable Neptunian Trojan population can be well modeled as a Rayleigh distribution with a libration amplitude width $σ_{A_phi}$ of 15$^\circ$. When taken as a whole, the Neptune Trojan population can be acceptably modeled with a Rayleigh eccentricity distribution of width $σ_e$ of 0.045 and a typical sin(i) x Gaussian inclination distribution with a width $σ_i$ of 14 +/- 2 degrees. However, these distributions are only marginally acceptable. This is likely because, even after accounting for survey detection biases, the known large Hr < 8 and small Hr >= 8 Neptune Trojans appear to have markedly different eccentricities and inclinations. We propose that like the classical Kuiper belt, the stable intrinsic Neptunian Trojan population have dynamically `hot' and dynamically `cold' components to its eccentricity/inclination distribution, with $σ_{e-cold}$ ~ 0.02 / $σ_{i-cold}$ ~ 6$^\circ$ and $σ_{e-hot}$~ 0.05 / $σ_{i-hot}$ ~ 18$^\circ$. In this scenario, the `cold' L4 Neptunian Trojan population lacks the Hr >= 8 members and has 13 +11/-6 `cold' Trojans with Hr < 8. On the other hand, the `hot' L4 Neptunian Trojan population has 136 +57/-48 Trojans with Hr < 10 -- a population 2.4 times greater than that of the L4 Jovian Trojans in the same luminosity range.

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arXiv2020

OSSOS XX: The Meaning of Kuiper Belt Colors

Observations show that 100-km-class Kuiper belt objects (KBOs) can be divided in (at least) two color groups, hereafter red (R, g-i<1.2) and very red (VR, g-i>1.2), reflecting a difference in their surface composition. This is thought to imply that KBOs formed over a relatively wide range of radial distance, r. The cold classicals at 42 r*, with 30<r*<40 au. The proposed transition at 30<r*<40 au would explain why the VR objects in the dynamically hot population have smaller orbital inclinations than the R objects, because the orbital excitation from Neptune weakens for orbits starting beyond 30 au. Possible causes of the R-VR color bimodality are discussed.

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arXiv2020

Col-OSSOS: Compositional homogeneity of three Kuiper belt binaries

The surface characterization of Trans-Neptunian Binaries (TNBs) is key to understanding the properties of the disk of planetesimals from which these objects formed. In the optical wavelengths, it has been demonstrated that most equal-sized component systems share similar colors, suggesting they have a similar composition. The color homogeneity of binary pairs contrasts with the overall diversity of colors in the Kuiper belt, which was interpreted as evidence that Trans-Neptunian Objects (TNOs) formed from a locally homogeneous and globally heterogeneous protoplanetary disk. In this paradigm, binary pairs must have formed early, before the dynamically hot TNOs were scattered out from their formation location. The latter inferences, however, relied on the assumption that the matching colors of the binary components imply matching composition. Here, we test this assumption by examining the component-resolved photometry of three TNBs found in the Outer Solar System Origins Survey: 505447 (2013 SQ99), 511551 (2014 UD225) and 506121 (2016 BP81), across the visible and J-band near-infrared wavelength range. We report similar colors within 2 sigma for the binary pairs suggestive of similar reflectance spectra and hence surface composition. This advocates for gravitational collapse of pebble clouds as a possible TNO formation route. We however stress that several similarly small TNOs, including at least one binary, have been shown to exhibit substantial spectral variability in the near-infrared, implying color equality of binary pairs is likely to be violated in some cases.

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arXiv2019

OSSOS XVIII: Constraining migration models with the 2:1 resonance using the Outer Solar System Origins Survey

Resonant dynamics plays a significant role in the past evolution and current state of our outer Solar System. The population ratios and spatial distribution of Neptune's resonant populations are direct clues to understanding the history of our planetary system. The orbital structure of the objects in Neptune's 2:1 mean-motion resonance (\emph{twotinos}) has the potential to be a tracer of planetary migration processes. Different migration processes produce distinct architectures, recognizable by well-characterized surveys. However, previous characterized surveys only discovered a few twotinos, making it impossible to model the intrinsic twotino population. With a well-designed cadence and nearly 100\% tracking success, the Outer Solar System Origins Survey (OSSOS) discovered 838 trans-Neptunian objects, of which 34 are securely twotinos with well-constrained libration angles and amplitudes. We use the OSSOS twotinos and the survey characterization parameters via the OSSOS Survey Simulator to inspect the intrinsic population and orbital distributions of twotino. The estimated twotino population, 4400$^{+1500}_{-1100}$ with $H_r<8.66$ (diameter$\sim$100km) at 95\% confidence, is consistent with the previous low-precision estimate. We also constrain the width of the inclination distribution to a relatively narrow value of $σ_i$=6$^\circ$$^{+1}_{-1}$, and find the eccentricity distribution is consistent with a Gaussian centered on $e_\mathrm{c}=0.275$ with a width $e_\mathrm{w}=0.06$. We find a single-slope exponential luminosity function with $α=0.6$ for the twotinos. Finally, we for the first time meaningfully constrain the fraction of symmetric twotinos, and the ratio of the leading asymmetric islands; both fractions are in a range of 0.2--0.6. These measurements rule out certain theoretical models of Neptune's migration history.

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arXiv2019

OSSOS IXX: Testing Early Solar System Dynamical Models using OSSOS Centaur Detections

We use published models of the early Solar System evolution with a slow, long-range and grainy migration of Neptune to predict the orbital element distributions and the number of modern-day Centaurs. The model distributions are biased by the OSSOS survey simulator and compared with the OSSOS Centaur detections. We find an excellent match to the observed orbital distribution, including the wide range of orbital inclinations which was the most troublesome characteristic to fit in previous models. A dynamical model, in which the original population of outer disk planetesimals was calibrated from Jupiter Trojans, is used to predict that OSSOS should detect 11+/-4 Centaurs with semimajor axis a<30 au, perihelion distance q>7.5 au and diameter D>10 km (absolute magnitude H_r<13.7 for a 6% albedo). This is consistent with 15 actual OSSOS Centaur detections with H_r<13.7. The population of Centaurs is estimated to be 21,000+/-8,000 for D>10 km. The inner scattered disk at 50 10 km bodies and the Oort cloud should contain (5.0+/-1.9)x10^8 D>10 km comets. Population estimates for different diameter cutoffs can be obtained from the size distribution of Jupiter Trojans (N(>D) proportional to D^(-2.1) for 5<D<100 km). We discuss model predictions for the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope observations of Centaurs.

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