arXiv subjects

Jeferson de Souza

Publications and source records attributed to Jeferson de Souza.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2013

Components of multifractality in the Central England Temperature anomaly series

We study the multifractal nature of the Central England Temperature (CET) anomaly, a time series that spans more than 200 years. The series is analyzed as a complete data set and considering a sliding window of 11 years. In both cases, we quantify the broadness of the multifractal spectrum as well as its components defined by the deviations from the Gaussian distribution and the influence of the dependence between measurements. The results show that the chief contribution to the multifractal structure comes from the dynamical dependencies, mainly the weak ones, followed by a residual contribution of the deviations from Gaussianity. However, using the sliding window, we verify that the spikes in the non-Gaussian contribution occur at very close dates associated with climate changes determined in previous works by component analysis methods. Moreover, the strong non-Gaussian contribution found in the multifractal measures from the 1960s onwards is in agreement with global results very recently proposed in the literature.

physics.ao-ph↗

arXiv2007

Effective multifractal features and l-variability diagrams of high-frequency price fluctuations time series

In this manuscript we present a comprehensive study on the multifractal properties of high-frequency price fluctuations and instantaneous volatility of the equities that compose Dow Jones Industrial Average. The analysis consists about quantification of dependence and non-Gaussianity on the multifractal character of financial quantities. Our results point out an equivalent influence of dependence and non-Gaussianity on the multifractality of time series. Moreover, we analyse l-diagrams of price fluctuations. In the latter case, we show that the fractal dimension of these maps is basically independent of the lag between price fluctuations that we assume.

q-fin.ST↗

arXiv2006

A nonextensive approach to the dynamics of financial observables

We present results about financial market observables, specifically returns and traded volumes. They are obtained within the current nonextensive statistical mechanical framework based on the entropy $S_{q}=k\frac{1-\sum\limits_{i=1}^{W} p_{i} ^{q}}{1-q} (q\in \Re)$ ($S_{1} \equiv S_{BG}=-k\sum\limits_{i=1}^{W}p_{i} \ln p_{i}$). More precisely, we present stochastic dynamical mechanisms which mimic probability density functions empirically observed. These mechanisms provide possible interpretations for the emergence of the entropic indices $q$ in the time evolution of the corresponding observables. In addition to this, through multi-fractal analysis of return time series, we verify that the dual relation $q_{stat}+q_{sens}=2$ is numerically satisfied, $q_{stat}$ and $q_{sens}$ being associated to the probability density function and to the sensitivity to initial conditions respectively. This type of simple relation, whose understanding remains ellusive, has been empirically verified in various other systems.

physics.data-an↗

arXiv2005

On statistical properties of traded volume in financial markets

In this article we study the dependence degree of the traded volume of the Dow Jones 30 constituent equities by using a nonextensive generalised form of the Kullback-Leibler information measure. Our results show a slow decay of the dependence degree as a function of the lag. This feature is compatible with the existence of non-linearities in this type time series. In addition, we introduce a dynamical mechanism whose associated stationary probability density function (PDF) presents a good agreement with the empirical results.

physics.data-an↗