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Jennifer L. Steele

Publications and source records attributed to Jennifer L. Steele.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Helping People Choose Careers in the Age of AI

How should people choose careers when artificial intelligence (AI) is rapidly transforming the nature of work? We first compare six recent projections of occupational exposure to task automation with AI, examining their methods and assumptions. We then propose a new empirical model of occupational AI exposure based on 2025 query data from Anthropic and OpenAI. We find marked heterogeneity in model predictions, though models published since 2020 show positive relationships among AI exposure, salaries, and occupational complexity. To reduce uncertainty due to heterogeneous assumptions about task automation potential, we average the projections from five models, including our own. Using these averages, we report on likely tradeoffs between salaries and AI exposure across interest categories, O*NET Job Zones, and job fields. Jobs in healthcare practice show the strongest balance of higher pay with lower AI exposure. Among jobs making high use of Anthropic's Claude, those that use it as a complement rather than a substitute for human work are modestly higher-paying, though whether this pattern holds will depend on usage norms adopted in each field.

econ.GN

Compressing Search with Language Models

Millions of people turn to Google Search each day for information on things as diverse as new cars or flu symptoms. The terms that they enter contain valuable information on their daily intent and activities, but the information in these search terms has been difficult to fully leverage. User-defined categorical filters have been the most common way to shrink the dimensionality of search data to a tractable size for analysis and modeling. In this paper we present a new approach to reducing the dimensionality of search data while retaining much of the information in the individual terms without user-defined rules. Our contributions are two-fold: 1) we introduce SLaM Compression, a way to quantify search terms using pre-trained language models and create a representation of search data that has low dimensionality, is memory efficient, and effectively acts as a summary of search, and 2) we present CoSMo, a Constrained Search Model for estimating real world events using only search data. We demonstrate the efficacy of our contributions by estimating with high accuracy U.S. automobile sales and U.S. flu rates using only Google Search data.

cs.IR