arXiv subjects

Jens Pomoell

Publications and source records attributed to Jens Pomoell.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

Modelling the interaction of Alfvénic fluctuations with coronal mass ejections in the low solar corona

Alfvénic fluctuations of various scales are ubiquitous in the corona; their non-linear interactions and eventual turbulent cascade result in an important heating mechanism that accelerates the solar wind. These fluctuations may be processed by large-scale, transient, and coherent heliospheric structures such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs). In this study we investigate the interactions between Alfvénic solar wind fluctuations and CMEs using magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations. We study the transmission of upstream solar wind fluctuations into the CME leading to the formation of CME sheath fluctuations. Additionally, we investigate the influence of the fluctuation frequencies on the extent of the CME sheath. We used an ideal MHD model with an adiabatic equation of state. An Alfvén pump wave is injected into the quiet solar wind by perturbing the transverse magnetic field and velocity components, and a CME is injected by inserting a flux-rope modelled as a magnetic island into the quasi-steady solar wind. The upstream Alfvén waves experience a decrease in wavelength and change in the wave vector direction due to the non-radial topology of the CME shock front. The CME sheath inhibits the transmission of long-wavelength fluctuations due to the presence of non-radial flows in this region. The frequency of the solar wind fluctuations also affects the steepening of MHD fast waves causing the CME shock propagation speed to vary with the solar wind fluctuation frequencies.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2023

On the short term stability and tilting motion of a well-observed low-latitude solar coronal hole

The understanding of the solar magnetic coronal structure is tightly linked to the shape of open field regions, specifically coronal holes. A dynamically evolving coronal hole coincides with the local restructuring of open to closed magnetic field, which leads to changes in the interplanetary solar wind structure. By investigating the dynamic evolution of a fast-tilting coronal hole, we strive to uncover clues about what processes may drive its morphological changes, which are clearly visible in EUV filtergrams. Using combined 193A and 195A EUV observations by AIA/SDO and EUVI/STEREO_A, in conjunction with line-of-sight magnetograms taken by HMI/SDO, we track and analyze a coronal hole over 12 days to derive changes in morphology, area and magnetic field. We complement this analysis by potential field source surface modeling to compute the open field structure of the coronal hole. We find that the coronal hole exhibits an apparent tilting motion over time that cannot solely be explained by solar differential rotation. It tilts at a mean rate of ~3.2°/day that accelerates up to ~5.4°/day. At the beginning of May, the area of the coronal hole decreases by more than a factor of three over four days (from ~13 * 10^9 km^2 to ~4 * 10^9 km^2), but its open flux remains constant (~2 * 10^20 Mx). Further, the observed evolution is not reproduced by modeling that assumes the coronal magnetic field to be potential. In this study, we present a solar coronal hole that tilts at a rate that has yet to be reported in literature. The rate exceeds the effect of the coronal hole being advected by either photospheric or coronal differential rotation. Based on the analysis we find it likely that this is due to morphological changes in the coronal hole boundary caused by ongoing interchange reconnection and the interaction with a newly emerging ephemeral region in its vicinity.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2023

The Automatic Identification and Tracking of Coronal Flux Ropes -- Part I: Footpoints and Fluxes

Investigating the early-stage evolution of an erupting flux rope from the Sun is important to understand the mechanisms of how it looses its stability and its space weather impacts. Our aim is to develop an efficient scheme for tracking the early dynamics of erupting solar flux ropes and use the algorithm to analyse its early-stage properties. The algorithm is tested on a data-driven simulation of an eruption that took place in active region AR12473. We investigate the modelled flux rope's footpoint movement and magnetic flux evolution and compare with observational data from the Solar Dynamics Observatory's Atmospheric Imaging Assembly in the 211 $\unicode{x212B}$ and 1600 $\unicode{x212B}$ channels. To carry out our analysis, we use the time-dependent data-driven magnetofrictional model (TMFM). We also perform another modelling run, where we stop the driving of the TMFM midway through the flux rope's rise through the simulation domain and evolve it instead with a zero-beta magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) approach. The developed algorithm successfully extracts a flux rope and its ascend through the simulation domain. We find that the movement of the modelled flux rope footpoints showcases similar trends in both TMFM and relaxation MHD run: they recede from their respective central location as the eruption progresses and the positive polarity footpoint region exhibits a more dynamic behaviour. The ultraviolet brightenings and extreme ultraviolet dimmings agree well with the models in terms of their dynamics. According to our modelling results, the toroidal magnetic flux in the flux rope first rises and then decreases. In our observational analysis, we capture the descending phase of toroidal flux. In conclusion, the extraction algorithm enables us to effectively study the flux rope's early dynamics and derive some of its key properties such as footpoint movement and toroidal magnetic flux.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2022

Eruption and Interplanetary Evolution of a Stealthy Streamer-Blowout CME Observed by PSP at ${\sim}$0.5~AU

Streamer-blowout coronal mass ejections (SBO-CMEs) are the dominant CME population during solar minimum. Although they are typically slow and lack clear low-coronal signatures, they can cause geomagnetic storms. With the aid of extrapolated coronal fields and remote observations of the off-limb low corona, we study the initiation of an SBO-CME preceded by consecutive CME eruptions consistent with a multi-stage sympathetic breakout scenario. From inner-heliospheric Parker Solar Probe (PSP) observations, it is evident that the SBO-CME is interacting with the heliospheric magnetic field and plasma sheet structures draped about the CME flux rope. We estimate that $18 \, \pm \, 11\%$ of the CME's azimuthal magnetic flux has been eroded through magnetic reconnection and that this erosion began after a heliospheric distance of ${\sim}0.35$ AU from the Sun was reached. This observational study has important implications for understanding the initiation of SBO-CMEs and their interaction with the heliospheric surroundings.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2022

Flux-tube-dependent propagation of Alfvén waves in the solar corona

Alfvén-wave turbulence has emerged as an important heating mechanism to accelerate the solar wind. The generation of this turbulent heating is dependent on the presence and subsequent interaction of counter-propagating alfvén waves. This requires us to understand the propagation and evolution of alfvén waves in the solar wind in order to develop an understanding of the relationship between turbulent heating and solar-wind parameters. We aim to study the response of the solar wind upon injecting monochromatic single-frequency alfvén waves at the base of the corona for various magnetic flux-tube geometries. We used an ideal magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model using an adiabatic equation of state. An Alfvén pump wave was injected into the quiet solar wind by perturbing the transverse magnetic field and velocity components. Alfvén waves were found to be reflected due to the development of the parametric decay instability (PDI). Further investigation revealed that the PDI was suppressed both by efficient reflections at low frequencies as well as magnetic flux-tube geometries.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2022

Observation-based modelling of the energetic storm particle event of 14 July 2012

We model the energetic storm particle (ESP) event of 14 July 2012 using the energetic particle acceleration and transport model named PARADISE, together with the solar wind and coronal mass ejection (CME) model named EUHFORIA. The simulation results illustrate both the capabilities and limitations of the utilised models. We show that the models capture some essential structural features of the ESP event; however, for some aspects the simulations and observations diverge. We describe and, to some extent, assess the sources of errors in the modelling chain of EUHFORIA and PARADISE and discuss how they may be mitigated in the future. The PARADISE model evolves energetic particle distributions in a background solar wind generated by the ideal MHD module of EUHFORIA. The CME generating the ESP event is simulated by using the spheromak model of EUHFORIA, which approximates the CME's flux rope as a linear force-free spheroidal magnetic field. In addition, a tool was developed to trace CME-driven shock waves in the EUHFORIA simulation domain. This tool is used in PARADISE to (i) inject 50 keV protons continuously at the CME-driven shock and (ii) include a foreshock and a sheath region, in which the energetic particle parallel mean free path, $λ_\parallel$, decreases towards the shock wave. The value of $λ_\parallel$ at the shock wave is estimated from in situ observations of the ESP event. For energies below 1 MeV, the simulation results agree well with both the upstream and downstream components of the ESP event observed by the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE). This suggests that these low-energy protons are mainly the result of interplanetary particle acceleration. In the downstream region, the sharp drop in the energetic particle intensities is reproduced at the entry into the following magnetic cloud, illustrating the importance of a magnetised CME model.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2021

The spheromak tilting and how it affects modelling coronal mass ejections

Spheromak type flux ropes are increasingly used for modelling coronal mass ejections (CMEs). Many models aim in accurately reconstructing the magnetic field topology of CMEs, considering its importance in assessing their impact on modern technology and human activities in space and on ground. However, so far there is little discussion about how the details of the magnetic structure of a spheromak affect its evolution through the ambient field in the modelling domain, and what impact this has on the accuracy of magnetic field topology predictions. If the spheromak has its axis of symmetry (geometric axis) at an angle with respect to the direction of the ambient field, then the spheromak starts rotating so that its symmetry axis finally aligns with the ambient field. When using the spheromak in space weather forecasting models this tilting can happen already during insertion and significantly affects the results. In this paper we highlight this issue previously not examined in the field of space weather and we estimate the angle by which the spheromak rotates under different conditions. To do this we generated simple purely radial ambient magnetic field topologies (weak/strong positive/negative) and inserted spheromaks with varying initial speed and tilt, and magnetic helicity sign. We employ different physical and geometric criteria to locate the magnetic centre of mass and axis of symmetry of the spheromak. We confirm that spheromaks rotate in all investigated conditions and their direction and angle of rotation depend on the spheromak's initial properties and ambient magnetic field strength and orientation.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2021

Understanding the Origins of Problem Geomagnetic Storms Associated With "Stealth" Coronal Mass Ejections

Geomagnetic storms are an important aspect of space weather and can result in significant impacts on space- and ground-based assets. The majority of strong storms are associated with the passage of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) in the near-Earth environment. In many cases, these ICMEs can be traced back unambiguously to a specific coronal mass ejection (CME) and solar activity on the frontside of the Sun. Hence, predicting the arrival of ICMEs at Earth from routine observations of CMEs and solar activity currently makes a major contribution to the forecasting of geomagnetic storms. However, it is clear that some ICMEs, which may also cause enhanced geomagnetic activity, cannot be traced back to an observed CME, or, if the CME is identified, its origin may be elusive or ambiguous in coronal images. Such CMEs have been termed "stealth CMEs." In this review, we focus on these "problem" geomagnetic storms in the sense that the solar/CME precursors are enigmatic and stealthy. We start by reviewing evidence for stealth CMEs discussed in past studies. We then identify several moderate to strong geomagnetic storms (minimum Dst < -50 nT) in solar cycle 24 for which the related solar sources and/or CMEs are unclear and apparently stealthy. We discuss the solar and in situ circumstances of these events and identify several scenarios that may account for their elusive solar signatures. These range from observational limitations (e.g., a coronagraph near Earth may not detect an incoming CME if it is diffuse and not wide enough) to the possibility that there is a class of mass ejections from the Sun that have only weak or hard-to-observe coronal signatures. In particular, some of these sources are only clearly revealed by considering the evolution of coronal structures over longer time intervals than is usually considered. We also review a variety of numerical modelling approaches...

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2021

Modeling a Coronal Mass Ejection from an Extended Filament Channel. I. Eruption and Early Evolution

We present observations and modeling of the magnetic field configuration, morphology, and dynamics of a large-scale, high-latitude filament eruption observed by the Solar Dynamics Observatory. We analyze the 2015 July 9-10 filament eruption and the evolution of the resulting coronal mass ejection (CME) through the solar corona. The slow streamer-blowout CME leaves behind an elongated post-eruption arcade above the extended polarity inversion line that is only poorly visible in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) disk observations and does not resemble a typical bright flare-loop system. Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulation results from our data-inspired modeling of this eruption compare favorably with the EUV and white-light coronagraph observations. We estimate the reconnection flux from the simulation's flare-arcade growth and examine the magnetic-field orientation and evolution of the erupting prominence, highlighting the transition from an erupting sheared-arcade filament channel into a streamer-blowout flux-rope CME. Our results represent the first numerical modeling of a global-scale filament eruption where multiple ambiguous and complex observational signatures in EUV and white light can be fully understood and explained with the MHD simulation. In this context, our findings also suggest that the so-called "stealth CME" classification, as a driver of unexpected or "problem" geomagnetic storms, belongs more to a continuum of observable/non-observable signatures than to separate or distinct eruption processes.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2021

Uncovering Erosion Effects on Magnetic Flux Rope Twist

Magnetic clouds (MCs) are transient structures containing large-scale magnetic flux ropes from solar eruptions. The twist of magnetic field lines around the rope axis reveals information about flux rope formation processes and geoeffectivity. During propagation, MC flux ropes may erode via reconnection with the ambient solar wind. Any erosion reduces the magnetic flux and helicity of the ropes, and changes their cross-sectional twist profiles. This study relates twist profiles in MC flux ropes observed at 1 AU to the amount of erosion undergone by the MCs in interplanetary space. The twist profiles of two well-identified MC flux ropes associated with the clear appearance of post eruption arcades in the solar corona are analysed. To infer the amount of erosion, the magnetic flux content of the ropes in the solar atmosphere is estimated, and compared to estimates at 1 AU. The first MC shows a monotonically decreasing twist from the axis to periphery, while the second displays high twist at the axis, rising twist near the edges, and lower twist in between. The first MC displays a larger reduction in magnetic flux between the Sun and 1 AU, suggesting more erosion, than that seen in the second MC. In the second cloud, rising twist at the rope edges may have been due to an envelope of overlying coronal field lines with relatively high twist, formed by reconnection beneath the erupting flux rope in the low corona. This high-twist envelope remained almost intact from the Sun to 1 AU due to the low erosion levels. In contrast, the high-twist envelope of the first cloud may have been entirely peeled away via erosion by the time it reaches 1 AU.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2021

A Self-consistent Simulation of Proton Acceleration and Transport Near a High-speed Solar Wind Stream

Solar wind stream interaction regions (SIRs) are often characterized by energetic ion enhancements. The mechanisms accelerating these particles, as well as the locations where the acceleration occurs, remain debated. Here, we report the findings of a simulation of a SIR event observed by Parker Solar Probe at ~0.56 au and the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory-Ahead at ~0.95 au in 2019 September when both spacecraft were approximately radially aligned with the Sun. The simulation reproduces the solar wind configuration and the energetic particle enhancements observed by both spacecraft. Our results show that the energetic particles are produced at the compression waves associated with the SIR and that the suprathermal tail of the solar wind is a good candidate to provide the seed population for particle acceleration. The simulation confirms that the acceleration process does not require shock waves and can already commence within Earth's orbit, with an energy dependence on the precise location where particles are accelerated. The three-dimensional configuration of the solar wind streams strongly modulates the energetic particle distributions, illustrating the necessity of advanced models to understand these particle events.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2020

Using radio triangulation to understand the origin of two subsequent type II radio bursts

Context: Eruptive events such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and flares accelerate particles and generate shock waves which can arrive at Earth and can disturb the magnetosphere. Understanding the association between CMEs and CME-driven shocks is therefore highly important for space weather studies. Aims: We present a study of the CME/flare event associated with two type II bursts observed on September 27, 2012. The aim of the study is to understand the relationship between the observed CME and the two distinct shock wave signatures. Methods: The multi-wavelength study of the eruptive event (CME/flare) was complemented with radio triangulation of the associated radio emission and modelling of the CME and the shock wave employing MHD simulations. Results: We found that, although temporal association between the type II bursts and the CME is good, the low-frequency type II(LF-type II) burst occurs significantly higher in the corona than the CME and its relationship to the CME is not straightforward. The analysis of the EIT wave (coronal bright front) shows the fastest wave component to be in the southeast quadrant of the Sun. This is also the quadrant in which the source positions of the LF-type II were found to be located, probably resulting from the interaction between the shock wave and a streamer. Conclusions: The relationship between the CME/flare event and the shock wave signatures is discussed using the temporal association,as well as the spatial information of the radio emission. Further, we discuss the importance and possible effects of the frequently non-radial propagation of the shock wave.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2020

The effect of drifts on the decay phase of SEP events

We study the effect of the magnetic gradient and curvature drifts on the pitch-angle dependent transport of solar energetic particles (SEPs), focusing on 3 - 36 MeV protons. By considering observers located at various positions in the heliosphere, we investigate how drifts may alter the measured intensity-time profiles and energy spectra. We focus on the decay phase of solar energetic proton events during which a temporal invariant spectrum and disappearing spatial intensity gradients are often observed; a phenomenon known as the 'reservoir effect' or the 'SEP flood'. We study the effects of drifts by solving the focused transport equation for nominal Parker solar wind configurations and for a magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) generated solar wind containing a corotating interaction region (CIR). The latter configuration contains a magnetic bottle structure, with one bottleneck at the Sun and the other at the CIR. It is illustrated that observers magnetically connected close to the edges of the particle injection site can experience, as a result of drifts, a sudden drop in the intensities occurring at different times for different energies such that no SEP flood phenomenon is established. In the magnetic bottle, this effect is enhanced due to the presence of magnetic field gradients strengthening the nominal particle drifts. We also show that interplanetary cross-field diffusion may mitigate these effects of drifts. We conclude that particle drifts can in some cases substantially modify the decay phase of SEP events, especially if the solar wind contains compression regions or shock waves where the drifts are enhanced. This is, for example, the case for our CIR solar wind configuration generated with a 3D MHD model, where the effect of drifts is strong. A similar decay rate in different energy channels and for different observers requires thus the mitigation of the effect of drifts.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2019

CME-CME Interactions as Sources of CME Geo-effectiveness: The Formation of the Complex Ejecta and Intense Geomagnetic Storm in Early September 2017

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are the primary sources of intense disturbances at Earth, where their geo-effectiveness is largely determined by their dynamic pressure and internal magnetic field, which can be significantly altered during interactions with other CMEs in interplanetary space. We analyse three successive CMEs that erupted from the Sun during September 4-6, 2017, investigating the role of CME-CME interactions as source of the associated intense geomagnetic storm (Dst_min=-142 nT on September 7). To quantify the impact of interactions on the (geo-)effectiveness of individual CMEs, we perform global heliospheric simulations with the EUHFORIA model, using observation-based initial parameters with the additional purpose of validating the predictive capabilities of the model for complex CME events. The simulations show that around 0.45 AU, the shock driven by the September 6 CME started compressing a preceding magnetic ejecta formed by the merging of two CMEs launched on September 4, significantly amplifying its Bz until a maximum factor of 2.8 around 0.9 AU. The following gradual conversion of magnetic energy into kinetic and thermal components reduced the Bz amplification until its almost complete disappearance around 1.8 AU. We conclude that a key factor at the origin of the intense storm triggered by the September 4-6, 2017 CMEs was their arrival at Earth during the phase of maximum Bz amplification. Our analysis highlights how the amplification of the magnetic field of individual CMEs in space-time due to interaction processes can be characterised by a growth, a maximum, and a decay phase, suggesting that the time interval between the CME eruptions and their relative speeds are critical factors in determining the resulting impact of complex CMEs at various heliocentric distances (helio-effectiveness).

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2019

Comprehensive Characterization of Solar Eruptions With Remote and In-Situ Observations, and Modeling: The Major Solar Events on 4 November 2015

Solar energetic particles (SEPs) are an important product of solar activity. They are connected to solar active regions and flares, coronal mass ejections (CMEs), EUV waves, shocks, Type II and III radio emissions, and X-ray bursts. These phenomena are major probes of the partition of energy in solar eruptions, as well as for the organization, dynamics, and relaxation of coronal and interplanetary magnetic fields. Many of these phenomena cause terrestrial space weather, posing multiple hazards for humans and their technology from space to the ground. Since particular flares, shocks, CMEs, and EUV waves produce SEP events but others do not, since propagation effects from the low corona to 1 AU appear important for some events but not others, and since Type II and III radio emissions and X-ray bursts are sometimes produced by energetic particles leaving these acceleration sites, it is necessary to study the whole system with a multi-frequency and multi-instrument perspective that combines both in-situ and remote observations with detailed modelling of phenomena. This article demonstrates this comprehensive approach, and shows its necessity, by analysing a trio of unusual and striking solar eruptions, radio and X-ray bursts, and SEP events that occurred on 4 November 2015. These events show both strong similarities and differences from standard events and each other, despite having very similar interplanetary conditions and only two are sites and CME genesis regions. They are therefore major targets for further in-depth observational studies, and for testing both existing and new theories and models. Based on the very limited modelling available we identify the aspects that are and are not understood, and we discuss ideas that may lead to improved understanding of the SEP, radio, and space-weather events.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2019

Spreading protons in the heliosphere: a note on cross-field diffusion effects

We study how a high-speed solar wind stream embedded in a slow solar wind affects the transport and energy changes of solar energetic protons in interplanetary space, assuming different levels of cross-field diffusion. This is done using a particle transport model that computes directional particle intensities and first order parallel anisotropies in a background solar wind generated by the magnetohydrodynamic model EUHFORIA. In particular, we consider a mono-energetic 4 MeV proton injection over an extended region located at a heliographic radial distance of 0.1 AU. By using different values for the perpendicular proton mean free path, we study how cross-field diffusion may affect the energetic particle spread and intensity profiles near a high-speed solar wind stream and a corotating interaction region (CIR). We find that both a strong cross-field diffusion and a solar wind rarefaction region are capable of dispersing SEPs efficiently, producing overall low particle intensities which can in some cases prevent the SEPs from being detected in-situ, since their intensity may drop below the detected pre-event intensity levels. We also discuss how accelerated particle populations form on the reverse and forward shock waves, separated by the stream interface inside the CIR. Under strong levels of cross-field diffusion, particles cross the SI and hence both accelerated particle populations merge together.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2019

Reconstructing coronal hole areas with EUHFORIA and adapted WSA model: optimising the model parameters

The adopted WSA model embedded in EUHFORIA (EUropean Heliospheric FORecasting Information Asset) is compared to EUV observations. According to the standard paradigm coronal holes are sources of open flux thus we use remote sensing EUV observations and \textsc{catch} (Collection of Analysis Tools for Coronal Holes) to extract CH areas and compare them to the open flux areas modelled by EUHFORIA. From the adopted WSA model we employ only the Potential Field Source Surface (PFSS) model for the inner corona and the Schatten Current Sheet (SCS) model for the outer (PFSS+SCS). The height, $R_{\rm ss}$, of the outer boundary of the PFSS, known as the source surface, and the height, $R_{\rm i}$, of the inner boundary of the SCS are important parameters affecting the modelled CH areas. We investigate the impact the two model parameters can have in the modelled results. We vary $R_{\rm ss}$ within the interval [1.4, 3.2]$R_{\rm \odot}$ with a step of 0.1$R_{\rm \odot}$, and $R_{\rm i}$ within the interval [1.3, 2.8]$R_{\rm \odot}$ with the same step, and the condition that $R_{\rm i}<R_{\rm ss}$. This way we have a set of 184 initial parameters to the model and we assess the model results for all these possible height pairs. We conclude that the default heights used so far fail in modelling accurately CH areas and lower heights need to be considered.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2019

Multipoint study of successive coronal mass ejections driving moderate disturbances at 1 AU

We analyse in this work the propagation and geoeffectiveness of four successive coronal mass ejections (CMEs) that erupted from the Sun during 21--23 May 2013 and that were detected in interplanetary space by the Wind and/or STEREO-A spacecraft. All these CMEs featured critical aspects for understanding so-called "problem space weather storms" at Earth. In the first three events a limb CMEs resulted in moderately geoeffective in-situ structures at their target location in terms of the disturbance storm time (Dst) index (either measured or estimated). The fourth CME, which also caused a moderate geomagnetic response, erupted from close to the disc centre as seen from Earth, but it was not visible in coronagraph images from the spacecraft along the Sun--Earth line and appeared narrow and faint from off-angle viewpoints. Making the correct connection between CMEs at the Sun and their in-situ counterparts is often difficult for problem storms. We investigate these four CMEs using multiwavelength and multipoint remote-sensing observations (extreme ultraviolet, white light, and radio), aided by 3D heliospheric modelling, in order to follow their propagation in the corona and in interplanetary space and to assess their impact at 1 AU. Finally, we emphasise the difficulties in forecasting moderate space weather effects provoked by problematic and ambiguous events and the importance of multispacecraft data for observing and modelling problem storms.

astro-ph.SR↗