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Jeremy Tan

Publications and source records attributed to Jeremy Tan.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

FedSight AI: Multi-Agent System Architecture for Federal Funds Target Rate Prediction

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) sets the federal funds rate, shaping monetary policy and the broader economy. We introduce \emph{FedSight AI}, a multi-agent framework that uses large language models (LLMs) to simulate FOMC deliberations and predict policy outcomes. Member agents analyze structured indicators and unstructured inputs such as the Beige Book, debate options, and vote, replicating committee reasoning. A Chain-of-Draft (CoD) extension further improves efficiency and accuracy by enforcing concise multistage reasoning. Evaluated at 2023-2024 meetings, FedSight CoD achieved accuracy of 93.75\% and stability of 93.33\%, outperforming baselines including MiniFed and Ordinal Random Forest (RF), while offering transparent reasoning aligned with real FOMC communications.

q-fin.GN

A blueprint for the formalization of Carleson's theorem on convergence of Fourier series

This paper is the blueprint underlying the Lean formalization of the proof of Carleson's classical result asserting almost everywhere convergence of Fourier series of continuous functions. We break up the proof into two steps, a reduction of the classical result to a new theorem that appears in a sibling communication and a proof of this new theorem, which is also detailed as blueprint in this paper. An early version of this blueprint was used to initiate the Lean formalization. During the formalization, many contributors elaborated the blueprint with minor corrections, modifications and extensions. The final version is presented here as a guide through the accompanying Lean code.

math.CA

Many tasks make light work: Learning to localise medical anomalies from multiple synthetic tasks

There is a growing interest in single-class modelling and out-of-distribution detection as fully supervised machine learning models cannot reliably identify classes not included in their training. The long tail of infinitely many out-of-distribution classes in real-world scenarios, e.g., for screening, triage, and quality control, means that it is often necessary to train single-class models that represent an expected feature distribution, e.g., from only strictly healthy volunteer data. Conventional supervised machine learning would require the collection of datasets that contain enough samples of all possible diseases in every imaging modality, which is not realistic. Self-supervised learning methods with synthetic anomalies are currently amongst the most promising approaches, alongside generative auto-encoders that analyse the residual reconstruction error. However, all methods suffer from a lack of structured validation, which makes calibration for deployment difficult and dataset-dependant. Our method alleviates this by making use of multiple visually-distinct synthetic anomaly learning tasks for both training and validation. This enables more robust training and generalisation. With our approach we can readily outperform state-of-the-art methods, which we demonstrate on exemplars in brain MRI and chest X-rays. Code is available at https://github.com/matt-baugh/many-tasks-make-light-work .

cs.CV

Confidence-Aware and Self-Supervised Image Anomaly Localisation

Universal anomaly detection still remains a challenging problem in machine learning and medical image analysis. It is possible to learn an expected distribution from a single class of normative samples, e.g., through epistemic uncertainty estimates, auto-encoding models, or from synthetic anomalies in a self-supervised way. The performance of self-supervised anomaly detection approaches is still inferior compared to methods that use examples from known unknown classes to shape the decision boundary. However, outlier exposure methods often do not identify unknown unknowns. Here we discuss an improved self-supervised single-class training strategy that supports the approximation of probabilistic inference with loosen feature locality constraints. We show that up-scaling of gradients with histogram-equalised images is beneficial for recently proposed self-supervision tasks. Our method is integrated into several out-of-distribution (OOD) detection models and we show evidence that our method outperforms the state-of-the-art on various benchmark datasets.

cs.CV

Adnexal Mass Segmentation with Ultrasound Data Synthesis

Ovarian cancer is the most lethal gynaecological malignancy. The disease is most commonly asymptomatic at its early stages and its diagnosis relies on expert evaluation of transvaginal ultrasound images. Ultrasound is the first-line imaging modality for characterising adnexal masses, it requires significant expertise and its analysis is subjective and labour-intensive, therefore open to error. Hence, automating processes to facilitate and standardise the evaluation of scans is desired in clinical practice. Using supervised learning, we have demonstrated that segmentation of adnexal masses is possible, however, prevalence and label imbalance restricts the performance on under-represented classes. To mitigate this we apply a novel pathology-specific data synthesiser. We create synthetic medical images with their corresponding ground truth segmentations by using Poisson image editing to integrate less common masses into other samples. Our approach achieves the best performance across all classes, including an improvement of up to 8% when compared with nnU-Net baseline approaches.

eess.IV

nnOOD: A Framework for Benchmarking Self-supervised Anomaly Localisation Methods

The wide variety of in-distribution and out-of-distribution data in medical imaging makes universal anomaly detection a challenging task. Recently a number of self-supervised methods have been developed that train end-to-end models on healthy data augmented with synthetic anomalies. However, it is difficult to compare these methods as it is not clear whether gains in performance are from the task itself or the training pipeline around it. It is also difficult to assess whether a task generalises well for universal anomaly detection, as they are often only tested on a limited range of anomalies. To assist with this we have developed nnOOD, a framework that adapts nnU-Net to allow for comparison of self-supervised anomaly localisation methods. By isolating the synthetic, self-supervised task from the rest of the training process we perform a more faithful comparison of the tasks, whilst also making the workflow for evaluating over a given dataset quick and easy. Using this we have implemented the current state-of-the-art tasks and evaluated them on a challenging X-ray dataset.

cs.CV

An attack on Zarankiewicz's problem through SAT solving

The Zarankiewicz function gives, for a chosen matrix and minor size, the maximum number of ones in a binary matrix not containing an all-one minor. Tables of this function for small arguments have been compiled, but errors are known in them. We both correct the errors and extend these tables in the case of square minors by expressing the problem of finding the value at a specific point as a series of Boolean satisfiability problems, exploiting permutation symmetries for a significant reduction in the work needed. When the ambient matrix is also square we also give all non-isomorphic examples of matrices attaining the maximum, up to the aforementioned symmetries; it is found that most maximal matrices have some form of symmetry.

math.CO

Natural Synthetic Anomalies for Self-Supervised Anomaly Detection and Localization

We introduce a simple and intuitive self-supervision task, Natural Synthetic Anomalies (NSA), for training an end-to-end model for anomaly detection and localization using only normal training data. NSA integrates Poisson image editing to seamlessly blend scaled patches of various sizes from separate images. This creates a wide range of synthetic anomalies which are more similar to natural sub-image irregularities than previous data-augmentation strategies for self-supervised anomaly detection. We evaluate the proposed method using natural and medical images. Our experiments with the MVTec AD dataset show that a model trained to localize NSA anomalies generalizes well to detecting real-world a priori unknown types of manufacturing defects. Our method achieves an overall detection AUROC of 97.2 outperforming all previous methods that learn without the use of additional datasets. Code available at https://github.com/hmsch/natural-synthetic-anomalies.

cs.CV

Detecting Outliers with Poisson Image Interpolation

Supervised learning of every possible pathology is unrealistic for many primary care applications like health screening. Image anomaly detection methods that learn normal appearance from only healthy data have shown promising results recently. We propose an alternative to image reconstruction-based and image embedding-based methods and propose a new self-supervised method to tackle pathological anomaly detection. Our approach originates in the foreign patch interpolation (FPI) strategy that has shown superior performance on brain MRI and abdominal CT data. We propose to use a better patch interpolation strategy, Poisson image interpolation (PII), which makes our method suitable for applications in challenging data regimes. PII outperforms state-of-the-art methods by a good margin when tested on surrogate tasks like identifying common lung anomalies in chest X-rays or hypo-plastic left heart syndrome in prenatal, fetal cardiac ultrasound images. Code available at https://github.com/jemtan/PII.

cs.CV

Detecting Hypo-plastic Left Heart Syndrome in Fetal Ultrasound via Disease-specific Atlas Maps

Fetal ultrasound screening during pregnancy plays a vital role in the early detection of fetal malformations which have potential long-term health impacts. The level of skill required to diagnose such malformations from live ultrasound during examination is high and resources for screening are often limited. We present an interpretable, atlas-learning segmentation method for automatic diagnosis of Hypo-plastic Left Heart Syndrome (HLHS) from a single `4 Chamber Heart' view image. We propose to extend the recently introduced Image-and-Spatial Transformer Networks (Atlas-ISTN) into a framework that enables sensitising atlas generation to disease. In this framework we can jointly learn image segmentation, registration, atlas construction and disease prediction while providing a maximum level of clinical interpretability compared to direct image classification methods. As a result our segmentation allows diagnoses competitive with expert-derived manual diagnosis and yields an AUC-ROC of 0.978 (1043 cases for training, 260 for validation and 325 for testing).

eess.IV

Learning normal appearance for fetal anomaly screening: Application to the unsupervised detection of Hypoplastic Left Heart Syndrome

Congenital heart disease is considered as one the most common groups of congenital malformations which affects $6-11$ per $1000$ newborns. In this work, an automated framework for detection of cardiac anomalies during ultrasound screening is proposed and evaluated on the example of Hypoplastic Left Heart Syndrome (HLHS), a sub-category of congenital heart disease. We propose an unsupervised approach that learns healthy anatomy exclusively from clinically confirmed normal control patients. We evaluate a number of known anomaly detection frameworks together with a model architecture based on the $\alpha$-GAN network and find evidence that the proposed model performs significantly better than the state-of-the-art in image-based anomaly detection, yielding average $0.81$ AUC \emph{and} a better robustness towards initialisation compared to previous works.

eess.IV

Detecting Outliers with Foreign Patch Interpolation

In medical imaging, outliers can contain hypo/hyper-intensities, minor deformations, or completely altered anatomy. To detect these irregularities it is helpful to learn the features present in both normal and abnormal images. However this is difficult because of the wide range of possible abnormalities and also the number of ways that normal anatomy can vary naturally. As such, we leverage the natural variations in normal anatomy to create a range of synthetic abnormalities. Specifically, the same patch region is extracted from two independent samples and replaced with an interpolation between both patches. The interpolation factor, patch size, and patch location are randomly sampled from uniform distributions. A wide residual encoder decoder is trained to give a pixel-wise prediction of the patch and its interpolation factor. This encourages the network to learn what features to expect normally and to identify where foreign patterns have been introduced. The estimate of the interpolation factor lends itself nicely to the derivation of an outlier score. Meanwhile the pixel-wise output allows for pixel- and subject- level predictions using the same model.

cs.CV

Automated Detection of Congenital Heart Disease in Fetal Ultrasound Screening

Prenatal screening with ultrasound can lower neonatal mortality significantly for selected cardiac abnormalities. However, the need for human expertise, coupled with the high volume of screening cases, limits the practically achievable detection rates. In this paper we discuss the potential for deep learning techniques to aid in the detection of congenital heart disease (CHD) in fetal ultrasound. We propose a pipeline for automated data curation and classification. During both training and inference, we exploit an auxiliary view classification task to bias features toward relevant cardiac structures. This bias helps to improve in F1-scores from 0.72 and 0.77 to 0.87 and 0.85 for healthy and CHD classes respectively.

eess.IV

Accelerating Antimicrobial Discovery with Controllable Deep Generative Models and Molecular Dynamics

De novo therapeutic design is challenged by a vast chemical repertoire and multiple constraints, e.g., high broad-spectrum potency and low toxicity. We propose CLaSS (Controlled Latent attribute Space Sampling) - an efficient computational method for attribute-controlled generation of molecules, which leverages guidance from classifiers trained on an informative latent space of molecules modeled using a deep generative autoencoder. We screen the generated molecules for additional key attributes by using deep learning classifiers in conjunction with novel features derived from atomistic simulations. The proposed approach is demonstrated for designing non-toxic antimicrobial peptides (AMPs) with strong broad-spectrum potency, which are emerging drug candidates for tackling antibiotic resistance. Synthesis and testing of only twenty designed sequences identified two novel and minimalist AMPs with high potency against diverse Gram-positive and Gram-negative pathogens, including one multidrug-resistant and one antibiotic-resistant K. pneumoniae, via membrane pore formation. Both antimicrobials exhibit low in vitro and in vivo toxicity and mitigate the onset of drug resistance. The proposed approach thus presents a viable path for faster and efficient discovery of potent and selective broad-spectrum antimicrobials.

cs.LG

Ultrasound Video Summarization using Deep Reinforcement Learning

Video is an essential imaging modality for diagnostics, e.g. in ultrasound imaging, for endoscopy, or movement assessment. However, video hasn't received a lot of attention in the medical image analysis community. In the clinical practice, it is challenging to utilise raw diagnostic video data efficiently as video data takes a long time to process, annotate or audit. In this paper we introduce a novel, fully automatic video summarization method that is tailored to the needs of medical video data. Our approach is framed as reinforcement learning problem and produces agents focusing on the preservation of important diagnostic information. We evaluate our method on videos from fetal ultrasound screening, where commonly only a small amount of the recorded data is used diagnostically. We show that our method is superior to alternative video summarization methods and that it preserves essential information required by clinical diagnostic standards.

cs.CV

Divergent Search for Few-Shot Image Classification

When data is unlabelled and the target task is not known a priori, divergent search offers a strategy for learning a wide range of skills. Having such a repertoire allows a system to adapt to new, unforeseen tasks. Unlabelled image data is plentiful, but it is not always known which features will be required for downstream tasks. We propose a method for divergent search in the few-shot image classification setting and evaluate with Omniglot and Mini-ImageNet. This high-dimensional behavior space includes all possible ways of partitioning the data. To manage divergent search in this space, we rely on a meta-learning framework to integrate useful features from diverse tasks into a single model. The final layer of this model is used as an index into the `archive' of all past behaviors. We search for regions in the behavior space that the current archive cannot reach. As expected, divergent search is outperformed by models with a strong bias toward the evaluation tasks. But it is able to match and sometimes exceed the performance of models that have a weak bias toward the target task or none at all. This demonstrates that divergent search is a viable approach, even in high-dimensional behavior spaces.

cs.NE

Semi-supervised Learning of Fetal Anatomy from Ultrasound

Semi-supervised learning methods have achieved excellent performance on standard benchmark datasets using very few labelled images. Anatomy classification in fetal 2D ultrasound is an ideal problem setting to test whether these results translate to non-ideal data. Our results indicate that inclusion of a challenging background class can be detrimental and that semi-supervised learning mostly benefits classes that are already distinct, sometimes at the expense of more similar classes.

cs.CV

Controlling Meshes via Curvature: Spin Transformations for Pose-Invariant Shape Processing

We investigate discrete spin transformations, a geometric framework to manipulate surface meshes by controlling mean curvature. Applications include surface fairing -- flowing a mesh onto say, a reference sphere -- and mesh extrusion -- e.g., rebuilding a complex shape from a reference sphere and curvature specification. Because they operate in curvature space, these operations can be conducted very stably across large deformations with no need for remeshing. Spin transformations add to the algorithmic toolbox for pose-invariant shape analysis. Mathematically speaking, mean curvature is a shape invariant and in general fully characterizes closed shapes (together with the metric). Computationally speaking, spin transformations make that relationship explicit. Our work expands on a discrete formulation of spin transformations. Like their smooth counterpart, discrete spin transformations are naturally close to conformal (angle-preserving). This quasi-conformality can nevertheless be relaxed to satisfy the desired trade-off between area distortion and angle preservation. We derive such constraints and propose a formulation in which they can be efficiently incorporated. The approach is showcased on subcortical structures.

cs.CG