arXiv subjects

Jeroen Jansen

Publications and source records attributed to Jeroen Jansen.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2025

Integrating Expert and Physics Knowledge for Modeling Heat Load in District Heating Systems

New residential neighborhoods are often supplied with heat via district heating systems (DHS). Improving the energy efficiency of a DHS is critical for increasing sustainability and satisfying user requirements. In this paper, we present HELIOS, a dedicated artificial intelligence (AI) model designed specifically for modeling the heat load in DHS. HELIOS leverages a combination of established physical principles and expert knowledge, resulting in superior performance compared to existing state-of-the-art models. HELIOS is explainable, enabling enhanced accountability and traceability in its predictions. We evaluate HELIOS against ten state-of-the-art data-driven models in modeling the heat load in a DHS case study in the Netherlands. HELIOS emerges as the top-performing model while maintaining complete accountability. The applications of HELIOS extend beyond the present case study, potentially supporting the adoption of AI by DHS and contributing to sustainable energy management on a larger scale.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2022

Monitoring pollution pathways in river water by predictive path modelling using untargeted GC-MS measurements

A comprehensive approach to protect river water quality is needed within the European Water Framework Directive. Non-target screening of a complete chemical fingerprint of the aquatic ecosystem is essential, to identify chemicals of emerging concern and to reveal their suspicious dynamic patterns in river water. This requires a new combination of two measurement paradigms: the path of potential pollution should be traced through the river network, while there may be many compounds that make up this chemical composition - both known and unknown. Dedicated data processing of ongoing GC-MS measurements at 9 sites along the Rhine using PARAFAC2 for non-target screening, combined with spatiotemporal modelling of these sites within the river network using path modelling (Process PLS), provided a new integrated approach to track chemicals through the Rhine catchment, and tentatively identify known and as-yet unknown potential pollutants based on non-target screening and spatiotemporal behaviour.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2022

Contextual Mixture of Experts: Integrating Knowledge into Predictive Modeling

This work proposes a new data-driven model devised to integrate process knowledge into its structure to increase the human-machine synergy in the process industry. The proposed Contextual Mixture of Experts (cMoE) explicitly uses process knowledge along the model learning stage to mold the historical data to represent operators' context related to the process through possibility distributions. This model was evaluated in two real case studies for quality prediction, including a sulfur recovery unit and a polymerization process. The contextual mixture of experts was employed to represent different contexts in both experiments. The results indicate that integrating process knowledge has increased predictive performance while improving interpretability by providing insights into the variables affecting the process's different regimes.

cs.LG↗