arXiv subjects

Jerzy Baranowski

Publications and source records attributed to Jerzy Baranowski.

10 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Uniform High-Probability ISS Tubes for Sampled-Data State Estimation

State estimates used in sampled monitoring and automation need bounds that remain valid between measurements. We develop a finite-horizon input-to-state-stability tube and observer co-design framework for continuous-time observers driven by sampled and held outputs. The sampled-data error model separates process disturbance, sampled measurement noise, and intersample mismatch. A horizon-level disturbance-envelope event is transferred through an ISS estimate to simultaneous containment of the complete error trajectory. Quadratic dissipation inequalities yield ellipsoidal and componentwise tubes, and semidefinite co-design minimizes normalized tube width across the three channels. A structured nonlinear extension preserves known nonlinear channels. Co-design reduces the worst normalized half-width by 31% in a linear compartment benchmark and by a factor of 22.4 in a flexible-joint benchmark.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2026

High-Probability ISS Tubes for Continuous-Time State Estimation

This paper studies a probabilistic interpretation of input-to-state stability (ISS) bounds for estimation-error dynamics in continuous-time systems. We show that, if the aggregated disturbance satisfies a probabilistic envelope in an essential-supremum sense, then deterministic ISS bounds immediately induce high-probability error tubes. To make this interpretation constructive, we also provide explicit sufficient conditions based on quadratic Lyapunov inequalities and specialize them to positive and cooperative systems. The approach is illustrated on a positive compartment model with aggregated measurements, where ISS tubes are compared with nominal uncertainty bands produced by a Kalman--Bucy filter and by Gaussian and robust moving-horizon estimators. The examples show that ISS tubes provide a conservative but computationally light uncertainty baseline, while robust MHE is less sensitive to outlier contamination than Gaussian-based

eess.SY↗

arXiv2026

Bayesian Changepoint Detection for Smart Sensing of Battery Degradation: Cycle-Level Health Indicators and PyMC Implementation

Reliable detection of the onset of accelerated degradation is central to safe and cost-efficient operation of lithium-ion batteries. This paper presents a Bayesian single-changepoint model applied to a simple but physically meaningful cycle-level health indicator (HI), defined as the ratio of charge time to discharge time. The indicator is computed directly from voltage-current telemetry typically available in battery management systems (BMS), without access to raw waveforms. The changepoint model is implemented in PyMC using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and produces posterior distributions for onset time and pre/post-degradation slopes, together with posterior predictive checks. Experiments on an open 18650-cell remaining useful life (RUL) dataset show consistent midlife changepoints with narrow highest-density intervals. The formulation is lightweight, interpretable, and amenable to smart-sensing deployment on embedded BMS platforms.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2026

Optimization of Predictive Maintenance Schedules under Uncertainty: A Scenario-Based Theoretical Framework

This paper proposes a scenario-based framework for predictive maintenance scheduling under uncertainty in a finite planning horizon. The considered setting involves multiple assets for which maintenance decisions are informed by three heterogeneous sources of information: calendar-based overhaul intervals, usage-based limits driven by uncertain future operating cycles, and condition-monitoring outputs represented through remaining useful life (RUL) estimates with uncertainty. While these elements have been studied extensively in the maintenance literature, they are often treated separately or only partially integrated. In contrast, the proposed formulation evaluates complete maintenance schedules under simulated future scenarios and compares them using expected-cost and tail-risk criteria. The contribution is primarily conceptual and methodological: we define a unified finite-horizon decision framework that combines calendar-, usage-, and prognostics-based information within a common scheduling problem. A small synthetic computational example is used as a proof of concept. The results show that integrated scenario-based policies can substantially outperform simpler single-trigger rules, while the difference between risk-neutral and risk-aware integrated policies remains modest under the present calibration.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2026

Low-Data Predictive Maintenance of Railway Station Doors and Elevators Using Bayesian Proxy Flow Modeling

This paper proposes a low-data predictive maintenance framework for automatic doors and elevators in a railway station building. The method is intended for assets without direct condition monitoring, where only aggregate passenger traffic information and expert knowledge about movement patterns are available. Passenger flows are modeled on a reduced station graph using a Bayesian formulation with uncertain totals and routing shares. The inferred flows are converted into approximate operating-cycle loads for doors and elevators through simple stochastic proxy relations. These loads are combined with uncertain age- and cycle-based maintenance thresholds to estimate the probability that predefined maintenance conditions have been reached. A cost-aware scheduling model is then used to align maintenance activities while accounting for service costs, disruption, delay penalties, and grouping opportunities within each asset class. The framework is illustrated on a simulated case study reflecting a real station layout. The results show that proxy operational data can support maintenance scheduling with low incremental implementation cost and can improve alignment relative to a calendar-based policy.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2026

Bayesian and Classical Feature Ranking for Interpretable BLDC Fault Diagnosis

This paper compares Bayesian and classical feature ranking methods for interpretable fault diagnosis of brushless DC (BLDC) motors. Two Bayesian approaches, spike-and-slab and ARD logistic ranking, are evaluated against three classical baselines on a public BLDC benchmark in binary and multiclass settings using current-based, rotational-speed-based, and combined feature sets. The strongest overall results are obtained for the combined representation. In binary classification, ReliefF achieves the highest balanced accuracy of 0.923, while ARD logistic and spike-and-slab remain very close at 0.919 and 0.920 with much smaller subsets ($k=5$). In multiclass classification, ARD logistic performs best for the combined variant with balanced accuracy 0.914, followed closely by LASSO (0.913) and spike-and-slab (0.912). The results show that Bayesian ranking is particularly competitive for current-only and combined descriptors, while ReliefF remains especially effective for speed-based ranking. Because the benchmark consists of short segmented observations from a limited number of experimental conditions, the findings are interpreted primarily as benchmark-specific evidence rather than strong claims of fault generalization.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2025

Recent advances in data-driven methods for degradation modelling across applications

Understanding degradation is crucial for ensuring the longevity and performance of materials, systems, and organisms. To illustrate the similarities across applications, this article provides a review of data-based method in materials science, engineering, and medicine. The methods analyzed in this paper include regression analysis, factor analysis, cluster analysis, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, Bayesian statistics, hidden Markov models, nonparametric Bayesian modeling of time series, supervised learning, and deep learning. The review provides an overview of degradation models, referencing books and methods, and includes detailed tables highlighting the applications and insights offered in medicine, power engineering, and material science. It also discusses the classification of methods, emphasizing statistical inference, dynamic prediction, machine learning, and hybrid modeling techniques. Overall, this review enhances understanding of degradation modelling across diverse domains.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2025

Comparison of Deep Recurrent Neural Networks and Bayesian Neural Networks for Detecting Electric Motor Damage Through Sound Signal Analysis

Fault detection in electric motors is a critical challenge in various industries, where failures can result in significant operational disruptions. This study investigates the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) and Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) for diagnosing motor damage using acoustic signal analysis. A novel approach is proposed, leveraging frequency domain representation of sound signals for enhanced diagnostic accuracy. The architectures of both RNNs and BNNs are designed and evaluated on real-world acoustic data collected from household appliances using smartphones. Experimental results demonstrate that BNNs provide superior fault detection performance, particularly for imbalanced datasets, offering more robust and interpretable predictions compared to traditional methods. The findings suggest that BNNs, with their ability to incorporate uncertainty, are well-suited for industrial diagnostic applications. Further analysis and benchmarks are suggested to explore resource efficiency and classification capabilities of these architectures.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Detection of Electric Motor Damage Through Analysis of Sound Signals Using Bayesian Neural Networks

Fault monitoring and diagnostics are important to ensure reliability of electric motors. Efficient algorithms for fault detection improve reliability, yet development of cost-effective and reliable classifiers for diagnostics of equipment is challenging, in particular due to unavailability of well-balanced datasets, with signals from properly functioning equipment and those from faulty equipment. Thus, we propose to use a Bayesian neural network to detect and classify faults in electric motors, given its efficacy with imbalanced training data. The performance of the proposed network is demonstrated on real life signals, and a robustness analysis of the proposed solution is provided.

eess.AS↗

arXiv2024

Cross-Domain Spatial Matching for Camera and Radar Sensor Data Fusion in Autonomous Vehicle Perception System

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to address the problem of camera and radar sensor fusion for 3D object detection in autonomous vehicle perception systems. Our approach builds on recent advances in deep learning and leverages the strengths of both sensors to improve object detection performance. Precisely, we extract 2D features from camera images using a state-of-the-art deep learning architecture and then apply a novel Cross-Domain Spatial Matching (CDSM) transformation method to convert these features into 3D space. We then fuse them with extracted radar data using a complementary fusion strategy to produce a final 3D object representation. To demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach, we evaluate it on the NuScenes dataset. We compare our approach to both single-sensor performance and current state-of-the-art fusion methods. Our results show that the proposed approach achieves superior performance over single-sensor solutions and could directly compete with other top-level fusion methods.

cs.CV↗