arXiv subjects

Jesse Thaler

Publications and source records attributed to Jesse Thaler.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Simplex Demixing: Disentangling Multiple Light-Flavor Jets at Colliders

Providing a practical and hadron-level definition of multiple jet flavors has been a long-standing challenge in collider physics. Previous work has introduced a data-driven, operational definition of quark and gluon jets, but no robust generalization beyond two jet categories presently exists. To address this, we introduce a machine-learning framework called "simplex demixing'' to extract $T$ jet flavors (or topics in the statistics literature) from $M$ data samples (or mixtures) with minimal constraints. Intuitively, our procedure identifies the maximally separable categories in the data, translating a multi-category classifier on the $M$ mixtures into a bounded geometric object with $T$ vertices. We first demonstrate our procedure on a toy problem to infer the truth-level fractions of down-quark, up-quark, and gluon jets from synthetic mixtures of the three pure samples. We then propose a tag-and-probe strategy to extract multiple light-flavor categories in a more realistic collider setting involving dijet production. As expected, the identifiability of jet flavors depends on their relative abundance in the samples and the hadron-level information available to the classifier architecture. Our work opens the door to data-driven extractions of multiple jet flavor properties at the Large Hadron Collider.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2026

The Well-Tempered Likelihood: Honest Confidence Intervals for Misspecified Models

Likelihood-based inference in particle physics, and in the physical sciences more broadly, relies on the assumption that the model accurately describes the data. When the model is misspecified, though, standard confidence intervals shrink to zero width with increasing data, producing overconfident and potentially misleading constraints. We propose the well-tempered likelihood, which divides the likelihood-ratio test statistic by a goodness-of-fit (GOF) statistic evaluated at the best-fit point. Under correct specification, the GOF is $\mathcal{O}(1)$ and standard inference is recovered. Under misspecification, both the likelihood and the GOF scale as $\mathcal{O}(N)$ for $N$ data points, so their ratio remains $\mathcal{O}(1)$ and the resulting well-tempered confidence interval self-limits at a floor determined by the model's inadequacy, essentially reducing the effective sample size. In other words, \textit{all models are correct, as long as your dataset is small enough}. We present binned and unbinned formulations of the well-tempered likelihood---the latter based on a classifier two-sample test---and demonstrate our method on a Gaussian example and on a measurement of the strong coupling constant using synthetic electron-positron collisions.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

Deep Learning for Astrophysics: An Open Textbook from the NASA Cosmic Origins AI/ML Science and Technology Interest Group

Recent community assessments identify education as a principal barrier to adopting modern machine learning in astronomy. We present Deep Learning for Astrophysics, a freely available textbook at https://deeplearning4astro.com, curated from the NASA Cosmic Origins Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Science and Technology Interest Group (AI/ML STIG) lecture series. The book collects 23 chapters by 17 lecturers across six parts, moving from computational foundations and deep-learning architectures through generative modeling, simulation-based inference, reinforcement learning, and large-language-model agents to the practice of AI-laden science. Many include executable notebooks using astronomical data.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2026

Interpreting "Interpretability" and Explaining "Explainability" in Machine Learning in Physics

We review the concepts of interpretability and explainability as they apply to machine learning in physics. We define interpretability as concerning the structural transparency of a model (the ability to understand or approximate its inner workings) and explainability as concerning the scientific content of a model (the ability to map it onto domain knowledge). We discuss the trade-offs each entails (interpretability vs. expressivity; explainability vs. adaptability), the contexts in which each is needed, and the intrinsic and post-hoc tools available for achieving them. Throughout, we emphasize that machine-learned models are subject to the same scientific questions as classical models, differing only in scale, and that interpretability and explainability are best understood as deliberate modeling choices rather than inherent properties. We also emphasize the importance of task specification and intervention plans as a core aspect of model design.

physics.data-an↗

arXiv2026

Analysis note: Long-range near-side correlation in $e^+e^-$ with $W$-boson-pair events at 183-209 GeV with ALEPH archived data

Events characterized by a high multiplicity of charged particles have been a central focus in the study of collective behavior across both large and small collision systems. A previous measurement of two-particle angular correlations in $e^+e^-$ collisions at center-of-mass energies up to $\sqrt{s} = 209$ GeV, using LEP2 data, revealed discrepancies with Monte Carlo (MC) predictions at high multiplicity, suggesting the possible emergence of long-range near-side correlations even in the simplest collision system. Unlike at lower energies, where quark-antiquark production dominates, $W^+W^-$ processes become increasingly important at multiplicities above 30. On the one hand, the observed excess in long-range correlations may reflect the more complex color-string configurations arising from $W^+W^-$ production. On the other hand, it can simply arise from the higher final-state multiplicity made possible by the increased collision energy, independent of the underlying production mechanism. To discriminate between these competing interpretations, we present a measurement of two-particle angular correlations in $e^+e^-$ collisions at $\sqrt{s} = 183-209$ GeV, with a focus on enhancing the contribution from $W^+W^-$ processes. The analysis uses data collected by the ALEPH detector during the LEP2 program. Correlation functions are evaluated across a broad range of pseudorapidities and full azimuth, in bins of charged-particle multiplicity. A ridge-like modulation is seen for multiplicity above 50, deviating from the MC reference. In addition, the correlation functions are further decomposed into a Fourier series, and the resulting harmonic coefficients $v_n$ are compared with predictions from the archived Monte Carlo sample. For multiplicity starting from 30, the signed $v_2$-like proxy goes from negative to positive, also deviating from the MC baseline.

hep-ex↗

arXiv2026

Reweighting Adversarial Networks for Unbinned Unfolding

Differential cross sections are the currency of scientific exchange in particle and nuclear physics. Recently, machine learning methods have enabled unbinned and high-dimensional cross section measurements through new approaches to unfolding. A key challenge with unfolding is that it is a bi-level optimization problem where constraints are available at the detector level while the target is at the particle level, linked by a stochastic detector response. Further complications arise when the particle-level and detector-level distributions have non-overlapping or only partially overlapping support, which can destabilize training and degrade unfolding performance. In this paper, we introduce a new unbinned unfolding technique called the Reweighting Adversarial Network (RAN), which can be viewed as a generalization of the Moment Unfolding protocol to accommodate full phase-space unfolding. RANs address the bi-level optimization problem through a particle-level reweighting function steered by a Wasserstein critic at the detector level. RANs do not require overlapping support at the detector level, nor multiple iterations of training. We evaluate the performance of RANs with Gaussian data and jet substructure studies, including cases specifically designed to stress test the method under vanishing support overlap. We demonstrate that RANs outperform state-of-the-art methods in accuracy and have a lower computational overhead.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2026

Many Wrongs Make a Right: Leveraging Biased Simulations Towards Unbiased Parameter Inference

In particle physics, as in many areas of science, parameter inference relies on simulations to bridge the gap between theory and experiment. Recent developments in simulation-based inference have boosted the sensitivity of analyses; however, biases induced by simulation-data mismodeling can be difficult to control within standard inference pipelines. In this work, we propose a Template-Adapted Mixture Model to confront this problem in the context of signal fraction estimation: inferring the population proportion of signal in a mixed sample of signal and background, both of which follow arbitrarily complex distributions. We harness many biased simulations to perform data-driven estimates of each process distribution in the signal region, substantially reducing the bias on the signal fraction due to the domain shift between simulation and reality. We explore different methodological choices, including model selection, feature representation, and statistical method, and apply them to a Gaussian toy example and to a semi-realistic di-Higgs measurement. We find that the presented methods successfully leverage the biased simulations to provide estimates with well-calibrated uncertainties.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2026

Descending into the Modular Bootstrap

In this paper, we attempt to explore the landscape of two-dimensional conformal field theories (2d CFTs) by efficiently searching for numerical solutions to the modular bootstrap equation using machine-learning-style optimization. The torus partition function of a 2d CFT is fixed by the spectrum of its primary operators and its chiral algebra, which we take to be the Virasoro algebra with $c>1$. We translate the requirement that this partition function is modular invariant into a loss function, which we then minimize to identify possible primary spectra. Our approach involves two technical innovations that facilitate finding reliable candidate CFTs. The first is a strategy to estimate the uncertainty associated with truncating the spectrum to the lowest dimension operators. The second is the use of a new singular-value-based optimizer (Sven) that is more effective than gradient descent at navigating the hierarchical structure of the loss landscape. We numerically construct candidate truncated CFT partition functions with central charges between 1 and $\frac{8}{7}$, a range devoid of known examples, and argue that these candidates likely come from a continuous space of modular bootstrap solutions. We also provide evidence for a more stringent constraint on the spectral gap near $c = 1$ than the existing bound of $\Delta_{\rm gap} \le \frac{c}{6} + \frac{1}{3}$.

hep-th↗

arXiv2026

Sven: Singular Value Descent as a Computationally Efficient Natural Gradient Method

We introduce Sven (Singular Value dEsceNt), a new optimization algorithm for neural networks that exploits the natural decomposition of loss functions into a sum over individual data points, rather than reducing the full loss to a single scalar before computing a parameter update. Sven treats each data point's residual as a separate condition to be satisfied simultaneously, using the Moore-Penrose pseudoinverse of the loss Jacobian to find the minimum-norm parameter update that best satisfies all conditions at once. In practice, this pseudoinverse is approximated via a truncated singular value decomposition, retaining only the $k$ most significant directions and incurring a computational overhead of only a factor of $k$ relative to stochastic gradient descent. This is in comparison to traditional natural gradient methods, which scale as the square of the number of parameters. We show that Sven can be understood as a natural gradient method generalized to the over-parametrized regime, recovering natural gradient descent in the under-parametrized limit. On regression tasks, Sven significantly outperforms standard first-order methods including Adam, converging faster and to a lower final loss, while remaining competitive with LBFGS at a fraction of the wall-time cost. We discuss the primary challenge to scaling, namely memory overhead, and propose mitigation strategies. Beyond standard machine learning benchmarks, we anticipate that Sven will find natural application in scientific computing settings where custom loss functions decompose into several conditions.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Improving parton shower predictions via precision moments of energy flow polynomials

We study conceptual and practical aspects of using maximum-entropy reweighting to upgrade parton-shower event samples with higher-accuracy theoretical constraints. Our approach produces strictly positive per-event weights that improve parton-shower predictions while preserving full event-level exclusivity, allowing any observable to be computed without rebinning or regeneration. On the conceptual side, we explain how theoretical principles can help determine which constraints to use and which kinds of priors lead to efficient reweighting. On the practical side, we perform a proof-of-concept study with hemisphere observables in $e^+e^- \to$ hadrons, and show that even when the parton-shower prior is degraded by removing the non-singular parts of the QCD splitting functions, a small set of precision calculations can restore the correct behavior. We use energy flow polynomials (EFPs) as a systematic basis for infrared- and collinear-safe constraints, and study how information transfers from constrained to unconstrained observables. We find rapid information saturation, where a compact set of EFP moments achieves broad improvements across observable space, including for standard hemisphere observables never used in training. By construction, the imposed moments of the posterior are formally as accurate as the precision inputs, while the improvement of any other observable is an empirical statement about information transfer that we quantify numerically. Physics-motivated basis reductions from collinear power counting achieve comparable performance to complete bases, and mixed moments combining polynomial and logarithmic terms outperform pure alternatives. These results suggest a systematic approach to improving parton-shower event generators, where theoretical constraints of the highest accuracy translate into full phase-space predictions of experimental relevance.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2025

Unbinned measurement of thrust in $e^+e^-$ collisions at $\sqrt{s}$ = 91.2 GeV with ALEPH archived data

The strong coupling constant ($\alpha_{S}$) is a fundamental parameter of quantum chromodynamics (QCD), the theory of the strong force. Some of the earliest precise constraints on $\alpha_{S}$ came from measurements of event shape observables, such as thrust ($T$), using hadronic $Z$ boson decays produced in $e^+e^-$ collisions. However, recent work has revealed discrepancies between event-shape-based extractions of $\alpha_{S}$ and values determined using other experimental methods. This work reexamines archived $e^+e^-$ data collected at a collision energy of $\sqrt{s}=91.2$ GeV by the ALEPH detector at the Large Electron-Positron Collider. Modern machine learning techniques are used to correct for detector effects in an unbinned manner, allowing the $T$ distribution to be measured with higher granularity than previous ALEPH measurements. The new measurement reveals a small but systematic shift towards larger values of $\tau=1-T$, and the potential implications of this shift for $\alpha_{S}$ extractions are illustrated by comparing to state-of-the-art theoretical calculations. In addition, the region of $-6<\log\tau<-2$, where poorly-understood non-perturbative effects are large, is compared to modern parton shower Monte Carlo simulations. This measurement provides unique new inputs for $\alpha_{S}$ extractions and also improves constraints on phenomenological models of QCD dynamics such as parton fragmentation and hadronization.

hep-ex↗

arXiv2025

The Future of Artificial Intelligence and the Mathematical and Physical Sciences (AI+MPS)

This community paper developed out of the NSF Workshop on the Future of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and the Mathematical and Physics Sciences (MPS), which was held in March 2025 with the goal of understanding how the MPS domains (Astronomy, Chemistry, Materials Research, Mathematical Sciences, and Physics) can best capitalize on, and contribute to, the future of AI. We present here a summary and snapshot of the MPS community's perspective, as of Spring/Summer 2025, in a rapidly developing field. The link between AI and MPS is becoming increasingly inextricable; now is a crucial moment to strengthen the link between AI and Science by pursuing a strategy that proactively and thoughtfully leverages the potential of AI for scientific discovery and optimizes opportunities to impact the development of AI by applying concepts from fundamental science. To achieve this, we propose activities and strategic priorities that: (1) enable AI+MPS research in both directions; (2) build up an interdisciplinary community of AI+MPS researchers; and (3) foster education and workforce development in AI for MPS researchers and students. We conclude with a summary of suggested priorities for funding agencies, educational institutions, and individual researchers to help position the MPS community to be a leader in, and take full advantage of, the transformative potential of AI+MPS.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2025

Analysis note: measurement of thrust in $e^{+}e^{-}$ collisions at $\sqrt{s}$ = 91 GeV with archived ALEPH data

A measurement of the thrust distribution in $e^{+}e^{-}$ collisions at $\sqrt{s} = 91.2$ GeV with archived data from the ALEPH experiment at the Large Electron-Positron Collider is presented. The thrust distribution is reconstructed from charged and neutral particles resulting from hadronic $Z$-boson decays. For the first time with $e^{+}e^{-}$ data, detector effects are corrected using a machine learning based method for unbinned unfolding. The measurement provides new input for resolving current discrepancies between theoretical calculations and experimental determinations of $\alpha_{s}$, constraining non-perturbative effects through logarithmic moments, developing differential hadronization models, and enabling new precision studies using the archived data.

hep-ex↗

arXiv2025

Frequentist Uncertainties on Neural Density Ratios with wifi Ensembles

We introduce wifi ensembles as a novel framework to obtain asymptotic frequentist uncertainties on density ratios, with a particular focus on neural ratio estimation in the context of high-energy physics. When the density ratio of interest is a likelihood ratio conditioned on parameters, wifi ensembles can be used to perform simulation-based inference on those parameters. After training the basis functions f_i(x), uncertainties on the weights w_i can be straightforwardly propagated to the estimated parameters without requiring extraneous bootstraps. To demonstrate this approach, we present an application in quantum chromodynamics at the Large Hadron Collider, using wifi ensembles to estimate the likelihood ratio between generated quark and gluon jets. We use this learned likelihood ratio to estimate the quark fraction in a synthetic mixed quark/gluon sample, showing that the resultant uncertainties empirically satisfy the desired coverage properties.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2025

Isolating Unisolated Upsilons with Anomaly Detection in CMS Open Data

We present the first study of anti-isolated Upsilon decays to two muons ($\Upsilon \to \mu^+ \mu^-$) in proton-proton collisions at the Large Hadron Collider. Using a machine learning (ML)-based anomaly detection strategy, we "rediscover" the $\Upsilon$ in 13 TeV CMS Open Data from 2016, despite overwhelming anti-isolated backgrounds. We elevate the signal significance to $6.4 \sigma$ using these methods, starting from $1.6 \sigma$ using the dimuon mass spectrum alone. Moreover, we demonstrate improved sensitivity from using an ML-based estimate of the multi-feature likelihood compared to traditional "cut-and-count" methods. Our work demonstrates that it is possible and practical to find real signals in experimental collider data using ML-based anomaly detection, and we distill a readily-accessible benchmark dataset from the CMS Open Data to facilitate future anomaly detection developments.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2025

QCD Theory meets Information Theory

We present a novel technique to incorporate precision calculations from quantum chromodynamics into fully differential particle-level Monte-Carlo simulations. By minimizing an information-theoretic quantity subject to constraints, our reweighted Monte Carlo incorporates systematic uncertainties absent in individual Monte Carlo predictions, achieving consistency with the theory input in precision and its estimated systematic uncertainties. Our method can be applied to arbitrary observables known from precision calculations, including multiple observables simultaneously. It generates strictly positive weights, thus offering a clear path to statistically powerful and theoretically precise computations for current and future collider experiments. As a proof of concept, we apply our technique to event-shape observables at electron-positron colliders, leveraging existing precision calculations of thrust. Our analysis highlights the importance of logarithmic moments of event shapes, which have not been previously studied in the collider physics literature.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2024

A Lorentz-Equivariant Transformer for All of the LHC

We show that the Lorentz-Equivariant Geometric Algebra Transformer (L-GATr) yields state-of-the-art performance for a wide range of machine learning tasks at the Large Hadron Collider. L-GATr represents data in a geometric algebra over space-time and is equivariant under Lorentz transformations. The underlying architecture is a versatile and scalable transformer, which is able to break symmetries if needed. We demonstrate the power of L-GATr for amplitude regression and jet classification, and then benchmark it as the first Lorentz-equivariant generative network. For all three LHC tasks, we find significant improvements over previous architectures.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2024

Flavor Patterns of Fundamental Particles from Quantum Entanglement?

The Cabibbo-Kobayashi-Maskawa (CKM) matrix, which controls flavor mixing between the three generations of quark fermions, is a key input to the Standard Model of particle physics. In this paper, we identify a surprising connection between quantum entanglement and the degree of quark mixing. Focusing on a specific limit of $2 \to 2$ quark scattering mediated by electroweak bosons, we find that the quantum entanglement generated by scattering is minimized when the CKM matrix is almost (but not exactly) diagonal, in qualitative agreement with observation. With the discovery of neutrino masses and mixings, additional angles are needed to parametrize the Pontecorvo-Maki-Nakagawa-Sakata (PMNS) matrix in the lepton sector. Applying the same logic, we find that quantum entanglement is minimized when the PMNS matrix features two large angles and a smaller one, again in qualitative agreement with observation, plus a hint for suppressed CP violation. We speculate on the (unlikely but tantalizing) possibility that minimization of quantum entanglement might be a fundamental principle that determines particle physics input parameters.

hep-ph↗