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Jhan

Publications and source records attributed to Jhan.

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Multivariate interactions modeling through their manifestations: low dimensional model building via the Cumulant Generating Function

Growing dimensionality of data calls for beyond-pairwise interactions quantification. Measures of multidimensional interactions quantification are hindered, among others, by two issues: 1. Interpretation difficulties, 2. the curse of dimensionality. We propose to deal with multidimensional interactions by identifying subject-matter specific "interaction manifestations" and then building a low-dimensional model that reproduces as close as possible such manifestations. We argue that an adequate model building approach is to build the model in the form of a cumulant generating function, i.e. to use joint cumulants as building blocks. The whole approach resembles that of probability inversion in the area of expert knowledge based risk assessment, where a discrimination is made between "elicitation" variables, familiar to the experts, and "target" (or model) variables, consisting of the more abstract parameters of a mathematical model. A synthetic example is provided to illustrate these ideas.

stat.ME

Beyond correlation in spatial statistics modeling

We introduce a model for spatial statistics which can account explicitly for interactions among more than two field components at a time. The theoretical aspects of the model are dealt with: cumulant and moment generating functions, spatial consistency and parameter estimation. On the basis of a detailed synthetic example, we show the kind of inference about the (partially observed) spatial field that can be very wrong, if one validates his model by checking only one and two dimensional marginal fit, and covariance function fit. We suggest statistics that can be used additionally for model validation, which help assess interdependence among groups of variables. The implications of considering multivariate interactions for intense daily precipitation forecasting over a small catchment in southeastern Germany (that of the Saalach river) are investigated.

stat.ME