arXiv subjects

Jian Xu

Publications and source records attributed to Jian Xu.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

PailitaoGR: Latent Think-with-Images for Generative Image Retrieval

Generative retrieval has demonstrated strong performance by directly generating product semantic identifiers (SIDs). Extending this paradigm to image search, however, is nontrivial because real-world query images contain diverse information, including the search target, useful auxiliary evidence, and irrelevant visual content. This requires the model to identify and focus on the search target while selectively utilizing auxiliary evidence. In this paper, we propose \textbf{PailitaoGR}, a \emph{Latent Think-with-Images} method for generative image retrieval, which internalizes target-focused perception and selective auxiliary-evidence utilization into a the generative retrieval model, enabling \textit{Zooming without Cropping} and \textit{Reading without OCR}. Specifically, we design a target-focused perception mechanism that identifies and enhances visual tokens of the search target, consisting of a target Enhancer and a learning strategy based on on-policy distillation and attention guidance loss, enabling the model to focus on search-target regions. We also design a selective auxiliary-evidence utilization mechanism that identifies and enhances visual tokens of auxiliary evidence, including an auxiliary enhancer and an in-capacity incremental contrastive distillation strategy, enabling the model to exploit auxiliary evidence. We construct training and validation sets sampled from real-world online image-search logs. Experiments show that our method outperforms existing baselines by an average of 13.8\%, validating its effectiveness.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

TransRetrieval: Scaling Up Transformer-Based Retrieval for Industrial Recommendation

Applying scaling laws to recommendation retrieval is hindered by feature heterogeneity: naively stacking Transformer layers yields diminishing returns because heterogeneous fields produce severe token-norm divergence. We present TransRetrieval, a Transformer-based retrieval framework that scales with both computational budget and cross-domain data. The key enabler is (1) weighted average aggregation, which restores the homogeneous-token assumption Transformers rely on. Building on this, we introduce (2) target token compression that cuts per-candidate FLOPs by 85% while preserving cross-attention expressiveness, and (3) position-style domain embeddings that unify multiple domains at negligible additional cost, turning cross-domain data into a scaling asset. On a 40-billion-interaction industrial dataset and the public KuaiRand benchmark, scaling compute from 0.1 to 2 MFLOPs per target yields +19.3/+22.2 pt Recall@2000, confirming robust log-linear scaling. In online A/B tests, TransRetrieval lifts platform revenue by 2.53% under the same end-to-end latency constraint as the production baseline.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2026

Can Large Language Models Identify Meaningful Touchpoints in Conversion Attribution?

Touchpoint selection in conversion attribution, namely identifying meaningful touchpoints contributing to conversions, is essential for e-commerce recommendation and online advertising. Current selection methods rely heavily on collaborative-filtering-based heuristics, which fail to align with user-perceived semantic intent. Through human annotation, we reveal a significant semantic gap: many implicitly-related, semantically relevant touchpoints remain undetected by existing rules. Therefore, we systematically evaluate the capability of Large Language Models (LLMs) in identifying these hidden associations. Our evaluation shows that while LLMs effectively uncover a substantial portion of implicitly-related touchpoints, significant room for improvement remains in their selection performance. Furthermore, we analyze the impact of different prompting strategies and foundation model choices on identification performance, providing valuable insights into their reasoning patterns and effectiveness. These insights offer a new roadmap for transitioning conversion attribution from mechanical rule-matching to human-aligned semantic reasoning. Moreover, we leverage the LLM-attributed conversion labels for enhancing industrial CVR model training and achieve significant offline performance gains, showing the potential of LLMs in conversion attribution.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Evaluating Generative Time-Series Models on Data with Point Masses

Many of the series that generative time-series models are benchmarked on place a large probability mass on a single value --- it does not rain, no ride is requested, no part is ordered. We report what happens when such data is evaluated carefully. First, the standard rolling-origin protocol can score a model on a window whose atom structure bears no resemblance to the dataset: on one benchmark the dataset is $42\%$ zeros and the evaluation windows are $13\%$, on another $47\%$ against $5\%$. This is not a cosmetic problem --- it reversed one of our own conclusions, turning the strongest occurrence model in our study into what looked like a cautionary tale. Second, we give a control in which CRPS is invariant \emph{by construction} while the temporal coupling is destroyed, which measures exactly how much that coupling contributes to a chosen statistic. Third, benchmarking seven models on a matched protocol over five seeds, an autoregressive hurdle beats a conditional flow on five of six datasets, by up to a factor of $153$, while the flow's own occurrence statistics vary by up to $62\%$ across training seeds and every baseline is deterministic. Finally, the model ordering is not the same under five different occurrence statistics, and the two that do not share a construction agree with each other least.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

SymDiag: Explainable Diagnosis for LLM Reasoning via Neuro-Symbolic Verification

Large language models (LLMs) increasingly serve as data-driven reasoners, yet their chains-of-thought (CoT) can be unfaithful even when final answers are correct. Most existing ``verification'' signals are not diagnostic: answer matching observes only the outcome, LLM-as-judge provides subjective and non-verifiable critiques, and scalar rewards (e.g., PRMs/RMs) offer little insight into where a multi-step derivation fails.We propose \textbf{SymDiag}, a neuro-symbolic framework that \textbf{reframes reasoning verification as structured failure diagnosis}. SymDiag translates natural-language CoT into symbolic constraints and performs step-level satisfiability/entailment checks to (i) localize failing steps and (ii) produce verifiable diagnostic evidence, including counterexamples, inconsistency witnesses, and missing-premise indicators. A central challenge is that apparent ``logic violations'' can be caused either by genuine reasoning defects or by neural-to-symbolic translation noise. SymDiag therefore incorporates a Self-Auditor that disentangles TranslationError from ReasoningError via dual symbolic encodings consistency checks, enabling robust diagnosis under partial observability. Across diverse mathematical, logical, scientific, and general reasoning benchmarks, SymDiag improves detection of unfaithful reasoning and provides substantially more effective feedback for multi-round reasoning repair than outcome-only verification and LLM-based judging, offering a principled foundation for trustworthy and scalable reasoning diagnosis.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

ChronoVision: Temporal Reasoning via Latent State Reconstruction

Multimodal large language models excel at passive perception but struggle with complex visual cognitive tasks requiring multi-step temporal reasoning. This degradation largely stems from the inherent ambiguity of language-based reasoning, which often fails to accurately articulate continuous visual transformations. To address this, we propose ChronoVision, a multimodal framework designed to align visual logic with latent imagery. During supervised fine-tuning, a Reconstructive Visual Head predicts the latent representation of the final transformed state, while an ROI Attention Locating module focuses the model on key visual evidence via semantic span queries. In post-training, we apply reinforcement learning with an implicit process grounding mechanism, guided by a composite reward function that evaluates outcome correctness, latent process alignment, and unsupervised visual focus. Furthermore, we introduce Vbvr-VQA, a novel dataset that evaluates temporal tracking by reformulating video reasoning into a strict image-ordering task. Experiments demonstrate that ChronoVision achieves state-of-the-art performance on Vbvr-VQA with 74.8% in-domain and 71.6% out-of-domain accuracy, alongside a strong 55.0% accuracy on IntPhys2, a highly challenging cross-domain benchmark.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

NodeJEPA: Structure-Conditioned Latent Prediction for Node-Level Graph Self-Supervised Learning

Self-supervised learning on graphs is largely shaped by contrastive methods that depend on carefully designed augmentations, and by generative methods that reconstruct node attributes in the input space. Both paradigms can entangle representations with low-level input statistics rather than with relational structure. Joint-embedding predictive architectures (JEPA) instead learn by predicting latent targets rather than reconstructing inputs. Recent work has explored this idea for graph-level representation learning, but how to design JEPA-style objectives for node-level tasks, and which structural signals the predictor should condition on, remains less clear. We present NodeJEPA, a joint-embedding predictive architecture for node-level graph self-supervised learning. NodeJEPA masks structure-aware k-hop ego-subgraphs and trains a context encoder to predict the latent representations of the masked nodes. These targets come from an EMA-updated target encoder with stop-gradient. A structure-conditioned predictor integrates spectral and centrality descriptors through cross-attention. Variance, covariance, and Laplacian spectral regularizers help stabilize the embedding geometry, and an optional curriculum gradually increases masking difficulty during training. Because prediction occurs in latent space, NodeJEPA does not rely on input reconstruction or hand-crafted graph augmentations. We evaluate NodeJEPA on standard node classification benchmarks under linear probing and fine-tuning protocols, and conduct ablations on masking, prediction, and regularization design choices. Our study offers a practical recipe for node-level JEPA-style latent prediction on graphs, and clarifies when structural conditioning helps representation learning. Code, configurations, and evaluation scripts are publicly available at https://github.com/OliverZ-dot/Node-Jepa.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Diagnosing Under-Development of Irreversible Processes in Video Generation

Many physical attributes are \emph{irreversible}: ice melts but does not re-freeze, paper chars but does not un-burn. Do video generators respect this? We show the question is hard to measure, and that what can be measured reliably is \emph{development} rather than reversal. Metrics of local reversal are null-degenerate: a per-clip violation rate scores $0.50$ on pure noise, and a variance-normalized reversal residual sits at its noise ceiling. What survives null-testing is a two-part protocol: progress (a directional attribute correlation) and a stasis rate. Under this protocol, generated video separates cleanly from real footage, and the gap is human-validated. Across seven text-to-video models, real reference footage advances ($\rho{=}{+}0.40$, $35\%$ static) while every generator shows near-zero progress and $92$--$100\%$ stasis; nine annotators rate real footage far above generated ($2.75$ vs.\ $0.99$ on a $0$--$4$ scale). The reliable finding is \emph{under-development}: generators barely advance irreversible attributes rather than reversing them. As a complementary mechanism, we show that post-hoc readout guidance is gameable, whereas enforcing monotonicity by construction in a disentangled attribute latent removes the gameable readout, validated in controlled and semi-synthetic settings.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Multi-channel Uplift Policy Learning

E-commerce platforms must allocate fixed marketing budgets across multiple channels to maximize business utility. However, standard predict-then-optimize (PTO) paradigms fail in this compositional space due to observational confounding and severe extrapolation. We formulate this challenge as a simplex-constrained uplift decision problem and propose ReAlloc, a fast-slow causal framework. Specifically, an agile Orthogonal Teacher extracts unbiased local gradients from short-term logs, while an Explanation-Guided Student distills them into a structured marginal field over long-term horizons. This design enables support-aware, conservative decisions that capture cross-channel substitutions. Extensive simulations and large-scale online A/B tests on Taobao platform demonstrate that ReAlloc achieves simultaneous lifts in both pay order and income.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Strategy-Aware Parameter-Efficient Adaptation for LLM-based Auto-Bidding

Advertising bidding has evolved from manual strategies to auto-bidding systems better adapted for large-scale, dynamic auction environments. While recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) offer strong reasoning for auto-bidding, existing methods suffer from shallow trajectory-text interactions and require costly fine-tuning, hindering the efficient use of pretrained knowledge under diverse constraints. To address these challenges, we propose SAGE, a novel Strategy-aware Auto-bidding framework Guided by LLMs for Efficient bidding. SAGE introduces a parameter-efficient multi-modal alignment framework for constrained auto-bidding with LLMs. Specifically, SAGE comprises three key components: (i) the position augmentation module adopts temporal-semantic positional embeddings to effectively capture the intrinsic dynamics and semantic structures; (ii) the text alignment module leverages gated cross-attention to align the embedding spaces of trajectory and text modalities, enabling effective multi-modal fusion while alleviating the computational overhead caused by long trajectories; (iii) the constraint-gated LoRA module employs constraints as routing signals, activating only a small subset of experts to adapt the behavior of a frozen LLM efficiently. Extensive experiments on large-scale auto-bidding benchmark demonstrate that SAGE consistently achieves superior performance while tuning less than 10% of the trainable parameters required by full fine-tuning. Ablation studies further validate the critical contribution of each component to the framework's overall performance.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2026

AIGB-R1: Self-Evolving Generative Auto-Bidding via Hierarchical Planner-Executor Optimization

Auto-bidding plays an essential role in online advertising, automatically adjusting bids for advertisers to optimize their commercial goals. The emerging AI-Generated Bidding (AIGB) paradigm widely adopts generative modeling to optimize bidding strategies, yet suffers from the limited mode coverage of offline datasets and inadequate task-state understanding, hindering effective exploration of optimal strategies. Large Language Models (LLMs), with prior world knowledge and reasoning capabilities, offer a promising approach to overcome these limitations. However, directly applying LLMs to auto-bidding tasks faces inherent challenges in limited numerical precision, hallucinations, and inference latency. To address these limitations, we propose AIGB-R1, a hierarchical self-evolving auto-bidding framework aiming to enhance AI-Generated Bidding via LLMs' Reasoning capabilities, comprising a high-level Planner module for macro-level strategy planning and a low-level Executor module for fine-grained decision-making. Building upon this, we design an experience-driven self-evolving loop, enabling autonomous strategy exploration and optimization from accumulated experience. We adopt a two-stage pipeline of offline pre-training and post-training alignment, and build an interactive bidding simulation environment for strategy rollout. Furthermore, we propose Decoupled Group Relative Policy Optimization (D-GRPO) to achieve end-to-end optimization via advantage decoupling. Experimental results on a large-scale public dataset demonstrate the effectiveness of AIGB-R1.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Fixed-Protocol Amortized MPS Tomography with Conformalized Predictive Uncertainty

Quantum state tomography is sample-starved, and the states one prepares live on a narrow, learnable manifold. A $k{=}0$ prior-only control shows that on concentrated families a prior estimate is already near-optimal, so ``high fidelity at few measurements'' can be family memorization rather than tomography; genuine measurement-efficiency needs a model that conditions on the measurements and demonstrably uses them. On a shared matrix-product-state (MPS) core parameterization we study two routes. Approach~A learns a generative prior over MPS cores with measurement-guided posterior inference (gold-standard-validated, but whose few-measurement accuracy the control shows is largely the prior). Approach~B, our main proposal, is a \emph{fixed-protocol amortized} MPS estimator trained once with a gauge-invariant fidelity loss; we deliberately do not rest it on a permutation-invariant set encoder (a plain MLP matches it). The decisive lever is the measurement design: motivated by the fact that local reduced density matrices determine a $\chi$-MPS, conditioning on an \emph{informative local} Pauli set rather than random strings turns a modest, memorization-prone estimator into a high-fidelity one ($\approx\!0.95$, up to $+0.59$ over prior-only, decisively passing a shuffled-measurement control). A dropout ensemble, conformally recalibrated, gives $\approx\!90\%$-coverage intervals -- including for observables never measured, where a shot-based interval does not exist. Quality holds as the system grows (fidelity $0.90$ at $n{=}10$, gain \emph{growing} in $n$; $0.88$ at bond dimension $\chi{=}4$), the parameterization is polynomial (native contraction to $20$ qubits), and we close the loop on IBM hardware ($5$ states at $0.97$ from hardware-measured Paulis).

quant-ph↗

arXiv2026

Multi-Scale Convolution with Optimal Transport Attention Effect on Multivariate Time Series

The analysis of Multivariate Time Series (MTS) plays an important role in a lot of real-world practical applications, but it still remains some challenging problem about capturing multi-granularity structural patterns and suppressing noise appropriately. Multi-Scale Convolution with Optimal Transport Attention (MSC-OT) is proposed in this paper. MSC-OT is a useful architecture to optimize the attention mechanism. It combines multi-scale convolution with Sinkhorn optimal transport method based on inverted embedding. The inverted embedding approach embeds each variable as a token and allows the model to capture cross-variate relationships better. MSC-OT consists of two part: (1) Multi-Scale Convolution Enhancement, that applies multi-scale convolutions to attention score matrices based on inverted embedding, capturing local structural patterns in the variate-interaction space induced by compressed temporal representations; (2) Sinkhorn Optimal Transport Regularization, that formulates attention computation as an optimal transport problem and employs iterative matrix scaling to ensure balanced information flow across variates. Adaptive Fusion Strategy utilizes softmax-normalized learnable weights to dynamically combine base attention, convolution-enhanced, and OT-regularized scores. Experiments on widely-used datasets, including ETT, Electricity, Traffic, Solar-Energy, and Exchange-Rate, show that MSC-OT achieves well performance in both short-term and long-term forecasting tasks. Ablation experiments further validate the effectiveness of each proposed component and their synergistic contributions to improving prediction accuracy for multivariate time series forecasting.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Entanglement as a Structural Complexity Axis: A PAC-Bayesian View of Generalization in Quantum Policies and Value Functions

Parameterized quantum circuits (PQCs) are increasingly used as policies and value functions in quantum reinforcement learning, yet it remains unclear when and why quantum policies generalize. We give a PAC-Bayesian account in which generalization is governed not by the raw number of circuit parameters, but by the effective dimension of the Fisher geometry induced by the circuit. This quantity is inflated by entanglement, making entangling connectivity an independent axis of complexity.In controlled experiments that fix the number of trainable rotations and vary only entanglement, we find that circuits with larger Fisher effective dimension exhibit larger train-test gaps, while parameter count is a weak predictor. The resulting bound acts primarily as a ranking certificate: it correctly orders circuits with identical parameter count, which parameter-counting bounds cannot do. We validate this mechanism across supervised classification, quantum contextual bandits, and value-function generalization, where entangled circuits consistently generalize worse than non-entangled circuits of equal parameter count, with gaps shrinking as sample size increases.Our strongest evidence comes from low-variance decision models, including single-observable classifiers, value heads, and one-step policies. In end-to-end multi-step policy learning, entanglement effects remain statistically significant but high return variance leaves the full ordering only partially resolved. Partial-correlation analysis shows that Fisher effective dimension screens off entangling pattern, and controls for training accuracy, readout, and optimizer rule out major optimization confounders. The effect also persists on an IBM Heron quantum processor under real noise. Overall, our results reframe quantum policy design around an entanglement--generalization trade-off rather than expressivity alone.

quant-ph↗

arXiv2026

When Can You Debias an LLM Judge? Identifiability Limits, a Test, and Designs for Top-k Ranking

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as cheap, scalable judges that compare candidate outputs pairwise. Because such judges prefer verbose or well-formatted answers, the natural fix is to add bias covariates to a Bradley--Terry model and estimate the bias away. We show this cannot work as advertised: the quality/bias split is \emph{not identified} by pairwise comparisons, and the failure is exact -- across $48$ real judge-pools the profile likelihood over the coefficient is flat to $\mathbf{0.0000}$ \textbf{nats}, and scaling the comparisons $26\times$ buys none. A ``debiased'' score is selected by the prior, not recovered from data. Our contribution is accordingly not a better estimator but a characterization of \emph{when prior-based correction is justified}, plus designs that supply the missing information when it is not. The assumption the prior encodes -- quality is a priori uncorrelated with the covariate -- pays only while $\mathrm{corr}(\theta,x)$ stays below a crossing point (configuration-dependent, $0.22$--$0.60$), which is what makes the same model help on LLMBar and hurt on SummEval and Nectar. We give two escapes: a \textbf{trusted-anchor gate} that decides per (judge, covariate, task) (no false enables in $6{,}000$ decisions at $K\ge10$ anchors, a rate our sample bounds at $\le6\%$), and a \textbf{paired rendering design}. Across fifteen real LLM judges bias is heterogeneous and capability-dependent: correction improves \topk{} recall by $0.20$--$0.32$ on five biased-but-competent cheap judges and is a no-op on frontier ones (Spearman $\rho{=}{-}0.84$ between competence and gain over the $14$ competent judges, $p{<}10^{-3}$), concentrating the benefit where at-scale evaluation happens.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Secure-CHG: A Comprehensive Framework for Robust and Fair Federated Learning via Hybrid Defense and Contribution-Aware Trust

Federated Learning (FL) is highly susceptible to stealthy backdoor attacks, which aim to force a model into predicting an attacker-chosen target class for inputs containing a specific trigger. However, existing statistical defenses primarily focus on the early stages of model convergence. In this paper, we identify a fundamental vulnerability termed ``Late-stage Failure.'' We demonstrate that as the global model converges, decaying gradient norms render malicious and benign updates morphologically indistinguishable. This vanishing statistical variance effectively blinds traditional defenses, enabling adaptive adversaries to remain dormant and subsequently hijack the training process. To overcome these constraints, we propose Secure-CHG, a hybrid framework that pivots the defense paradigm from superficial morphological detection toward intrinsic semantic contribution verification. Secure-CHG employs an adaptive defense pipeline: a cascaded statistical filter stabilizes optimization during the early oscillatory phase, while a novel CHG-Shapley mechanism takes over during late-stage convergence. By leveraging sample hardness (i.e., local training loss) to project updates into a composite Hardness-Gradient space, it effectively amplifies adversarial semantic traces, enabling the isolation of stealthy attackers even as gradient norms vanish. Furthermore, we derive a closed-form solution for CHG-Shapley, facilitating low-complexity, retraining-free node valuation and trust-modulated aggregation. Extensive evaluations on CIFAR-10, MedMNIST, and NEU-SDDB demonstrate that Secure-CHG effectively mitigates Late-stage Failure. Specifically, it significantly suppresses advanced backdoor attacks, reducing their attack success rate by 2.3$\times$ and 2.0$\times$ relative to the mainstream Krum and Trimmed Mean baselines, respectively.

cs.CR↗

arXiv2026

Calibration, Not Compilation: Detecting and Repairing Misspecified Probabilistic Programs Written by Language Models

Language models increasingly write probabilistic programs (in NumPyro, Stan, or Pyro), but a program that compiles, runs, and passes every unit test can still be \emph{statistically} wrong -- a Gaussian likelihood for heavy-tailed data, a Poisson for over-dispersed counts, an invalid prior support, or a pathological parameterization. The right verifier is therefore not a test suite but the Bayesian workflow itself: posterior predictive checks, simulation-based calibration, sampler diagnostics ($\hat R$, divergences, ESS), and held-out predictive density. We study this calibration oracle along three axes. \textbf{Detection:} on a benchmark of $14$ misspecification types across $10$ model families ($200$ instances), it flags the bug with AUC $0.97$ ($88\%$ at $2\%$ FPR \emph{when handed the correct reference program, an upper bound}) -- and a fully \emph{reference-free} version that uses no correct program reaches $62$--$78\%$ (the upper figure from a small automated model search), versus $0\%$ for a unit-test oracle. \textbf{Repair:} used as feedback in an LLM repair loop across fifteen models, calibration significantly outperforms unit-test feedback -- which is itself \emph{significantly worse than no feedback at all}, a passing test inducing false confidence that suppresses repair -- and improves over no feedback on strong-but-unsaturated models (GPT-5.1 $33{\to}92\%$, Claude $75{\to}100\%$; paired McNemar, $n{=}228$). \textbf{Reality:} on programs LLMs write from scratch for neutral briefs, $15$--$47\%$ of runnable ones are statistically misspecified (unit tests catch none), and calibration-guided repair significantly beats LLM-as-judge review, a Bayesian-workflow checklist, and data-summary self-debug. Across all three, the lesson is the same: for probabilistic programs, correctness is calibration, not compilation.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Active Quantum Kernel Acquisition for Gaussian Process Regression

Quantum kernel estimation on near-term hardware is shot-budgeted: every entry of the kernel Gram matrix is a Bernoulli expectation that must be sampled with a finite number of circuit executions. Recent work on quantum kernel classification has shown that allocating shots non-uniformly across kernel entries, weighted by their downstream task sensitivity, can reduce the shot budget required to reach a target accuracy. We extend this idea to Gaussian process (GP) regression, a setting whose downstream quantities (full-spectrum posterior variance, log-determinant, marginal likelihood) couple to kernel error more tightly than the sign-only outputs of classification. We derive three closed-form pair-level sensitivities predictive coupling $|\alpha_i\alpha_j|$, leave-one-out residual, and marginal-likelihood gradient and plug them into a Neyman-style minimum-variance allocation rule. To prevent catastrophic over-concentration when the warm-up sensitivity estimate is itself noisy, we add a high uniform coverage floor justified by a Frobenius lower bound on the missing-entry perturbation. On four UCI benchmarks and two synthetic RBF + Bernoulli controlled studies, the resulting allocator delivers $10$--$21\%$ test-RMSE improvement over uniform allocation across the moderate-budget regime. The gain transfers (i) to genuine ZZ and Pauli-Z quantum kernels on quantum-natural data ($-13$--$15\%$ at low budget, $p<0.05$ paired) and (ii) to four downstream tasks (Bayesian quadrature, heteroscedastic regression, hyperparameter learning, multi-output Cokriging). On UCI features embedded into a ZZ kernel the gain disappears, consistent with the exponential-concentration regime where shot allocation has nothing to exploit.

cs.LG↗