Redshift-Dependent Intrinsic Dispersion in the Quasar UV/X-ray Luminosity Relation
Accurate modeling of the intrinsic dispersion in the quasar UV/X-ray luminosity relation is essential for reliable cosmological inference. We investigate its redshift dependence using luminosity distances reconstructed from cosmic chronometer and baryon acoustic oscillation measurements through Gaussian-process (GP) regression. Bayesian model comparison and posterior constraints show that the intrinsic dispersion is not well described by a single redshift-independent constant over $0.7<z<2.6$. It remains approximately constant at $0.7<z<1.6$, but shows an overall decreasing trend in the higher-redshift interval $1.6<z<2.6$, where the redshift-dependent intrinsic-dispersion model is decisively favored. This conclusion remains qualitatively robust against changes in the scaling-relation parameterization, GP kernel, and redshift binning scheme. We further examine its impact on cosmological inference in the flat $\Lambda$CDM model and find that, under the adopted calibration setup, the redshift-dependent intrinsic-dispersion model shifts the posterior median of $\Omega_{\rm m0}$ by $\Delta\Omega_{\rm m0}\simeq 0.025$. This indicates that intrinsic-dispersion modeling is a non-negligible component of the systematic-error budget for quasar cosmology and should be accounted for in future precision analyses.