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Jiantao Jiao

Publications and source records attributed to Jiantao Jiao.

97 records · Page 6Linked to original sources

Justification of Logarithmic Loss via the Benefit of Side Information

We consider a natural measure of relevance: the reduction in optimal prediction risk in the presence of side information. For any given loss function, this relevance measure captures the benefit of side information for performing inference on a random variable under this loss function. When such a measure satisfies a natural data processing property, and the random variable of interest has alphabet size greater than two, we show that it is uniquely characterized by the mutual information, and the corresponding loss function coincides with logarithmic loss. In doing so, our work provides a new characterization of mutual information, and justifies its use as a measure of relevance. When the alphabet is binary, we characterize the only admissible forms the measure of relevance can assume while obeying the specified data processing property. Our results naturally extend to measuring causal influence between stochastic processes, where we unify different causal-inference measures in the literature as instantiations of directed information.

cs.IT↗

Minimax Estimation of Functionals of Discrete Distributions

We propose a general methodology for the construction and analysis of minimax estimators for a wide class of functionals of finite dimensional parameters, and elaborate on the case of discrete distributions, where the alphabet size $S$ is unknown and may be comparable with the number of observations $n$. We treat the respective regions where the functional is "nonsmooth" and "smooth" separately. In the "nonsmooth" regime, we apply an unbiased estimator for the best polynomial approximation of the functional whereas, in the "smooth" regime, we apply a bias-corrected Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE). We illustrate the merit of this approach by thoroughly analyzing two important cases: the entropy $H(P) = \sum_{i = 1}^S -p_i \ln p_i$ and $F_α(P) = \sum_{i = 1}^S p_i^α,α>0$. We obtain the minimax $L_2$ rates for estimating these functionals. In particular, we demonstrate that our estimator achieves the optimal sample complexity $n \asymp S/\ln S$ for entropy estimation. We also show that the sample complexity for estimating $F_α(P),0<α<1$ is $n\asymp S^{1/α}/ \ln S$, which can be achieved by our estimator but not the MLE. For $1<α<3/2$, we show the minimax $L_2$ rate for estimating $F_α(P)$ is $(n\ln n)^{-2(α-1)}$ regardless of the alphabet size, while the $L_2$ rate for the MLE is $n^{-2(α-1)}$. For all the above cases, the behavior of the minimax rate-optimal estimators with $n$ samples is essentially that of the MLE with $n\ln n$ samples. We highlight the practical advantages of our schemes for entropy and mutual information estimation. We demonstrate that our approach reduces running time and boosts the accuracy compared to existing various approaches. Moreover, we show that the mutual information estimator induced by our methodology leads to significant performance boosts over the Chow--Liu algorithm in learning graphical models.

cs.IT↗

Information Measures: the Curious Case of the Binary Alphabet

Four problems related to information divergence measures defined on finite alphabets are considered. In three of the cases we consider, we illustrate a contrast which arises between the binary-alphabet and larger-alphabet settings. This is surprising in some instances, since characterizations for the larger-alphabet settings do not generalize their binary-alphabet counterparts. Specifically, we show that $f$-divergences are not the unique decomposable divergences on binary alphabets that satisfy the data processing inequality, thereby clarifying claims that have previously appeared in the literature. We also show that KL divergence is the unique Bregman divergence which is also an $f$-divergence for any alphabet size. We show that KL divergence is the unique Bregman divergence which is invariant to statistically sufficient transformations of the data, even when non-decomposable divergences are considered. Like some of the problems we consider, this result holds only when the alphabet size is at least three.

cs.IT↗

Beyond Maximum Likelihood: from Theory to Practice

Maximum likelihood is the most widely used statistical estimation technique. Recent work by the authors introduced a general methodology for the construction of estimators for functionals in parametric models, and demonstrated improvements - both in theory and in practice - over the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), particularly in high dimensional scenarios involving parameter dimension comparable to or larger than the number of samples. This approach to estimation, building on results from approximation theory, is shown to yield minimax rate-optimal estimators for a wide class of functionals, implementable with modest computational requirements. In a nutshell, a message of this recent work is that, for a wide class of functionals, the performance of these essentially optimal estimators with $n$ samples is comparable to that of the MLE with $n \ln n$ samples. In the present paper, we highlight the applicability of the aforementioned methodology to statistical problems beyond functional estimation, and show that it can yield substantial gains. For example, we demonstrate that for learning tree-structured graphical models, our approach achieves a significant reduction of the required data size compared with the classical Chow--Liu algorithm, which is an implementation of the MLE, to achieve the same accuracy. The key step in improving the Chow--Liu algorithm is to replace the empirical mutual information with the estimator for mutual information proposed by the authors. Further, applying the same replacement approach to classical Bayesian network classification, the resulting classifiers uniformly outperform the previous classifiers on 26 widely used datasets.

stat.ME↗

An Extremal Inequality for Long Markov Chains

Let $X,Y$ be jointly Gaussian vectors, and consider random variables $U,V$ that satisfy the Markov constraint $U-X-Y-V$. We prove an extremal inequality relating the mutual informations between all ${4 \choose 2}$ pairs of random variables from the set $(U,X,Y,V)$. As a first application, we show that the rate region for the two-encoder quadratic Gaussian source coding problem follows as an immediate corollary of the the extremal inequality. In a second application, we establish the rate region for a vector-Gaussian source coding problem where Löwner-John ellipsoids are approximated based on rate-constrained descriptions of the data.

cs.IT↗

Universal Estimation of Directed Information

Four estimators of the directed information rate between a pair of jointly stationary ergodic finite-alphabet processes are proposed, based on universal probability assignments. The first one is a Shannon--McMillan--Breiman type estimator, similar to those used by Verdú (2005) and Cai, Kulkarni, and Verdú (2006) for estimation of other information measures. We show the almost sure and $L_1$ convergence properties of the estimator for any underlying universal probability assignment. The other three estimators map universal probability assignments to different functionals, each exhibiting relative merits such as smoothness, nonnegativity, and boundedness. We establish the consistency of these estimators in almost sure and $L_1$ senses, and derive near-optimal rates of convergence in the minimax sense under mild conditions. These estimators carry over directly to estimating other information measures of stationary ergodic finite-alphabet processes, such as entropy rate and mutual information rate, with near-optimal performance and provide alternatives to classical approaches in the existing literature. Guided by these theoretical results, the proposed estimators are implemented using the context-tree weighting algorithm as the universal probability assignment. Experiments on synthetic and real data are presented, demonstrating the potential of the proposed schemes in practice and the utility of directed information estimation in detecting and measuring causal influence and delay.

cs.IT↗

Minimax-Optimal Bounds for Detectors Based on Estimated Prior Probabilities

In many signal detection and classification problems, we have knowledge of the distribution under each hypothesis, but not the prior probabilities. This paper is aimed at providing theory to quantify the performance of detection via estimating prior probabilities from either labeled or unlabeled training data. The error or {\em risk} is considered as a function of the prior probabilities. We show that the risk function is locally Lipschitz in the vicinity of the true prior probabilities, and the error of detectors based on estimated prior probabilities depends on the behavior of the risk function in this locality. In general, we show that the error of detectors based on the Maximum Likelihood Estimate (MLE) of the prior probabilities converges to the Bayes error at a rate of $n^{-1/2}$, where $n$ is the number of training data. If the behavior of the risk function is more favorable, then detectors based on the MLE have errors converging to the corresponding Bayes errors at optimal rates of the form $n^{-(1+α)/2}$, where $α>0$ is a parameter governing the behavior of the risk function with a typical value $α= 1$. The limit $α\rightarrow \infty$ corresponds to a situation where the risk function is flat near the true probabilities, and thus insensitive to small errors in the MLE; in this case the error of the detector based on the MLE converges to the Bayes error exponentially fast with $n$. We show the bounds are achievable no matter given labeled or unlabeled training data and are minimax-optimal in labeled case.

cs.IT↗