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Jin Tian

Publications and source records attributed to Jin Tian.

54 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Purifying Adversarial Perturbation with Adversarially Trained Auto-encoders

Machine learning models are vulnerable to adversarial examples. Iterative adversarial training has shown promising results against strong white-box attacks. However, adversarial training is very expensive, and every time a model needs to be protected, such expensive training scheme needs to be performed. In this paper, we propose to apply iterative adversarial training scheme to an external auto-encoder, which once trained can be used to protect other models directly. We empirically show that our model outperforms other purifying-based methods against white-box attacks, and transfers well to directly protect other base models with different architectures.

cs.LG↗

Interference coupling analysis based on a hybrid method: application for radio telescope system

Working in a way that passively receives the electromagnetic radiation of celestial body, the radio telescope is easily disturbed by external radio frequency interference (RFI) as well as the electromagnetic interference (EMI) generated by electric and electronic components operating at telescope site. The quantitative analysis for these interferences must be taken into account carefully for further electromagnetic protection of the radio telescope. In this paper, based on the electromagnetic topology (EMT) theory, a hybrid method that combines Baum-Liu-Tesche (BLT) equation and transfer function is proposed. In this method, the coupling path of radio telescope is divided into strong coupling and weak coupling sub-paths, and the coupling intensity criterion is proposed by analyzing the conditions that BLT equation simplifies to transfer function. According to the coupling intensity criterion, the topological model of a typical radio telescope system is established. The proposed method is used to solve the interference response of the radio telescope system by analyzing the subsystems with different coupling modes respectively and then integrating the responses of the subsystems as the response of the entire system. The validity of the proposed method is verified numerically. The results indicate that the proposed method, compared with the direct solving method, reduces the difficulty and improves the efficiency of the interference prediction.

astro-ph.IM↗

Recoverability of Joint Distribution from Missing Data

A probabilistic query may not be estimable from observed data corrupted by missing values if the data are not missing at random (MAR). It is therefore of theoretical interest and practical importance to determine in principle whether a probabilistic query is estimable from missing data or not when the data are not MAR. We present an algorithm that systematically determines whether the joint probability is estimable from observed data with missing values, assuming that the data-generation model is represented as a Bayesian network containing unobserved latent variables that not only encodes the dependencies among the variables but also explicitly portrays the mechanisms responsible for the missingness process. The result significantly advances the existing work.

stat.ML↗

A Parallel Algorithm for Exact Bayesian Structure Discovery in Bayesian Networks

Exact Bayesian structure discovery in Bayesian networks requires exponential time and space. Using dynamic programming (DP), the fastest known sequential algorithm computes the exact posterior probabilities of structural features in $O(2(d+1)n2^n)$ time and space, if the number of nodes (variables) in the Bayesian network is $n$ and the in-degree (the number of parents) per node is bounded by a constant $d$. Here we present a parallel algorithm capable of computing the exact posterior probabilities for all $n(n-1)$ edges with optimal parallel space efficiency and nearly optimal parallel time efficiency. That is, if $p=2^k$ processors are used, the run-time reduces to $O(5(d+1)n2^{n-k}+k(n-k)^d)$ and the space usage becomes $O(n2^{n-k})$ per processor. Our algorithm is based the observation that the subproblems in the sequential DP algorithm constitute a $n$-$D$ hypercube. We take a delicate way to coordinate the computation of correlated DP procedures such that large amount of data exchange is suppressed. Further, we develop parallel techniques for two variants of the well-known \emph{zeta transform}, which have applications outside the context of Bayesian networks. We demonstrate the capability of our algorithm on datasets with up to 33 variables and its scalability on up to 2048 processors. We apply our algorithm to a biological data set for discovering the yeast pheromone response pathways.

cs.AI↗

Structure Learning in Bayesian Networks of Moderate Size by Efficient Sampling

We study the Bayesian model averaging approach to learning Bayesian network structures (DAGs) from data. We develop new algorithms including the first algorithm that is able to efficiently sample DAGs according to the exact structure posterior. The DAG samples can then be used to construct estimators for the posterior of any feature. We theoretically prove good properties of our estimators and empirically show that our estimators considerably outperform the estimators from the previous state-of-the-art methods.

cs.AI↗

A Branch-and-Bound Algorithm for MDL Learning Bayesian Networks

This paper extends the work in [Suzuki, 1996] and presents an efficient depth-first branch-and-bound algorithm for learning Bayesian network structures, based on the minimum description length (MDL) principle, for a given (consistent) variable ordering. The algorithm exhaustively searches through all network structures and guarantees to find the network with the best MDL score. Preliminary experiments show that the algorithm is efficient, and that the time complexity grows slowly with the sample size. The algorithm is useful for empirically studying both the performance of suboptimal heuristic search algorithms and the adequacy of the MDL principle in learning Bayesian networks.

cs.AI↗

Probabilities of Causation: Bounds and Identification

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the probability that one event was a cause of another in a given scenario. Using structural-semantical definitions of the probabilities of necessary or sufficient causation (or both), we show how to optimally bound these quantities from data obtained in experimental and observational studies, making minimal assumptions concerning the data-generating process. In particular, we strengthen the results of Pearl (1999) by weakening the data-generation assumptions and deriving theoretically sharp bounds on the probabilities of causation. These results delineate precisely how empirical data can be used both in settling questions of attribution and in solving attribution-related problems of decision making.

cs.AI↗

Causal Discovery from Changes

We propose a new method of discovering causal structures, based on the detection of local, spontaneous changes in the underlying data-generating model. We analyze the classes of structures that are equivalent relative to a stream of distributions produced by local changes, and devise algorithms that output graphical representations of these equivalence classes. We present experimental results, using simulated data, and examine the errors associated with detection of changes and recovery of structures.

cs.AI↗

On the Testable Implications of Causal Models with Hidden Variables

The validity OF a causal model can be tested ONLY IF the model imposes constraints ON the probability distribution that governs the generated data. IN the presence OF unmeasured variables, causal models may impose two types OF constraints : conditional independencies, AS READ through the d - separation criterion, AND functional constraints, FOR which no general criterion IS available.This paper offers a systematic way OF identifying functional constraints AND, thus, facilitates the task OF testing causal models AS well AS inferring such models FROM data.

cs.AI↗

Identifying Conditional Causal Effects

This paper concerns the assessment of the effects of actions from a combination of nonexperimental data and causal assumptions encoded in the form of a directed acyclic graph in which some variables are presumed to be unobserved. We provide a procedure that systematically identifies cause effects between two sets of variables conditioned on some other variables, in time polynomial in the number of variables in the graph. The identifiable conditional causal effects are expressed in terms of the observed joint distribution.

cs.AI↗

Local Markov Property for Models Satisfying Composition Axiom

The local Markov condition for a DAG to be an independence map of a probability distribution is well known. For DAGs with latent variables, represented as bi-directed edges in the graph, the local Markov property may invoke exponential number of conditional independencies. This paper shows that the number of conditional independence relations required may be reduced if the probability distributions satisfy the composition axiom. In certain types of graphs, only linear number of conditional independencies are required. The result has applications in testing linear structural equation models with correlated errors.

cs.AI↗

Generating Markov Equivalent Maximal Ancestral Graphs by Single Edge Replacement

Maximal ancestral graphs (MAGs) are used to encode conditional independence relations in DAG models with hidden variables. Different MAGs may represent the same set of conditional independences and are called Markov equivalent. This paper considers MAGs without undirected edges and shows conditions under which an arrow in a MAG can be reversed or interchanged with a bi-directed edge so as to yield a Markov equivalent MAG.

stat.ME↗

Inequality Constraints in Causal Models with Hidden Variables

We present a class of inequality constraints on the set of distributions induced by local interventions on variables governed by a causal Bayesian network, in which some of the variables remain unmeasured. We derive bounds on causal effects that are not directly measured in randomized experiments. We derive instrumental inequality type of constraints on nonexperimental distributions. The results have applications in testing causal models with observational or experimental data.

cs.AI↗

Polynomial Constraints in Causal Bayesian Networks

We use the implicitization procedure to generate polynomial equality constraints on the set of distributions induced by local interventions on variables governed by a causal Bayesian network with hidden variables. We show how we may reduce the complexity of the implicitization problem and make the problem tractable in certain causal Bayesian networks. We also show some preliminary results on the algebraic structure of polynomial constraints. The results have applications in distinguishing between causal models and in testing causal models with combined observational and experimental data.

cs.AI↗

A Criterion for Parameter Identification in Structural Equation Models

This paper deals with the problem of identifying direct causal effects in recursive linear structural equation models. The paper establishes a sufficient criterion for identifying individual causal effects and provides a procedure computing identified causal effects in terms of observed covariance matrix.

stat.ME↗

Identifying Dynamic Sequential Plans

We address the problem of identifying dynamic sequential plans in the framework of causal Bayesian networks, and show that the problem is reduced to identifying causal effects, for which there are complete identi cation algorithms available in the literature.

cs.AI↗

Computing Posterior Probabilities of Structural Features in Bayesian Networks

We study the problem of learning Bayesian network structures from data. Koivisto and Sood (2004) and Koivisto (2006) presented algorithms that can compute the exact marginal posterior probability of a subnetwork, e.g., a single edge, in O(n2n) time and the posterior probabilities for all n(n-1) potential edges in O(n2n) total time, assuming that the number of parents per node or the indegree is bounded by a constant. One main drawback of their algorithms is the requirement of a special structure prior that is non uniform and does not respect Markov equivalence. In this paper, we develop an algorithm that can compute the exact posterior probability of a subnetwork in O(3n) time and the posterior probabilities for all n(n-1) potential edges in O(n3n) total time. Our algorithm also assumes a bounded indegree but allows general structure priors. We demonstrate the applicability of the algorithm on several data sets with up to 20 variables.

cs.LG↗

Bayesian Model Averaging Using the k-best Bayesian Network Structures

We study the problem of learning Bayesian network structures from data. We develop an algorithm for finding the k-best Bayesian network structures. We propose to compute the posterior probabilities of hypotheses of interest by Bayesian model averaging over the k-best Bayesian networks. We present empirical results on structural discovery over several real and synthetic data sets and show that the method outperforms the model selection method and the state of-the-art MCMC methods.

cs.LG↗