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Jinqiao Duan

Publications and source records attributed to Jinqiao Duan.

At least 73 records · Page 4Linked to original sources

The most probable dynamics of receptor-ligand binding on cell membrane

We devise a method for predicting certain receptor-ligand binding behaviors, based on stochastic dynamical modelling. We consider the dynamics of a receptor binding to a ligand on the cell membrane, where the receptor and ligand perform different motions and are thus modeled by stochastic differential equations with Gaussian noise or non-Gaussian noise. We use neural networks based on Onsager-Machlup function to compute the probability $P_1$ of the unbounded receptor diffusing to the cell membrane. Meanwhile, we compute the probability $P_2$ of extracellular ligand arriving at the cell membrane by solving the associated Fokker-Planck equation. Then, we could predict the most probable binding probability by combining $P_1$ and $P_2$. In this way, we conclude with some indication about where the ligand will most probably encounter the receptor, contributing to better understanding of cell's response to external stimuli and communication with other cells.

q-bio.MN↗

Detecting Stochastic Governing Laws with Observation on Stationary Distributions

Mathematical models for complex systems are often accompanied with uncertainties. The goal of this paper is to extract a stochastic differential equation governing model with observation on stationary probability distributions. We develop a neural network method to learn the drift and diffusion terms of the stochastic differential equation. We introduce a new loss function containing the Hellinger distance between the observation data and the learned stationary probability density function. We discover that the learnt stochastic differential equation provides a fair approximation of the data-driven dynamical system after minimizing this loss function during the training method. The effectiveness of our method is demonstrated in numerical experiments.

math.DS↗

Perturbation of the spectra for asymptotically constant differential operators and applications

We study the spectra for a class of differential operators with asymptotically constant coefficients.These operators widely arise as the linearizations of nonlinear partial differential equations about patterns or nonlinear waves. We present a unified framework to prove the perturbation results on the related spectra. The proof is based on exponential dichotomies and the Brouwer degree theory. As applications, we employ the developed theory to study the stability of quasi-periodic solutions of the Ginzburg-Landau equation,fold-Hopf bifurcating periodic solutions of reaction-diffusion systems coupled with ordinary differential equations, and periodic annulus of the hyperbolic Burgers-Fisher model.

math.AP↗

Large deviations for stochastic nonlinear systems of slow-fast diffusions with non-Gaussian Lévy noises

We establish the large deviation principle for the slow variables in slow-fast dynamical system driven by both Brownian noises and Lévy noises. The fast variables evolve at much faster time scale than the slow variables, but they are fully inter-dependent. We study the asymptotics of the logarithmic functionals of the slow variables in the three regimes based on viscosity solutions to the Cauchy problem for a sequence of partial integro-differential equations. We also verify the comparison principle for the related Cauchy problem to show the existence and uniqueness of the limit for viscosity solutions.

math.DS↗

Neural network stochastic differential equation models with applications to financial data forecasting

In this article, we employ a collection of stochastic differential equations with drift and diffusion coefficients approximated by neural networks to predict the trend of chaotic time series which has big jump properties. Our contributions are, first, we propose a model called Lévy induced stochastic differential equation network, which explores compounded stochastic differential equations with $α$-stable Lévy motion to model complex time series data and solve the problem through neural network approximation. Second, we theoretically prove that the numerical solution through our algorithm converges in probability to the solution of corresponding stochastic differential equation, without curse of dimensionality. Finally, we illustrate our method by applying it to real financial time series data and find the accuracy increases through the use of non-Gaussian Lévy processes. We also present detailed comparisons in terms of data patterns, various models, different shapes of Lévy motion and the prediction lengths.

cs.LG↗

Instability of small-amplitude periodic waves from fold-Hopf bifurcation

We study the existence and stability of small-amplitude periodic waves emerging from fold-Hopf equilibria in a system of one reaction-diffusion equation coupled with one ordinary differential equation. This coupled system includes the FitzHugh-Nagumo system, caricature calcium models, consumer-resource models and other models in the real-world applications. Based on the recent results on the averaging theory, we solve periodic solutions in related three-dimensional systems and then prove the existence of periodic waves arising from fold-Hopf bifurcations. Numerical computation in [J. Tsai, W. Zhang, V. Kirk, and J. Sneyd, SIAM J. Appl. Dyn. Syst. 11 (2012), 1149--1199] once suggested that the periodic waves from fold-Hopf bifurcations in a caricature calcium model are spectrally unstable, yet without a proof. After analyzing the linearization about periodic waves by the relatively bounded perturbation, we prove the instability of small-amplitude periodic waves through a perturbation of the unstable spectra for the linearizations about the fold-Hopf equilibria. As an application, we prove the existence and stability of small-amplitude periodic waves from fold-Hopf bifurcations in the FitzHugh-Nagumo system with an applied current.

math.DS↗

Numerical integration of stochastic contact Hamiltonian systems via stochastic Herglotz variational principle

In this work we construct a stochastic contact variational integrator and its discrete version via stochastic Herglotz variational principle for stochastic contact Hamiltonian systems. A general structure-preserving stochastic contact method is devised, and the stochastic contact variational integrators are established. The implementation of this approach is validated by the numerical experiments.

math.NA↗

A Data-Driven Approach for Discovering the Most Probable Transition Pathway for a Stochastic Carbon Cycle System

Many natural systems exhibit tipping points where changing environmental conditions spark a sudden shift to a new and sometimes quite different state. Global climate change is often associated with the stability of marine carbon stocks. We consider a stochastic carbonate system of the upper ocean to capture such transition phenomena. Based on the Onsager-Machlup action functional theory, we calculate the most probable transition pathway between the metastable and oscillatory states via a neural shooting method, and further explore the effects of external random carbon input rates on the most probable transition pathway, which provides a basis to recognize naturally occurring tipping points. Particularly, we investigate the effect of the transition time on the transition pathway and further compute the optimal transition time using physics informed neural network, towards the maximum carbonate concentration state in the oscillatory regimes. This work offers some insights on the effects of random carbon input on climate transition in a simple model. Key words: Onsager-Machlup action functional, the most probable transition pathway, neural shooting method, stochastic carbon cycle system.

math.DS↗

Data-driven method to learn the most probable transition pathway and stochastic differential equations

Transition phenomena between metastable states play an important role in complex systems due to noisy fluctuations. In this paper, the physics informed neural networks (PINNs) are presented to compute the most probable transition pathway. It is shown that the expected loss is bounded by the empirical loss. And the convergence result for the empirical loss is obtained. Then, a sampling method of rare events is presented to simulate the transition path by the Markovian bridge process. And we investigate the inverse problem to extract the stochastic differential equation from the most probable transition pathway data and the Markovian bridge process data, respectively. Finally, several numerical experiments are presented to verify the effectiveness of our methods.

math.NA↗

An end-to-end deep learning approach for extracting stochastic dynamical systems with $α$-stable Lévy noise

Recently, extracting data-driven governing laws of dynamical systems through deep learning frameworks has gained a lot of attention in various fields. Moreover, a growing amount of research work tends to transfer deterministic dynamical systems to stochastic dynamical systems, especially those driven by non-Gaussian multiplicative noise. However, lots of log-likelihood based algorithms that work well for Gaussian cases cannot be directly extended to non-Gaussian scenarios which could have high error and low convergence issues. In this work, we overcome some of these challenges and identify stochastic dynamical systems driven by $α$-stable Lévy noise from only random pairwise data. Our innovations include: (1) designing a deep learning approach to learn both drift and diffusion coefficients for Lévy induced noise with $α$ across all values, (2) learning complex multiplicative noise without restrictions on small noise intensity, (3) proposing an end-to-end complete framework for stochastic systems identification under a general input data assumption, that is, $α$-stable random variable. Finally, numerical experiments and comparisons with the non-local Kramers-Moyal formulas with moment generating function confirm the effectiveness of our method.

stat.ML↗

Learning the temporal evolution of multivariate densities via normalizing flows

In this work, we propose a method to learn multivariate probability distributions using sample path data from stochastic differential equations. Specifically, we consider temporally evolving probability distributions (e.g., those produced by integrating local or nonlocal Fokker-Planck equations). We analyze this evolution through machine learning assisted construction of a time-dependent mapping that takes a reference distribution (say, a Gaussian) to each and every instance of our evolving distribution. If the reference distribution is the initial condition of a Fokker-Planck equation, what we learn is the time-T map of the corresponding solution. Specifically, the learned map is a multivariate normalizing flow that deforms the support of the reference density to the support of each and every density snapshot in time. We demonstrate that this approach can approximate probability density function evolutions in time from observed sampled data for systems driven by both Brownian and Lévy noise. We present examples with two- and three-dimensional, uni- and multimodal distributions to validate the method.

stat.ML↗

An Onsager-Machlup approach to the most probable transition pathway for a genetic regulatory network

We investigate a quantitative network of gene expression dynamics describing the competence development in Bacillus subtilis. First, we introduce an Onsager-Machlup approach to quantify the most probable transition pathway for both excitable and bistable dynamics. Then, we apply a machine learning method to calculate the most probable transition pathway via the Euler-Lagrangian equation. Finally, we analyze how the noise intensity affects the transition phenomena.

q-bio.MN↗

Nonparametric inference of stochastic differential equations based on the relative entropy rate

The information detection of complex systems from data is currently undergoing a revolution, driven by the emergence of big data and machine learning methodology. Discovering governing equations and quantifying dynamical properties of complex systems are among central challenges. In this work, we devise a nonparametric approach to learn the relative entropy rate from observations of stochastic differential equations with different drift functions.The estimator corresponding to the relative entropy rate then is presented via the Gaussian process kernel theory. Meanwhile, this approach enables to extract the governing equations. We illustrate our approach in several examples. Numerical experiments show the proposed approach performs well for rational drift functions, not only polynomial drift functions.

math.DS↗

Extracting stochastic dynamical systems with $α$-stable Lévy noise from data

With the rapid increase of valuable observational, experimental and simulated data for complex systems, much efforts have been devoted to identifying governing laws underlying the evolution of these systems. Despite the wide applications of non-Gaussian fluctuations in numerous physical phenomena, the data-driven approaches to extract stochastic dynamical systems with (non-Gaussian) Lévy noise are relatively few so far. In this work, we propose a data-driven method to extract stochastic dynamical systems with $α$-stable Lévy noise from short burst data based on the properties of $α$-stable distributions. More specifically, we first estimate the Lévy jump measure and noise intensity via computing mean and variance of the amplitude of the increment of the sample paths. Then we approximate the drift coefficient by combining nonlocal Kramers-Moyal formulas with normalizing flows. Numerical experiments on one- and two-dimensional prototypical examples illustrate the accuracy and effectiveness of our method. This approach will become an effective scientific tool in discovering stochastic governing laws of complex phenomena and understanding dynamical behaviors under non-Gaussian fluctuations.

stat.ML↗

Total value adjustment of Bermudan option valuation under pure jump Lévy fluctuations

During the COVID-19 pandemic, many institutions have announced that their counterparties are struggling to fulfill contracts.Therefore, it is necessary to consider the counterparty default risk when pricing options. After the 2008 financial crisis, a variety of value adjustments have been emphasized in the financial industry. The total value adjustment (XVA) is the sum of multiple value adjustments, which is also investigated in many stochastic models such as Heston and Bates models. In this work, a widely used pure jump Lévy process, the CGMY process has been considered for pricing a Bermudan option with various value adjustments. Under a pure jump Lévy process, the value of derivatives satisfies a fractional partial differential equation(FPDE). Therefore, we construct a method which combines Monte Carlo with finite difference of FPDE (MC-FF) to find the numerical approximation of exposure, and compare it with the benchmark Monte Carlo-COS (MC-COS) method. We use the discrete energy estimate method, which is different with the existing works, to derive the convergence of the numerical scheme.Based on the numerical results, the XVA is computed by the financial

math.DS↗

Bohmian Trajectories of the Time-oscillating Schrödinger Equations

Bohmian mechanics is a non-relativistic quantum theory based on a particle approach. In this paper we study the Schrödinger equation with rapidly oscillating potential and the associated Bohmian trajectory. We prove that the corresponding Bohmian trajectory converges locally in measure, and the limit coincides with the Bohmian trajectory for the effective Schrödinger equation on a finite time interval. This is beneficial for the efficient simulation of the Bohmian trajectories in oscillating potential fields.

math-ph↗

Kantorovich-Rubinstein Distance and Approximation for Non-local Fokker-Planck Equations

This work is devoted to studying complex dynamical systems under non-Gaussian fluctuations. We first estimate the Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance for solutions of non-local Fokker-Planck equations associated with stochastic differential equations with non-Gaussian Levy noise. This is then applied to establish weak convergence of the corresponding probability distributions. Furthermore, this leads to smooth approximation for non-local Fokker-Planck equations, as illustrated in an example.

math.PR↗

Extracting Stochastic Governing Laws by Nonlocal Kramers-Moyal Formulas

With the rapid development of computational techniques and scientific tools, great progress of data-driven analysis has been made to extract governing laws of dynamical systems from data. Despite the wide occurrences of non-Gaussian fluctuations, the effective data-driven methods to identify stochastic differential equations with non-Gaussian Lévy noise are relatively few so far. In this work, we propose a data-driven approach to extract stochastic governing laws with both (Gaussian) Brownian motion and (non-Gaussian) Lévy motion, from short bursts of simulation data. Specifically, we use the normalizing flows technology to estimate the transition probability density function (solution of nonlocal Fokker-Planck equation) from data, and then substitute it into the recently proposed nonlocal Kramers-Moyal formulas to approximate Lévy jump measure, drift coefficient and diffusion coefficient. We demonstrate that this approach can learn the stochastic differential equation with Lévy motion. We present examples with one- and two-dimensional, decoupled and coupled systems to illustrate our method. This approach will become an effective tool for discovering stochastic governing laws and understanding complex dynamical behaviors.

math.DS↗