arXiv subjects

Jinyuan Chang

Publications and source records attributed to Jinyuan Chang.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Testing for functional white noise in high dimensions

White noise testing is a fundamental problem in time series analysis. Yet it remains largely unsolved for high-dimensional functional time series, despite the growing attention this area has received in recent years, as existing tests are confined to either univariate functional time series or high-dimensional scalar time series. In this paper, we develop a general error-contamination framework for testing white noise in high-dimensional functional time series. We propose a supremum-type test statistic based on cross-autocovariance functions and develop a parametric bootstrap procedure to approximate its null distribution. By imposing a general high-level condition, we derive a new Gaussian approximation result that ensures size control, and establish an asymptotic power guarantee. We then apply our framework to two concrete applications: (i) white noise test for discretely observed functional time series, and (ii) residual-based goodness-of-fit test for functional factor model. For each problem, we verify the corresponding high-level condition to ensure the theoretical validity of our proposed method. Extensive simulations show that our proposed method achieves good finite-sample performance. The practical utility of our proposed method is further illustrated through applications to two real datasets.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

CP-factorization for high dimensional tensor time series and double projection iterations

We adopt the canonical polyadic (CP) decomposition to model high-dimensional tensor time series. Our primary goal is to identify and estimate the factor loadings in the CP decomposition. We propose a one-pass estimation procedure through standard eigen-analysis for a matrix constructed based on the serial dependence structure of the data. The asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator are established under a general setting as long as the factor loading vectors are linearly independent, allowing the factors to be correlated and the factor loading vectors to be not nearly orthogonal. The procedure adapts to the sparsity of the factor loading vectors, accommodates weak factors, and demonstrates strong performance across a wide range of scenarios. To further reduce estimation errors, we also introduce an iterative algorithm based on a novel double projection approach. We theoretically justify the improved convergence rate of the iterative estimator, and derive the associated limiting distribution. A consistent estimator of the asymptotic variance is also provided, which plays a key role in the related inference problems. All results are validated through extensive simulations and two real data applications.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

Autoregressive networks with dependent edges

We propose an autoregressive framework for modelling dynamic networks with dependent edges. It encompasses models that accommodate, for example, transitivity, degree heterogenenity, and other stylized features often observed in real network data. By assuming the edges of networks at each time are independent conditionally on their lagged values, the models, which exhibit a close connection with temporal ERGMs, facilitate both simulation and the maximum likelihood estimation in a straightforward manner. Due to the possibly large number of parameters in the models, the natural MLEs may suffer from slow convergence rates. An improved estimator for each component parameter is proposed based on an iteration employing projection, which mitigates the impact of the other parameters (Chang et al., 2021; Chang et al., 2023). Leveraging a martingale difference structure, the asymptotic distribution of the improved estimator is derived without the assumption of stationarity. The limiting distribution is not normal in general, although it reduces to normal when the underlying process satisfies some mixing conditions. Illustration with a transitivity model was carried out in both simulation and a real network data set.

math.ST↗

arXiv2026

Controlling the false discovery rate in high-dimensional linear models using model-X knockoffs and $p$-values

We propose a novel multiple testing methodology for controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) in high-dimensional linear models that integrates model-X knockoff techniques with debiased penalized regression estimators. At the foundation of our methodology, we construct and study two sets of naturally paired high-dimensional test statistics and the associated $p$-values for evaluating the same null hypotheses. The first set is shown to be asymptotically mutually independent, justifying the use of the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure. We further exploit the pairing structure through a two-step procedure aimed at improving power. Our theoretical results establish the key properties of the framework with respect to asymptotic FDR control and formally characterize the associated power gains of the two-step procedure. Importantly, our framework accommodates general dependence in the design matrix. Extensive simulations demonstrate that our methods outperform existing approaches -- particularly those relying on empirical FDP estimates -- in both power and FDR control accuracy, with notable gains in settings involving weaker signals, small sample sizes, or low target FDR levels.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

Adapting to noise tails in private linear regression

While the traditional goal of statistics is to infer population parameters, modern practice increasingly demands protection of individual privacy. One way to address this need is to adapt classical statistical procedures into privacy-preserving algorithms. In this paper, we develop differentially private tail-robust methods for linear regression. The trade-off among bias, privacy, and robustness is controlled by a tunable robustification parameter in the Huber loss. We implement noisy clipped gradient descent for low-dimensional settings and noisy iterative hard thresholding for high-dimensional sparse models. Under sub-Gaussian errors, our method achieves near-optimal convergence rates while relaxing several assumptions required in earlier work. For heavy-tailed errors, we explicitly characterize how the non-asymptotic convergence rate depends on the moment index, privacy parameters, sample size, and intrinsic dimension. Our analysis shows how the moment index influences the choice of robustification parameters and, in turn, the resulting statistical error and privacy cost. By quantifying the interplay among bias, privacy, and robustness, we extend classical perspectives on privacy-preserving robust regression. The proposed methods are evaluated through simulations and two real datasets.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

Zero Variance Portfolio

When the number of assets is larger than the sample size, the minimum variance portfolio interpolates the training data, delivering pathological zero in-sample variance. We show that if the weights of the zero variance portfolio are learned by a novel ``Ridgelet'' estimator, in a new test data this portfolio enjoys out-of-sample generalizability. It exhibits the double descent phenomenon and can achieve optimal risk in the overparametrized regime when the number of assets dominates the sample size. In contrast, a ``Ridgeless'' estimator which invokes the pseudoinverse fails in-sample interpolation and diverges away from out-of-sample optimality. Extensive simulations and empirical studies demonstrate that the Ridgelet method performs competitively in high-dimensional portfolio optimization.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

Deep Bootstrap

In this work, we propose a novel deep bootstrap framework for nonparametric regression based on conditional diffusion models. Specifically, we construct a conditional diffusion model to learn the distribution of the response variable given the covariates. This model is then used to generate bootstrap samples by pairing the original covariates with newly synthesized responses. We reformulate nonparametric regression as conditional sample mean estimation, which is implemented directly via the learned conditional diffusion model. Unlike traditional bootstrap methods that decouple the estimation of the conditional distribution, sampling, and nonparametric regression, our approach integrates these components into a unified generative framework. With the expressive capacity of diffusion models, our method facilitates both efficient sampling from high-dimensional or multimodal distributions and accurate nonparametric estimation. We establish rigorous theoretical guarantees for the proposed method. In particular, we derive optimal end-to-end convergence rates in the Wasserstein distance between the learned and target conditional distributions. Building on this foundation, we further establish the convergence guarantees of the resulting bootstrap procedure. Numerical studies demonstrate the effectiveness and scalability of our approach for complex regression tasks.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2026

Inference-Time Alignment for Diffusion Models via Variationally Stable Doob's Matching

Inference-time alignment for diffusion models aims to adapt a pre-trained reference diffusion model toward a target distribution without retraining the reference score network, thereby preserving the generative capacity of the reference model while enforcing desired properties at the inference time. A central mechanism for achieving such alignment is guidance, which modifies the sampling dynamics through an additional drift term. In this work, we introduce variationally stable Doob's matching, a novel framework for provable guidance estimation grounded in Doob's $h$-transform. Our approach formulates guidance as the gradient of logarithm of an underlying Doob's $h$-function and employs gradient-regularized regression to simultaneously estimate both the $h$-function and its gradient, resulting in a consistent estimator of the guidance. Theoretically, we establish non-asymptotic convergence rates for the estimated guidance. Moreover, we analyze the resulting controllable diffusion processes and prove non-asymptotic convergence guarantees for the generated distributions in the 2-Wasserstein distance. Finally, we show that variationally stable guidance estimators are adaptive to unknown low dimensionality, effectively mitigating the curse of dimensionality under low-dimensional subspace assumptions.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2026

Testing independence and conditional independence in high dimensions via coordinatewise Gaussianization

We propose new statistical tests, in high-dimensional settings, for testing the independence of two random vectors and their conditional independence given a third random vector. The key idea is simple, i.e., we first transform each component variable to the standard normal via its marginal empirical distribution, and we then test for independence and conditional independence of the transformed random vectors using appropriate $L_\infty$-type test statistics. While we are testing some necessary conditions of the independence or the conditional independence, the new tests outperform the 13 frequently used testing methods in a large scale simulation comparison. The advantage of the new tests can be summarized as follows: (i) they do not require any moment conditions, (ii) they allow arbitrary dependence structures of the components among the random vectors, and (iii) they allow the dimensions of random vectors to diverge at the exponential rates of the sample size. The critical values of the proposed tests are determined by a computationally efficient multiplier bootstrap procedure. Theoretical analysis shows that the sizes of the proposed tests can be well controlled by the nominal significance level, and the proposed tests are also consistent under certain local alternatives. The finite sample performance of the new tests is illustrated via extensive simulation studies and a real data application.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

Joint Learning of Unsupervised Multi-view Feature and Instance Co-selection with Cross-view Imputation

Feature and instance co-selection, which aims to reduce both feature dimensionality and sample size by identifying the most informative features and instances, has attracted considerable attention in recent years. However, when dealing with unlabeled incomplete multi-view data, where some samples are missing in certain views, existing methods typically first impute the missing data and then concatenate all views into a single dataset for subsequent co-selection. Such a strategy treats co-selection and missing data imputation as two independent processes, overlooking potential interactions between them. The inter-sample relationships gleaned from co-selection can aid imputation, which in turn enhances co-selection performance. Additionally, simply merging multi-view data fails to capture the complementary information among views, ultimately limiting co-selection effectiveness. To address these issues, we propose a novel co-selection method, termed Joint learning of Unsupervised multI-view feature and instance Co-selection with cross-viEw imputation (JUICE). JUICE first reconstructs incomplete multi-view data using available observations, bringing missing data recovery and feature and instance co-selection together in a unified framework. Then, JUICE leverages cross-view neighborhood information to learn inter-sample relationships and further refine the imputation of missing values during reconstruction. This enables the selection of more representative features and instances. Extensive experiments demonstrate that JUICE outperforms state-of-the-art methods.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Provable Diffusion Posterior Sampling for Bayesian Inversion

We propose a novel diffusion-based posterior sampling method within a plug-and-play framework. Our approach constructs a probability transport from an easy-to-sample distribution to the target posterior via a diffusion process. To initialize the sampler efficiently, we introduce a warm-start strategy for the particles. The posterior score is then approximated using a Monte Carlo estimator in which samples are generated via Langevin dynamics, avoiding the heuristic approximations prevalent in prior work. The score function driving the Langevin dynamics is learned from data, enabling the model to capture rich structural features of the underlying prior. We also establish non-asymptotic error bounds in Wasserstein-2 distance guaranteeing convergence of the proposed method even for complex, multimodal posterior distributions. We corroborate our theoretical findings with numerical experiments demonstrating the effectiveness of the method across a variety of inverse problems.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2025

Beyond Correlation: Causal Multi-View Unsupervised Feature Selection Learning

Multi-view unsupervised feature selection (MUFS) has recently received increasing attention for its promising ability in dimensionality reduction on multi-view unlabeled data. Existing MUFS methods typically select discriminative features by capturing correlations between features and clustering labels. However, an important yet underexplored question remains: \textit{Are such correlations sufficiently reliable to guide feature selection?} In this paper, we analyze MUFS from a causal perspective by introducing a novel structural causal model, which reveals that existing methods may select irrelevant features because they overlook spurious correlations caused by confounders. Building on this causal perspective, we propose a novel MUFS method called CAusal multi-view Unsupervised feature Selection leArning (CAUSA). Specifically, we first employ a generalized unsupervised spectral regression model that identifies informative features by capturing dependencies between features and consensus clustering labels. We then introduce a causal regularization module that can adaptively separate confounders from multi-view data and simultaneously learn view-shared sample weights to balance confounder distributions, thereby mitigating spurious correlations. Thereafter, integrating both into a unified learning framework enables CAUSA to select causally informative features. Comprehensive experiments demonstrate that CAUSA outperforms several state-of-the-art methods. To our knowledge, this is the first in-depth study of causal multi-view feature selection in the unsupervised setting.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Cross-view Joint Learning for Mixed-Missing Multi-view Unsupervised Feature Selection

Incomplete multi-view unsupervised feature selection (IMUFS), which aims to identify representative features from unlabeled multi-view data containing missing values, has received growing attention in recent years. Despite their promising performance, existing methods face three key challenges: 1) by focusing solely on the view-missing problem, they are not well-suited to the more prevalent mixed-missing scenario in practice, where some samples lack entire views or only partial features within views; 2) insufficient utilization of consistency and diversity across views limits the effectiveness of feature selection; and 3) the lack of theoretical analysis makes it unclear how feature selection and data imputation interact during the joint learning process. Being aware of these, we propose CLIM-FS, a novel IMUFS method designed to address the mixed-missing problem. Specifically, we integrate the imputation of both missing views and variables into a feature selection model based on nonnegative orthogonal matrix factorization, enabling the joint learning of feature selection and adaptive data imputation. Furthermore, we fully leverage consensus cluster structure and cross-view local geometrical structure to enhance the synergistic learning process. We also provide a theoretical analysis to clarify the underlying collaborative mechanism of CLIM-FS. Experimental results on eight real-world multi-view datasets demonstrate that CLIM-FS outperforms state-of-the-art methods.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

TRUST-FS: Tensorized Reliable Unsupervised Multi-View Feature Selection for Incomplete Data

Multi-view unsupervised feature selection (MUFS), which selects informative features from multi-view unlabeled data, has attracted increasing research interest in recent years. Although great efforts have been devoted to MUFS, several challenges remain: 1) existing methods for incomplete multi-view data are limited to handling missing views and are unable to address the more general scenario of missing variables, where some features have missing values in certain views; 2) most methods address incomplete data by first imputing missing values and then performing feature selection, treating these two processes independently and overlooking their interactions; 3) missing data can result in an inaccurate similarity graph, which reduces the performance of feature selection. To solve this dilemma, we propose a novel MUFS method for incomplete multi-view data with missing variables, termed Tensorized Reliable UnSupervised mulTi-view Feature Selection (TRUST-FS). TRUST-FS introduces a new adaptive-weighted CP decomposition that simultaneously performs feature selection, missing-variable imputation, and view weight learning within a unified tensor factorization framework. By utilizing Subjective Logic to acquire trustworthy cross-view similarity information, TRUST-FS facilitates learning a reliable similarity graph, which subsequently guides feature selection and imputation. Comprehensive experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness and superiority of our method over state-of-the-art methods.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Deep conditional distribution learning via conditional Föllmer flow

We introduce an ordinary differential equation (ODE) based deep generative method for learning conditional distributions, named Conditional Föllmer Flow. Starting from a standard Gaussian distribution, the proposed flow could approximate the target conditional distribution very well when the time is close to 1. For effective implementation, we discretize the flow with Euler's method where we estimate the velocity field nonparametrically using a deep neural network. Furthermore, we also establish the convergence result for the Wasserstein-2 distance between the distribution of the learned samples and the target conditional distribution, providing the first comprehensive end-to-end error analysis for conditional distribution learning via ODE flow. Our numerical experiments showcase its effectiveness across a range of scenarios, from standard nonparametric conditional density estimation problems to more intricate challenges involving image data, illustrating its superiority over various existing conditional density estimation methods.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2025

Identification and estimation for matrix time series CP-factor models

We propose a new method for identifying and estimating the CP-factor models for matrix time series. Unlike the generalized eigenanalysis-based method of Chang et al. (2023) for which the convergence rates of the associated estimators may suffer from small eigengaps as the asymptotic theory is based on some matrix perturbation analysis, the proposed new method enjoys faster convergence rates which are free from any eigengaps. It achieves this by turning the problem into a joint diagonalization of several matrices whose elements are determined by a basis of a linear system, and by choosing the basis carefully to avoid near co-linearity (see Proposition 5 and Section 4.3). Furthermore, unlike Chang et al. (2023) which requires the two factor loading matrices to be full-ranked, the proposed new method can handle rank-deficient factor loading matrices. Illustration with both simulated and real matrix time series data shows the advantages of the proposed new method.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

Empirical likelihood approach for high-dimensional moment restrictions with dependent data

Economic and financial models -- such as vector autoregressions, local projections, and multivariate volatility models -- feature complex dynamic interactions and spillovers across many time series. These models can be integrated into a unified framework, with high-dimensional parameters identified by moment conditions. As the number of parameters and moment conditions may surpass the sample size, we propose adding a double penalty to the empirical likelihood criterion to induce sparsity and facilitate dimension reduction. Notably, we utilize a marginal empirical likelihood approach despite temporal dependence in the data. Under regularity conditions, we provide asymptotic guarantees for our method, making it an attractive option for estimating large-scale multivariate time series models. We demonstrate the versatility of our procedure through extensive Monte Carlo simulations and three empirical applications, including analyses of US sectoral inflation rates, fiscal multipliers, and volatility spillover in China's banking sector.

econ.EM↗

arXiv2025

Bayesian penalized empirical likelihood and Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling

In this study, we introduce a novel methodological framework called Bayesian Penalized Empirical Likelihood (BPEL), designed to address the computational challenges inherent in empirical likelihood (EL) approaches. Our approach has two primary objectives: (i) to enhance the inherent flexibility of EL in accommodating diverse model conditions, and (ii) to facilitate the use of well-established Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling schemes as a convenient alternative to the complex optimization typically required for statistical inference using EL. To achieve the first objective, we propose a penalized approach that regularizes the Lagrange multipliers, significantly reducing the dimensionality of the problem while accommodating a comprehensive set of model conditions. For the second objective, our study designs and thoroughly investigates two popular sampling schemes within the BPEL context. We demonstrate that the BPEL framework is highly flexible and efficient, enhancing the adaptability and practicality of EL methods. Our study highlights the practical advantages of using sampling techniques over traditional optimization methods for EL problems, showing rapid convergence to the global optima of posterior distributions and ensuring the effective resolution of complex statistical inference challenges.

stat.ME↗