arXiv subjects

Jixing Xu

Publications and source records attributed to Jixing Xu.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Feasible Fusion: Constrained Joint Estimation under Structural Non-Overlap

Causal inference in modern largescale systems faces growing challenges, including highdimensional covariates, multi-valued treatments, massive observational (OBS) data, and limited randomized controlled trial (RCT) samples due to cost constraints. We formalize treatment-induced structural non-overlap and show that, under this regime, commonly used weighted fusion methods provably fail to satisfy randomized identifying restrictions.To address this issue,we propose a constrained joint estimation framework that minimizes observational risk while enforcing causal validity through orthogonal experimental moment conditions. We further show that structural non-overlap creates a feasibility obstruction for moment enforcement in the original covariate space.We also derive a penalized primaldual algorithm that jointly learns representations and predictors, and establish oracle inequalities decomposing error into overlap recovery, moment violation, and statistical terms.Extensive synthetic experiments demonstrate robust performance under varying degrees of nonoverlap. A largescale ridehailing application shows that our method achieves substantial gains over existing baselines, matching the performance of models trained with significantly more RCT data.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

Targeted Regularization for Causal Effect Estimation with Exponential Dispersion Family Outcomes

Neural Networks (NNs) for causal effect estimation have shown strong empirical performance, yet endowing them with desirable semiparametric properties -- doubly robustness and fast convergence rates -- remains challenging. A common approach to address this is targeted regularization, which modifies the objective function of NNs. However, existing work on neural causal effect estimation is largely limited to continuous outcomes, restricting its applicability to settings involving binary, count, or other skewed outcomes commonly encountered in practice. We propose a unified targeted regularization framework for the Exponential Dispersion Family (EDF) to address this limitation. Specifically, we first derive the von Mises expansion of the average dose function of canonical functions (ADCF) for discrete treatments and of the sieve-projected ADCF for continuous treatments. Second, we use this expansion to construct a unified targeted regularization, that corrects first-order bias at the distributional level. We integrate this objective into a NN architecture that jointly estimates the outcome model, propensity score model, and fluctuation parameter end-to-end. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of our method.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Estimating Long-term Heterogeneous Dose-response Curve: Generalization Bound Leveraging Optimal Transport Weights

Long-term treatment effect estimation is a significant but challenging problem in many applications. Existing methods rely on ideal assumptions, such as no unobserved confounders or binary treatment, to estimate long-term average treatment effects. However, in numerous real-world applications, these assumptions could be violated, and average treatment effects are insufficient for personalized decision-making. In this paper, we address a more general problem of estimating long-term Heterogeneous Dose-Response Curve (HDRC) while accounting for unobserved confounders and continuous treatment. Specifically, to remove the unobserved confounders in the long-term observational data, we introduce an optimal transport weighting framework to align the long-term observational data to an auxiliary short-term experimental data. Furthermore, to accurately predict the heterogeneous effects of continuous treatment, we establish a generalization bound on counterfactual prediction error by leveraging the reweighted distribution induced by optimal transport. Finally, we develop a long-term HDRC estimator building upon the above theoretical foundations. Extensive experiments on synthetic and semi-synthetic datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2017

Telepath: Understanding Users from a Human Vision Perspective in Large-Scale Recommender Systems

Designing an e-commerce recommender system that serves hundreds of millions of active users is a daunting challenge. From a human vision perspective, there're two key factors that affect users' behaviors: items' attractiveness and their matching degree with users' interests. This paper proposes Telepath, a vision-based bionic recommender system model, which understands users from such perspective. Telepath is a combination of a convolutional neural network (CNN), a recurrent neural network (RNN) and deep neural networks (DNNs). Its CNN subnetwork simulates the human vision system to extract key visual signals of items' attractiveness and generate corresponding activations. Its RNN and DNN subnetworks simulate cerebral cortex to understand users' interest based on the activations generated from browsed items. In practice, the Telepath model has been launched to JD's recommender system and advertising system. For one of the major item recommendation blocks on the JD app, click-through rate (CTR), gross merchandise value (GMV) and orders have increased 1.59%, 8.16% and 8.71% respectively. For several major ads publishers of JD demand-side platform, CTR, GMV and return on investment have increased 6.58%, 61.72% and 65.57% respectively by the first launch, and further increased 2.95%, 41.75% and 41.37% respectively by the second launch.

cs.IR↗