arXiv subjects

Jo Eidsvik

Publications and source records attributed to Jo Eidsvik.

13 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Bayesian inversion of multilayer $\mathrm{CO}_2$ migration from seismic plume observations using a graph-based finite-rate invasion-percolation model

Vertical migration of $\mathrm{CO}_2$ in layered sandstone reservoirs is controlled by thin shale barriers whose properties are often poorly known. We develop a Bayesian framework that uses time-lapse seismic plume observations to estimate effective parameters governing lateral and vertical $\mathrm{CO}_2$ migration. The forward model is a fast graph-based invasion-percolation model that extends conventional IP by representing both capillary-controlled filling of structural traps beneath shale barriers and finite-rate transfer through them. Parameters are inferred with approximate Bayesian computation and sequential Monte Carlo sampling, and the posterior samples are propagated into forecasts. Applied to real data from Sleipner, posterior simulations reproduce the broad distribution of $\mathrm{CO}_2$ across nine sand units and its redistribution between 2010 and 2023. In contrast, the quasi-static model fails to reproduce this temporal evolution. Complementary synthetic experiments assess parameter recovery, forecasting, monitoring duration, and model misspecification. These experiments show that the information gained from monitoring depends on the migration events captured, with breakthrough and post-breach redistribution providing particularly strong constraints. This combination of fast simulation, probabilistic updating, and interpretable effective parameters makes the framework well suited to repeated forecast revision during active injection, especially when full-physics inference is too computationally demanding.

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2025

PointSSIM: A novel low dimensional resolution invariant image-to-image comparison metric

This paper presents PointSSIM, a novel low-dimensional image-to-image comparison metric that is resolution invariant. Drawing inspiration from the structural similarity index measure and mathematical morphology, PointSSIM enables robust comparison across binary images of varying resolutions by transforming them into marked point pattern representations. The key features of the image, referred to as anchor points, are extracted from binary images by identifying locally adaptive maxima from the minimal distance transform. Image comparisons are then performed using a summary vector, capturing intensity, connectivity, complexity, and structural attributes. Results show that this approach provides an efficient and reliable method for image comparison, particularly suited to applications requiring structural analysis across different resolutions.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2024

Edge Computing in Distributed Acoustic Sensing: An Application in Traffic Monitoring

Distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) technology leverages fiber optic cables to detect vibrations and acoustic events, which is a promising solution for real-time traffic monitoring. In this paper, we introduce a novel methodology for detecting and tracking vehicles using DAS data, focusing on real-time processing through edge computing. Our approach applies the Hough transform to detect straight-line segments in the spatiotemporal DAS data, corresponding to vehicles crossing the Astfjord bridge in Norway. These segments are further clustered using the Density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) algorithm to consolidate multiple detections of the same vehicle, reducing noise and improving accuracy. The proposed workflow effectively counts vehicles and estimates their speed with only tens of seconds latency, enabling real-time traffic monitoring on the edge. To validate the system, we compare DAS data with simultaneous video footage, achieving high accuracy in vehicle detection, including the distinction between cars and trucks based on signal strength and frequency content. Results show that the system is capable of processing large volumes of data efficiently. We also analyze vehicle speeds and traffic patterns, identifying temporal trends and variations in traffic flow. Real-time deployment on edge devices allows immediate analysis and visualization via cloud-based platforms. In addition to traffic monitoring, the method successfully detected structural responses in the bridge, highlighting its potential use in structural health monitoring.

cs.NI↗

arXiv2024

A dimension reduction approach to edge weight estimation for use in spatial models

Models for areal data are traditionally defined using the neighborhood structure of the regions on which data are observed. The unweighted adjacency matrix of a graph is commonly used to characterize the relationships between locations, resulting in the implicit assumption that all pairs of neighboring regions interact similarly, an assumption which may not be true in practice. It has been shown that more complex spatial relationships between graph nodes may be represented when edge weights are allowed to vary. Christensen and Hoff (2023) introduced a covariance model for data observed on graphs which is more flexible than traditional alternatives, parameterizing covariance as a function of an unknown edge weights matrix. A potential issue with their approach is that each edge weight is treated as a unique parameter, resulting in increasingly challenging parameter estimation as graph size increases. Within this article we propose a framework for estimating edge weight matrices that reduces their effective dimension via a basis function representation of of the edge weights. We show that this method may be used to enhance the performance and flexibility of covariance models parameterized by such matrices in a series of illustrations, simulations and data examples.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2024

Tracking and classifying objects with DAS data along railway

Distributed acoustic sensing through fiber-optical cables can contribute to traffic monitoring systems. Using data from a day of field testing on a 50 km long fiber-optic cable along a railroad track in Norway, we detect and track cars and trains along a segment of the fiber-optic cable where the road runs parallel to the railroad tracks. We develop a method for automatic detection of events and then use these in a Kalman filter variant known as joint probabilistic data association for object tracking and classification. Model parameters are specified using in-situ log data along with the fiber-optic signals. Running the algorithm over an entire day, we highlight results of counting cars and trains over time and their estimated velocities.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2024

A practical and efficient approach for Bayesian reservoir inversion: Insights from the Alvheim field data

Stochastic reservoir characterization, a critical aspect of subsurface exploration for oil and gas reservoirs, relies on stochastic methods to model and understand subsurface properties using seismic data. This paper addresses the computational challenges associated with Bayesian reservoir inversion methods, focusing on two key obstacles: the demanding forward model and the high dimensionality of Gaussian random fields. Leveraging the generalized Bayesian approach, we replace the intricate forward function with a computationally efficient multivariate adaptive regression splines method, resulting in a 34 acceleration in computational efficiency. For handling high-dimensional Gaussian random fields, we employ a fast Fourier transform (FFT) technique. Additionally, we explore the preconditioned Crank-Nicolson method for sampling, providing a more efficient exploration of high-dimensional parameter spaces. The practicality and efficacy of our approach are tested extensively in simulations and its validity is demonstrated in application to the Alvheim field data.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2023

Latent Diffusion Model for Conditional Reservoir Facies Generation

Creating accurate and geologically realistic reservoir facies based on limited measurements is crucial for field development and reservoir management, especially in the oil and gas sector. Traditional two-point geostatistics, while foundational, often struggle to capture complex geological patterns. Multi-point statistics offers more flexibility, but comes with its own challenges related to pattern configurations and storage limits. With the rise of Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) and their success in various fields, there has been a shift towards using them for facies generation. However, recent advances in the computer vision domain have shown the superiority of diffusion models over GANs. Motivated by this, a novel Latent Diffusion Model is proposed, which is specifically designed for conditional generation of reservoir facies. The proposed model produces high-fidelity facies realizations that rigorously preserve conditioning data. It significantly outperforms a GAN-based alternative. Our implementation on GitHub: \url{https://github.com/ML4ITS/Latent-Diffusion-Model-for-Conditional-Reservoir-Facies-Generation}.

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2023

Comparison of Ensemble-Based Data Assimilation Methods for Sparse Oceanographic Data

For oceanographic applications, probabilistic forecasts typically have to deal with i) high-dimensional complex models, and ii) very sparse spatial observations. In search-and-rescue operations at sea, for instance, the short-term predictions of drift trajectories are essential to efficiently define search areas, but in-situ buoy observations provide only very sparse point measurements, while the mission is ongoing. Statistically optimal forecasts, including consistent uncertainty statements, rely on Bayesian methods for data assimilation to make the best out of both the complex mathematical modeling and the sparse spatial data. To identify suitable approaches for data assimilation in this context, we discuss localisation strategies and compare two state-of-the-art ensemble-based methods for applications with spatially sparse observations. The first method is a version of the ensemble-transform Kalman filter, where we tailor a localisation scheme for sparse point data. The second method is the implicit equal-weights particle filter which has recently been tested for related oceanographic applications. First, we study a linear spatio-temporal model for contaminant advection and diffusion, where the analytical Kalman filter provides a reference. Next, we consider a simplified ocean model for sea currents, where we conduct state estimation and predict drift. Insight is gained by comparing ensemble-based methods on a number of skill scores including prediction bias and accuracy, distribution coverage, rank histograms, spatial connectivity and drift trajectory forecasts.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2022

VNIbCReg: VICReg with Neighboring-Invariance and better-Covariance Evaluated on Non-stationary Seismic Signal Time Series

One of the latest self-supervised learning (SSL) methods, VICReg, showed a great performance both in the linear evaluation and the fine-tuning evaluation. However, VICReg is proposed in computer vision and it learns by pulling representations of random crops of an image while maintaining the representation space by the variance and covariance loss. However, VICReg would be ineffective on non-stationary time series where different parts/crops of input should be differently encoded to consider the non-stationarity. Another recent SSL proposal, Temporal Neighborhood Coding (TNC) is effective for encoding non-stationary time series. This study shows that a combination of a VICReg-style method and TNC is very effective for SSL on non-stationary time series, where a non-stationary seismic signal time series is used as an evaluation dataset.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Learning excursion sets of vector-valued Gaussian random fields for autonomous ocean sampling

Improving and optimizing oceanographic sampling is a crucial task for marine science and maritime resource management. Faced with limited resources in understanding processes in the water-column, the combination of statistics and autonomous systems provide new opportunities for experimental design. In this work we develop efficient spatial sampling methods for characterizing regions defined by simultaneous exceedances above prescribed thresholds of several responses, with an application focus on mapping coastal ocean phenomena based on temperature and salinity measurements. Specifically, we define a design criterion based on uncertainty in the excursions of vector-valued Gaussian random fields, and derive tractable expressions for the expected integrated Bernoulli variance reduction in such a framework. We demonstrate how this criterion can be used to prioritize sampling efforts at locations that are ambiguous, making exploration more effective. We use simulations to study and compare properties of the considered approaches, followed by results from field deployments with an autonomous underwater vehicle as part of a study mapping the boundary of a river plume. The results demonstrate the potential of combining statistical methods and robotic platforms to effectively inform and execute data-driven environmental sampling.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2017

Data Assimilation for a Geological Process Model Using the Ensemble Kalman Filter

We consider the problem of conditioning a geological process-based computer simulation, which produces basin models by simulating transport and deposition of sediments, to data. Emphasising uncertainty quantification, we frame this as a Bayesian inverse problem, and propose to characterize the posterior probability distribution of the geological quantities of interest by using a variant of the ensemble Kalman filter, an estimation method which linearly and sequentially conditions realisations of the system state to data. A test case involving synthetic data is used to assess the performance of the proposed estimation method, and to compare it with similar approaches. We further apply the method to a more realistic test case, involving real well data from the Colville foreland basin, North Slope, Alaska.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2013

Dynamic Decision Making for Graphical Models Applied to Oil Exploration

This paper has been withdrawn by the authors. We present a framework for sequential decision making in problems described by graphical models. The setting is given by dependent discrete random variables with associated costs or revenues. In our examples, the dependent variables are the potential outcomes (oil, gas or dry) when drilling a petroleum well. The goal is to develop an optimal selection strategy that incorporates a chosen utility function within an approximated dynamic programming scheme. We propose and compare different approximations, from simple heuristics to more complex iterative schemes, and we discuss their computational properties. We apply our strategies to oil exploration over multiple prospects modeled by a directed acyclic graph, and to a reservoir drilling decision problem modeled by a Markov random field. The results show that the suggested strategies clearly improve the simpler intuitive constructions, and this is useful when selecting exploration policies.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2012

A class of covariate-dependent spatiotemporal covariance functions for the analysis of daily ozone concentration

In geostatistics, it is common to model spatially distributed phenomena through an underlying stationary and isotropic spatial process. However, these assumptions are often untenable in practice because of the influence of local effects in the correlation structure. Therefore, it has been of prolonged interest in the literature to provide flexible and effective ways to model nonstationarity in the spatial effects. Arguably, due to the local nature of the problem, we might envision that the correlation structure would be highly dependent on local characteristics of the domain of study, namely, the latitude, longitude and altitude of the observation sites, as well as other locally defined covariate information. In this work, we provide a flexible and computationally feasible way for allowing the correlation structure of the underlying processes to depend on local covariate information. We discuss the properties of the induced covariance functions and methods to assess its dependence on local covariate information. The proposed method is used to analyze daily ozone in the southeast United States.

stat.AP↗