arXiv subjects

Joaquin Delgado Fernandez

Publications and source records attributed to Joaquin Delgado Fernandez.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2025

Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks in short term load forecasting: Does adding Graph Structure in Consumption Data Improve Predictions?

Short term Load Forecasting (STLF) plays an important role in traditional and modern power systems. Most STLF models predominantly exploit temporal dependencies from historical data to predict future consumption. Nowadays, with the widespread deployment of smart meters, their data can contain spatiotemporal dependencies. In particular, their consumption data is not only correlated to historical values but also to the values of neighboring smart meters. This new characteristic motivates researchers to explore and experiment with new models that can effectively integrate spatiotemporal interrelations to increase forecasting performance. Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) can leverage such interrelations by modeling relationships between smart meters as a graph and using these relationships as additional features to predict future energy consumption. While extensively studied in other spatiotemporal forecasting domains such as traffic, environments, or renewable energy generation, their application to load forecasting remains relatively unexplored, particularly in scenarios where the graph structure is not inherently available. This paper overviews the current literature focusing on STGNNs with application in STLF. Additionally, from a technical perspective, it also benchmarks selected STGNN models for STLF at the residential and aggregate levels. The results indicate that incorporating graph features can improve forecasting accuracy at the residential level; however, this effect is not reflected at the aggregate level

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Forecasting Anonymized Electricity Load Profiles

In the evolving landscape of data privacy, the anonymization of electric load profiles has become a critical issue, especially with the enforcement of the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) in Europe. These electric load profiles, which are essential datasets in the energy industry, are classified as personal behavioral data, necessitating stringent protective measures. This article explores the implications of this classification, the importance of data anonymization, and the potential of forecasting using microaggregated data. The findings underscore that effective anonymization techniques, such as microaggregation, do not compromise the performance of forecasting models under certain conditions (i.e., forecasting aggregated). In such an aggregated level, microaggregated data maintains high levels of utility, with minimal impact on forecasting accuracy. The implications for the energy sector are profound, suggesting that privacy-preserving data practices can be integrated into smart metering technology applications without hindering their effectiveness.

cs.CR↗

arXiv2023

Federated Learning: Organizational Opportunities, Challenges, and Adoption Strategies

Restrictive rules for data sharing in many industries have led to the development of federated learning. Federated learning is a machine-learning technique that allows distributed clients to train models collaboratively without the need to share their respective training data with others. In this paper, we first explore the technical foundations of federated learning and its organizational opportunities. Second, we present a conceptual framework for the adoption of federated learning, mapping four types of organizations by their artificial intelligence capabilities and limits to data sharing. We then discuss why exemplary organizations in different contexts - including public authorities, financial service providers, manufacturing companies, as well as research and development consortia - might consider different approaches to federated learning. To conclude, we argue that federated learning presents organizational challenges with ample interdisciplinary opportunities for information systems researchers.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2022

Privacy-preserving Federated Learning for Residential Short Term Load Forecasting

With high levels of intermittent power generation and dynamic demand patterns, accurate forecasts for residential loads have become essential. Smart meters can play an important role when making these forecasts as they provide detailed load data. However, using smart meter data for load forecasting is challenging due to data privacy requirements. This paper investigates how these requirements can be addressed through a combination of federated learning and privacy preserving techniques such as differential privacy and secure aggregation. For our analysis, we employ a large set of residential load data and simulate how different federated learning models and privacy preserving techniques affect performance and privacy. Our simulations reveal that combining federated learning and privacy preserving techniques can secure both high forecasting accuracy and near-complete privacy. Specifically, we find that such combinations enable a high level of information sharing while ensuring privacy of both the processed load data and forecasting models. Moreover, we identify and discuss challenges of applying federated learning, differential privacy and secure aggregation for residential short-term load forecasting.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Agent-based Model of Initial Token Allocations: Evaluating Wealth Concentration in Fair Launches

With advancements in distributed ledger technologies and smart contracts, tokenized voting rights gained prominence within Decentralized Finance (DeFi). Voting rights tokens (aka. governance tokens) are fungible tokens that grant individual holders the right to vote upon the fate of a project. The motivation behind these tokens is to achieve decentral control. Because the initial allocations of these tokens is often un-democratic, the DeFi project Yearn Finance experimented with a fair launch allocation where no tokens are pre-mined and all participants have an equal opportunity to receive them. Regardless, research on voting rights tokens highlights the formation of oligarchies over time. The hypothesis is that the tokens' tradability is the cause of concentration. To examine this proposition, this paper uses an Agent-based Model to simulate and analyze the concentration of voting rights tokens post fair launch under different trading modalities. It serves to examine three distinct token allocation scenarios considered as fair. The results show that regardless of the allocation, concentration persistently occurs. It confirms the hypothesis that the disease is endogenous: the cause of concentration is the tokens tradablility. The findings inform theoretical understandings and practical implications for on-chain governance mediated by tokens.

cs.CR↗