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Johannes Hörner

Publications and source records attributed to Johannes Hörner.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Separating the Wheat from the Chaff

We study a reputational cheap-talk environment in which a judge, who is privately and imperfectly informed about a state, must choose between two speakers of unknown reliability. Exactly one speaker is an expert who perfectly observes the state, while the other is a quack with no information. Both speakers seek to be selected, while the judge wishes to identify the expert. We show that, quite generally, there is an equilibrium in which the expert is honest, yet the judge favors more extreme signals. This bias toward extremism does not induce exaggeration by the expert, but instead sustains truthful communication. The quack strategically mimics the expert's speech, and sometimes panders to the judge's prior. We show that learning in this environment exhibits an ``information begets information'' property: judges with more precise private information are more likely to identify the expert and learn the true state, implying that exposure to competing sources of uncertain reliability may amplify informational inequality across audiences.

econ.TH↗

Blackwell Equilibrium in Repeated Games

We apply Blackwell optimality to repeated games. An equilibrium whose strategy profile is sequentially rational for all high enough discount factors simultaneously is a Blackwell (subgame-perfect, perfect public, etc.) equilibrium. The bite of this requirement depends on the monitoring structure. Under perfect monitoring, a ``folk'' theorem holds relative to an appropriate notion of minmax. Under imperfect public monitoring, absent a public randomization device, any perfect public equilibrium generically involves pure action profiles or stage-game Nash equilibria only. Under private conditionally independent monitoring, in a class of games that includes the prisoner's dilemma, the stage-game Nash equilibrium is played in every round.

econ.TH↗

Overcoming Free-Riding in Bandit Games

This paper considers a class of experimentation games with Lévy bandits encompassing those of Bolton and Harris (1999) and Keller, Rady and Cripps (2005). Its main result is that efficient (perfect Bayesian) equilibria exist whenever players' payoffs have a diffusion component. Hence, the trade-offs emphasized in the literature do not rely on the intrinsic nature of bandit models but on the commonly adopted solution concept (MPE). This is not an artifact of continuous time: we prove that efficient equilibria arise as limits of equilibria in the discrete-time game. Furthermore, it suffices to relax the solution concept to strongly symmetric equilibrium.

econ.TH↗