arXiv subjects

Johannes O. Royset

Publications and source records attributed to Johannes O. Royset.

34 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

Multi-Agent Search for a Moving and Camouflaging Target

In multi-agent search planning for a randomly moving and camouflaging target, we examine heterogeneous searchers that differ in terms of their endurance level, travel speed, and detection ability. This leads to a convex mixed-integer nonlinear program, which we reformulate using three linearization techniques. We develop preprocessing steps, outer approximations via lazy constraints, and bundle-based cutting plane methods to address large-scale instances. Further specializations emerge when the target moves according to a Markov chain. We carry out an extensive numerical study to show the computational efficiency of our methods and to derive insights regarding which approach should be favored for which type of problem instance.

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arXiv2022

On Robustness in Nonconvex Optimization with Application to Defense Planning

In the context of structured nonconvex optimization, we estimate the increase in minimum value for a decision that is robust to parameter perturbations as compared to the value of a nominal problem. The estimates rely on detailed expressions for subgradients and local Lipschitz moduli of min-value functions in nonconvex robust optimization and require only the solution of the nominal problem. The theoretical results are illustrated by examples from military operations research involving mixed-integer optimization models. Across 54 cases examined, the median error in estimating the increase in minimum value is 12%. Therefore, the derived expressions for subgradients and local Lipschitz moduli may accurately inform analysts about the possibility of obtaining cost-effective, parameter-robust decisions in nonconvex optimization.

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arXiv2022

Optimizing Surveillance Satellites for the Synthetic Theater Operations Research Model

The Synthetic Theater Operations Research Model (STORM) simulates theater-level conflict and requires inputs about utilization of surveillance satellites to search large geographical areas. We develop a mixed-integer linear optimization model that prescribes plans for how satellites and their sensors should be directed to best search an area of operations. It also specifies the resolution levels employed by the sensors to ensure a suitable fidelity of the resulting images. We solve large-scale instances of the model involving up to 22 million variables and 11 million constraints in scenarios derived from STORM. On average, the model yields 55% improvement in search coverage relative to an existing heuristic algorithm in STORM.

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arXiv2022

S-BORM: Reliability-based optimization of general systems using buffered optimization and reliability method

Reliability-based optimization (RBO) is crucial for identifying optimal risk-informed decisions for designing and operating engineering systems. However, its computation remains challenging as it requires a concurrent task of optimization and reliability analysis. Moreover, computation becomes even more complicated when considering performance of a general system, whose failure event is represented as a link-set of cut-sets. This is because even when component events have smooth and convex limit-state functions, the system limit-state function has neither property, except in trivial cases. To address the challenge, this study develops an efficient algorithm to solve RBO problems of general system events. We employ the buffered optimization and reliability method (BORM), which utilizes, instead of the conventional failure probability definition, the buffered failure probability. The proposed algorithm solves a sequence of difference-of-convex RBO models iteratively by employing a proximal bundle method. For demonstration, we design three numerical examples with increasing complexity that includes up to 108 cut-sets, which are solved by the proposed algorithm within a minute with high accuracy. We also demonstrate its robustness by performing extensive parametric studies.

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arXiv2022

Performance Bounds for PDE-Constrained Optimization under Uncertainty

Computational approaches to PDE-constrained optimization under uncertainty may involve finite-dimensional approximations of control and state spaces, sample average approximations of measures of risk and reliability, smooth approximations of nonsmooth functions, penalty approximations of constraints as well as many other kinds of inaccuracies. In this paper, we analyze the performance of controls obtained by an approximation-based algorithm and in the process develop estimates of optimality gaps for general optimization problems defined on metric spaces. Under mild assumptions, we establish that limiting controls have arbitrarily small optimality gaps provided that the inaccuracies in the various approximations vanish. We carry out the analysis for a broad class of problems with multiple expectation, risk, and reliability functions involving PDE solutions and appearing in objective as well as constraint expressions. In particular, we address problems with buffered failure probability constraints approximated via an augmented Lagrangian. We demonstrate the framework on an elliptic PDE with a random coefficient field and a distributed control function.

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arXiv2022

Consistent Approximations in Composite Optimization

Approximations of optimization problems arise in computational procedures and sensitivity analysis. The resulting effect on solutions can be significant, with even small approximations of components of a problem translating into large errors in the solutions. We specify conditions under which approximations are well behaved in the sense of minimizers, stationary points, and level-sets and this leads to a framework of consistent approximations. The framework is developed for a broad class of composite problems, which are neither convex nor smooth. We demonstrate the framework using examples from stochastic optimization, neural-network based machine learning, distributionally robust optimization, penalty and augmented Lagrangian methods, interior-point methods, homotopy methods, smoothing methods, extended nonlinear programming, difference-of-convex programming, and multi-objective optimization. An enhanced proximal method illustrates the algorithmic possibilities. A quantitative analysis supplements the development by furnishing rates of convergence.

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arXiv2022

Epi-Convergence of Expectation Functions under Varying Measures and Integrands

For expectation functions on metric spaces, we provide sufficient conditions for epi-convergence under varying probability measures and integrands, and examine applications in the area of sieve estimators, mollifier smoothing, PDE-constrained optimization, and stochastic optimization with expectation constraints. As a stepping stone to epi-convergence of independent interest, we develop parametric Fatou's lemmas under mild integrability assumptions. In the setting of Suslin metric spaces, the assumptions are expressed in terms of Pasch-Hausdorff envelopes. For general metric spaces, the assumptions shift to semicontinuity of integrands also on the sample space, which then is assumed to be a metric space.

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arXiv2021

Gradients and Subgradients of Buffered Failure Probability

Gradients and subgradients are central to optimization and sensitivity analysis of buffered failure probabilities. We furnish a characterization of subgradients based on subdifferential calculus in the case of finite probability distributions and, under additional assumptions, also a gradient expression for general distributions. Several examples illustrate the application of the results, especially in the context of optimality conditions.

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arXiv2021

Data-driven optimization of reliability using buffered failure probability

Design and operation of complex engineering systems rely on reliability optimization. Such optimization requires us to account for uncertainties expressed in terms of compli-cated, high-dimensional probability distributions, for which only samples or data might be available. However, using data or samples often degrades the computational efficiency, particularly as the conventional failure probability is estimated using the indicator function whose gradient is not defined at zero. To address this issue, by leveraging the buffered failure probability, the paper develops the buffered optimization and reliability method (BORM) for efficient, data-driven optimization of reliability. The proposed formulations, algo-rithms, and strategies greatly improve the computational efficiency of the optimization and thereby address the needs of high-dimensional and nonlinear problems. In addition, an analytical formula is developed to estimate the reliability sensitivity, a subject fraught with difficulty when using the conventional failure probability. The buffered failure probability is thoroughly investigated in the context of many different distributions, leading to a novel measure of tail-heaviness called the buffered tail index. The efficiency and accuracy of the proposed optimization methodology are demonstrated by three numerical examples, which underline the unique advantages of the buffered failure probability for data-driven reliability analysis.

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arXiv2021

Good and Bad Optimization Models: Insights from Rockafellians

A basic requirement for a mathematical model is often that its solution (output) shouldn't change much if the model's parameters (input) are perturbed. This is important because the exact values of parameters may not be known and one would like to avoid being mislead by an output obtained using incorrect values. Thus, it's rarely enough to address an application by formulating a model, solving the resulting optimization problem and presenting the solution as the answer. One would need to confirm that the model is suitable, i.e., "good," and this can, at least in part, be achieved by considering a family of optimization problems constructed by perturbing parameters of concern. The resulting sensitivity analysis uncovers troubling situations with unstable solutions, which we referred to as "bad" models, and indicates better model formulations. Embedding an actual problem of interest within a family of problems is also a primary path to optimality conditions as well as computationally attractive, alternative problems, which under ideal circumstances, and when properly tuned, may even furnish the minimum value of the actual problem. The tuning of these alternative problems turns out to be intimately tied to finding multipliers in optimality conditions and thus emerges as a main component of several optimization algorithms. In fact, the tuning amounts to solving certain dual optimization problems. In this tutorial, we'll discuss the opportunities and insights afforded by this broad perspective.

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arXiv2021

Certifiable Risk-Based Engineering Design Optimization

Reliable, risk-averse design of complex engineering systems with optimized performance requires dealing with uncertainties. A conventional approach is to add safety margins to a design that was obtained from deterministic optimization. Safer engineering designs require appropriate cost and constraint function definitions that capture the \textit{risk} associated with unwanted system behavior in the presence of uncertainties. The paper proposes two notions of certifiability. The first is based on accounting for the magnitude of failure to ensure data-informed conservativeness. The second is the ability to provide optimization convergence guarantees by preserving convexity. Satisfying these notions leads to \textit{certifiable} risk-based design optimization (CRiBDO). In the context of CRiBDO, risk measures based on superquantile (a.k.a.\ conditional value-at-risk) and buffered probability of failure are analyzed. CRiBDO is contrasted with reliability-based design optimization (RBDO), where uncertainties are accounted for via the probability of failure, through a structural and a thermal design problem. A reformulation of the short column structural design problem leading to a convex CRiBDO problem is presented. The CRiBDO formulations capture more information about the problem to assign the appropriate conservativeness, exhibit superior optimization convergence by preserving properties of underlying functions, and alleviate the adverse effects of choosing hard failure thresholds required in RBDO.

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arXiv2021

Diametrical Risk Minimization: Theory and Computations

The theoretical and empirical performance of Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) often suffers when loss functions are poorly behaved with large Lipschitz moduli and spurious sharp minimizers. We propose and analyze a counterpart to ERM called Diametrical Risk Minimization (DRM), which accounts for worst-case empirical risks within neighborhoods in parameter space. DRM has generalization bounds that are independent of Lipschitz moduli for convex as well as nonconvex problems and it can be implemented using a practical algorithm based on stochastic gradient descent. Numerical results illustrate the ability of DRM to find quality solutions with low generalization error in sharp empirical risk landscapes from benchmark neural network classification problems with corrupted labels.

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arXiv2020

Stability and Error Analysis for Optimization and Generalized Equations

Stability and error analysis remain challenging for problems that lack regularity properties near solutions, are subject to large perturbations, and might be infinite dimensional. We consider nonconvex optimization and generalized equations defined on metric spaces and develop bounds on solution errors using the truncated Hausdorff distance applied to graphs and epigraphs of the underlying set-valued mappings and functions. In the process, we extend the calculus of such distances to cover compositions and other constructions that arise in nonconvex problems. The results are applied to constrained problems with feasible sets that might have empty interiors, solution of KKT systems, and optimality conditions for difference-of-convex functions and composite functions.

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arXiv2020

Set-Convergence and Its Application: A Tutorial

Optimization problems, generalized equations, and the multitude of other variational problems invariably lead to the analysis of sets and set-valued mappings as well as their approximations. We review the central concept of set-convergence and explain its role in defining a notion of proximity between sets, especially for epigraphs of functions and graphs of set-valued mappings. The development leads to an approximation theory for optimization problems and generalized equations with profound consequences for the construction of algorithms. We also introduce the role of set-convergence in variational geometry and subdifferentiability with applications to optimality conditions. Examples illustrate the importance of set-convergence in stability analysis, error analysis, construction of algorithms, statistical estimation, and probability theory.

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arXiv2019

Variational Analysis of Constrained M-Estimators

We propose a unified framework for establishing existence of nonparametric M-estimators, computing the corresponding estimates, and proving their strong consistency when the class of functions is exceptionally rich. In particular, the framework addresses situations where the class of functions is complex involving information and assumptions about shape, pointwise bounds, location of modes, height at modes, location of level-sets, values of moments, size of subgradients, continuity, distance to a "prior" function, multivariate total positivity, and any combination of the above. The class might be engineered to perform well in a specific setting even in the presence of little data. The framework views the class of functions as a subset of a particular metric space of upper semicontinuous functions under the Attouch-Wets distance. In addition to allowing a systematic treatment of numerous M-estimators, the framework yields consistency of plug-in estimators of modes of densities, maximizers of regression functions, level-sets of classifiers, and related quantities, and also enables computation by means of approximating parametric classes. We establish consistency through a one-sided law of large numbers, here extended to sieves, that relaxes assumptions of uniform laws, while ensuring global approximations even under model misspecification.

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arXiv2019

Approximations of Semicontinuous Functions with Applications to Stochastic Optimization and Statistical Estimation

Upper semicontinuous (usc) functions arise in the analysis of maximization problems, distributionally robust optimization, and function identification, which includes many problems of nonparametric statistics. We establish that every usc function is the limit of a hypo-converging sequence of piecewise affine functions of the difference-of-max type and illustrate resulting algorithmic possibilities in the context of approximate solution of infinite-dimensional optimization problems. In an effort to quantify the ease with which classes of usc functions can be approximated by finite collections, we provide upper and lower bounds on covering numbers for bounded sets of usc functions under the Attouch-Wets distance. The result is applied in the context of stochastic optimization problems defined over spaces of usc functions. We establish confidence regions for optimal solutions based on sample average approximations and examine the accompanying rates of convergence. Examples from nonparametric statistics illustrate the results.

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