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Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Publications and source records attributed to Johannes Schmidt-Hieber.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

A supervised deep learning method for nonparametric density estimation

Nonparametric density estimation is an unsupervised learning problem. In this work we propose a two-step procedure that casts the density estimation problem in the first step into a supervised regression problem. The advantage is that we can afterwards apply supervised learning methods. Compared to the standard nonparametric regression setting, the proposed procedure creates, however, dependence among the training samples. To derive statistical risk bounds, one can therefore not rely on the well-developed theory for i.i.d. data. To overcome this, we prove an oracle inequality for this specific form of data dependence. As an application, it is shown that under a compositional structure assumption on the underlying density, the proposed two-step method achieves convergence rates that are faster than the standard nonparametric rates. A simulation study illustrates the finite sample performance.

math.ST↗

Codivergences and information matrices

We propose a new concept of codivergence, which quantifies the similarity between two probability measures $P_1, P_2$ relative to a reference probability measure $P_0$. In the neighborhood of the reference measure $P_0$, a codivergence behaves like an inner product between the measures $P_1 - P_0$ and $P_2 - P_0$. Codivergences of covariance-type and correlation-type are introduced and studied with a focus on two specific correlation-type codivergences, the $χ^2$-codivergence and the Hellinger codivergence. We derive explicit expressions for several common parametric families of probability distributions. For a codivergence, we introduce moreover the divergence matrix as an analogue of the Gram matrix. It is shown that the $χ^2$-divergence matrix satisfies a data-processing inequality.

math.ST↗

Dropout Regularization Versus $\ell_2$-Penalization in the Linear Model

We investigate the statistical behavior of gradient descent iterates with dropout in the linear regression model. In particular, non-asymptotic bounds for the convergence of expectations and covariance matrices of the iterates are derived. The results shed more light on the widely cited connection between dropout and l2-regularization in the linear model. We indicate a more subtle relationship, owing to interactions between the gradient descent dynamics and the additional randomness induced by dropout. Further, we study a simplified variant of dropout which does not have a regularizing effect and converges to the least squares estimator

math.ST↗

Local convergence rates of the nonparametric least squares estimator with applications to transfer learning

Convergence properties of empirical risk minimizers can be conveniently expressed in terms of the associated population risk. To derive bounds for the performance of the estimator under covariate shift, however, pointwise convergence rates are required. Under weak assumptions on the design distribution, it is shown that least squares estimators (LSE) over 1-Lipschitz functions are also minimax rate optimal with respect to a weighted uniform norm, where the weighting accounts in a natural way for the non-uniformity of the design distribution. This implies that although least squares is a global criterion, the LSE adapts locally to the size of the design density. We develop a new indirect proof technique that establishes the local convergence behavior based on a carefully chosen local perturbation of the LSE. The obtained local rates are then applied to analyze the LSE for transfer learning under covariate shift.

math.ST↗

Hebbian learning inspired estimation of the linear regression parameters from queries

Local learning rules in biological neural networks (BNNs) are commonly referred to as Hebbian learning. [26] links a biologically motivated Hebbian learning rule to a specific zeroth-order optimization method. In this work, we study a variation of this Hebbian learning rule to recover the regression vector in the linear regression model. Zeroth-order optimization methods are known to converge with suboptimal rate for large parameter dimension compared to first-order methods like gradient descent, and are therefore thought to be in general inferior. By establishing upper and lower bounds, we show, however, that such methods achieve near-optimal rates if only queries of the linear regression loss are available. Moreover, we prove that this Hebbian learning rule can achieve considerably faster rates than any non-adaptive method that selects the queries independently of the data.

math.ST↗

Interpreting learning in biological neural networks as zero-order optimization method

Recently, significant progress has been made regarding the statistical understanding of artificial neural networks (ANNs). ANNs are motivated by the functioning of the brain, but differ in several crucial aspects. In particular, the locality in the updating rule of the connection parameters in biological neural networks (BNNs) makes it biologically implausible that the learning of the brain is based on gradient descent. In this work, we look at the brain as a statistical method for supervised learning. The main contribution is to relate the local updating rule of the connection parameters in BNNs to a zero-order optimization method. It is shown that the expected values of the iterates implement a modification of gradient descent.

cs.LG↗

On lower bounds for the bias-variance trade-off

It is a common phenomenon that for high-dimensional and nonparametric statistical models, rate-optimal estimators balance squared bias and variance. Although this balancing is widely observed, little is known whether methods exist that could avoid the trade-off between bias and variance. We propose a general strategy to obtain lower bounds on the variance of any estimator with bias smaller than a prespecified bound. This shows to which extent the bias-variance trade-off is unavoidable and allows to quantify the loss of performance for methods that do not obey it. The approach is based on a number of abstract lower bounds for the variance involving the change of expectation with respect to different probability measures as well as information measures such as the Kullback-Leibler or $χ^2$-divergence. In a second part of the article, the abstract lower bounds are applied to several statistical models including the Gaussian white noise model, a boundary estimation problem, the Gaussian sequence model and the high-dimensional linear regression model. For these specific statistical applications, different types of bias-variance trade-offs occur that vary considerably in their strength. For the trade-off between integrated squared bias and integrated variance in the Gaussian white noise model, we propose to combine the general strategy for lower bounds with a reduction technique. This allows us to reduce the original problem to a lower bound on the bias-variance trade-off for estimators with additional symmetry properties in a simpler statistical model. In the Gaussian sequence model, different phase transitions of the bias-variance trade-off occur. Although there is a non-trivial interplay between bias and variance, the rate of the squared bias and the variance do not have to be balanced in order to achieve the minimax estimation rate.

math.ST↗

On generalization bounds for deep networks based on loss surface implicit regularization

The classical statistical learning theory implies that fitting too many parameters leads to overfitting and poor performance. That modern deep neural networks generalize well despite a large number of parameters contradicts this finding and constitutes a major unsolved problem towards explaining the success of deep learning. While previous work focuses on the implicit regularization induced by stochastic gradient descent (SGD), we study here how the local geometry of the energy landscape around local minima affects the statistical properties of SGD with Gaussian gradient noise. We argue that under reasonable assumptions, the local geometry forces SGD to stay close to a low dimensional subspace and that this induces another form of implicit regularization and results in tighter bounds on the generalization error for deep neural networks. To derive generalization error bounds for neural networks, we first introduce a notion of stagnation sets around the local minima and impose a local essential convexity property of the population risk. Under these conditions, lower bounds for SGD to remain in these stagnation sets are derived. If stagnation occurs, we derive a bound on the generalization error of deep neural networks involving the spectral norms of the weight matrices but not the number of network parameters. Technically, our proofs are based on controlling the change of parameter values in the SGD iterates and local uniform convergence of the empirical loss functions based on the entropy of suitable neighborhoods around local minima.

stat.ML↗

On the inability of Gaussian process regression to optimally learn compositional functions

We rigorously prove that deep Gaussian process priors can outperform Gaussian process priors if the target function has a compositional structure. To this end, we study information-theoretic lower bounds for posterior contraction rates for Gaussian process regression in a continuous regression model. We show that if the true function is a generalized additive function, then the posterior based on any mean-zero Gaussian process can only recover the truth at a rate that is strictly slower than the minimax rate by a factor that is polynomially suboptimal in the sample size $n$.

stat.ML↗

Posterior contraction for deep Gaussian process priors

We study posterior contraction rates for a class of deep Gaussian process priors applied to the nonparametric regression problem under a general composition assumption on the regression function. It is shown that the contraction rates can achieve the minimax convergence rate (up to $\log n$ factors), while being adaptive to the underlying structure and smoothness of the target function. The proposed framework extends the Bayesian nonparametric theory for Gaussian process priors.

math.ST↗

Convergence rates of deep ReLU networks for multiclass classification

For classification problems, trained deep neural networks return probabilities of class memberships. In this work we study convergence of the learned probabilities to the true conditional class probabilities. More specifically we consider sparse deep ReLU network reconstructions minimizing cross-entropy loss in the multiclass classification setup. Interesting phenomena occur when the class membership probabilities are close to zero. Convergence rates are derived that depend on the near-zero behaviour via a margin-type condition.

math.ST↗

The Kolmogorov-Arnold representation theorem revisited

There is a longstanding debate whether the Kolmogorov-Arnold representation theorem can explain the use of more than one hidden layer in neural networks. The Kolmogorov-Arnold representation decomposes a multivariate function into an interior and an outer function and therefore has indeed a similar structure as a neural network with two hidden layers. But there are distinctive differences. One of the main obstacles is that the outer function depends on the represented function and can be wildly varying even if the represented function is smooth. We derive modifications of the Kolmogorov-Arnold representation that transfer smoothness properties of the represented function to the outer function and can be well approximated by ReLU networks. It appears that instead of two hidden layers, a more natural interpretation of the Kolmogorov-Arnold representation is that of a deep neural network where most of the layers are required to approximate the interior function.

cs.LG↗

Posterior analysis of $n$ in the binomial $(n,p)$ problem with both parameters unknown -- with applications to quantitative nanoscopy

Estimation of the population size $n$ from $k$ i.i.d.\ binomial observations with unknown success probability $p$ is relevant to a multitude of applications and has a long history. Without additional prior information this is a notoriously difficult task when $p$ becomes small, and the Bayesian approach becomes particularly useful. For a large class of priors, we establish posterior contraction and a Bernstein-von Mises type theorem in a setting where $p\rightarrow0$ and $n\rightarrow\infty$ as $k\to\infty$. Furthermore, we suggest a new class of Bayesian estimators for $n$ and provide a comprehensive simulation study in which we investigate their performance. To showcase the advantages of a Bayesian approach on real data, we also benchmark our estimators in a novel application from super-resolution microscopy.

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Nonparametric regression using deep neural networks with ReLU activation function

Consider the multivariate nonparametric regression model. It is shown that estimators based on sparsely connected deep neural networks with ReLU activation function and properly chosen network architecture achieve the minimax rates of convergence (up to $\log n$-factors) under a general composition assumption on the regression function. The framework includes many well-studied structural constraints such as (generalized) additive models. While there is a lot of flexibility in the network architecture, the tuning parameter is the sparsity of the network. Specifically, we consider large networks with number of potential network parameters exceeding the sample size. The analysis gives some insights into why multilayer feedforward neural networks perform well in practice. Interestingly, for ReLU activation function the depth (number of layers) of the neural network architectures plays an important role and our theory suggests that for nonparametric regression, scaling the network depth with the sample size is natural. It is also shown that under the composition assumption wavelet estimators can only achieve suboptimal rates.

math.ST↗

Posterior contraction rates for support boundary recovery

Given a sample of a Poisson point process with intensity $λ_f(x,y) = n \mathbf{1}(f(x) \leq y),$ we study recovery of the boundary function $f$ from a nonparametric Bayes perspective. Because of the irregularity of this model, the analysis is non-standard. We establish a general result for the posterior contraction rate with respect to the $L^1$-norm based on entropy and one-sided small probability bounds. From this, specific posterior contraction results are derived for Gaussian process priors and priors based on random wavelet series.

math.ST↗

On frequentist coverage of Bayesian credible sets for estimation of the mean under constraints

Frequentist coverage of $(1-α)$-highest posterior density (HPD) credible sets is studied in a signal plus noise model under a large class of noise distributions. We consider a specific class of spike-and-slab prior distributions. Different regimes are identified and we derive closed form expressions for the $(1-α)$-HPD on each of these regimes. Similar to the earlier work by Marchand and Strawderman, it is shown that under suitable conditions, the frequentist coverage can drop to $1-3α/2.$

math.ST↗

Bayesian variance estimation in the Gaussian sequence model with partial information on the means

Consider the Gaussian sequence model under the additional assumption that a fixed fraction of the means is known. We study the problem of variance estimation from a frequentist Bayesian perspective. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for $σ^2$ is biased and inconsistent. This raises the question whether the posterior is able to correct the MLE in this case. By developing a new proving strategy that uses refined properties of the posterior distribution, we find that the marginal posterior is inconsistent for any i.i.d. prior on the mean parameters. In particular, no assumption on the decay of the prior needs to be imposed. Surprisingly, we also find that consistency can be retained for a hierarchical prior based on Gaussian mixtures. In this case we also establish a limiting shape result and determine the limit distribution. In contrast to the classical Bernstein-von Mises theorem, the limit is non-Gaussian. We show that the Bayesian analysis leads to new statistical estimators outperforming the correctly calibrated MLE in a numerical simulation study.

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Deep ReLU network approximation of functions on a manifold

Whereas recovery of the manifold from data is a well-studied topic, approximation rates for functions defined on manifolds are less known. In this work, we study a regression problem with inputs on a $d^*$-dimensional manifold that is embedded into a space with potentially much larger ambient dimension. It is shown that sparsely connected deep ReLU networks can approximate a Hölder function with smoothness index $β$ up to error $ε$ using of the order of $ε^{-d^*/β}\log(1/ε)$ many non-zero network parameters. As an application, we derive statistical convergence rates for the estimator minimizing the empirical risk over all possible choices of bounded network parameters.

stat.ML↗