arXiv subjects

John Carpenter

Publications and source records attributed to John Carpenter.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Dust Substructures and Line Perturbations driven by a Forming Planet in J16120

Hints of planet formation have been independently reported within the gap of the disc around 2MASS J16120668-301027 from millimetre continuum, infrared, and H-alpha observations. In this work, we present new evidence for ongoing planet formation based on Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array (ALMA) Band 7 observations, detecting 0.87 mm dust continuum emission together with 12CO (J=3-2) and 13CO (J=3-2) line emission. Visibility modelling of the continuum data reveals an inner disc and two dust rings peaking at 23 and 75 au. The continuum morphology is better reproduced by an eccentric disc model (e approximately 0.1) than by an axisymmetric disc. We further investigate the gas kinematics through modelling of the 12CO channel maps. The residual line-width map shows a localised increase in velocity dispersion at the position of a previously reported circumplanetary disc candidate (deprojected radius approximately 32 au, position angle approximately 170 degrees) and along its orbit. This signal is spatially coincident with kink-like features and a transition from sub-Keplerian to super-Keplerian velocities. In addition, the velocity residual map exhibits an arc-like structure extending outward from the planet candidate, while the gas kinematics, despite substantial uncertainties, is consistent with inflow towards the candidate's orbital radius. The observed increase in velocity dispersion agrees with predictions from planet-disc interaction simulations, which produce enhanced turbulence both at the planet location and along its orbital path. Taken together, the continuum morphology and gas kinematic signatures provide compelling new evidence for ongoing planet formation within the disc gap.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2026

From Young to Older Disks: JWST/MIRI Evidence for Fading Molecular Emission and Hints for Elevated C/O in Upper Scorpius

We present JWST/MIRI spectroscopy of 14 disks in the older (~5-10 Myr) Upper Scorpius (USco) association and use slab of gas in local thermal equilibrium to infer basic gas properties. We find that half of these disks are molecular rich, with detections of H$_2$O, CO$_2$, HCN, C$_2$H$_2$, and H$_2$, while the other half are molecular poor, showing no molecular emission other than H$_2$. We further combine this sample with 10 other USco disks from the AGE-PRO program and compare the combined older sample to young (~1-3 Myr) JDISCS Cycle~1 systems, which are analyzed in a similar manner. We find that USco disks have lower detection rates of major molecular species but a significantly higher detection rate of rarer C-bearing molecules such as C$_4$H$_2$. At a given accretion luminosity, molecular line luminosities are systematically lower in USco than in young disks, and the scaling relations with accretion luminosity differ between the two populations. Moreover, we find that about half of the older disks, preferentially the millimeter faint, and likely more compact disks, have observable mass ratios of C- to O-bearing molecules that are higher than the maximum values in the young sample. These results point to reduced inner-disk molecular gas masses, cooler emitting layers, and higher inner gas C/O ratios in older disks, the latter being consistent with pebble drift. Taken together, our findings provide evidence for chemical evolution of inner disk gas from young to older systems, with important implications for the accretion of primordial planetary atmospheres.

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arXiv2026

The ALMA Survey of Gas Evolution of PROtoplanetary Disks (AGE-PRO): Formaldehyde (H$_2$CO) emission and its links to disk properties

Protoplanetary disks are rotating structures of gas and dust surrounding young stars, serving as the birth places of planets. Understanding the chemical evolution of organic materials in these disks is key for tracing the origins of organics in planetary systems. Formaldehyde (H$_2$CO) is the most commonly detected organic molecule in protoplanetary disks. In this study, we investigate the emission of H$_2$CO and its link to disk properties, using a sample of 20 Class II disks in the Lupus and Upper Sco star-forming regions spanning over 1-6 Myr. We analyze the H$_2$CO lines at 218.222 and 290.623 GHz observed as part of the AGE-PRO ALMA Large Program. Within this sample we achieve a detection rate of H$_2$CO of 45% (9/20), and set robust upper limits for the non-detections. We measure the excitation temperature and column density of the H$_2$CO gas in the sources with H$_2$CO detections. We combine our sample with 13 additional disks with archival H$_2$CO detections and search for correlations between H$_2$CO properties and disk parameters. Notably, we find strong correlations between H$_2$CO line luminosity and dust radius, gas radius, dust mass, gas mass, stellar mass, and stellar luminosity. This suggests that H$_2$CO emission is brighter for extended massive dust disks where H$_2$CO can form via CO ice hydrogenation on grain surfaces. We find that the H$_2$CO excitation temperature is also correlated with stellar mass and stellar luminosity, so more massive and luminous stars could increase H$_2$CO excitation.

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arXiv2026

Evidence for Systematically Larger Dust Grains in Upper Scorpius Relative to Taurus Disks

Infrared spectroscopy provides a powerful diagnostic for probing the mineralogical properties of dust grains in the terrestrial planet-forming regions of protoplanetary disks. The Upper Scorpius association offers an excellent laboratory for studying disk evolution because it represents an evolved stage (5-10 Myr) compared with younger star-forming regions such as the Taurus Molecular Cloud (1-3 Myr). In this work, we present mid-infrared spectra of 11 disks in Upper Scorpius that were obtained with the Mid-Infrared Instrument aboard the James Webb Space Telescope. We derive emission feature indices for crystalline olivine and pyroxene centered at about 9.2 micron and 11.1 micron, as well as perform spectral decomposition to quantify dust crystallinity and characteristic grain size. These results are compared with those measured from Spitzer/IRS spectra of 31 disks in Taurus with similar stellar types. We find no significant difference in dust crystallinity between the two groups, suggesting that crystallization is largely established at early stages of disk evolution. Our analysis indicates that the average grain size in Upper Scorpius disks is systematically larger than that in Taurus disks, aligning with theories of dust evolution. We also observe a trend of increasing grain size towards later-type stars, as well as a correlation between crystallinity, grain size and the flux ratio F24/F8, which serves as a measure of dust settling. These results suggest that dust processing proceeds in tandem with disk evolution.

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arXiv2026

Traditional statistical representations outperform generative AI in identifying expert peer reviewers

The exponential growth of scientific submissions has strained the peer review system. Despite the rapidly expanding global pool of researchers, this unprecedented scale has rendered the previous approach of manual expert identification unfeasible. Therefore, institutions have naturally turned to Large Language Models (LLMs) to automate intricate processes like expert reviewer identification. However, the reliability of these new models in accurately identifying domain experts lacks rigorous evaluation. We conduct a comprehensive empirical evaluation of statistical and AI-driven expertise identification methodologies to benchmark their reliability and limitations. Framing expert identification as an information retrieval problem, we utilize the distributed peer review system of a major international astronomical observatory, where proposal authorship serves as our proxy ground truth for domain expertise. Evaluating six retrieval methodologies utilized across observatories and computer science conferences, we demonstrate that traditional statistical representations outperform generative AI. Specifically, Term Frequency-Inverse Document Frequency successfully identified a labeled expert within the top 25 recommendations 79.5% of the time, compared to 51.5% for GPT-4o mini. Our results highlight that distinguishing subfield expertise requires fine-grained vocabulary, which is obscured by the semantic smoothing in generative methods. By establishing a rigorous evaluation framework for automated peer review, we demonstrate that transparent and reproducible statistical representations still outperform computationally expensive LLMs in specialized scientific tasks.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2026

JWST/MIRI Hydrocarbon and Water Absorption in the Wind of a Young Disk: Signatures of Pebble Drift and Carbon Grain Sublimation

We present JWST/MIRI-MRS observations of ISO-Oph 37, a highly inclined flat-spectrum ($\lesssim$1 Myr old) source, to investigate the chemical composition and dynamical origin of its inner-disk gas. The spectrum reveals a rich combination of molecular emission and absorption: H$_2$O, CO, and OH are detected in emission, while strong absorption is observed from CO, H$_2$O, CO$_2$, HCN, C$_2$H$_2$, and CH$_4$, with no detectable ice absorption features. LTE slab modeling of the absorption yields excitation temperatures of $T_{\rm ex}\sim400-600$ K and column densities of $\log N/{\rm cm}^{2}\sim16-19$, characteristic of warm gas located within the inner few au. The absorption lines are significantly blueshifted relative to the systemic velocity, with mid-IR lines exhibiting larger shifts than near-IR CO absorption. This velocity structure points to a velocity- and temperature-stratified molecular disk wind. In this framework, the absorption directly samples disk material lifted from the inner disk surface, preserving the chemical imprint of the wind-launching region. Along the line of sight, ISO-Oph 37 is unusually hydrocarbon-rich compared to other known absorption systems (GV Tau N and IRS 46), exhibiting high (C$_2$H$_2$+CH$_4$)/HCN, (C$_2$H$_2$+CH$_4$)/CO and H$_2$O/CO column density ratios, while the CO and HCN columns remain broadly typical. We find that these molecular ratios are best explained by enhancement of both hydrocarbons and water, driven by inward drift and sublimation of icy pebbles and by thermal processing of carbonaceous grains at the soot line. ISO-Oph 37 thus demonstrates that carbon-rich inner-disk chemistry can be established early in disk evolution and that it can be directly probed through molecular absorption in disk winds.

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arXiv2026

Compact CO emission and no evidence of radial drift. ALMA observations of the faintest planet-forming disks in Lupus

A large fraction of planet-forming disks observed with ALMA show faint CO emission, often interpreted as strong CO depletion. However, faint emission may also arise from spatially unresolved disks, whose sizes are overestimated, making them appear intrinsically faint. The limited sensitivity of previous observations has prevented testing this scenario, hindering our understanding of disk evolution and planet formation. We present new ALMA Band 7 observations of 12CO (J=3-2) and 13CO (J=3-2) in 17 of the faintest disks in Lupus, aiming to assess whether compact disk structure can explain their weak CO emission. The data reach an angular resolution of 0.25arcsec (about 20 au at 160 pc) and are an order of magnitude deeper than archival observations. We apply line stacking to enhance sensitivity and compare the derived CO luminosities with physical-chemical models of compact and extended disks, also estimating gas and dust sizes. We detect both isotopologues in 10 disks, only 12CO in 4, and neither in 3. Several disks are consistent with being intrinsically compact and optically thick in both lines, providing an alternative to the CO depletion scenario. The inferred gas radii (Rco less than 40 au) support this interpretation and suggest that a significant fraction of disks may be born compact, in line with recent Class 0/I results. Gas-to-dust size ratios show no clear evidence for dust evolution, indicating these disks are not drift-dominated.

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arXiv2026

The ALMA Survey of Gas Evolution of PROtoplanetary Disks (AGE-PRO): Constraints on disk turbulence, fragmentation velocity, and inner pebble fluxes

How substructures and disk properties affect dust evolution and the delivery of solids and volatiles into planet-forming regions remains an open question. We present results from tailored dust evolution modeling of the AGE-PRO ALMA large program, a sample of 30 protoplanetary disks spanning different evolutionary stages. Visibility fitting of the AGE-PRO ALMA data (at 1.3\,mm) reveals that approximately half of the disks exhibit radial substructures. Combined with stellar properties, disk inclinations, and gas mass estimates from CO isotopologues and N$_2$H$^+$, this well-characterized set of disks provides an ideal testbed to constrain dust evolution models across different ages and disk morphologies. Using the dust evolution code \texttt{DustPy}, we simulate dust evolution in each disk under four model configurations, varying two key free parameters: the turbulent viscosity ($\alpha = 10^{-4}, 10^{-3}$) and fragmentation velocity ($v_{\rm{frag}} = 1 \mathrm{m\,s^{-1}}, 10 \mathrm{m\,s^{-1}}$). Pressure traps are incorporated by perturbing the gas surface density based on the continuum intensity profiles, and synthetic observations generated with \texttt{RADMC-3D} are compared to these profiles. While no single model fits all disks, nearly half are best reproduced by the configuration with low turbulence and low fragmentation velocity ($\alpha = 10^{-4}, v_{\rm{frag}} = 1\,\mathrm{m\,s^{-1}}$). Models of smooth disks underpredict dust mass, possibly indicating unresolved substructures. Pebble fluxes into inner disk regions correlate more strongly with disk age than with the presence of substructures, highlighting time-dependent dust transport as a key factor in shaping inner disk composition. Our results also provide a comparative baseline for interpreting multiwavelength and JWST water vapor observations.

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arXiv2026

The ALMA survey to Resolve exoKuiper belt Substructures (ARKS) IX: Gas-driven origin for the continuum arc in the debris disc of HD 121617

Debris discs were long considered to be largely gas-free environments governed by collisional fragmentation, gravitational stirring, and radiative forces. Recent CO detections show that gas is present, but its abundance and origin remain uncertain. The ALMA survey to Resolve exoKuiper belt Substructures (ARKS) revealed a narrow gas and dust ring in the disc HD 121617 with an asymmetric arc 40% brighter than the rest of the ring. We aim to constrain the total gas mass in HD 121617 assuming the dust arc is produced by hydrodynamical gas-dust interactions. We used the Dusty FARGO-ADSG code, modelling dust as Lagrangian particles, including radiation pressure and dust feedback, and varying the total gas mass. Simulations were compared to observations using radiative transfer. An unstable gas ring creates a size-dependent radial and azimuthal dust trap whose efficiency depends on gas mass. Two models, with 50 and 5 Earth masses of gas, reproduce both the ALMA band 7 arc and the outward offset of the VLT/SPHERE scattered-light ring via gas drag and radiation pressure. We infer a conservative gas-mass range of 2.5 to 250 Earth masses. If the ALMA asymmetry is caused by gas drag, the required gas mass compared with the observed CO implies substantial H2, consistent with primordial gas. HD 121617 would then be a hybrid disc between protoplanetary and debris stages. Since a planet could also create an arc, future observations are needed to distinguish these scenarios.

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arXiv2025

Grain growth in protoplanetary disks in the Upper Scorpius revealed by millimeter-wave spectral indices

The measurement of dust size from millimeter-wavelength spectra provides direct constraints on grain growth in protoplanetary disks. The spectral indices between 0.88 mm and 2.9 mm have been measured in multiple young star-forming regions, such as Taurus, Ophiuchus, and Lupus, which have ages of 1-3 Myr. These spectral indices are as low as 2-3, suggesting that grains in disks are much larger than those in the interstellar medium. In this study, we analyze the ALMA archival data of 23 disks in the Upper Scorpius region. The observed wavelength is 2.9 mm in Band 3, the angular resolution is 3.3 arcsec x 2.1 arcsec, which is not high enough to resolve the targets, and the rms noise is below 0.075 mJy beam$^{-1}$ for almost all sources. Together with the literature values of the Band 7 fluxes of the same targets, we find that the average spectral index of the disks in the Upper Scorpius region is $\alpha_\mathrm{mm}=2.09 \pm 0.10$, which is equal to or slightly smaller than those at the other younger regions. To explain the relationship between the fluxes and spectral indices of the disks in the Taurus, Ophiuchus, Lupus, and Upper Scorpius regions, we construct simple disk evolution models. The observations are best reproduced by models in which the inner radius of the disk increases. This suggests that a substantial amount of dust mass must persist in the outer disk regions where the dust temperature is lower than 20 K even at late evolutionary stages. These findings offer key insights into the grain growth and the temporal evolution of protoplanetary disks.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2025

Resolving the large exoKuiper belt of the HD 126062 debris disc and extended gas emission in its vicinity

Intermediate-mass stars (1-3 Msun) host some of the brightest and best-studied debris discs. This stellar class is also the most frequent host of molecular gas in systems older than typical protoplanetary disc lifetimes, and the most likely to host detected giant planets in radial-velocity surveys. The debris discs of intermediate-mass stars have therefore become fertile ground for studying disc-planet interactions. In this work, we present the first ALMA observations toward the A-type star HD 126062, located in Upper Centaurus Lupus / Lower Centaurus Crux, with the aim of characterising its debris disc. We probed the thermal continuum emission using observations at 1.3 mm, analysed through image reconstruction under different visibility-weighting regimes and parametric model fitting to the observed visibilities. The setup also covered the frequency of the 12CO(2-1) line, allowing imaging of gas near the system. We detected dust continuum emission from an exo-Kuiper belt around HD 126062. Modelled as a Gaussian ring, the visibilities are consistent with a radial separation R = 2.01'' (+0.04, -0.05), equivalent to ~270 (+5, -4) au, and a full width at half maximum DeltaR = 0.71'' +- 0.09 (95 +- 12 au). The continuum emission appears nearly face-on, with inclination <=17 deg. 12CO(2-1) emission is detected in the vicinity of the debris disc, with most of it located external to the exo-Kuiper belt. The exo-Kuiper belt characterised here is among the largest yet detected and agrees with previous predictions of the dust distribution based on spectral energy distribution fitting. The morphology and velocity offset relative to the systemic velocity suggest that the gas is not associated with the star or disc, but likely originates from a diffuse cloud in the nearby galaxy.

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arXiv2025

Observational Constraints on Evolution of Dust Disc Properties in Upper Scorpius

Protoplanetary discs in the Upper Scorpius star-forming region are excellent laboratories to investigate late stages of planet formation. In this work, we analyse the morphology of the dust continuum emission of 121 discs from an ALMA Band 7 survey of the Upper Scorpius region. This analysis is done in the visibility plane, to measure the flux, geometry and characterise potential structures. We compare the results with state-of-the art gas and dust evolution models that include external photoevaporation, with mild values of the $F_{\rm{UV}}$ of 1-40$G_0$. From the visibility analysis, 52 of the 121 discs are resolved (43%). From the resolved discs, 24 discs have structures and 28 remain as smooth discs at the mean resolution scale of $\sim$0.1$^{\prime \prime}$ (~14au). Our results show no significant dust disc size evolution of the surviving discs in UpperSco when compared to discs in younger star-forming regions, such as Lupus. We find a strong, steeper-than-previously-reported correlation between dust disc size and disc millimeter continuum luminosity, in agreement with drift-dominated dust evolution models. We also find positive correlations between the dust disc mass vs. stellar mass and dust disc size vs. stellar mass. The slope of the dust disc size vs. stellar mass relationship is steeper compared to younger star forming regions. Additionally, we observe no significant correlation between dust disc properties and the environmental $F_{\rm{UV}}$, consistent with models predicting that dust disc properties are primarily shaped by drift and dust traps. Our models predict that gas disc masses and sizes should be highly affected by the moderate $F_{\rm{UV}}$ values that Upper Scorpius discs experience in contrast to the dust, highlighting the need for deeper and higher-resolution gas observations of these discs exposed to mild external photoevaporation.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2025

Discovery of H$\alpha$ Emission from a Protoplanet Candidate Around the Young Star 2MASS J16120668-3010270 with MagAO-X

2MASS J16120668-3010270 (hereafter 2MJ1612) is a young M0 star that hosts a protoplanetary disk in the Upper Scorpious star-forming region. Recent ALMA observations of 2MJ1612 show a mildly inclined disk ($i$=37$^\circ$) with a large dust-depleted gap (R$_\text{cav}\approx$0.4" or 53 au). We present high-contrast H$\alpha$ observations from MagAO-X on the 6.5m Magellan Telescope and new high resolution sub-mm dust continuum observations with ALMA of 2MJ1612. On both 2025 April 13 and 16, we recovered a point source with H$\alpha$ excess with SNR $\gtrsim$5 within the disk gap in our MagAO-X Angular and Spectral Differential (ASDI) images at a separation of 141.96$\pm$2.10 mas (23.45$\pm$0.29 au deprojected) from the star and position angle (PA)= 159.00$\pm$0.55$^\circ$. Furthermore, this H$\alpha$ source is within close proximity to a K band point source in SPHERE/IRDIS observation taken on 2023 July 21 \citep{sphere2025sub}. The astrometric offset between the K band and H$\alpha$ source can be explained by orbital motion of a bound companion. Thus our observations can be best explained by the discovery of an accreting protoplanet, 2MJ1612 b, with an estimated mass of 4$M_\text{Jup}$ and H$\alpha$ line flux ranging from (29.7 $\pm$7.5)$\times$10$^{-16}$ ergs/s/cm$^2$ to (8.2$\pm$3.4)$\times$10$^{-16}$ ergs/s/cm$^2$. 2MJ1612 b is likely the third example of an accreting H$\alpha$ protoplanet responsible for carving the gap in its host disk, joining PDS 70b and c. Further study is necessary to confirm and characterize this protoplanet candidate and to identify any additional protoplanets that may also play a role in shaping the gap.

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arXiv2025

A young gas giant and hidden substructures in a protoplanetary disk

The detection of planets in protoplanetary disks has proven to be extremely challenging. In contrast, rings and gaps, usually attributed to planet-disk interactions, have been found in virtually every large protoplanetary (Class II) disk observed at 0.9-1.3 mm with sufficient spatial resolution (5 au). The nearby disk around MP Mus (PDS 66) stands as an exception to this rule, and its advanced age (7-10 Myr) is particularly difficult to reconcile with its apparent lack of substructures. Despite the disk's smooth appearance, Gaia data of MP Mus show a significant proper motion anomaly, signalling the presence of a companion. Here we present ALMA 3 mm observations of the system with comparable high spatial resolution to previous 1.3 mm data. The new observations pierce deeper into the disk midplane and reveal an inner cavity (<3 au) and a ring at 10 au. The disk structure inferred from ALMA observations narrows down the properties of the companion to a gas giant orbiting at 1-3 au, and hydrodynamic simulations further confirm that such a planet can produce the observed cavity. These independent pieces of evidence constitute an indirect but compelling detection of an exoplanet within a protoplanetary disk using Gaia astrometry. MP Mus is the first system in which undetected substructures are revealed thanks to the lower optical depths at longer wavelengths, suggesting that rings and gaps are even more abundant than what is currently believed.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2025

Leaky dust trap in the PDS 70 disk revealed by ALMA Band 9 observations

We present new observations of the PDS 70 disc obtained with the Atacama Large Millimeter/sub-millimeter Array (ALMA) in Band 9 (671 GHz) at 0.242$^{\prime\prime}$ resolution, which provide valuable insights into the spatial distribution of sub-millimetre grains in the disc. The data reveal a ring-like morphology, with a radial peak located between those previously observed at infrared wavelengths and longer millimetre observations. Additionally, we detect a tentative outer shoulder in Band 9 that is not observed at longer wavelengths. These findings suggest that small grains ($\sim 100 \mu$m) traced by Band 9 may be escaping from the pressure bump both radially inwards and outwards, or may be tracing different disc layers than those probed at longer wavelengths. A multi-wavelength analysis of the disc at millimetre wavelengths and the best fit to the spectral energy distribution shows the presence of centimetre grains around the ring location, where the dust surface density also peaks, compatible with dust trap models. The grain size in the disc cavity is not well constrained but is consistent with grains as small as 10 $\mu$m, supporting the hypothesis that small dust grain filters through the cavity. We use dust evolution models to demonstrate that a turbulent viscosity of $\alpha \gtrsim 10^{-3}$ allows small grains to filter through the disc gap, while $\alpha \lesssim 5 \times 10^{-3}$ is required to retain large grains in the pressure bump. The Band 9 observations of PDS 70 validate theoretical models and confirm the presence of pebble flux through the disc gap.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2025

The ALMA Survey of Gas Evolution of PROtoplanetary Disks (AGE-PRO): II. Dust and Gas Disk Properties in the Ophiuchus Star-forming Region

The ALMA survey of Gas Evolution in PROtoplanetary disks (AGE-PRO) Large Program aims to trace the evolution of gas disk mass and size throughout the lifetime of protoplanetary disks. This paper presents Band-6 ALMA observations of 10 embedded (Class I and Flat Spectrum) sources in the Ophiuchus molecular cloud, with spectral types ranging from M3 to K6 stars, which serve as the evolutionary starting point in the AGE-PRO sample. While we find 4 nearly edge on disks (>70 deg.), and 3 highly inclined disks (>60 deg.) in our sample, we show that, as a population, embedded disks in Ophiuchus are not significantly contaminated by more evolved, but highly inclined sources. We derived dust disk masses from the Band 6 continuum and estimated gas disk masses from the C18O and C17O lines. The mass estimates from the C17O line are slightly higher, suggesting C18O emission might be partially optically thick. While the 12CO and 13CO lines are severely contaminated by extended emission and self-absorption, the C18O and C17O lines allowed us to trace the radial extent of the gaseous disks. From these measurements, we found that the C18O and C17O fluxes correlate well with each other and with the continuum fluxes. Furthermore, the C18O and C17O lines present a larger radial extension than disk dust sizes by factors ranging from 1.5 to 2.5, as it is found for Class II disks using the radial extension of the 12CO. In addition, we have detected outflows in three disks from 12CO observations.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2025

The ALMA Survey of Gas Evolution of PROtoplanetary Disks (AGE-PRO): V. Protoplanetary gas disk masses

The evolution of the gas mass of planet-forming disks around young stars is crucial for our understanding of planet formation, yet it has proven hard to constrain observationally, due both to the difficulties of measuring gas masses and the lack of a homogeneous sample. Here we present a large grid of thermochemical models which we use to measure protoplanetary gas disk masses of AGE-PRO, the ALMA survey of Gas Evolution in PROtoplanetary disks. AGE-PRO covers a sample of 30 disks around similar spectral type (M3-K6) stars with ages between 0.1 and 10 Myr. Our approach is to simultaneously fit observations of CO isotopologues and N2H+, a complementary molecule produced when CO freezes out. We find that the median gas mass of the three regions decreases over time, from 7.0(+4.4,-2.6)x10^-3 Msun in Ophiuchus (<1 Myr) to 9.4(+5.4,-3.4)x10^-4 Msun for Lupus (~1-3 Myr) and 6.8(+5.1,-2.8)x10^-4 Msun for Upper Sco (~2-6 Myr), with ~1 dex scatter in gas mass in each region. We note that the gas mass distributions for Lupus and Upper Sco look very similar, which could be due to survivorship bias for the latter. The median bulk CO abundance in the CO emitting layer is found to be a factor ~10 lower than the ISM value but does not significantly change between Lupus and Upper Sco. From Lupus to Upper Sco the median gas-to-dust mass ratio increases by a factor ~3 from ~40 to ~120, suggesting efficient inward pebble drift and/or the formation of planetesimals.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2025

The ALMA Survey of Gas Evolution of PROtoplanetary Disks (AGE-PRO): VII. Testing accretion mechanisms from disk population synthesis

The architecture of planetary systems depends on the evolution of the disks in which they form. In this work, we develop a population synthesis approach to interpret the AGE-PRO measurements of disk gas mass and size considering two scenarios: turbulence-driven evolution with photoevaporative winds and MHD disk-wind-driven evolution. A systematic method is proposed to constrain the distribution of disk parameters from the disk fractions, accretion rates, disk gas masses, and CO gas sizes. We find that turbulence-driven accretion with initially compact disks ($R_0 \simeq 5-20~$au), low mass-loss rates, and relatively long viscous timescales ($t_{\nu,0} \simeq 0.4-3~$Myr or $\alpha_{SS} \simeq 2-4 \times 10^{-4}$) can reproduce the disk fraction and gas sizes. However, the distribution of apparent disk lifetime defined as the $M_D/\dot{M}_*$ ratio is severely overestimated by turbulence-driven models. On the other hand, MHD wind-driven accretion can reproduce the bulk properties of the disk populations from Ophiuchus to Upper Sco assuming compact disks with an initial magnetization of about $\beta \simeq 10^5$ ($\alpha_{DW} \simeq 0.5-1 \times 10^{-3}$) and a magnetic field that declines with time. More studies are needed to confirm the low masses found by AGE-PRO, notably for compact disks that question turbulence-driven accretion. The constrained synthetic disk populations can now be used for realistic planet population models to interpret the properties of planetary systems on a statistical basis.

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