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Jonathan Lenoir

Publications and source records attributed to Jonathan Lenoir.

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Multi-scale species richness estimation with deep learning

Biodiversity assessments depend critically on the spatial scale at which species richness is measured. How species richness accumulates with sampling area is influenced by natural and anthropogenic processes whose effects vary across spatial scales. These accumulation dynamics, described by the species-area relationship (SAR), are challenging to assess because most biodiversity surveys cover sampling areas far smaller than the scales at which these processes operate. Here, we combine sampling theory with deep learning to estimate species richness at arbitrary spatial scales across geographic space from existing ecological surveys. We apply our model, named MuScaRi, to ~350k vegetation surveys across Europe. Validated against independent regional plant inventories, MuScaRi reduces root mean squared error of vascular plant richness estimates by 61% relative to conventional estimators, yields substantially less biased predictions, and produces multi-scale richness maps alongside spatially explicit estimates of the species accumulation rate, a key indicator for biodiversity conservation. By encompassing the full spectrum of ecologically relevant spatial scales within a single unified framework, MuScaRi provides an essential tool for robust biodiversity assessments and forecasts under global change.

q-bio.PE

EUNIS Habitat Maps: Enhancing Thematic and Spatial Resolution for Europe through Machine Learning

The EUNIS habitat classification is crucial for categorising European habitats, supporting European policy on nature conservation and implementing the Nature Restoration Law. To meet the growing demand for detailed and accurate habitat information, we provide spatial predictions for 260 EUNIS habitat types at hierarchical level 3, together with independent validation and uncertainty analyses. Using ensemble machine learning models, together with high-resolution satellite imagery and ecologically meaningful climatic, topographic and edaphic variables, we produced a European habitat map indicating the most probable EUNIS habitat at 100-m resolution across Europe. Additionally, we provide information on prediction uncertainty and the most probable habitats at level 3 within each EUNIS level 1 formation. This product is particularly useful for both conservation and restoration purposes. Predictions were cross-validated at European scale using a spatial block cross-validation and evaluated against independent data from France (forests only), the Netherlands and Austria. The habitat maps obtained strong predictive performances on the validation datasets with distinct trade-offs in terms of recall and precision across habitat formations.

stat.AP