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Joon Jin Song

Publications and source records attributed to Joon Jin Song.

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Modeling Misclassification in Spousal Violence Reporting: Evidence from Bayesian Quantile Regression

Quantile regression extends regression analysis beyond the conditional mean, providing a richer characterization of covariate effects across the outcome distribution. For sensitive binary outcomes, however, misclassification due to underreporting can substantially bias inference. We propose a Bayesian quantile regression framework for misclassified binary outcomes that introduces a latent true response and explicitly models false negative and false positive reporting errors. Estimation is performed through a novel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. Simulation studies under varying prior specifications and misclassification rates demonstrate improved performance over models that ignore misclassification. We apply the method to self-reported spousal violence data, examining associations with employment status and household wealth while adjusting for socio-demographic factors. The results indicate that underreporting exceeds overreporting across quantiles and that accounting for misclassification can change substantive conclusions.

stat.ME

Deep Probabilistic Spatial Modeling for Multivariate Mixed-Type Responses

Many scientific applications involve mixed spatially indexed outcomes of heterogeneous types that are driven by shared latent mechanisms. Modeling such data is challenging due to complex, nonlinear, and potentially nonstationary spatial dependence, as well as the need for coherent joint inference across mixed outcome distributions. Existing multivariate mixed outcome models often rely on restrictive linear assumptions, while recent deep learning approaches emphasize predictive flexibility but typically lack coherent joint modeling and uncertainty quantification for spatial data. We develop MultiDeepGP, a scalable and statistically principled framework for joint modeling of multivariate mixed outcomes in spatial settings. The proposed approach introduces a shared latent spatial component that governs cross-outcome dependence while allowing outcome-specific distributions. Spatial dependence and nonlinear structure are captured through a deep latent representation, and uncertainty quantification is enabled via an efficient Monte Carlo-based inference strategy. This construction balances modeling flexibility with probabilistic interpretability and computational feasibility. The proposed method is evaluated through simulation studies designed to reflect key challenges in mixed outcome spatial modeling, as well as an application to georeferenced environmental and public health data from the African Great Lakes region. The results demonstrate that the proposed framework provides accurate joint prediction and reliable uncertainty quantification in complex spatial settings.

stat.ME

Fine-scale spatiotemporal air pollution analysis using mobile monitors on Google Street View vehicles

People are increasingly concerned with understanding their personal environment, including possible exposure to harmful air pollutants. In order to make informed decisions on their day-to-day activities, they are interested in real-time information on a localized scale. Publicly available, fine-scale, high-quality air pollution measurements acquired using mobile monitors represent a paradigm shift in measurement technologies. A methodological framework utilizing these increasingly fine-scale measurements to provide real-time air pollution maps and short-term air quality forecasts on a fine-resolution spatial scale could prove to be instrumental in increasing public awareness and understanding. The Google Street View study provides a unique source of data with spatial and temporal complexities, with the potential to provide information about commuter exposure and hot spots within city streets with high traffic. We develop a computationally efficient spatiotemporal model for these data and use the model to make short-term forecasts and high-resolution maps of current air pollution levels. We also show via an experiment that mobile networks can provide more nuanced information than an equally-sized fixed-location network. This modeling framework has important real-world implications in understanding citizens' personal environments, as data production and real-time availability continue to be driven by the ongoing development and improvement of mobile measurement technologies.

stat.AP