arXiv subjects

Joost-Pieter Katoen

Publications and source records attributed to Joost-Pieter Katoen.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

Certificates for Probabilistic Pushdown Automata via Optimistic Value Iteration

Probabilistic pushdown automata (pPDA) are a standard model for discrete probabilistic programs with procedures and recursion. In pPDA, many quantitative properties are characterized as least fixpoints of polynomial equation systems. In this paper, we study the problem of certifying that these quantities lie within certain bounds. To this end, we first characterize the polynomial systems that admit easy-to-check certificates for validating bounds on their least fixpoint. Second, we present a sound and complete Optimistic Value Iteration algorithm for computing such certificates. Third, we show how certificates for polynomial systems can be transferred to certificates for various quantitative pPDA properties. Experiments demonstrate that our algorithm computes succinct certificates for several intricate example programs as well as stochastic context-free grammars with $> 10^4$ production rules.

cs.FL↗

arXiv2023

Lower Bounds for Possibly Divergent Probabilistic Programs

We present a new proof rule for verifying lower bounds on quantities of probabilistic programs. Our proof rule is not confined to almost-surely terminating programs -- as is the case for existing rules -- and can be used to establish non-trivial lower bounds on, e.g., termination probabilities and expected values, for possibly divergent probabilistic loops, e.g., the well-known three-dimensional random walk on a lattice.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2023

Exact Probabilistic Inference Using Generating Functions

Probabilistic programs are typically normal-looking programs describing posterior probability distributions. They intrinsically code up randomized algorithms and have long been at the heart of modern machine learning and approximate computing. We explore the theory of generating functions [19] and investigate its usage in the exact quantitative reasoning of probabilistic programs. Important topics include the exact representation of program semantics [13], proving exact program equivalence [5], and -- as our main focus in this extended abstract -- exact probabilistic inference. In probabilistic programming, inference aims to derive a program's posterior distribution. In contrast to approximate inference, inferring exact distributions comes with several benefits [8], e.g., no loss of precision, natural support for symbolic parameters, and efficiency on models with certain structures. Exact probabilistic inference, however, is a notoriously hard task [6,12,17,18]. The challenges mainly arise from three program constructs: (1) unbounded while-loops and/or recursion, (2) infinite-support distributions, and (3) conditioning (via posterior observations). We present our ongoing research in addressing these challenges (with a focus on conditioning) leveraging generating functions and show their potential in facilitating exact probabilistic inference for discrete probabilistic programs.

cs.PL↗

arXiv2023

Probabilistic Program Verification via Inductive Synthesis of Inductive Invariants

Essential tasks for the verification of probabilistic programs include bounding expected outcomes and proving termination in finite expected runtime. We contribute a simple yet effective inductive synthesis approach for proving such quantitative reachability properties by generating inductive invariants on source-code level. Our implementation shows promise: It finds invariants for (in)finite-state programs, can beat state-of-the-art probabilistic model checkers, and is competitive with modern tools dedicated to invariant synthesis and expected runtime reasoning.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2022

A Calculus for Amortized Expected Runtimes

We develop a weakest-precondition-style calculus à la Dijkstra for reasoning about amortized expected runtimes of randomized algorithms with access to dynamic memory - the $\textsf{aert}$ calculus. Our calculus is truly quantitative, i.e. instead of Boolean valued predicates, it manipulates real-valued functions. En route to the $\textsf{aert}$ calculus, we study the $\textsf{ert}$ calculus for reasoning about expected runtimes of Kaminski et al. [2018] extended by capabilities for handling dynamic memory, thus enabling compositional and local reasoning about randomized data structures. This extension employs runtime separation logic, which has been foreshadowed by Matheja [2020] and then implemented in Isabelle/HOL by Haslbeck [2021]. In addition to Haslbeck's results, we further prove soundness of the so-extended $\textsf{ert}$ calculus with respect to an operational Markov decision process model featuring countably-branching nondeterminism, provide intuitive explanations, and provide proof rules enabling separation logic-style verification for upper bounds on expected runtimes. Finally, we build the so-called potential method for amortized analysis into the $\textsf{ert}$ calculus, thus obtaining the $\textsf{aert}$ calculus. Since one needs to be able to handle changes in potential which can be negative, the $\textsf{aert}$ calculus needs to be capable of handling signed random variables. A particularly pleasing feature of our solution is that, unlike e.g. Kozen [1985], we obtain a loop rule for our signed random variables, and furthermore, unlike e.g. Kaminski and Katoen [2017], the $\textsf{aert}$ calculus makes do without the need for involved technical machinery keeping track of the integrability of the random variables. Finally, we present case studies, including a formal analysis of a randomized delete-insert-find-any set data structure [Brodal et al. 1996].

cs.LO↗

arXiv2022

Encoding inductive invariants as barrier certificates: synthesis via difference-of-convex programming

A barrier certificate often serves as an inductive invariant that isolates an unsafe region from the reachable set of states, and hence is widely used in proving safety of hybrid systems possibly over an infinite time horizon. We present a novel condition on barrier certificates, termed the invariant barrier-certificate condition, that witnesses unbounded-time safety of differential dynamical systems. The proposed condition is the weakest possible one to attain inductive invariance. We show that discharging the invariant barrier-certificate condition -- thereby synthesizing invariant barrier certificates -- can be encoded as solving an optimization problem subject to bilinear matrix inequalities (BMIs). We further propose a synthesis algorithm based on difference-of-convex programming, which approaches a local optimum of the BMI problem via solving a series of convex optimization problems. This algorithm is incorporated in a branch-and-bound framework that searches for the global optimum in a divide-and-conquer fashion. We present a weak completeness result of our method, namely, a barrier certificate is guaranteed to be found (under some mild assumptions) whenever there exists an inductive invariant (in the form of a given template) that suffices to certify safety of the system. Experimental results on benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of our approach.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2022

Fine-Tuning the Odds in Bayesian Networks

This paper proposes various new analysis techniques for Bayes networks in which conditional probability tables (CPTs) may contain symbolic variables. The key idea is to exploit scalable and powerful techniques for synthesis problems in parametric Markov chains. Our techniques are applicable to arbitrarily many, possibly dependent parameters that may occur in various CPTs. This lifts the severe restrictions on parameters, e.g., by restricting the number of parametrized CPTs to one or two, or by avoiding parameter dependencies between several CPTs, in existing works for parametric Bayes networks (pBNs). We describe how our techniques can be used for various pBN synthesis problems studied in the literature such as computing sensitivity functions (and values), simple and difference parameter tuning, ratio parameter tuning, and minimal change tuning. Experiments on several benchmarks show that our prototypical tool built on top of the probabilistic model checker Storm can handle several hundreds of parameters.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2022

Parameter Synthesis in Markov Models: A Gentle Survey

This paper surveys the analysis of parametric Markov models whose transitions are labelled with functions over a finite set of parameters. These models are symbolic representations of uncountable many concrete probabilistic models, each obtained by instantiating the parameters. We consider various analysis problems for a given logical specification $φ$: do all parameter instantiations within a given region of parameter values satisfy $φ$?, which instantiations satisfy $φ$ and which ones do not?, and how can all such instantiations be characterised, either exactly or approximately? We address theoretical complexity results and describe the main ideas underlying state-of-the-art algorithms that established an impressive leap over the last decade enabling the fully automated analysis of models with millions of states and thousands of parameters.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2022

Scenario-Based Verification of Uncertain Parametric MDPs

We consider parametric Markov decision processes (pMDPs) that are augmented with unknown probability distributions over parameter values. The problem is to compute the probability to satisfy a temporal logic specification with any concrete MDP that corresponds to a sample from these distributions. As solving this problem precisely is infeasible, we resort to sampling techniques that exploit the so-called scenario approach. Based on a finite number of samples of the parameters, the proposed method yields high-confidence bounds on the probability of satisfying the specification. The number of samples required to obtain a high confidence on these bounds is independent of the number of states and the number of random parameters. Experiments on a large set of benchmarks show that several thousand samples suffice to obtain tight and high-confidence lower and upper bounds on the satisfaction probability.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2022

Does a Program Yield the Right Distribution? Verifying Probabilistic Programs via Generating Functions

We study discrete probabilistic programs with potentially unbounded looping behaviors over an infinite state space. We present, to the best of our knowledge, the first decidability result for the problem of determining whether such a program generates exactly a specified distribution over its outputs (provided the program terminates almost surely). The class of distributions that can be specified in our formalism consists of standard distributions (geometric, uniform, etc.) and finite convolutions thereof. Our method relies on representing these (possibly infinite-support) distributions as probability generating functions which admit effective arithmetic operations. We have automated our techniques in a tool called prodigy, which supports automatic invariance checking, compositional reasoning of nested loops, and efficient queries on various quantities of to the output distribution, as demonstrated by experiments.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2022

Weighted Programming

We study weighted programming, a programming paradigm for specifying mathematical models. More specifically, the weighted programs we investigate are like usual imperative programs with two additional features: (1) nondeterministic branching and (2) weighting execution traces. Weights can be numbers but also other objects like words from an alphabet, polynomials, formal power series, or cardinal numbers. We argue that weighted programming as a paradigm can be used to specify mathematical models beyond probability distributions (as is done in probabilistic programming). We develop weakest-precondition- and weakest-liberal-precondition-style calculi à la Dijkstra for reasoning about mathematical models specified by weighted programs. We present several case studies. For instance, we use weighted programming to model the ski rental problem - an optimization problem. We model not only the optimization problem itself, but also the best deterministic online algorithm for solving this problem as weighted programs. By means of weakest-precondition-style reasoning, we can determine the competitive ratio of the online algorithm on source code level.

cs.PL↗

arXiv2022

BDDs Strike Back: Efficient Analysis of Static and Dynamic Fault Trees

Fault trees are a key model in reliability analysis. Classical static fault trees (SFT) can best be analysed using binary decision diagrams (BDD). State-based techniques are favorable for the more expressive dynamic fault trees (DFT). This paper combines the best of both worlds by following Dugan's approach: dynamic sub-trees are analysed via model checking Markov models and replaced by basic events capturing the obtained failure probabilities. The resulting SFT is then analysed via BDDs. We implemented this approach in the Storm model checker. Extensive experiments (a) compare our pure BDD-based analysis of SFTs to various existing SFT analysis tools, (b) indicate the benefits of our efficient calculations for multiple time points and the assessment of the mean-time-to-failure, and (c) show that our implementation of Dugan's approach significantly outperforms pure Markovian analysis of DFTs. Our implementation Storm-dft is currently the only tool supporting efficient analysis for both SFTs and DFTs.

cs.SE↗

arXiv2022

Inductive Synthesis of Finite-State Controllers for POMDPs

We present a novel learning framework to obtain finite-state controllers (FSCs) for partially observable Markov decision processes and illustrate its applicability for indefinite-horizon specifications. Our framework builds on oracle-guided inductive synthesis to explore a design space compactly representing available FSCs. The inductive synthesis approach consists of two stages: The outer stage determines the design space, i.e., the set of FSC candidates, while the inner stage efficiently explores the design space. This framework is easily generalisable and shows promising results when compared to existing approaches. Experiments indicate that our technique is (i) competitive to state-of-the-art belief-based approaches for indefinite-horizon properties, (ii) yields smaller FSCs than existing methods for several models, and (iii) naturally treats multi-objective specifications.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2022

Reasoning about Reconfigurations of Distributed Systems

This paper presents a Hoare-style calculus for formal reasoning about reconfiguration programs of distributed systems. Such programs create and delete components and/or interactions (connectors) while the system components change state according to their internal behaviour. Our proof calculus uses a resource logic, in the spirit of Separation Logic, to give local specifications of reconfiguration actions. Moreover, distributed systems with an unbounded number of components are described using inductively defined predicates. The correctness of reconfiguration programs relies on havoc invariants, that are assertions about the ongoing interactions in a part of the system that is not affected by the structural change caused by the reconfiguration. We present a proof system for such invariants in an assume/rely-guarantee style. We illustrate the feasibility of our approach by proving the correctness of real-life distributed systems with reconfigurable (self-adjustable) tree architectures.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2022

Generative Datalog with Continuous Distributions

Arguing for the need to combine declarative and probabilistic programming, Bárány et al. (TODS 2017) recently introduced a probabilistic extension of Datalog as a "purely declarative probabilistic programming language." We revisit this language and propose a more principled approach towards defining its semantics based on stochastic kernels and Markov processes - standard notions from probability theory. This allows us to extend the semantics to continuous probability distributions, thereby settling an open problem posed by Bárány et al. We show that our semantics is fairly robust, allowing both parallel execution and arbitrary chase orders when evaluating a program. We cast our semantics in the framework of infinite probabilistic databases (Grohe and Lindner, ICDT 2020), and show that the semantics remains meaningful even when the input of a probabilistic Datalog program is an arbitrary probabilistic database.

cs.DB↗

arXiv2022

Relatively Complete Verification of Probabilistic Programs

We study a syntax for specifying quantitative "assertions" - functions mapping program states to numbers - for probabilistic program verification. We prove that our syntax is expressive in the following sense: Given any probabilistic program $C$, if a function $f$ is expressible in our syntax, then the function mapping each initial state $σ$ to the expected value of $f$ evaluated in the final states reached after termination of $C$ on $σ$ (also called the weakest preexpectation $\textit{wp} [C](f)$) is also expressible in our syntax. As a consequence, we obtain a relatively complete verification system for reasoning about expected values and probabilities in the sense of Cook: Apart from proving a single inequality between two functions given by syntactic expressions in our language, given $f$, $g$, and $C$, we can check whether $g \preceq \textit{wp} [C] (f)$.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2022

Foundations for Entailment Checking in Quantitative Separation Logic (extended version)

Quantitative separation logic (QSL) is an extension of separation logic (SL) for the verification of probabilistic pointer programs. In QSL, formulae evaluate to real numbers instead of truth values, e.g., the probability of memory-safe termination in a given symbolic heap. As with \SL, one of the key problems when reasoning with QSL is \emph{entailment}: does a formula f entail another formula g? We give a generic reduction from entailment checking in QSL to entailment checking in SL. This allows to leverage the large body of SL research for the automated verification of probabilistic pointer programs. We analyze the complexity of our approach and demonstrate its applicability. In particular, we obtain the first decidability results for the verification of such programs by applying our reduction to a quantitative extension of the well-known symbolic-heap fragment of separation logic.

cs.LO↗

arXiv2022

Under-Approximating Expected Total Rewards in POMDPs

We consider the problem: is the optimal expected total reward to reach a goal state in a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) below a given threshold? We tackle this -- generally undecidable -- problem by computing under-approximations on these total expected rewards. This is done by abstracting finite unfoldings of the infinite belief MDP of the POMDP. The key issue is to find a suitable under-approximation of the value function. We provide two techniques: a simple (cut-off) technique that uses a good policy on the POMDP, and a more advanced technique (belief clipping) that uses minimal shifts of probabilities between beliefs. We use mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) to find such minimal probability shifts and experimentally show that our techniques scale quite well while providing tight lower bounds on the expected total reward.

cs.AI↗