Searcharxiv⌕ Search

arXiv subjects

Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato

Publications and source records attributed to Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Faster Relative Entropy Coding with Greedy Rejection Coding

Relative entropy coding (REC) algorithms encode a sample from a target distribution $Q$ using a proposal distribution $P$ using as few bits as possible. Unlike entropy coding, REC does not assume discrete distributions or require quantisation. As such, it can be naturally integrated into communication pipelines such as learnt compression and differentially private federated learning. Unfortunately, despite their practical benefits, REC algorithms have not seen widespread application, due to their prohibitively slow runtimes or restrictive assumptions. In this paper, we make progress towards addressing these issues. We introduce Greedy Rejection Coding (GRC), which generalises the rejection based-algorithm of Harsha et al. (2007) to arbitrary probability spaces and partitioning schemes. We first show that GRC terminates almost surely and returns unbiased samples from $Q$, after which we focus on two of its variants: GRCS and GRCD. We show that for continuous $Q$ and $P$ over $\mathbb{R}$ with unimodal density ratio $dQ/dP$, the expected runtime of GRCS is upper bounded by $βD_{KL}[Q || P] + O(1)$ where $β\approx 4.82$, and its expected codelength is optimal. This makes GRCS the first REC algorithm with guaranteed optimal runtime for this class of distributions, up to the multiplicative constant $β$. This significantly improves upon the previous state-of-the-art method, A* coding (Flamich et al., 2022). Under the same assumptions, we experimentally observe and conjecture that the expected runtime and codelength of GRCD are upper bounded by $D_{KL}[Q || P] + O(1)$. Finally, we evaluate GRC in a variational autoencoder-based compression pipeline on MNIST, and show that a modified ELBO and an index-compression method can further improve compression efficiency.

cs.IT↗

Gaussian Process Volatility Model

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function parameters are usually learned using maximum likelihood, which can lead to overfitting. To address these problems we introduce a novel model for time-changing variances using Gaussian Processes. A Gaussian Process (GP) defines a distribution over functions, which allows us to capture highly flexible functional relationships for the variances. In addition, we develop an online algorithm to perform inference. The algorithm has two main advantages. First, it takes a Bayesian approach, thereby avoiding overfitting. Second, it is much quicker than current offline inference procedures. Finally, our new model was evaluated on financial data and showed significant improvement in predictive performance over current standard models.

stat.ME↗