Anthropogenic disturbance expands the climatic limits of annual plant dominance
Disturbance regimes and nutrient inputs are changing worldwide, with consequences for the structure and functioning of plant communities. Classical life-history theory predicts that disturbance should shift communities from long-lived perennials toward short-lived annuals, and that nutrient enrichment may amplify this shift. However, these predictions have not been tested experimentally across broad environmental gradients. Here, using a global coordinated grassland experiment spanning 37 sites, we tested how physical disturbance, vegetation removal and shallow soil tillage, and fertilisation reshape annual-perennial balance, and whether disturbance relaxes the climatic limits of annual dominance. Disturbance nearly doubled the proportion of annual species and more than doubled the relative cover of annuals, whereas fertilisation had little influence and did not interact with disturbance. The disturbance-driven shift arose through contrasting pathways: in graminoids and legumes, it reflected the loss of perennial cover, while in forbs, the expansion of annual cover. In the absence of disturbance, annual dominance was restricted to systems with extremely hot and dry summers, but disturbance nearly tripled the extent of climate space in which annuals dominated. By rapidly reassembling after disturbance, annuals may help maintain vegetation cover, but their expansion also signals loss of perennial cover and the long-term ecosystem functions associated with it.