Joseph Haimberg | Searcharxiv

arXiv2021

Predicting CEO Compensation in Non-Controlled Public Corporations with the Canonical Regression Quantile Method

The use of the Canonical Regression Quantiles Index proved that non-controlled companies that engage in long-term operational and financial goals post superior future performance. The Index indicates that current CEO compensation influences future performance. The Index provides a method for determining CEO pay for the next 1-2 year and is a useful method to distinguish over/underpaid CEOs as an unbiased alternative to the peer groups comparison used by most compensation consultants. This determination is statistically weak, but future research using the Canonical Regression Quantiles with a larger data set may lead to increased sensitivity and a powerful unbiased method for replacing compensation consultants who are responsible for the decoupling of CEO compensation and corporate performance.

q-fin.ST↗

arXiv2020

Canonical Regression Quantiles with application to CEO compensation and predicting company performance

In using multiple regression methods for prediction, one often considers the linear combination of explanatory variables as an index. Seeking a single such index when here are multiple responses is rather more complicated. One classical approach is to use the coefficients from the leading canonical correlation. However, methods based on variances are unable to disaggregate responses by quantile effects, lack robustness, and rely on normal assumptions for inference. We develop here an alternative regression quantile approach and apply it to an empirical study of the performance of large publicly held companies and CEO compensation. The initial results are very promising.

stat.ME↗