arXiv subjects

Joshua Habiger

Publications and source records attributed to Joshua Habiger.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Sensitivity Analysis for False Discovery Rate Estimation with Published p-Values

There is recent interest in estimating the false discovery rate (FDR) with published p-values. However, there is little formal research that addresses the manner and extent to which the presumed selection, or publication, bias model impacts the bias and variance of FDR estimators. This manuscript provides general and closed-form expressions for the bias and variance of an established FDR estimator when the publication bias model (p<0.05) may or may not be correct. Expressions reveal that FDR estimates could be conservative or liberal, depending on how well a $p<0.05$ publication rule approximates the true selection mechanism. Analysis of a well-studied large-scale replication project in psychology, where selection model parameters are estimable, suggests that bias expressions are accurate in practice. Another well-studied collection of p-values mined from medical journal abstracts is used to illustrate how provided closed-form expressions may facilitate a simple sensitivity analysis when the goal is FDR estimation using selected p-values with unknown selection mechanism.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

Minimally Discrete and Minimally Randomized p-Values

In meta analysis, multiple hypothesis testing and many other methods, p-values are utilized as inputs and assumed to be uniformly distributed over the unit interval under the null hypotheses. If data used to generate p-values have discrete distributions then either natural, mid- or randomized p-values are typically utilized. Natural and mid-p-values can allow for valid, albeit conservative, downstream methods since under the null hypothesis they are dominated by uniform distributions in the stochastic and convex order, respectively. Randomized p-values need not lead to conservative procedures since they permit a uniform distributions under the null hypotheses through the generation of independent auxiliary variates. However, the auxiliary variates necessarily add variation to procedures. This manuscript introduces and studies ``minimally discrete'' (MD) natural p-values, MD mid-p-values and ``minimally randomized'' (MR) p-values. It is shown that MD p-values dominate their non-MD counterparts in the stochastic and convex order, and hence lead to less conservative, yet still valid, downstream methods. Likewise, MR p-values dominate their non-MR counterparts in that they are still uniformly distributed under the null hypotheses, but the added variation attributable to the independently generated auxiliary variate is smaller. It is anticipated that results here will facilitate the construction of new meta-analysis and multiple testing methods via more efficient p-value construction, and facilitate theoretical study of existing and new methods by establishing gold standards for addressing the unavoidable detrimental ``discreteness effect''.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2023

False Discovery Rate Control for Lesion-Symptom Mapping with Heterogeneous data via Weighted P-values

Lesion-symptom mapping studies provide insight into what areas of the brain are involved in different aspects of cognition. This is commonly done via behavioral testing in patients with a naturally occurring brain injury or lesions (e.g., strokes or brain tumors). This results in high-dimensional observational data where lesion status (present/absent) is non-uniformly distributed with some voxels having lesions in very few (or no) subjects. In this situation, mass univariate hypothesis tests have severe power heterogeneity where many tests are known a priori to have little to no power. Recent advancements in multiple testing methodologies allow researchers to weigh hypotheses according to side-information (e.g., information on power heterogeneity). In this paper, we propose the use of p-value weighting for voxel-based lesion-symptom mapping (VLSM) studies. The weights are created using the distribution of lesion status and spatial information to estimate different non-null prior probabilities for each hypothesis test through some common approaches. We provide a monotone minimum weight criterion which requires minimum a priori power information. Our methods are demonstrated on dependent simulated data and an aphasia study investigating which regions of the brain are associated with the severity of language impairment among stroke survivors. The results demonstrate that the proposed methods have robust error control and can increase power. Further, we showcase how weights can be used to identify regions that are inconclusive due to lack of power.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2015

Multiple Testing with Heterogeneous Multinomial Distributions

False discovery rate (FDR) procedures provide misleading inference when testing multiple null hypotheses with heterogeneous multinomial data. For example, in the motivating study the goal is to identify species of bacteria near the roots of wheat plants (rhizobacteria) that are associated with productivity, but standard procedures discover the most abundant species even when the association is weak or negligible, and fail to discover strong associations when species are not abundant. Consequently, a list of abundant species is produced by the multiple testing procedure even though the goal was to provide a list of producitivity-associated species. This paper provides an FDR method based on a mixture of multinomial distributions and shows that it tends to discover more non-negligible effects and fewer negligible effects when the data are heterogeneous across tests. The proposed method and competing methods are applied to the motivating data. The new method identifies more species that are strongly associated with productivity and identifies fewer species that are weakly associated with productivity.

stat.ME↗