arXiv subjects

Joshua W. Foster

Publications and source records attributed to Joshua W. Foster.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Re-examining the sensitivity of JWST to decaying axion dark matter

An eV-scale QCD axion comprising the observed dark matter (DM) abundance is expected to generate a photon line at infrared energies that would be observable or near-observable in data collected by the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), as might more general axion-like particles (ALPs) over a broader range of masses and couplings. This has motivated a number of efforts to either forecast JWST sensitivities to a QCD axion or realize them through analyses of publicly available datasets. At present, no consensus exists; leading analyses disagree by as much as an order of magnitude in terms of axion-coupling sensitivity, implying an orders-of-magnitude discrepancy in raw flux density sensitivity, and consistency between the analyses and prior forecasts is unclear. We address these outstanding discrepancies with a bespoke data reduction and flexible nonparametric inference procedure that lead to well-controlled and robust limits on the decay of eV-scale axion DM, consistent with previously forecasted sensitivities. We further demonstrate that the strongest previously claimed sensitivities exceed those attainable by any analysis of the datasets from which they were derived. We exclude QCD axion DM for masses between $500\,\mathrm{meV}$ and $2.5\,\mathrm{eV}$ using NIRSpec data, while setting limits on ALP DM complementary to other astrophysical constraints at masses between $100\,\mathrm{meV}$ and $500\,\mathrm{meV}$. However, we find the sensitivities to be systematically limited, and therefore unlikely to be improved upon by ongoing data collection or re-analysis unless instrumental modeling and data reduction pipelines improve considerably.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2026

AXIS Could Have Accessed Dark Matter Decays

The Advanced X-ray Imaging Satellite (AXIS) was a mission concept designed to improve upon the sensitivity and spatial resolution of the Chandra X-ray Observatory and XMM-Newton. Although AXIS was not selected for implementation, the concept study defined a mature instrument design with low-background, arcsecond imaging over the $0.3$-$10$ keV energy range, a large effective area, and a wide field of view. These capabilities provide a useful benchmark for the dark matter decay sensitivity of future X-ray observatories. We estimate the reach of a future AXIS-like instrument for narrow photon lines from decaying keV-scale dark matter, including axion-like particles and sterile neutrinos. For Galactic center observations, we find projected lifetime sensitivities of order $10^{31}$ s, improving upon existing limits by up to an order of magnitude over part of the keV mass range.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Correlated signals of ultralight scalar dark matter in pulsar timing

Pulsar timing arrays (PTAs) are sensitive to ultralight dark matter (ULDM) in the $10^{-24}$-$10^{-20}\,\mathrm{eV}$ mass range, with existing datasets already probing otherwise open parameter space and future PTAs promising substantial improvements in reach. Thus far, however, PTA searches for ULDM have typically been formulated using limiting descriptions. Analyses are performed in either the fully correlated limit, in which the local ULDM amplitude is shared across the array, or the fully uncorrelated limit, in which each pulsar has an independent local amplitude. Because the transition between these regimes occurs within the PTA-sensitive mass range, projected sensitivities and data-derived constraints can depend on which limiting description is assumed. For the first time, we develop a self-consistent analysis that treats the ULDM field as a Gaussian random field with finite spatial correlations, allowing the amplitude prior used in PTA signal models to interpolate continuously between the fully correlated and fully uncorrelated limits. We apply the framework to both linearly and quadratically coupled scalar ULDM, the latter including the universal gravitational signal sourced by the oscillating ULDM pressure. Pulsar-distance uncertainties are incorporated through an augmented latent-field prior, and the resulting distance-marginalized latent-amplitude distribution is represented with a normalizing-flow surrogate. We validate the method on mock PTA datasets, including blinded signal injection tests.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

GUEST: Gravitational Universe Exploration with Satellite Tracking. A passive satellite laser-ranging mission for the dark gravitational Universe

GUEST is a space mission concept whose central objective is the detection of gravitational waves (GWs) in the microhertz band -- a physics-rich frequency window that no other present or planned detector can reach at a significant level. The concept is simple: two dense, passive spheres, covered with cube-corner retroreflectors, deployed in {highly eccentric} Earth orbits ($e \gtrsim 0.7$, period $P \gtrsim 33$ h), tracked continuously by the global network of satellite laser-ranging stations over a minimum observation time of 10 years, with an expected total duration of 30 years. The orbits themselves act as resonant detectors of the oscillating gravitational perturbations, with the microhertz sensitivity emerging from the selected orbital parameters. From the same data stream, GUEST delivers a programme of fundamental and applied science that cuts across particle physics, gravitational-wave astronomy, cosmology, astrophysics, and geodesy: the first coherent search for GWs from supermassive black-hole binaries in the $\mu$Hz band, the exploration of primordial GW backgrounds in the unexplored energy-scale gap between pulsar-timing arrays and LISA, a dedicated probe of ultra-light dark matter in a parameter region untouched by any other experiment, a new way to search for ultra-light bosons, order-of-magnitude-improved tests of new gravitational interactions at astronomical ranges, and a step change in the absolute determination of $GM_\oplus$ that underpins the Global Geodetic Observing System and future navigation and Earth-observation missions. This white paper presents the motivation, scientific reach, and mission concept of GUEST.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Unveiling the Microhertz Gravitational-Wave Sky with the Square Kilometre Array Observatory

The gravitational-wave sky is expected to contain a rich variety of sources across a very broad range of frequencies. Much like in electromagnetic astronomy, exploring new gravitational-wave frequency bands therefore has the potential to unlock powerful new insights into the Universe. In this chapter, we investigate the prospects for using high-precision timing of binary millisecond pulsars with the Square Kilometre Array Observatory (SKAO) to search for gravitational waves in the microhertz ($μ$Hz) frequency band by targeting resonant gravitational-wave perturbations to the orbits of these binaries. Using only a handful of known systems, we show that SKAO observations can achieve unprecedented sensitivity to microhertz gravitational waves, with the potential to detect inspiralling massive black hole binaries in this band. These searches are complementary to conventional pulsar timing array analyses, adding a new dimension to the gravitational-wave science achievable with the SKAO.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Projecting the ultimate pulsar timing sensitivity to dark matter substructure in a stochastic gravitational wave background

Pulsar timing arrays (PTAs) are sensitive to the gravitational influence of passing compact substructures, which can produce Doppler timing delays by accelerating pulsars or the Solar System barycenter, and Shapiro timing delays when passing near Earth--pulsar lines of sight. Projections for the complete PTA sensitivity to compact dark matter (DM) substructures, such as primordial black holes and axion miniclusters, are challenging due to the variety of signal types ranging from rare, nearly static encounters, to dynamic flybys, to the stochastic limit of many substructures. We address this challenge with a framework that combines Monte Carlo signal modeling and machine-learned surrogate likelihoods, enabling a unified likelihood-level analysis of signals previously treated only in simplified limiting regimes. We then use this framework to precisely assess the impact of a stochastic gravitational wave background (SGWB), for which evidence was recently found, on the PTA sensitivity to compact DM substructures. The SGWB substantially weakens the sensitivity, and we find that in even the most optimistic observing scenario only a Shapiro search retains sensitivity to subdominant DM components when assuming SGWB parameters inferred from current measurements.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Statistics of Daily Modulation in Dark Matter Direct Detection Experiments

The time-dependent modulation of the event rate in dark matter direct detection experiments, arising from the motion of the Earth with respect to the Galactic rest frame, is a distinctive signature whose observation is crucial for claiming a discovery of dark matter. While annual modulation has been well studied for decades, daily modulation due to the Earth's rotation has attracted increased attention recently due to the identification of anisotropic solid-state detector materials that yield a direction-dependent scattering rate without sacrificing the overall rate. We perform a statistical analysis of daily modulation in dark matter scattering experiments, with the goal of maximizing the statistical significance of a modulating signal in the presence of an unknown background rate, which may be either flat (non-modulating), or modulating over a 24-hour period with a known or unknown phase. In the background-dominated regime, we find that the discovery significance scales as $f_\text{RMS} \sqrt{T}$, where $T$ is the total exposure time and $f_\text{RMS}$ is the root-mean-square modulation amplitude; in particular, the significance continues to improve with exposure rather than saturating due to systematic uncertainties in the background rate. Using anisotropic trans-stilbene detectors for sub-GeV dark matter as a benchmark example, we provide prescriptions for optimizing the significance for a given total detector mass and location. In an example analysis using three detectors, optimizing the detector orientations can reduce the required exposure by a factor of $\sim 5$ for a desired discovery or exclusion significance, even after profiling over an unknown modulating background phase.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2025

Constraining inhomogeneous energy injection from annihilating dark matter and primordial black holes with 21-cm cosmology

The cosmic dawn 21-cm signal is a highly sensitive probe of any process which injects energy into the intergalactic medium, enabling novel searches for anomalous energy injection by through dark matter interactions. In addition to modifying the global 21-cm signal, these processes would leave distinct imprints on the frequency-resolved 21-cm power spectrum with a morphology jointly set by the time- and spatial-dependence of energy emission and absorption. In this work, we extend the DM21cm code package, which models the effects of spatially inhomogeneous energy emission and deposition on 21-cm cosmology, to study three well-motivated scenarios which 21-cm measurements are particularly well-suited to probe: dark matter annihilation through $p$-wave processes, the Hawking radiation of light primordial black holes, and energetic emission from accreting solar-mass primordial black holes. We project sensitivities to each of these scenarios, demonstrating that leading or near leading sensitivity to each can be achieved through 21-cm probes. We also make public our updates to the DM21cm code package that enable it to accommodate energy injection processes for general continuum spectra with arbitrary spatial and temporal dependence in an accompanying release.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2025

High-Frequency Gravitational Wave Search with ABRACADABRA-10\,cm

High-frequency gravitational waves (HFGWs), above 10 kHz, promise a clean probe of new physics, largely free of the astrophysical backgrounds that complicate lower-frequency searches. Axion detectors, which search for axion dark matter via its coupling to electrodynamics in a strong magnetic field, should also be sensitive to HFGWs. We present the first dedicated search for HFGWs, using a modified ABRA-10cm axion detector, ABRA-GW, that runs simultaneously with a conventional axion search. ABRA-GW opens the 10 kHz-5 MHz band to HFGW searches and performs the first transient search by an axion experiment, targeting primordial black hole (PBH) mergers. Axion sensitivity is unaffected by the added gravitational-wave channel, and HFGW sensitivity matches theoretical expectations. This work demonstrates the broad physics reach of axion detectors and represents a first step toward a potential HFGW discovery.

hep-ex↗

arXiv2025

Prospects for gravitational wave and ultra-light dark matter detection with binary resonances beyond the secular approximation

Precision observations of orbital systems have recently emerged as a promising new means of detecting gravitational waves and ultra-light dark matter, offering sensitivity in new regimes with significant discovery potential. These searches rely critically on precise modeling of the dynamical effects of these signals on the observed system; however, previous analyses have mainly only relied on the secularly-averaged part of the response. We introduce here a fundamentally different approach that allows for a fully time-resolved description of the effects of oscillatory metric perturbations on orbital dynamics. We find that gravitational waves and ultra-light dark matter can induce large oscillations in the orbital parameters of realistic binaries, enhancing the sensitivity to such signals by orders of magnitude compared to previous estimates.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2025

Discovering $μ$Hz gravitational waves and ultra-light dark matter with binary resonances

In the presence of a weak gravitational wave (GW) background, astrophysical binary systems act as high-quality resonators, with efficient transfer of energy and momentum between the orbit and a harmonic GW leading to potentially detectable orbital perturbations. In this work, we develop and apply a novel modeling and analysis framework that describes the imprints of GWs on binary systems in a fully time-resolved manner to study the sensitivity of lunar laser ranging, satellite laser ranging, and pulsar timing to both resonant and nonresonant GW backgrounds. We demonstrate that optimal data collection, modeling, and analysis lead to projected sensitivities which are orders of magnitude better than previously appreciated possible, opening up a new possibility for probing the physics-rich but notoriously challenging to access $μ\mathrm{Hz}$ frequency GWs. We also discuss improved prospects for the detection of the stochastic fluctuations of ultra-light dark matter, which may analogously perturb the binary orbits.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

dSphobic Dark Matter

We present a mechanism that allows thermal relic dark matter to annihilate efficiently in the Galactic Halo and in galaxy clusters, but not in the lower-velocity environments of dwarf spheroidal (dSph) galaxies. We realize this within a complete model in which the dark matter consists of two distinct states separated by a small mass splitting. An indirect detection signal is generated only through the coannihilations of these two states, requiring both to be present. In the halo of the Milky Way, the dark matter particles in the lighter state can be excited into the long-lived heavier state through scattering. Once excited, these heavier particles can coannihilate with those in the lighter state, yielding a gamma-ray signal with little or no suppression. By contrast, the dark matter particles in dwarf galaxies do not possess enough kinetic energy to be excited, thereby suppressing the coannihilation rate and corresponding indirect detection signals from those systems. This framework breaks the predictive relationship that ordinarily exists between these respective gamma-ray signals and complicates our ability to interpret the results of indirect detection searches.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2024

The statistics and sensitivity of axion wind detection with the homogeneous precession domain of superfluid helium-3

The homogeneous precession domain (HPD) of superfluid $^{3}$He has recently been identified as a detection medium which might provide sensitivity to the axion-nucleon coupling $g_{aNN}$ competitive with, or surpassing, existing experimental proposals. In this work, we make a detailed study of the statistical and dynamical properties of the HPD system in order to make realistic projections for a full-fledged experimental program. We include the effects of clock error and measurement error in a concrete readout scheme using superconducting qubits and quantum metrology. This work also provides a more general framework to describe the statistics associated with the axion gradient coupling through the treatment of a transient resonance with a non-stationary background in a time-series analysis. Incorporating an optimal data-taking and analysis strategy, we project a sensitivity approaching $g_{aNN} \sim 10^{-12}$ GeV$^{-1}$ across a decade in axion mass.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2024

Axion mass prediction from adaptive mesh refinement cosmological lattice simulations

The quantum chromodynamics (QCD) axion arises as the pseudo-Goldstone mode of a spontaneously broken abelian Peccei-Quinn (PQ) symmetry. If the scale of PQ symmetry breaking occurs below the inflationary reheat temperature and the domain wall number is unity, then there is a unique axion mass that gives the observed dark matter (DM) abundance. Computing this mass has been the subject of intensive numerical simulations for decades since the mass prediction informs laboratory experiments. Axion strings develop below the PQ symmetry-breaking temperature, and as the string network evolves it emits axions that go on to become the DM. A key ingredient in the axion mass prediction is the spectral index of axion radiation emitted by the axion strings. We compute this index in this work using the most precise and accurate large-scale simulations to date of the axion-string network leveraging adaptive mesh refinement to achieve the precision that would otherwise require a static lattice with 262,144$^3$ lattice sites. We find a scale-invariant axion radiation spectrum to within 1% precision. Accounting for axion production from strings prior to the QCD phase transition leads us to predict that the axion mass should be approximately $m_a\in(45,65)$ $μ\mathrm{eV}$. However, we provide preliminary evidence that axions are produced in greater quantities from the string-domain-wall network collapse during the QCD phase transition, potentially increasing the mass prediction to as much as 300 $μ$eV.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2024

Stochastic Gravitational Waves from Early Structure Formation

Early matter-dominated eras (EMDEs) are a natural feature arising in many models of the early universe and can generate a stochastic gravitational wave background (SGWB) during the transition from an EMDE to the radiation-dominated universe required by the time of Big Bang Nucleosynthesis. While there are calculations of the SGWB generated in the linear regime, no detailed study has been made of the nonlinear regime. We perform the first comprehensive calculation of GW production in the nonlinear regime, using a hybrid $N$-body and lattice simulation to study GW production from both a metastable matter species and the radiation produced in its decay. We find that nonlinearities significantly enhance GW production up to frequencies at least as large as the inverse light-crossing time of the largest halos that form prior to reheating. The resulting SGWB is within future observational reach for curvature perturbations as small as those probed in the cosmic microwave background, depending on the reheating temperature. Out-of-equilibrium dynamics could further boost the induced SGWB, while a fully relativistic gravitational treatment is required to resolve the spectrum at even higher frequencies.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2023

Inhomogeneous Energy Injection in the 21-cm Power Spectrum: Sensitivity to Dark Matter Decay

The 21-cm signal provides a novel avenue to measure the thermal state of the universe during cosmic dawn and reionization (redshifts $z\sim 5-30$), and thus to probe energy injection from decaying or annihilating dark matter (DM). These DM processes are inherently inhomogeneous: both decay and annihilation are density dependent, and furthermore the fraction of injected energy that is deposited at each point depends on the gas ionization and density, leading to further anisotropies in absorption and propagation. In this work, we develop a new framework for modeling the impact of spatially inhomogeneous energy injection and deposition during cosmic dawn, accounting for ionization and baryon density dependence, as well as the attenuation of propagating photons. We showcase how this first completely inhomogeneous treatment affects the predicted 21-cm power spectrum in the presence of exotic sources of energy injection, and forecast the constraints that upcoming HERA measurements of the 21-cm power spectrum will set on DM decays to photons and to electron/positron pairs. These projected constraints considerably surpass those derived from CMB and Lyman-$α$ measurements, and for decays to electron/positron pairs they exceed all existing constraints in the sub-GeV mass range, reaching lifetimes of $\sim 10^{28}\,\mathrm{s}$. Our analysis demonstrates the unprecedented sensitivity of 21-cm cosmology to exotic sources of energy injection during the cosmic dark ages. Our code, $\mathtt{DM21cm}$, includes all these effects and is publicly available in an accompanying release.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2023

Was There a 3.5 keV Line?

The 3.5 keV line is a purported emission line observed in galaxies, galaxy clusters, and the Milky Way whose origin is inconsistent with known atomic transitions and has previously been suggested to arise from dark matter decay. We systematically re-examine the bulk of the evidence for the 3.5 keV line, attempting to reproduce six previous analyses that found evidence for the line. Surprisingly, we only reproduce one of the analyses; in the other five we find no significant evidence for a 3.5 keV line when following the described analysis procedures on the original data sets. For example, previous results claimed 4$σ$ evidence for a 3.5 keV line from the Perseus cluster; we dispute this claim, finding no evidence for a 3.5 keV line. We find evidence for background mismodeling in multiple analyses. We show that analyzing these data in narrower energy windows diminishes the effects of mismodeling but returns no evidence for a 3.5 keV line. We conclude that there is little robust evidence for the existence of the 3.5 keV line. Some of the discrepancy of our results from those of the original works may be due to the earlier reliance on local optimizers, which we demonstrate can lead to incorrect results. For ease of reproducibility, all code and data are publicly available.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

A Search for Dark Matter Lines at the Galactic Center with 14 Years of Fermi Data

Dark matter (DM) in the Milky Way halo may annihilate or decay to photons, producing monochromatic gamma rays. We search for DM-induced spectral lines using 14 years of data from the Large Area Telescope onboard the Fermi Gamma-ray Space Telescope ($\textit{Fermi}$-LAT) between $10\,\mathrm{GeV}$ and $2\,\mathrm{TeV}$ in the inner Milky Way leveraging both the spatial and spectral morphology of an expected signal. We present new constraints as strong as $\langle σv \rangle \lesssim 6\times 10^{-30}\, \mathrm{cm}^3/\mathrm{s}$ for the two-to-two annihilations and $τ\gtrsim 10^{30}\,\mathrm{s}$ for one-to-two decays, representing leading sensitivity between $10\,\mathrm{GeV}$ and $\sim$$500\,\mathrm{GeV}$. We consider the implications of our line-constraints on the Galactic Center Excess (GCE), which is a previously-observed excess of continuum $\sim$GeV gamma-rays that may be explained by DM annihilation. The Higgs portal and neutralino-like DM scenarios, which have been extensively discussed as possible origins of the GCE, are constrained by our work because of the lack of observed one-loop decays to two photons. More generally, we interpret our null results in a variety of annihilating and decaying DM models, such as neutralinos, gravitinos, and glueballs, showing that in many cases the line search is more powerful than the continuum, despite the continuum annihilation being at tree level.

hep-ph↗