Repeated post-training is not Self-improving: Diagnosing Scientific Amnesia in Continual DPO Pipelines
Industrial LLM teams often ship behavior updates by repeatedly DPO-training a base model on sequences of related preference-data campaigns. The dominant failure mode in this regime is not always classical catastrophic forgetting: a pipeline may preserve previously learned behaviors while still failing to accumulate reusable methodological knowledge about how to train the next campaign. We call this failure mode scientific amnesia. This paper turns that practitioner intuition into a measurable industrial problem. We contribute: (i) a diagnostic suite for amnesia, (ii) a Program-based pipeline that chains FSDP-sharded DPO checkpoints across Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct runs, (iii) a 30-campaign HumanEval subdomain benchmark, and (iv) a comparative diagnostic study of five strategy proposers: random memory, rule-based scheduling, retrieval-only memory, warm-start Bayesian optimization, and MSCL, a meta-scientific memory and reasoner candidate. Across a single-seed 5-condition * 3-step real-LM chain, 4 of 5 candidates degrade in step-level peak pass@1, including MSCL; only the deliberately conservative rule-based schedule improves. Follow-up pilots qualify rather than overturn this finding: in a heterogeneous chain, MSCL is the only completed candidate that improves, whereas in a small multi-seed homogeneous sweep, retrieval-only has the best mean Delta and no pairwise candidate gap is statistically distinguishable. The contribution is therefore diagnostic, not a claim that MSCL solves the problem: scientific amnesia is observable in a production-like continual-DPO pipeline, and conclusions about interventions depend sharply on chain regime, evaluator design, and seed coverage.