arXiv subjects

Junshi Xu

Publications and source records attributed to Junshi Xu.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Prior Knowledge-enhanced Spatio-temporal Epidemic Forecasting

Spatio-temporal epidemic forecasting is critical for public health management, yet existing methods often struggle with insensitivity to weak epidemic signals, over-simplified spatial relations, and unstable parameter estimation. To address these challenges, we propose the Spatio-Temporal priOr-aware Epidemic Predictor (STOEP), a novel hybrid framework that integrates implicit spatio-temporal priors and explicit expert priors. STOEP consists of three key components: (1) Case-aware Adjacency Learning (CAL), which dynamically adjusts mobility-based regional dependencies using historical infection patterns; (2) Space-informed Parameter Estimating (SPE), which employs learnable spatial priors to amplify weak epidemic signals; and (3) Filter-based Mechanistic Forecasting (FMF), which uses an expert-guided adaptive thresholding strategy to regularize epidemic parameters. Extensive experiments on real-world COVID-19 and influenza datasets demonstrate that STOEP outperforms the best baseline by 11.1% in RMSE. The system has been deployed at a provincial CDC in China to facilitate downstream applications.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Estimating Black Carbon Concentration from Urban Traffic Using Vision-Based Machine Learning

Black carbon (BC) emissions in urban areas are primarily driven by traffic, with hotspots near major roads disproportionately affecting marginalized communities. Because BC monitoring is typically performed using costly and specialized instruments. there is little to no available data on BC from local traffic sources that could help inform policy interventions targeting local factors. By contrast, traffic monitoring systems are widely deployed in cities around the world, highlighting the imbalance between what we know about traffic conditions and what do not know about their environmental consequences. To bridge this gap, we propose a machine learning-driven system that extracts visual information from traffic video to capture vehicles behaviors and conditions. Combining these features with weather data, our model estimates BC at street level, achieving an R-squared value of 0.72 and RMSE of 129.42 ng/m3 (nanogram per cubic meter). From a sustainability perspective, this work leverages resources already supported by urban infrastructure and established modeling techniques to generate information relevant to traffic emission. Obtaining BC concentration data provides actionable insights to support pollution reduction, urban planning, public health, and environmental justice at the local municipal level.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Effective and Acceptable Eco-Driving Guidance for Human-Driving Vehicles: A Review

Ecodriving guidance includes courses or suggestions for human drivers to improve driving behaviour, reducing energy use and emissions. This paper presents a systematic review of existing eco-driving guidance studies and identifies challenges to tackle in the future. A standard agreement on the guidance design has not been reached, leading to difficulties in designing and implementing eco-driving guidance for human drivers. Both static and dynamic guidance systems have a great variety of guidance results. In addition, the influencing factors, such as the suggestion content, the displaying methods, and drivers socio-demographic characteristics, have opposite effects on the guidance result across studies, while the reason has not been revealed. Drivers motivation to practice eco behaviour, especially long-term, is overlooked. Besides, the relationship between users acceptance and system effectiveness is still unclear. Adaptive driving suggestions based on drivers habits can improve the effectiveness, while this field is under investigation.

cs.RO↗