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Justin Kilb

Publications and source records attributed to Justin Kilb.

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Probabilistic Modeling versus Robust Optimization: A tutorial based on a humanitarian logistics use case

This tutorial contrasts probabilistic modeling and robust optimization to determine decisions in humanitarian logistics, specifically supply chains subject to adversarial (natural and human) disruptions. Natural disruptions induce dispatch of long-haul relief supply movement as storm forecasts evolve. A two-step workflow: (i) computes an initial pre-staging plan from the most likely forecast, and (ii) evaluates that fixed plan across plausible deviations in the eventual landfall location. In this way, dispatch decisions balance lead time and improved forecast information. For last-mile distribution, we propose deliveries when transportation networks must be protected against the worst case. We apply an iterative robust routing method that detects high-concentration links and increases their effective cost to promote route diversification. A case study based on Typhoon Noru (2022) shows how the combined approach identifies an optimal dispatch time and then protects last-mile delivery from difficult-to-predict network disruptions that could jeopardize the entire supply-chain operation.

math.OC

Conserving Human Creativity with Evolutionary Generative Algorithms: A Case Study in Music Generation

This study explores the application of evolutionary generative algorithms in music production to preserve and enhance human creativity. By integrating human feedback into Differential Evolution algorithms, we produced six songs that were submitted to international record labels, all of which received contract offers. In addition to testing the commercial viability of these methods, this paper examines the long-term implications of content generation using traditional machine learning methods compared with evolutionary algorithms. Specifically, as current generative techniques continue to scale, the potential for computer-generated content to outpace human creation becomes likely. This trend poses a risk of exhausting the pool of human-created training data, potentially forcing generative machine learning models to increasingly depend on their random input functions for generating novel content. In contrast to a future of content generation guided by aimless random functions, our approach allows for individualized creative exploration, ensuring that computer-assisted content generation methods are human-centric and culturally relevant through time.

cs.NE