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Kai Liao

Publications and source records attributed to Kai Liao.

At least 73 records · Page 4Linked to original sources

A model-independent determination of the Hubble constant from lensed quasars and supernovae using Gaussian process regression

Strongly lensed quasar systems with time delay measurements provide "time delay distances", which are a combination of three angular diameter distances and serve as powerful tools to determine the Hubble constant $H_0$. However, current results often rely on the assumption of the $Λ$CDM model. Here we use a model-independent method based on Gaussian process to directly constrain the value of $H_0$. By using Gaussian process regression, we can generate posterior samples of unanchored supernova distances independent of any cosmological model and anchor them with strong lens systems. The combination of a supernova sample with large statistics but no sensitivity to $H_0$ with a strong lens sample with small statistics but $H_0$ sensitivity gives a precise $H_0$ measurement without the assumption of any cosmological model. We use four well-analyzed lensing systems from the state-of-art lensing program H0LiCOW and the Pantheon supernova compilation in our analysis. Assuming the Universe is flat, we derive the constraint $H_0=72.2 \pm 2.1\,$km/s/Mpc, a precision of $2.9\%$. Allowing for cosmic curvature with a prior of $Ω_{k}=[-0.2,0.2]$, the constraint becomes $H_0=73.0_{-3.0}^{+2.8}\,$km/s/Mpc.

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The cosmic distance duality relation with strong lensing and gravitational waves: an opacity-free test

The cosmic distance duality relation (CDDR) is a fundamental assumption in cosmological studies. Given the redshift $z$, it relates luminosity distance $D^L$ with angular diameter distance $D^A$ through $(1+z)^2D^A/D^L\equiv1$. Many efforts have been devoted to test the CDDR with various observational approaches. However, to the best of our knowledge, those methods are always affected by cosmic opacity which could make the CDDR violated due to the non-conservation of photon number. Such mechanism is more related with astropartical physics. In this work, to directly study the nature of space-time, i.e., to disentangle it from astropartical physics, we propose a new strategy to test the CDDR with strong lensing providing $D^A$ and gravitational wave providing $D^L$. It is known that the propagation of gravitational wave is unaffected by cosmic opacity. We demonstrate distances from optical lensing observation are also opacity-free. These two kinds of distance measurements make it possible to test any metric theories of gravity where photons travel along null geodesics. Our results show the constraints on deviations of the CDDR will be very competitive to current techniques.

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Measuring the distances to quasars at high redshifts with strong lensing

Strongly lensed quasars with time-delay measurements are well known to provide the "time-delay distances" $D_{Δt}=(1+z_L)D_LD_S/D_{LS}$ and the angular diameter distances to lens galaxies $D_L$. These two kinds of distances give stringent constraints on cosmological parameters. In this work, we explore a different use of time-delay observables: Under the assumption of a flat Universe, strong lensing observations can accurately measure the angular diameter distances to sources $D_S$. The corresponding redshifts of quasars may be up to $z_S\sim4$ according to the forecast. The high-redshift distances would sample the Hubble diagram between SNe Ia and CMB, cosmological-model-independently providing direct information on the evolution of the nature of our Universe, for example, the dark energy Equation-of-State parameter $w(z)$. We apply our method to the existing lensing system SDSS 1206+4332 and get $D_S=2388_{-978}^{+2632}Mpc$ at $z_S=1.789$. We also make a forecast for the era of LSST. The uncertainty of $D_S$ depends on the redshifts of lens and source, the uncertainties of $D_{Δt}$ and $D_L$, and the correlation between $D_{Δt}$ and $D_L$ as well. Larger correlation would result in tighter $D_S$ determination.

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Constraints on cosmic curvature with lensing time delays and gravitational waves

Assuming the $Λ$CDM model, the CMB and BAO observations indicate a very flat Universe. Model-independent measurements are therefore worth studying. Time delays measured in lensed quasars provide the time delay distances. When compared with the luminosity distances from Supernova Ia observation, the measurements can provide the curvature information under the Distance Sum Rule of FLRW metric. This method is limited by the low redshifts of SNe Ia. In this work, we propose gravitational waves from the Einstein Telescope as standard sirens which reach higher redshifts covering the redshift range of lensed quasars from Large Synoptic Survey Telescope, could provide much more stringent constraints on the curvature. We first consider a conservative case where only 100 gravitational waves with electromagnetic counterparts are available, the $1σ$ uncertainty for the curvature parameter $Ω_k$ is 0.057. In an optimistic case with 1000 signals available, then $Ω_k$ uncertainty is 0.027. Combining with SNe Ia from Dark Energy Survey, $Ω_k$ can be further constrained to 0.027 and 0.018, respectively.

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How does the Earth's rotation affect predictions of gravitational wave strong lensing rates?

The next generation of ground-based gravitational wave (GW) detectors, e.g. the Einstein Telescope, is expected to observe a significant number of strongly lensed GW events as predicted in many previous papers. However, all these works ignored the impact of the Earth's rotation on this prediction. Multiple lensed images arrive at the Earth at different time, thus the ground-based detector has different responses to the lensed images due to different orientations of the detector relative to the GW source direction. Therefore the amplitudes of the GW signal from different images are modulated appropriately, in addition to the lensing magnification. In order to assess this effect, we performed Monte Carlo simulations to calculate the event rate of lensed GW signals. Our conclusion is that the Earth's rotation has a non-negligible impact on the event rate of lensed GW image. The updated event rates decrease by factors of $\sim40\%, \sim20\%, \sim10\%$, for NS-NS, BH-NS, BH-BH systems respectively.

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The wave nature of continuous gravitational waves from microlensing

Gravitational wave predicted by General Relativity is the transverse wave of spatial strain. Several gravitational waveform signals from binary black holes and from a binary neutron star system accompanied by electromagnetic counterparts have been recorded by advanced LIGO and advanced Virgo. In analogy to light, the spatial fringes of diffraction and interference should also exist as the important features of gravitational waves. We propose that observational detection of such fringes could be achieved through gravitational lensing of continuous gravitational waves. The lenses would play the role of the diffraction barriers. Considering peculiar motions of the observer, the lens and the source, the spatial amplitude variation of diffraction or interference fringes should be detectable as an amplitude modulation of monochromatic gravitational signal.

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Hubble Constant from LSST Strong lens time delays with microlensing systematics

Strong lens time delays have been widely used in cosmological studies, especially to infer $H_0$. The upcoming LSST will provide several hundred well measured time delays from the light curves of lensed quasars. However, due to the inclination of the finite AGN accretion disc and the differential magnification of the coherent temperature fluctuations, the microlensing by the stars can lead to changes in the actual time delay on the light-crossing time scale of the emission region $\sim days$. We first study how this would change the uncertainty of $H_0$ in the LSST era, assuming the microlensing time delays can be well estimated. We adopt 1/3, 1 and 3 days respectively as the typical microlensing time delay uncertainties. The relative uncertainty of $H_0$ will be enlarged to $0.47\%$, $0.51\%$, $0.76\%$, respectively from the one without microlensing impact $0.45\%$. Then, due to the lack of understandings on the quasar models and microlensing patterns, we also test the reliability of the results if one neglects this effect in the analysis. The biases of $H_0$ will be $0.12\%$, $0.22\%$ and $0.70\%$, respectively, suggesting that 1 day is the cut-off for a robust $H_0$ estimate.

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Cosmological inference from standard sirens without redshift measurements

The purpose of this work is to investigate the prospects of using the future standard siren data without redshift measurements to constrain cosmological parameters. With successful detections of gravitational wave (GW) signals an era of GW astronomy has begun. Unlike the electromagnetic domain, GW signals allow direct measurements of luminosity distances to the sources, while their redshifts remain to be measured by identifying electromagnetic counterparts. This leads to significant technical problems for almost all possible BH-BH systems. It is the major obstacle to cosmological applications of GW standard sirens. In this paper, we introduce the general framework of using luminosity distances alone for cosmological inference. The idea is to use the prior knowledge of the redshift probability distribution for coalescing sources from the intrinsic merger rates assessed with population synthesis codes. Then the posterior probability distributions for cosmological parameters can be calculated. We demonstrate the performance of our method on the simulated mock data and show that the luminosity distance measurement would enable an accurate determination of cosmological parameters up to $20%$ uncertainty level. We also find that in order to infer $H_0$ to 1% level with flat $Λ$CDM model, we need about $10^5$ events.

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Anomalies in Time Delays of Lensed Gravitational Waves and Dark Matter Substructures

The cold dark matter scenario of hierarchical large-scale structure formation predicts the existence of abundant subhalos around large galaxies. However, the number of observed dwarf galaxies is far from this theoretical prediction, suggesting that most of the subhalos could be dark or quite faint. Gravitational lensing is a powerful tool to probe the mass distribution directly irrespective of whether it is visible or dark. Time delay anomalies in strongly lensed quasar systems are complementary to flux ratio anomalies in probing dark matter substructure in galaxies. Here we propose that lensed gravitational waves detected by the third-generation ground detectors with quite accurate time delay measurements could be a much better tool for this study than conventional techniques. Combined with good quality images of lensed host galaxies identified by the electromagnetic counterpart measurements, lensed GW signals could make the systematic errors caused by dark matter substructures detectable at several percent levels, depending on their mass functions, internal distribution of subhalos and lensing system configuration.

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Curvature from strong gravitational lensing: a spatially closed Universe or systematics?

Model-independent constraints on the spatial curvature are not only closely related to important problems such as the evolution of the Universe and properties of dark energy, but also provide a test of the validity of the fundamental Copernican principle. In this paper, with the distance sum rule in the Friedmann-Lemaître-Robertson-Walker metric, we achieve model-independent measurements of the spatial curvature from the latest type Ia supernovae and strong gravitational lensing (SGL) observations. We find that a spatially closed Universe is preferred. Moreover, by considering different kinds of velocity dispersion and subsample, we study possible factors which might affect model-independent estimations for the spatial curvature from SGL observations. It is suggested that the combination of observational data from different surveys might cause a systematic bias and the tension between the spatially flat Universe and SGL observations is alleviated when the subsample only from the Sloan Lens ACS Survey is used or a more complex treatment for the density profile of lenses is considered.

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Precision cosmology from future lensed gravitational wave and electromagnetic signals

The standard siren approach of gravitational wave cosmology appeals to the direct luminosity distance estimation through the waveform signals from inspiralling double compact binaries, especially those with electromagnetic counterparts providing redshifts. It is limited by the calibration uncertainties in strain amplitude and relies on the fine details of the waveform. The Einstein Telescope is expected to produce $10^4-10^5$ gravitational wave detections per year, $50-100$ of which will be lensed. Here we report a waveform-independent strategy to achieve precise cosmography by combining the accurately measured time delays from strongly lensed gravitational wave signals with the images and redshifts observed in the electromagnetic domain. We demonstrate that just 10 such systems can provide a Hubble constant uncertainty of $0.68\%$ for a flat Lambda Cold Dark Matter universe in the era of third generation ground-based detectors.

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Test of the FLRW metric and curvature with strong lens time delays

We present a new model-independent strategy for testing the Friedmann-Lema\^ıtre-Robertson-Walker metric and constraining cosmic curvature, based on future time delay measurements of strongly lensed quasar-elliptical galaxy systems from the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope and supernova observations from the Dark Energy Survey. The test only relies on geometric optics. It is independent of the energy contents of the universe and the validity of the Einstein equation on cosmological scales. The study comprises two levels: testing the FLRW metric through the Distance Sum Rule and determining/constraining cosmic curvature. We propose an effective and efficient (redshift) evolution model for performing the former test, which allows us to concretely specify the violation criterion for the FLRW Distance Sum Rule. If the FLRW metric is consistent with the observations, then, on the second level, the cosmic curvature parameter will be constrained to $\sim0.057$ or $\sim0.041$ ($1σ$), depending on the availability of high-redshift supernovae, much more stringent than current model-independent techniques. We also show that the bias in the time delay method might be well controlled, leading to robust results. The proposed method is a new independent tool for both testing the fundamental assumptions of homogeneity and isotropy in cosmology and for determining cosmic curvature. It is complementary to cosmic microwave background plus baryon acoustic oscillation analyses, which normally assume a cosmological model with dark energy domination in the late-time universe.

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Speed of Gravitational Waves from Strongly Lensed Gravitational Waves and Electromagnetic Signals

We propose a new model-independent measurement strategy for the propagation speed of gravitational waves (GWs) based on strongly lensed GWs and their electromagnetic (EM) counterparts. This can be done in two ways: by comparing arrival times of GWs and their EM counterparts and by comparing the time delays between images seen in GWs and their EM counterparts. The lensed GW-EM event is perhaps the best way to identify an EM counterpart. Conceptually, this method does not rely on any specific theory of massive gravitons or modified gravity. Its differential setting (i.e., measuring the difference between time delays in GW and EM domains) makes it robust against lens modeling details (photons and GWs travel in the same lensing potential) and against internal time delays between GW and EM emission acts. It requires, however, that the theory of gravity is metric and predicts gravitational lensing similar to general relativity. We expect that such a test will become possible in the era of third-generation gravitational-wave detectors, when about 10 lensed GW events would be observed each year. The power of this method is mainly limited by the timing accuracy of the EM counterpart, which for kilonovae is around $10^4$ s.Thisuncertaintycanbesuppressedbya factor of $\sim 10^{10}$, if strongly lensed transients of much shorter duration associated with the GW event can be identified. Candidates for such short transients include short gamma-ray burst and fast radio bursts.

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Model-independent estimations for the curvature from standard candles and clocks

Model-independent estimations for the spatial curvature not only provide a test for the fundamental Copernican principle assumption, but also can effectively break the degeneracy between curvature and dark energy properties. In this paper, we propose to achieve model-independent constraints on the spatial curvature from observations of standard candles and standard clocks, without assuming any fiducial cosmology and other priors. We find that, for the popular Union2.1 type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia ) observations, the spatial curvature is constrained to be $Ω_K=-0.045_{-0.172}^{+0.176}$. For the latest joint light-curve analysis (JLA) of SNe Ia observations, we obtain $Ω_K=-0.140_{-0.158}^{+0.161}$. It is suggested that these results are in excellent agreement with the spatially flat Universe. Moreover, compared to other approaches aiming for model-independent estimations of spatial curvature, this method also achieves constraints with competitive precision.

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H0LiCOW VI. Testing the fidelity of lensed quasar host galaxy reconstruction

The empirical correlation between the mass of a super-massive black hole (MBH) and its host galaxy properties is widely considered to be evidence of their co-evolution. A powerful way to test the co-evolution scenario and learn about the feedback processes linking galaxies and nuclear activity is to measure these correlations as a function of redshift. Unfortunately, currently MBH can only be estimated in active galaxies at cosmological distances. At these distances, bright active galactic nuclei (AGN) can outshine the host galaxy, making it extremely difficult to measure the host's luminosity. Strongly lensed AGNs provide in principle a great opportunity to improve the sensitivity and accuracy of the host galaxy luminosity measurements as the host galaxy is magnified and more easily separated from the point source, provided the lens model is sufficiently accurate. In order to measure the MBH-L correlation with strong lensing, it is necessary to ensure that the lens modelling is accurate, and that the host galaxy luminosity can be recovered to at least a precision and accuracy better than that of the typical MBH measurement. We carry out extensive and realistic simulations of deep Hubble Space Telescope observations of lensed AGNs obtained by our collaboration. We show that the host galaxy luminosity can be recovered with better accuracy and precision than the typical uncertainty on MBH(~ 0.5 dex) for hosts as faint as 2-4 magnitudes dimmer than the AGN itself. Our simulations will be used to estimate bias and uncertainties on the actual measurements to be presented in a future paper.

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The Distance Duality Relation from Strong Gravitational Lensing

Under very general assumptions of metric theory of spacetime, photons traveling along null geodesics and photon number conservation, two observable concepts of cosmic distance, i.e. the angular diameter and the luminosity distances are related to each other by the so-called distance duality relation (DDR) $D^L=D^A(1+z)^2$. Observational validation of this relation is quite important because any evidence of its violation could be a signal of new physics. In this paper we introduce a new method to test DDR based on strong gravitational lensing systems and type Ia supernovae under a flat universe. The method itself is worth attention, because unlike previously proposed techniques, it does not depend on all other prior assumptions concerning the details of cosmological model. We tested it using a new compilation of strong lensing systems and JLA compilation of type Ia supernovae and found no evidence of DDR violation. For completeness, we also combined it with previous cluster data and showed its power on constraining DDR. It could become a promising new probe in the future in light of forthcoming massive strong lensing surveys and because of expected advances in galaxy cluster modlelling.

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Is the Universe Transparent?

We present our study on cosmic opacity, which relates to changes in photon number as photons travel from the source to the observer. Cosmic opacity may be caused by absorption/scattering due to matter in the universe, or by extragalactic magnetic fields that can turn photons into unobserved particles (e.g. light axions, chameleons, gravitons, Kaluza-Klein modes), and it is crucial to correctly interpret astronomical photometric measurements like type Ia supernovae observations. On the other hand, the expansion rate at different epochs, i.e. the observational Hubble parameter data $H(z)$, are obtained from differential ageing of passively evolving galaxies or from baryon acoustic oscillations and thus are not affected by cosmic opacity. In this work, we first construct opacity-free luminosity distances from $H(z)$ determinations, taking correlations between different redshifts into consideration for our error analysis. Moreover, we let the light-curve fitting parameters, accounting for distance estimation in type Ia supernovae observations, free to ensure that our analysis is authentically cosmological-model-independent and gives a robust result. Any non-zero residuals between these two kinds of luminosity distances can be deemed as an indication of the existence of cosmic opacity. While a transparent universe is currently consistent with the data, our results show that strong constraints on opacity (and consequently on physical mechanisms that could cause it) can be obtained in a cosmological-model-independent fashion.

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Precision cosmology with time delay lenses: high resolution imaging requirements

Lens time delays are a powerful probe of cosmology, provided that the gravitational potential of the main deflector can be modeled with sufficient precision. Recent work has shown that this can be achieved by detailed modeling of the host galaxies of lensed quasars, which appear as "Einstein Rings" in high resolution images. We carry out a systematic exploration of the high resolution imaging required to exploit the thousands of lensed quasars that will be discovered by current and upcoming surveys with the next decade. Specifically, we simulate realistic lens systems as imaged by the Hubble Space Telescope (HST), James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), and ground based adaptive optics images taken with Keck or the Thirty Meter Telescope (TMT). We compare the performance of these pointed observations with that of images taken by the Euclid (VIS), Wide-Field Infrared Survey Telescope (WFIRST) and Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) surveys. We use as our metric the precision with which the slope $γ'$ of the total mass density profile $ρ_{tot}\propto r^{-γ'}$ for the main deflector can be measured. Ideally, we require that the statistical error on $γ'$ be less than 0.02, such that it is subdominant to other sources of random and systematic uncertainties. We find that survey data will likely have sufficient depth and resolution to meet the target only for the brighter gravitational lens systems, comparable to those discovered by the SDSS survey. For fainter systems, that will be discovered by current and future surveys, targeted follow-up will be required. However, the exposure time required with upcoming facilitites such as JWST, the Keck Next Generation Adaptive Optics System, and TMT, will only be of order a few minutes per system, thus making the follow-up of hundreds of systems a practical and efficient cosmological probe.

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