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Karen Veroy

Publications and source records attributed to Karen Veroy.

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An adaptive hierarchical ensemble Kalman filter with reduced basis models

The use of model order reduction techniques in combination with ensemble-based methods for estimating the state of systems described by nonlinear partial differential equations has been of great interest in recent years in the data assimilation community. Methods such as the multi-fidelity ensemble Kalman filter (MF-EnKF) and the multi-level ensemble Kalman filter (ML-EnKF) are recognized as state-of-the-art techniques. However, in many cases, the construction of low-fidelity models in an offline stage, before solving the data assimilation problem, prevents them from being both accurate and computationally efficient. In our work, we investigate the use of adaptive reduced basis techniques in which the approximation space is modified online based on the information that is extracted from a limited number of full order solutions and that is carried by the past models. This allows to simultaneously ensure good accuracy and low cost for the employed models and thus improve the performance of the multi-fidelity and multi-level methods.

math.NA

Polytope Division Method: A Scalable Sampling Method for Problems with High-dimensional Parameters

Configuration Optimization Problems (COPs), which involve minimizing a loss function over a set of discrete points $\boldsymbolγ \subset P$, are common in areas like Model Order Reduction, Active Learning, and Optimal Experimental Design. While exact solutions are often infeasible, heuristic methods such as the Greedy Sampling Method (GSM) provide practical alternatives, particularly for low-dimensional cases. GSM recursively updates $\boldsymbolγ$ by solving a continuous optimization problem, which is typically approximated by a search over a discrete sample set $S \subset P$. However, as the dimensionality grows, the sample size suffers from the curse of dimensionality. To address this, we introduce the Polytope Division Method (PDM), a scalable greedy-type approach that adaptively partitions the parameter space and targets regions of high loss. PDM achieves linear scaling with problem dimensionality and offers an efficient solution approach for high-dimensional COPs, overcoming the limitations of traditional methods.

math.NA

A Score-based Generative Solver for PDE-constrained Inverse Problems with Complex Priors

In the field of inverse estimation for systems modeled by partial differential equations (PDEs), challenges arise when estimating high- (or even infinite-) dimensional parameters. Typically, the ill-posed nature of such problems necessitates leveraging prior information to achieve well-posedness. In most existing inverse solvers, the prior distribution is assumed to be of either Gaussian or Laplace form which, in many practical scenarios, is an oversimplification. In case the prior is complex and the likelihood model is computationally expensive (e.g., due to expensive forward models), drawing the sample from such posteriors can be computationally intractable, especially when the unknown parameter is high-dimensional. In this work, to sample efficiently, we propose a score-based diffusion model, which combines a score-based generative sampling tool with a noising and denoising process driven by stochastic differential equations. This tool is used for iterative sample generation in accordance with the posterior distribution, while simultaneously learning and leveraging the underlying information and constraints inherent in the given complex prior. A time-varying time schedule is proposed to adapt the method for posterior sampling. To expedite the simulation of non-parameterized PDEs and enhance the generalization capacity, we introduce a physics-informed convolutional neural network (CNN) surrogate for the forward model. Finally, numerical experiments, including a hyper-elastic problem and a multi-scale mechanics problem, demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed approach. In particular, the score-based diffusion model, coupled with the physics-informed CNN surrogate, effectively learns geometrical features from provided prior samples, yielding better inverse estimation results compared to the state-of-the-art techniques.

cs.CE

Choosing observation operators to mitigate model error in Bayesian inverse problems

In statistical inference, a discrepancy between the parameter-to-observable map that generates the data and the parameter-to-observable map that is used for inference can lead to misspecified likelihoods and thus to incorrect estimates. In many inverse problems, the parameter-to-observable map is the composition of a linear state-to-observable map called an `observation operator' and a possibly nonlinear parameter-to-state map called the `model'. We consider such Bayesian inverse problems where the discrepancy in the parameter-to-observable map is due to the use of an approximate model that differs from the best model, i.e. to nonzero `model error'. Multiple approaches have been proposed to address such discrepancies, each leading to a specific posterior. We show how to use local Lipschitz stability estimates of posteriors with respect to likelihood perturbations to bound the Kullback--Leibler divergence of the posterior of each approach with respect to the posterior associated to the best model. Our bounds lead to criteria for choosing observation operators that mitigate the effect of model error for Bayesian inverse problems of this type. We illustrate one such criterion on an advection-diffusion-reaction PDE inverse problem from the literature, and use this example to discuss the importance and challenges of model error-aware inference.

math.ST

A reduced order model for geometrically parameterized two-scale simulations of elasto-plastic microstructures under large deformations

In recent years, there has been a growing interest in understanding complex microstructures and their effect on macroscopic properties. In general, it is difficult to derive an effective constitutive law for such microstructures with reasonable accuracy and meaningful parameters. One numerical approach to bridge the scales is computational homogenization, in which a microscopic problem is solved at every macroscopic point, essentially replacing the effective constitutive model. Such approaches are, however, computationally expensive and typically infeasible in multi-query contexts such as optimization and material design. To render these analyses tractable, surrogate models that can accurately approximate and accelerate the microscopic problem over a large design space of shapes, material and loading parameters are required. In this work, we develop a reduced order model based on Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD), Empirical Cubature Method (ECM) and a geometrical transformation method with the following key features: (i) large shape variations of the microstructure are captured, (ii) only relatively small amounts of training data are necessary, and (iii) highly non-linear history-dependent behaviors are treated. The proposed framework is tested and examined in two numerical examples, involving two scales and large geometrical variations. In both cases, high speed-ups and accuracies are achieved while observing good extrapolation behavior.

cs.CE

Multiscale modeling of linear elastic heterogeneous structures via localized model order reduction

In this paper, a methodology for fine scale modeling of large scale structures is proposed, which combines the variational multiscale method, domain decomposition and model order reduction. The influence of the fine scale on the coarse scale is modelled by the use of an additive split of the displacement field, addressing applications without a clear scale separation. Local reduced spaces are constructed by solving an oversampling problem with random boundary conditions. Herein, we inform the boundary conditions by a global reduced problem and compare our approach using physically meaningful correlated samples with existing approaches using uncorrelated samples. The local spaces are designed such that the local contribution of each subdomain can be coupled in a conforming way, which also preserves the sparsity pattern of standard finite element assembly procedures. Several numerical experiments show the accuracy and efficiency of the method, as well as its potential to reduce the size of the local spaces and the number of training samples compared to the uncorrelated sampling.

cs.CE

A Greedy Sensor Selection Algorithm for Hyperparameterized Linear Bayesian Inverse Problems

We consider optimal sensor placement for a family of linear Bayesian inverse problems characterized by a deterministic hyper-parameter. The hyper-parameter describes distinct configurations in which measurements can be taken of the observed physical system. To optimally reduce the uncertainty in the system's model with a single set of sensors, the initial sensor placement needs to account for the non-linear state changes of all admissible configurations. We address this requirement through an observability coefficient which links the posteriors' uncertainties directly to the choice of sensors. We propose a greedy sensor selection algorithm to iteratively improve the observability coefficient for all configurations through orthogonal matching pursuit. The algorithm allows explicitly correlated noise models even for large sets of candidate sensors, and remains computationally efficient for high-dimensional forward models through model order reduction. We demonstrate our approach on a large-scale geophysical model of the Perth Basin, and provide numerical studies regarding optimality and scalability with regard to classic optimal experimental design utility functions.

math.NA

Learning constitutive models from microstructural simulations via a non-intrusive reduced basis method: Extension to geometrical parameterizations

Understanding structure-property relations is essential to optimally design materials for specific applications. Two-scale simulations are often employed to analyze the effect of the microstructure on a component's macroscopic properties. However, they are typically computationally expensive and infeasible in multi-query contexts such as optimization and material design. To make such analyses amenable, the microscopic simulations can be replaced by surrogate models that must be able to handle a wide range of microstructural parameters. This work focuses on extending the methodology of a previous work, where an accurate surrogate model was constructed for microstructures under varying loading and material parameters using proper orthogonal decomposition and Gaussian process regression, to treat geometrical parameters. To this end, a method that transforms different geometries onto a parent domain is presented. We propose to solve an auxiliary problem based on linear elasticity to obtain the geometrical transformations. Using these transformations, combined with the nonlinear microscopic problem, we derive a fast-to-evaluate surrogate model with the following key features: (1) the predictions of the effective quantities are independent of the auxiliary problem, (2) the predicted stress fields fulfill the microscopic balance laws and are periodic, (3) the method is non-intrusive, (4) the stress field for all geometries can be recovered, and (5) the sensitivities are available and can be readily used for optimization and material design. The proposed methodology is tested on several composite microstructures, where rotations and large variations in the shape of inclusions are considered. Finally, a two-scale example is shown, where the surrogate model achieves a high accuracy and significant speed up, demonstrating its potential in two-scale shape optimization and material design problems.

cs.CE

A Reduced Basis Ensemble Kalman Method

In the process of reproducing the state dynamics of parameter dependent distributed systems, data from physical measurements can be incorporated into the mathematical model to reduce the parameter uncertainty and, consequently, improve the state prediction. Such a Data Assimilation process must deal with the data and model misfit arising from experimental noise as well as model inaccuracies and uncertainties. In this work, we focus on the ensemble Kalman method (EnKM), a particle-based iterative regularization method designed for \textit{a posteriori} analysis of time series. The method is gradient free and, like the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), relies on a sample of parameters or particle ensemble to identify the state that better reproduces the physical observations, while preserving the physics of the system as described by the best knowledge model. We consider systems described by parameterized parabolic partial differential equations and employ model order reduction (MOR) techniques to generate surrogate models of different accuracy with uncertain parameters. Their use in combination with the EnKM involves the introduction of the model bias which constitutes a new source of systematic error. To mitigate its impact, an algorithm adjustment is proposed accounting for a prior estimation of the bias in the data. The resulting RB-EnKM is tested in different conditions, including different ensemble sizes and increasing levels of experimental noise. The results are compared to those obtained with the standard EnKF and with the unadjusted algorithm.

math.NA

Learning constitutive models from microstructural simulations via a non-intrusive reduced basis method

In order to optimally design materials, it is crucial to understand the structure-property relations in the material by analyzing the effect of microstructure parameters on the macroscopic properties. In computational homogenization, the microstructure is thus explicitly modeled inside the macrostructure, leading to a coupled two-scale formulation. Unfortunately, the high computational costs of such multiscale simulations often render the solution of design, optimization, or inverse problems infeasible. To address this issue, we propose in this work a non-intrusive reduced basis method to construct inexpensive surrogates for parametrized microscale problems; the method is specifically well-suited for multiscale simulations since the coupled simulation is decoupled into two independent problems: (1) solving the microscopic problem for different (loading or material) parameters and learning a surrogate model from the data; and (2) solving the macroscopic problem with the learned material model. The proposed method has three key features. First, the microscopic stress field can be fully recovered. Second, the method is able to accurately predict the stress field for a wide range of material parameters; furthermore, the derivatives of the effective stress with respect to the material parameters are available and can be readily utilized in solving optimization problems. Finally, it is more data efficient, i.e. requiring less training data, as compared to directly performing a regression on the effective stress. For the microstructures in the two test problems considered, the mean approximation error of the effective stress is as low as 0.1% despite using a relatively small training dataset. Embedded into the macroscopic problem, the reduced order model leads to an online speed up of approximately three orders of magnitude while maintaining a high accuracy as compared to the FE$^2$ solver.

cs.CE

A sequential sensor selection strategy for hyper-parameterized linear Bayesian inverse problems

We consider optimal sensor placement for hyper-parameterized linear Bayesian inverse problems, where the hyper-parameter characterizes nonlinear flexibilities in the forward model, and is considered for a range of possible values. This model variability needs to be taken into account for the experimental design to guarantee that the Bayesian inverse solution is uniformly informative. In this work we link the numerical stability of the maximum a posterior point and A-optimal experimental design to an observability coefficient that directly describes the influence of the chosen sensors. We propose an algorithm that iteratively chooses the sensor locations to improve this coefficient and thereby decrease the eigenvalues of the posterior covariance matrix. This algorithm exploits the structure of the solution manifold in the hyper-parameter domain via a reduced basis surrogate solution for computational efficiency. We illustrate our results with a steady-state thermal conduction problem.

math.NA

3D-VAR for Parametrized Partial Differential Equations: A Certified Reduced Basis Approach

In this paper, we propose a reduced order approach for 3D variational data assimilation governed by parametrized partial differential equations. In contrast to the classical 3D-VAR formulation that penalizes the measurement error directly, we present a modified formulation that penalizes the experimentally-observable misfit in the measurement space. Furthermore, we include a model correction term that allows to obtain an improved state estimate. We begin by discussing the influence of the measurement space on the amplification of noise and prove a necessary and sufficient condition for the identification of a "good" measurement space. We then propose a certified reduced basis (RB) method for the estimation of the model correction, the state prediction, the adjoint solution and the observable misfit with respect to the true state for real-time and many-query applications. A posteriori bounds are proposed for the error in each of these approximations. Finally, we introduce different approaches for the generation of the reduced basis spaces and the stability-based selection of measurement functionals. The 3D-VAR method and the associated certified reduced basis approximation are tested in a parameter and state estimation problem for a steady-state thermal conduction problem with unknown parameters and unknown Neumann boundary conditions.

math.NA

Reduced basis approximation and a~posteriori error bounds for 4D-Var data assimilation

We propose a certified reduced basis approach for the strong- and weak-constraint four-dimensional variational (4D-Var) data assimilation problem for a parametrized PDE model. While the standard strong-constraint 4D-Var approach uses the given observational data to estimate only the unknown initial condition of the model, the weak-constraint 4D-Var formulation additionally provides an estimate for the model error and thus can deal with imperfect models. Since the model error is a distributed function in both space and time, the 4D-Var formulation leads to a large-scale optimization problem for every given parameter instance of the PDE model. To solve the problem efficiently, various reduced order approaches have therefore been proposed in the recent past. Here, we employ the reduced basis method to generate reduced order approximations for the state, adjoint, initial condition, and model error. Our main contribution is the development of efficiently computable \textit{a~posteriori} upper bounds for the error of the reduced basis approximation with respect to the underlying high-dimensional 4D-Var problem. Numerical results are conducted to test the validity of our approach.

math.OC

A Duality Approach to Error Estimation for Variational Inequalities

Motivated by problems in contact mechanics, we propose a duality approach for computing approximations and associated a posteriori error bounds to solutions of variational inequalities of the first kind. The proposed approach improves upon existing methods introduced in the context of the reduced basis method in two ways. First, it provides sharp a posteriori error bounds which mimic the rate of convergence of the RB approximation. Second, it enables a full offline-online computational decomposition in which the online cost is completely independent of the dimension of the original (high-dimensional) problem. Numerical results comparing the performance of the proposed and existing approaches illustrate the superiority of the duality approach in cases where the dimension of the full problem is high.

math.NA

Reduced Basis A Posteriori Error Bounds for the Instationary Stokes Equations

We present reduced basis approximations and rigorous a posteriori error bounds for the instationary Stokes equations. We shall discuss both a method based on the standard formulation as well as a method based on a penalty approach, which combine techniques developed in our previous work on parametrized saddle point problems with current reduced basis techniques for parabolic problems. The analysis then shows how time integration affects the development of reduced basis a posteriori error bounds as well as the construction of computationally efficient reduced basis approximation spaces. To demonstrate their performance in practice, the methods are applied to a Stokes flow in a two-dimensional microchannel with a parametrized rectangular obstacle; evolution in time is induced by a time-dependent velocity profile on the inflow boundary. Numerical results illustrate (i) the rapid convergence of reduced basis approximations, (ii) the performance of a posteriori error bounds with respect to sharpness, and (iii) computational efficiency.

math.NA

Reduced Basis A Posteriori Error Bounds for Symmetric Parametrized Saddle Point Problems

This paper directly builds upon previous work where we introduced new reduced basis a posteriori error bounds for parametrized saddle point problems based on Brezzi's theory. We here sharpen these estimates for the special case of a symmetric problem. Numerical results provide a direct comparison with former approaches and quantify the superiority of the new developed error bounds in practice: Effectivities now decrease significantly; consequently, the proposed methods provide accurate reduced basis approximations at much less computational cost.

math.NA