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Karen Xie

Publications and source records attributed to Karen Xie.

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Generative AI and Organizational Structure in the Knowledge Economy

Generative AI (GenAI) is rapidly transforming knowledge work, yet its implications for organizational hierarchies remain poorly understood. Unlike earlier automation technologies, GenAI can both perform tasks autonomously and assist human workers, while its intrinsic fallibility, the tendency to produce confident but incorrect outputs, demands continuous human oversight. We develop a theoretical model to study how GenAI reshapes workforce composition and organizational structure in knowledge-based hierarchies. Our analysis highlights two deployment dimensions, namely mode (automation vs.\ augmentation) and location (worker vs.\ expert layer), which generate a 2X2 design space whose organizational implications are not predicted by traditional technology adoption theories. We obtain three main findings. First, GenAI's effect on entry-level skill requirements is critically mode-dependent. Worker-level automation leads firms to hire fewer but more skilled workers who validate AI outputs and limit costly escalation to experts. Worker-level augmentation, by contrast, expands workers' effective capability, allowing firms to relax entry-level knowledge requirements while sustaining performance. The decline in junior employment documented in recent studies therefore reflects deployment choices favoring automation over augmentation, not an inevitable consequence of GenAI itself. Second, expert-level deployment uniformly lowers entry-level skill requirements, regardless of whether GenAI automates or augments. By expanding experts' capacity to support downstream workers, it enables organizations to employ a broader base of less specialized workers, thereby broadening entry-level access to knowledge work. Third, organizational structure evolves non-monotonically as GenAI improves: across all four deployment architectures, the span of control initially contracts before eventually expanding.

econ.TH

The Economics of AI Foundation Models: Openness, Competition, and Governance

The strategic choice of model "openness" has become a defining issue for the foundation model (FM) ecosystem. While this choice is intensely debated, its underlying economic drivers remain underexplored. We construct a two-period game-theoretic model to analyze how openness shapes competition in an AI value chain, featuring an incumbent developer, a downstream deployer, and an entrant developer. Openness exerts a dual effect: it amplifies knowledge spillovers to the entrant, but it also enhances the incumbent's advantage through a "data flywheel effect," whereby greater user engagement today further lowers the deployer's future fine-tuning cost. Our analysis reveals that the incumbent's optimal first-period openness is surprisingly non-monotonic in the strength of the data flywheel effect. When the data flywheel effect is either weak or very strong, the incumbent prefers a higher level of openness; however, for an intermediate range, it strategically restricts openness to impair the entrant's learning. This dynamic gives rise to an "openness trap," a critical policy paradox where transparency mandates can backfire by removing firms' strategic flexibility, reducing investment, and lowering welfare. We extend the model to show that other common interventions can be similarly ineffective. Vertical integration, for instance, only benefits the ecosystem when the data flywheel effect is strong enough to overcome the loss of a potentially more efficient competitor. Likewise, government subsidies intended to spur adoption can be captured entirely by the incumbent through strategic price and openness adjustments, leaving the rest of the value chain worse off. By modeling the developer's strategic response to competitive and regulatory pressures, we provide a robust framework for analyzing competition and designing effective policy in the complex and rapidly evolving FM ecosystem.

econ.TH