arXiv subjects

Karolina Garcia

Publications and source records attributed to Karolina Garcia.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

A New Window into the Baryon Cycle at Cosmic Noon with Line Intensity Mapping: Forecasts for auto- and cross-correlations in [CII]-158$μ$m, HI 21 cm, CO$_{J+1\rightarrow J}$, and H$α$ galaxies

Across the peak of cosmic star formation at $z\sim1-2$, inflow, processing, and feedback drive rapid changes in the spatial distribution and chemical composition of baryons in galaxies and surrounding reservoirs; this baryon cycle can be tomographically mapped by line intensity mapping (LIM) of atomic hydrogen, ionized carbon, and carbon monoxide. We present a simulation-based forecasting framework for detecting auto- and cross-power spectra between spectroscopic surveys of four such tracers at $z\sim0.5-1.7$ mapping the same deep field - TIM, EoRSpec/FYST, MeerKAT, & Euclid. We forward-model 3-D distributions for these tracers from magnetohydrodynamic simulations, directly capturing the two-halo, one-halo, and shot statistics without relying on analytical decompositions. We further detail a signal-to-noise formalism, tailored to LIM surveys with highly anisotropic geometries and Fourier-space coverage. We demonstrate that galaxy cross-correlations will be the dominant discovery channel for current-generation surveys. These instruments will detect the auto-spectra for CO and HI 21 cm and the CO $\times$ 21 cm cross-spectrum at modest S/N $\sim 1-10$, while placing upper limits on the [CII]-158$μ$m signals. [CII], CO, and HI LIM will be $\sim3-30\times$ ($0.5-1.5$ dex) more sensitive to cross-correlation with the Euclid survey, however, than their respective auto-correlations, constraining all three models of line emission at high significance (S/N $\sim 10-40$) within this decade. Finally, we formulate a staged instrumental trajectory with planned or reasonable improvements, including the as-proposed SKA-Mid. We forecast advancing the per-$k$-mode sensitivities of each auto-, galaxy-line, and line-line spectrum by several orders of magnitude, enabling new percent- and sub-percent level constraints on cosmology and the redshift evolution of star formation and the baryon cycle.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Forecasting the cross correlation of Terahertz Intensity Mapper [CII] line intensity maps with Euclid galaxies

We forecast that the Terahertz Intensity Mapper (TIM) cross-correlated with Euclid's Fornax deep field (EDF-F), TIM$\times$EDF-F, will detect the [CII]-galaxy cross-power spectrum at a median redshift of 1.1 with $\gtrsim 7 σ$ confidence. The Poisson component of the cross-power spectrum at $0.1 \leq k \leq 10$ hMpc$^{-1}$ (i.e. cross-shot noise) will be detected at $\gtrsim 3 σ$ in 4 bins spanning $0.5 < z< 1.7$. This measurement will constrain the mean [CII] specific intensity over half of cosmic history and assess the degree to which Euclid-selected galaxies account for the [CII] intensity observed by TIM. We find that TIM can detect the cross-power spectrum across a wide range of [CII] intensity models.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Predicting the resolved CO emission of $z=1-3$ star-forming galaxies

(Abridged) Resolved observations of the CO emission from $z=1-3$ star-forming galaxies are becoming increasingly common, with new high-resolution surveys on the horizon. We aim to inform the interpretation of this resolved CO emission by creating synthetic observations and testing to what extent routinely observed CO transitions can be used to trace H$_2$ across galaxy disks. To this end, we extract $z=1-3$ massive star-forming galaxies (on and above the main sequence) from the SIMBA cosmological simulation and predict their spatially resolved CO(1$-$0)-to-CO(5$-$4) emission using the $\texttt{SLICK}$ pipeline, which combines sub-resolution modeling of the cloud population with the DESPOTIC spectral line calculation code. We find that the CO(1$-$0)-to-H$_2$ ratio ($α_{\rm CO}$) varies significantly within these galaxy disks$-$from values of $\sim1-5$ $\mathrm{M_\odot}$ (K km s$^{-1}$ pc$^2$)$^{-1}$ in the central 1-3 kpc of the most massive galaxies to $>100$ $\mathrm{M_\odot}$ (K km s$^{-1}$ pc$^2$)$^{-1}$ at $\sim$ 15 kpc. Thus, the use of a single $α_{\rm CO}$ to derive the H$_2$ surface density leads to severe underestimates of the H$_2$ contribution in its outskirts. As expected, higher-$J$ CO transitions trace molecular gas in the centers at higher densities, whereas CO(1$-$0) better traces the more diffuse, extended molecular gas. We see significant variations in the CO excitation, with CO(3$-$2)/CO(1$-$0) line luminosity ratios of the most massive galaxies at $z\sim2$ declining from $\sim$ 0.9 in the galaxy centers to $\sim$ 0.1 in the outskirts. On average, line ratios increase substantially toward higher redshifts and lower galaxy stellar masses. We predict that tracing molecular gas with CO beyond 3-5 kpc of cosmic noon galaxies will be challenging with current facilities due to the drastic increase in $α_{\rm CO}$.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2024

The Massive and Distant Clusters of WISE Survey 2: Second Data Release

We present the second data release of the Massive and Distant Clusters of WISE Survey 2 (MaDCoWS2). We expand from the equatorial first data release to most of the Dark Energy Camera Legacy Survey area, covering a total area of 6498 deg^2. The catalog consists of 133,036 S/N $\geq5$ galaxy cluster candidates at $0.1\leq z \leq2$, including 6790 candidates at z > 1.5. We train a convolutional neural network (CNN) to identify spurious detections, and include CNN-based cluster probabilities in the final catalog. We also compare the MaDCoWS2 sample with literature catalogs in the same area. The larger sample provides robust results that are consistent with our first data release. At S/N $\geq5$, we rediscover 59-91% of clusters in existing catalogs that lie in the unmasked area of MC2. The median positional offsets are under 250 kpc, and the standard deviation of the redshifts is 0.031(1+z). We fit a redshift-dependent power law to the relation between MaDCoWS2 S/N and observables from existing catalogs. Over the redshift ranges where the surveys overlap with MaDCoWS2, the lowest scatter is found between S/N and observables from optical/infrared surveys. We also assess the performance of our method using a mock light cone measuring purity and completeness as a function of cluster mass. The purity is above 90%, and we estimate the 50% completeness threshold at a virial mass of log(M/M$_\odot$)$\approx14.3$. The completeness estimate is uncertain due to the small number of massive halos in the light cone, but consistent with the recovery fraction found by comparing to other cluster catalogs.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2024

$\texttt{slick}$: Modeling a Universe of Molecular Line Luminosities in Hydrodynamical Simulations

We present {\sc slick} (the Scalable Line Intensity Computation Kit), a software package that calculates realistic CO, [\ion{C}{1}], and [\ion{C}{2}] luminosities for clouds and galaxies formed in hydrodynamic simulations. Built on the radiative transfer code {\sc despotic}, {\sc slick} computes the thermal, radiative, and statistical equilibrium in concentric zones of model clouds, based on their physical properties and individual environments. We validate our results applying {\sc slick} to the high-resolution run of the {\sc Simba} simulations, testing the derived luminosities against empirical and theoretical/analytic relations. To simulate the line emission from a universe of emitting clouds, we have incorporated random forest machine learning (ML) methods into our approach, allowing us to predict cosmologically evolving properties of CO, [\ion{C}{1}] and [\ion{C}{2}] emission from galaxies such as luminosity functions. We tested this model in 100,000 gas particles, and 2,500 galaxies, reaching an average accuracy of $\sim$99.8\% for all lines. Finally, we present the first model light cones created with realistic and ML-predicted CO, [\ion{C}{1}], and [\ion{C}{2}] luminosities in cosmological hydrodynamical simulations, from $z=0$ to $z=10$.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2020

Improving the Line of Sight for the Anisotropic 3-Point Correlation Function of Galaxies: Centroid and Unit-Vector-Average Methods Scaling as $\mathcal{O}(N^2)$

The 3-Point Correlation Function (3PCF), which measures correlations between triplets of galaxies encodes information about peculiar velocities, which distort the observed positions of galaxies along the line of sight away from their true positions. To access this information, we must track the 3PCF's dependence not only on each triangle's shape, but also on its orientation with respect to the line of sight. Consequently, different choices for the line of sight will affect the measured 3PCF. Up to now, the line of sight has been taken as the direction to a single triplet member (STM), but which triplet member is used impacts the 3PCF by ~20% of the statistical error for a BOSS-like survey. For DESI (2019-24), which is 5X more precise, this would translate to 100% of the statistical error, increasing the total error bar by 40%. We here propose a new method that is fully symmetric between the triplet members, and uses either the average of the three galaxy position vectors (which we show points to the triangle centroid), or the average of their unit (direction) vectors. Naively, these approaches would seem to require triplet counting, scaling as $N^3$, with $N$ the number of objects in the survey. By harnessing the solid harmonic shift theorem, we here show how these methods can be evaluated scaling as $N^2$. We expect that they can be used to make a robust, systematics-free measurement of the anisotropic 3PCF of upcoming redshift surveys such as DESI. So doing will in turn open an additional channel to constrain the growth rate of structure and thereby learn the matter density as well as test the theory of gravity.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2020

On the amount of peculiar velocity field information in supernovae from LSST and beyond

Peculiar velocities introduce correlations between supernova magnitudes, which implies that the supernova Hubble diagram residual carries information on both the matter power spectrum at the present time and its growth rate. By a combination of brute-force exact computations of likelihoods and Fisher matrix analysis, we investigate how this information, which comes from supernova data only, depends on different survey parameters such as covered area, depth, and duration. We show that, for a survey like The Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) and a fixed redshift depth, the same observing time provides the same cosmological information whether one observes a larger area, or a smaller area during more years. We also show that although the peculiar velocity information is peaked in the range $z \in [0, 0.2]$, there is yet plenty of information in $z \in [0.2, 0.5]$, and for very high supernova number densities there is even more information in the latter range. We conclude that, after 5 years, LSST could measure $σ_8$ with an uncertainty of 0.17 with the current strategy, and that this could be improved to 0.09 if the supernova completeness is improved to 20%. Moreover, we forecast results considering the extra parameter $γ$, and show that this creates a non-linear degeneracy with $σ_8$ that makes the Fisher matrix analysis inadequate. Finally, we discuss the possibility of achieving competitive results with the current Zwicky Transient Facility.

astro-ph.CO↗