arXiv subjects

Kathryne J. Daniel

Publications and source records attributed to Kathryne J. Daniel.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

The Role of Dark Matter in Driving Disk Perturbations: Application to LMC-SMC Like Galaxy Interactions

Dark-matter (DM) models predict that satellite galaxies distort their host's DM halo. As such, both the satellite and the distorted halo can perturb the host's stellar disk. The LMC-SMC system is a nearby $\sim1:10$~mass-ratio binary with a well-constrained orbit and well-characterized LMC disk perturbations. Hence, the system offers unique opportunities to test DM theory, provided the impact of halo torques on the LMC's disk can be characterized along with the SMC's torques. We use halo Basis Function Expansions (BFEs) of an N-body simulation of an isolated LMC-SMC-like interaction to quantify the time-dependent torques exerted on the LMC's disk by the SMC and the LMC's DM halo. We find that the halo torques arise from the quadrupole halo distortion, and the inner (R$<6$ kpc) LMC disk warps are the most promising probe of this quadrupole. For the first time, we construct a BFE to quantify the LMC's disk perturbations resulting from the SMC and halo torques. We find that the LMC's disk is significantly perturbed prior to the Clouds' Milky Way infall, possessing warps with a mean vertical extent of $\sim1$ kpc. Finally, we apply multi-channel singular spectral analysis (mSSA) to the time-series of the disk BFE coefficients, halo quadrupole, and the LMC-SMC orbit. mSSA successfully separates the temporal evolution of the LMC warps into components correlated with the halo versus the SMC. Our framework identifies correlated evolution between the LMC's halo distortions and the LMC's disk perturbations, enabling the Clouds to be a precision laboratory for DM physics.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

Spiral Morphology and Radial Migration: Kinematically heating, cooling, and cold

Transient spiral arms are known to drive radial redistribution of stars and thus could play a central role in shaping disk galaxies, including modifying, over time, the age, chemical, and kinematic (chrono-chemo-dynamic) distributions in the Milky Way. However, the physical factors governing the efficiency of such processes remain poorly understood. This paper investigates how the morphology of spiral arms -- the number, pitch angle, lifetime, and radial dependence of the pattern speed -- influences orbital redistribution through 'cold torquing' at the corotation resonance(s). Analytic expressions are derived for the maximum radial excursion of stars trapped at corotation that explicitly account for spiral morphology, predicting that the efficiency of cold torquing for a density-wave like spiral is greater for more open spiral patterns. Tracer-particle simulations confirm the analytic prediction, in both two- and three-dimensional galactic potentials. In contrast, spirals that have a radially dependent pattern speed such that they corotate with the disk at all radii exhibit the opposite behavior, with cold torquing becoming more efficient as the spiral winds to smaller pitch angles over time. This study further finds that resonant interactions from the same transient spiral causing cold torquing naturally also produces both kinematic heating and cooling of orbits away from corotation. These results demonstrate that spiral morphology alone cannot predict the efficiency of cold torquing and suggest that the relationship between spiral pitch angle and radial redistribution provides a potential diagnostic for distinguishing between competing theories of spiral structure.

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arXiv2026

Search For a Counterpart to the Subsolar Mass Gravitational Wave Candidate S251112cm

The recent candidate gravitational-wave (GW) alert from a compact object merger involving at least one subsolar mass (SSM) object has prompted questions about their origins. S251112cm is reported by LIGO/Virgo with a false alarm rate of 1 per 6.2 years, nearby luminosity distance $93 \pm 27$ Mpc, and probability of containing a SSM object of 100%. Such a system, if astrophysical, likely did not involve the supersolar neutron stars or black holes invoked to explain kilonovae. One must then also invoke hitherto unobserved and speculative models to produce SSM mergers which may have electromagnetic (EM) counterparts. We introduce a framework which vets and scores candidate counterparts to SSM GW events to inform follow-up in search of any among the zoo of potential EM transients: kilonovae, kilonovae-within-supernovae, super-kilonovae, or AGN flares from binary black hole mergers. We use a suite of telescopes to perform tiling, galaxy-targeted observations, and photometric/spectroscopic follow-up of promising candidates. In near-real time, we ingest candidates reported by the community, including some of the first observations reported by the Vera C. Rubin Observatory. We vet and score a total of 456 candidates, including 67 from Rubin, but find no likely counterpart. We nonetheless highlight candidates which demonstrate the ability of our framework to distinguish between different transient types and describe strategies to maximize the chances of detecting a counterpart to the next SSM event. Our framework will be implemented in the forthcoming Multimessenger Tool for Rapid Object Vetting and Examination (TROVE).

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Hot or Cold? Radial Redistribution of Stars in FIRE Simulations of Milky Way-Mass Galaxies and the Asymmetry of Inward versus Outward Migrators

Stars can radially redistribute (migrate) within galactic disks. The degree to which this occurs as dynamically `cold' (preserves orbital eccentricity) or `hot' (increases eccentricity) remains debated. Many models presume that radial redistribution occurs primarily via cold torquing, resulting in changes in angular momentum without dynamical heating. We test the net dynamical heating associated with redistribution over stellar lifetimes using the FIRE cosmological zoom-in simulations of 12 Milky Way-mass galaxies. We select star particles today that underwent significant changes in orbital angular momentum, j_phi, since birth. We investigate net changes in their orbital eccentricity, e, and we quantify the `cold-torqued' fraction of star particles with |Delta j_phi/j_phi,birth| > 0.2 that preserved eccentricity (|Delta e| < 0.1) since birth. The direction of radial redistribution is most critical: outward-migrating stars experienced smaller net changes in eccentricity, whereas inward-migrating stars almost always heat since birth. For stars born on near-circular orbits (e_birth < 0.2), the cold-torqued fraction decreases rapidly with age today and is generally < 50% at ages >~2 Gyr. Stars born on moderately eccentric orbits (e_birth ~ 0.4) are the most likely to preserve their birth eccentricity. However, the cold-torqued fraction is higher in earlier-forming and/or dynamically-colder disks. Significantly, we identify a population of stars that dynamically `cooled', decreasing in eccentricity since birth: this is the primary way that stars end up on near-circular orbits today. Overall, a star's migration direction, its e_birth, and its age primarily determine whether it was dynamically heated, cooled, or unchanged. In general, radial redistribution in FIRE is typically not cold between birth and today.

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arXiv2026

Wrinkles in Time. II. Stellar Age Trends in Kinematic Signatures from Transient Spiral Structure

Spiral arms in the disks of galaxies like the Milky Way can generate kinematic signatures, which appear as ridges or wrinkles in action space. Such signatures have proven difficult to disentangle using kinematic measures alone. In this study, we investigate how including stellar age as an additional dimension for analysis may provide a novel insight into the physical characteristics, timescales, and nature of the progenitors of such perturbations, where these novel insights could contribute to our understanding of the history of spiral arms in the Milky Way. We used a suite of tracer particle simulations that modeled a variety of prescriptions for spiral arms to characterize observable trends. The Lindblad resonances of nonwinding spirals produce signature overdensities, or wrinkles, in a kinematic space that is typically associated with older stellar populations (high radial action). We find that these wrinkles are preferentially populated with stars that were initially in nearly circular orbits, kinematics that is generally correlated with younger stellar ages. It follows that the stellar age distribution of wrinkle populations could serve to place constraints on the past passage of a transient spiral pattern in the solar neighborhood. For example, our simulations suggest that a physically motivated spiral pattern could significantly populate a wrinkle with zero-age stars in orbits typically occupied by stars much older than the Sun.

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arXiv2026

An Increase in the Galactic Planet Host Fraction Fails to Reproduce the Galactic Height Trend in Planet Occurrence

While stellar metallicity has long been known to correlate with planetary properties, the galactic metallicity gradient alone does not account for the observed strong trend in planet occurrence with Galactic height. In this study, we investigate the observable effect of a time-dependent planet occurrence rate upon a sample of stars selected uniformly from the Kepler and K2 surveys. Using a novel planetary system population synthesis code, psps, we impose several prescriptions for a time-variable planet host fraction, f, in which a primordial f1 either instantaneously or gradually increased to a present-day f2. We then simulate the expected small planet occurrence rate around FGK dwarfs as a function of galactic height. Finally, we compare the modeled trends to the observed result from the missions themselves. We find that using a joint Kepler-K2 sample with isochrone ages, an increase in f is insufficient to reproduce the strength of the observed trend between occurrence and Galactic height. We show that not all of this is due to insufficient age precision: using a synthetic stellar population from the TRILEGAL framework, we show that even with very precise ages, we can rule out models of gradually increasing f. We also derive the Kepler occurrence-height relation and find that an increase in f is better able to match this trend. An analysis using more precise ages and incorporating an evolving compact multi fraction could furnish a realistic relation in planet occurrence with Galactic height that matches the observed Kepler-K2 trend.

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arXiv2025

The dark matter wake of a galactic bar revealed by multichannel Singular Spectral Analysis

The Milky Way is known to contain a stellar bar, as are a significant fraction of disc galaxies across the universe. Our understanding of bar evolution, both theoretically and through analysis of simulations indicates that bars both grow in amplitude and slow down over time through interaction and angular momentum exchange with the galaxy's dark matter halo. Understanding the physical mechanisms underlying this coupling requires modelling of the structural deformations to the potential that are mutually induced between components. In this work we use Basis Function Expansion (BFE) in combination with multichannel Singular Spectral Analysis (mSSA) as a non-parametric analysis tool to illustrate the coupling between the bar and the dark halo in a single high-resolution isolated barred disc galaxy simulation. We demonstrate the power of mSSA to extract and quantify explicitly coupled dynamical modes, determining growth rates, pattern speeds and phase lags for different stages of evolution of the stellar bar and the dark matter response. BFE & mSSA together grant us the ability to explore the importance and physical mechanisms of bar-halo coupling, and other dynamically coupled structures across a wide range of dynamical environments.

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arXiv2025

Understanding the Origin and Dynamical Evolution of the Unique Open Star Cluster Berkeley 20 using FIRE Simulations

Open clusters (OCs) act as key probes that can be leveraged to constrain the formation and evolution of the Milky Way (MW)'s disk, as each has a unique chemical fingerprint and well-constrained age. Significant Galactic dynamic interactions can leave imprints on the orbital properties of OCs, allowing us to use the present day properties of long-lived OCs to reconstruct the MW's dynamic history. To explore these changes, we identify OC analogs in FIRE-2 simulations of MW-mass galaxies. For this work, we focus on one particular FIRE-2 OC, which we identify as an analog to the old, subsolar, distant, and high Galactic latitude MW OC, Berkeley 20. Our simulated OC resides ~6 kpc from the galactic center and ultimately reaches a height $|Z_{\mathrm{max}}|>2$ kpc from the galactic disk, similar to Berkeley 20. We trace the simulated cluster's orbital and environmental history, identifying key perturbative episodes, including: (1) an interaction with a gas overdensity in a spiral arm that prompts an outward migration event and (2) a substantial interaction with a Sagittarius Dwarf Spheroidal Galaxy-mass satellite that causes significant orbital modification. Our simulated OC shows significant resilience to disruption during both its outward migration and the satellite-driven heating event that causes subsequent inward migration. Ultimately, we find these two key processes -- migration and satellite heating -- are essential to include when assessing OC orbital dynamics in the era of Gaia.

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arXiv2025

Shaping the Milky Way. II. The dark matter halo's response to the LMC's passage in a cosmological context

The distribution of dark matter in the Milky Way (MW) is expected to exhibit a large-scale dynamical response to the recent infall of the LMC. This event produces a dynamical friction wake and shifts the MW's halo density center. The structure of this response encodes information about the LMC- MW mass ratio, the LMC's orbit, the MW halo's pre-infall structure and could provide constraints on dark matter physics. To extract this information, a method to separate these effects and recover the initial shape of the MW's halo is required. Here, we use basis function expansions to analyze the halo response in eighteen simulations of MW-LMC-like interactions from the MWest cosmological, dark-matter-only zoom-in simulations. The results show that mergers similar to the LMC consistently generate a significant dipole and a secondary quadrupole response in the halo. The dipole arises from the host density center displacement and halo distortions, and its amplitude scales as the square of the MW-LMC mass ratio, peaking 0.2-0.7 Gyr after the LMC's pericenter. The quadrupole's strength depends primarily on the original axis ratios of the host halo, though contributions from the dynamical friction wake cause it to peak less than 0.3 Gyr before pericenter. Future measurements of both the dipole and quadrupole imprints of the LMC's passage in the density of the MW's stellar halo should be able to disentangle these effects and provide insight into the initial structure of the MW's halo, the MW's response, and the mass of the LMC.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Optimizing Kilonova Searches: A Case Study of the Type IIb SN 2025ulz in the Localization Volume of the Low-Significance Gravitational Wave Event S250818k

Kilonovae, the ultraviolet/optical/infrared counterparts to binary neutron star mergers, are an exceptionally rare class of transients. Optical follow-up campaigns are plagued by contaminating transients, which may mimic kilonovae, but do not receive sufficient observations to measure the full photometric evolution. In this work, we present an analysis of the multi-wavelength dataset of supernova (SN) 2025ulz, a proposed kilonova candidate following the low-significance detection of gravitational waves originating from the potential binary neutron star merger S250818k. Despite an early rapid decline in brightness, our multi-wavelength observations of SN 2025ulz reveal that it is a type IIb supernova. As part of this analysis, we demonstrate the capabilities of a novel quantitative scoring algorithm to determine the likelihood that a transient candidate is a kilonova, based primarily on its 3D location and light curve evolution. We also apply our scoring algorithm to other transient candidates in the localization volume of S250818k and find that, at all times after the discovery of SN 2025ulz, there are $\geq 4$ candidates with a score comparable to SN 2025ulz, indicating that the kilonova search may have benefited from the additional follow-up of other candidates. During future kilonova searches, this type of scoring algorithm will be useful to rule out contaminating transients in real time, optimizing the use of valuable telescope resources.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

The Orbital Eccentricities of Planets in the Kinematic Thin and Thick Galactic Disks

The orbital eccentricity distribution of exoplanets is shaped by a combination of dynamical processes, reflecting both formation conditions and long-term evolution. Probing the orbital dynamics of planets in the kinematic thin and thick Galactic disks provides insight into the degree to which stellar and Galactic environmental factors affect planet formation and evolution pathways. The classification of host stars in Galactic kinematic terms constitutes a potentially useful axis for the interpretation of orbital eccentricity, when included together with stellar metallicity and age. Leveraging the photoeccentric effect, we constrain orbital eccentricities for the sample of Kepler planets and candidates orbiting F, G, K and M dwarf stars. With Gaia astrometry, inferred Galactic phase space information, and kinematic disk criteria calibrated on stellar chemical abundances, we probabilistically associate each planet host with the kinematic thin or thick Galactic disks. We then fit the underlying eccentricity distributions for the single- and multi-transit populations. We find that for single-transiting planets, kinematic thick disk planets exhibit higher eccentricities than thin disk planets, yet we find no such difference among multis. We determine that the difference in eccentricity is unlikely to be caused solely by the effects of host stellar metallicity or giant planet occurrence. We situate these findings in the context of known eccentricity relations, including its relationships with planet multiplicity, radius and metallicity. We suggest comprehensive analyses to disentangle these results from the effects of poorly understood star-planet relationships, such as that between stellar age and planetary orbital dynamics.

astro-ph.EP↗

arXiv2025

PECCARY: A novel approach for characterizing orbital complexity, stochasticity, and regularity

Permutation Entropy and statistiCal Complexity Analysis for astRophYsics (PECCARY) is a computationally inexpensive, statistical method by which any time-series can be characterized as predominantly regular, complex, or stochastic. Elements of the PECCARY method have been used in a variety of physical, biological, economic, and mathematical scenarios, but have not yet gained traction in the astrophysical community. This study introduces the PECCARY technique with the specific aims to motivate its use in and optimize it for the analysis of astrophysical orbital systems. PECCARY works by decomposing a time-dependent measure, such as the x-coordinate or orbital angular momentum time-series, into ordinal patterns. Due to its unique approach and statistical nature, PECCARY is well-suited for detecting preferred and forbidden patterns (a signature of chaos), even when the chaotic behavior is short-lived or when working with a relatively short duration time-series or small sets of time-series data. A variety of examples are used to demonstrate the capabilities of PECCARY. These include mathematical examples (sine waves, varieties of noise, sums of sine waves, well-known chaotic functions), a double pendulum system, and astrophysical tracer particle simulations with potentials of varying intricacies. Since the adopted timescale used to diagnose a given time-series can affect the outcome, a method is presented to identify an ideal sampling scheme, constrained by the overall duration and the natural timescale of the system. The accompanying PECCARY Python package and its usage are discussed.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2025

Shaping the Milky Way: The interplay of mergers and cosmic filaments

The large-scale morphology of Milky Way (MW)-mass dark matter (DM) halos is shaped by two key processes: filamentary accretion from the cosmic web and interactions with massive satellites. Disentangling their contributions is essential for understanding galaxy evolution and constructing accurate mass models of the MW. We analyze the time-dependent structure of MW-mass halos from zoomed cosmological-hydrodynamical simulations by decomposing their mass distribution into spherical harmonic expansions. We find that the dipole ($\ell=1$) and quadrupole ($\ell=2$) moments dominate the gravitational power spectrum, encoding key information about the halo's shape and its interaction with the cosmic environment. While the dipole reflects transient perturbations from infalling satellites and damps on dynamical timescales, the quadrupole -- linked to the halo's triaxiality -- is a persistent feature. We show that the quadrupole's orientation aligns with the largest filaments, imprinting a long-lived memory on the halo's morphology even in its inner regions ($\sim30$ kpc). At the virial radius, the quadrupole distortion can reach 1-2 times the spherical density, highlighting the importance of environment in shaping MW-mass halos. Using multivariate Singular Spectrum Analysis, we successfully disentangle the effects of satellite mergers and filamentary accretion on quadrupole. We find that the quadrupolar response induced by LMC-mass satellites has an order of magnitude larger gravitational power than in spherically symmetric MW models. This highlights the need for models that incorporate the MW's asymmetry and time-evolution, with direct consequences for observable structures such as disk warps, the LMC-induced wake, and stellar tracers -- particularly in the era of precision astrometry.

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arXiv2025

Minimum-entropy constraints on galactic potentials

A tracer sample in a gravitational potential, starting from a generic initial condition, phase-mixes towards a stationary state. This evolution is accompanied by an entropy increase, and the final state is characterized by a distribution function (DF) that depends only on integrals of motion (Jeans' theorem). We present a method to constrain a gravitational potential assuming a stationary (phase mixed) sample by minimizing the entropy the sample would have if it were allowed to phase-mix in trial potentials. This method avoids modeling the DF, and is applicable to any sets of integrals. We provide expressions for the entropy of DFs depending on energy, $f(E)$, energy and angular momentum, $f(E,L)$, or three actions, $f(\vec{J})$, and investigate the bias and statistical uncertainties in their estimates. We show that the method correctly recovers the parameters for spherical and axisymmetric potentials. We also present a methodology to characterize the posterior probability distribution of the parameters with an Approximate Bayesian Computation, indicating a pathway for application to observational data. Using $10^4$ tracers with $10\% (20\%)$-uncertainties in the 6D coordinates, we recover the flattening parameter $q$ of an axisymmetric potential with $σ_q/q\sim 5\% (10\%)$. The python module for the entropy estimators, \texttt{tropygal}, is made publicly available.

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arXiv2025

Counterculture Stars: Slow and Retrograde Stars with Low-Alpha Disk Abundances

The Milky Way is home to a thin disk that can be defined via kinematics and/or elemental abundances. The elemental abundance-defined thin disk, also called the low-alpha disk, is generally thought to be comprised of stars on planar, circular orbits that approximate the circular velocity curve. While this is an apt description for the majority of stars with thin-disk-like abundances, there are a number of interesting exceptions. In this analysis, we identify and investigate $\sim 70$ stars with thin-disk-like abundances and very slow or retrograde Galactocentric azimuthal velocities. These stars could be kinematical outliers of the thin disk or elemental abundance outliers of the halo. Focusing first on the former, we introduce a number of mechanisms that could alter a thin disk orbit and cause the azimuthal velocity to become slow or retrograde. We then determine signatures for each mechanism and assess whether that mechanism is unlikely, plausible, or consistent given each star's reported properties. We find that at least one mechanism is plausible for each star, and the mechanism with the highest number of consistent candidate stars is dynamical ejection from stellar clusters. We next discuss scenarios that could produce halo stars with thin disk abundances, and again identify stars that could be connected to these mechanisms. With this sample we investigate rare processes, such as binary disruption by the central supermassive black hole, while also providing a unique perspective into the chemo-dynamics and structural components of the Milky Way.

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arXiv2025

Secular Attrition of Classical Bulges by Stellar Bars

Classical bulges and stellar bars are common features in disk galaxies and serve as key tracers of galactic evolution. Angular momentum exchange at bar resonances drives secular morphological changes throughout the disk, including bar slowing and lengthening, and affects the structure of accompanying bulges. In this study, using a suite of N-body simulations, we quantify the secular reconfiguration of classical bulges through resonant trapping by evolving stellar bars. We use orbital frequency analysis to identify bar-resonant populations and find that up to 50% of the initial bulge stars become trapped in 2:1 resonant orbits and adopt disk-like kinematics. This transformation renders much of the classical bulge observationally indistinguishable from the disk. We compare these results with a sample of 210 MaNGA disk galaxies, finding that slow bars--indicative of older systems--are preferentially associated with weaker bulges. These results suggest that long-lived bars can significantly reshape classical bulges, potentially explaining their scarcity in the local universe and the low classical bulge fraction found in the Milky Way.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Response of the LMC's Bar to a Recent SMC Collision and Implications for the SMC's Dark Matter Profile

The LMC's stellar bar is offset from the outer disk center, tilted from the disk plane, and does not drive gas inflows. These properties are atypical of bars in gas-rich galaxies, yet the LMC bar's strength and radius are similar to typical barred galaxies. Using N-body hydrodynamic simulations, we show that the LMC's unusual bar is explainable if there was a recent collision (impact parameter $\approx$2 kpc) between the LMC and SMC. Pre-collision, the simulated bar is centered and co-planar. Post-collision, the simulated bar is offset ($\approx$1.5 kpc) and tilted ($\approx8.6^\circ$). The simulated bar offset reduces with time, and comparing with the observed offset ($\approx0.8$ kpc) suggests the timing of the true collision to be 150-200 Myr ago. 150 Myr post-collision, the LMC's bar is centered with its dark matter halo, whereas the outer disk center is separated from the dark matter center by $\approx1$ kpc. The SMC collision produces a tilted-ring structure for the simulated LMC, consistent with observations. Post-collision, the simulated LMC bar's pattern speed decreases by a factor of two. We also provide a generalizable framework to quantitatively compare the LMC's central gas distribution in different LMC-SMC interaction scenarios. We demonstrate that the SMC's torques on the LMC's bar during the collision are sufficient to explain the observed bar tilt, provided the SMC's total mass within 2 kpc was $(0.8-2.4) \times 10^9$ M$_\odot$. Therefore, the LMC bar's tilt constrains the SMC's pre-collision dark matter profile, and requires the SMC to be a dark matter-dominated galaxy.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

The Impact of Bars, Spirals and Bulge-Size on Gas-Phase Metallicity Gradients in MaNGA Galaxies

As galaxies evolve over time, the orbits of their constituent stars are expected to change in size and shape, moving stars away from their birth radius. Radial gas flows are also expected. Spiral arms and bars in galaxies are predicted to help drive this radial relocation, which may be possible to trace observationally via a flattening of metallicity gradients. We use data from the Mapping Nearby Galaxies at Apache Point Observatory (MaNGA) survey, part of the fourth phase of the Sloan Digital Sky Surveys (SDSS-IV), to look for correlations of the steepness of gas-phase metallicity gradients with various galaxy morphological features (e.g. presence and pitch angle of spiral arms, presence of a large scale bar, bulge size). We select from MaNGA a sample of star forming galaxies for which gas phase metallicity trends can be measured, and use morphologies from Galaxy Zoo. We observe that at fixed galaxy mass (1) the presence of spiral structure correlates with steeper gas phase metallicity gradients; (2) spiral galaxies with larger bulges have both higher gas-phase metallicities and shallower gradients; (3) there is no observable difference with azimuthally averaged radial gradients between barred and unbarred spirals and (4) there is no observable difference in gradient between tight and loosely wound spirals, but looser wound spirals have lower average gas-phase metallicity values at fixed mass. We discuss the possible implications of these observational results.

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